If this adds a useful perspective

End-Point Dependencies Loom

This weekend on Peoplenomics, we pull the camera back and ask a bigger question than “what happened Friday?”

We ask what has to happen next for markets to turn.

Inside the subscriber report and ChartPack:

  • why the current decline still looks like a possible Wave 1 down
  • why a (private) could still show up next week
  • how the state-variance extremes are lining up now
  • why the NASDAQ, the 200 DMA, and the 1929 comparison still matter
  • and which geopolitical “dependency checks” could flip the tape from fear to rally — or the other way around.

If you want more than headline chasing…
If you want the charts, the framework, and the “what would have to happen next?” view…

This is a good weekend to subscribe.

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31 thoughts on “End-Point Dependencies Loom”

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    • Not Halley’s Comet.

      The New Madrid earthquake sequence began on December 16, 1811, with major shocks on January 23, 1812 and February 7, 1812.

      The comet people associated with that period was the Great Comet of 1811 (C/1811 F1), which reached perihelion on September 12, 1811 and was still visible into early 1812.

      So the timeline is basically:

      Great Comet of 1811 at perihelion: September 12, 1811
      First big New Madrid quake: December 16, 1811
      Next main shocks: January 23, 1812 and February 7, 1812

      If you were thinking of Halley’s Comet, its famous 19th-century return was 1835, not 1811–1812.

      So the clean answer is: about three months after the Great Comet of 1811 reached perihelion, not Halley’s, New Madrid “popped.”
      But post again as a reminder in 2700-3000 AD and we will remind then.

      • i have had an absurde series of odd alignments and events the last few days.

        I’m sure you would have to agree that i personally have unique way of looking at the world.

        the last time i had a similar series of odd events such as this, i was seeing Ms Love who lived 1 block away from the very first covid case in the United states (snohomish washington) i left her place one week prior to the first case of Covid in the Us, which happend 1 block from her house.

        i was Divinely protected. without a doubt.

        I am going to hold my cards close on this but i will tell you this much.

        in a little more than 2 weeks, I will not be in the United States of America. i will be far far away from the United States.

        out of the blue i was offered something that i couldnt turn down.

        a friend name dropped me to someone and i am getting fast tracked to another place. not Military Sealift Command. a totally different country. i will be out to sea 40 days and nights. same exact amout as Noah.

        Get this, its on 2 year anniversary of the day that i left the Valley of Enoch. i start on the exact day.

        to the day!

        when i asked THE DUDE about it tonight, right after I asked HIM, all the toilets where i was at started running and over flowing. i ran and helped fix them.

        every single toilet at the public place i was at when i asked THE DUDE, right after I asked HIM, all started over flowing and nobody was in the ladys or mens bathrooms. they did that all on their own.

        they all at the same time started running and over flowing.

        as I gets closer, I will post another comment with the details.

        I WIN with GOD within.

        • Andy this is a very prescient sign indeed. One of a religions, signs and sygils bent, could read it as “world’s overflowing with too much shit -= so get out of the way Andy, got some repair work to do…”
          And, oh yesh, stand aside while it happens.
          And this young feller is what happens to people who are pure in their relation and heart-locked. It all – always – works out.
          Keep us posted!

        • Yes sir.

          its like this.

          i apply for a job at MSC and have been green lighted to go since October. but im waiting. even got my TS clearance approved again.

          Then I land this HUGE, 3 million dollar job for my company. 3 years worth of work. I get a Fat raise and will be getting a Giant Christmas Bonus. so screw MSC, im staying here.

          Then Trump starts a war with Iran on the behalf of Israel, Deisel goes to $6.99 a gallon and that HUGE job we are rolling on gets shut down because The Bean counters decide the cost of doing buisness is too much. Thanks Trump! ya fuckin dick! we dont care about Iran, we just want to make some money!

          I file my income tax return but i didnt know my pin number. so it gets kicked back. so i go somewhere get it profressionally done and mail it in. it gets kicked back again because one of the companys i worked for reported a different number on my W2 than what was reported to the IRS. So, i had to submit my ID and Passport and all this shit to the IRS. They come back and say we have to do a zoom meeting to verify your identity so you can find out what the income discrepency difference between your W2 and what they have is, so you can correct it and then they will pay me my $2500 return. I told the guy at the IRS. Dude! i have a TS clearance! you know who i am! he says unfortunately, a TS clearance doesnt help you with the IRS. we need to do a zoom meeting to verify your identity.

          this has never happened before in my life. Like What the Actual Fuck???

          Serenity NOW!

          hahahaha.

          i pray and meditate and say, Well YOU DUDE know the stuff i dont. I am not dependant upon this job or that job or the IRS or any of that. I am only dependant upon YOU DUDE. DUDE, YOU make my way. In all things I Trust YOU!

          Im not working. so i go out and have a cig on the deck. its not anything im doing wrong. i done everything i can do. I look at the Lawn and remember the last time i mowed the lawn, I got a job later that day. So i Mow the Lawn.

          After I finished mowing the lawn. I had a phone call from someone offering me this job working on a NOAA type research Vessel. They got my name from someone i helped 3 years ago. i hadnt even talked to that person in 3 years

          Then my Boss calls and Tells me he has a few days of work and another person calls me about a side job.

          Sweet!

          I call that number they gave me for the NOAA type research Vessel, get straight through. They send me a limk, i up load all my doccuments and the next day they tell me, You are Hired! She offers me a ridiculouse amount of money to go
          i said Hell Yeah! Im in! Then she said, i need you to take a pee test, fill out a back ground check, and in 2 weeks will fly you out to meet the vessel in another country. its an 18 and a half hour flight. you will be there a few days before the vessel gets there. we will provide you hotel accomidations and money for food. After 40 days you will be back at that same port. we will provide a few days in a hotel and fly you back home after.

          i talked to my Boss at the Trucking company and He says, Sweet! id go too! you coming back? i said That is the plan. He said well we should be paving and all that when you get back.

          it didnt even occure to me until last night, that i fly out on the same exact date that i left Enoch Valley 2 years ago. exact Date. Enock, NOAA type research Vessel, NOAH and 40 days and Nights out to sea.

          hmmmmm…. there something i saw about a red sun/star over the top of a Pyramid in Egypt and that hasnt happened since the Birth of Christ. right around the same time frame. not sure if that is true or not, but it could be.

          and we are past due for a world cataclysm. the last one was the Great Flood. according to the Hopi and The Christian Bible.

          all around the same time as
          when i stood in the well at the Hopi Rez. the Eclipse that happend 4 years later, the date Pope LEO XIII signed that book, the time frame and date I went to Enoch Valley to Drive Ore Trains in a living expression of a merkaba, and the exact date i left Enoch Valley to live on Eagle Mountain Ranch in a scaled version of The City of The Gods. right in that 7 day period.

          Ok, Cool. Thanks DUDE!

          i do hope the world can get its shit together. and we dont have a world cataclysm.

          but if all that wouldnt have happened in the way it did? i wouldnt have took this job doing 40 days at sea.

          I Win with God within.

      • put it this way. by this time next month? i might be very well standing on the shores of Antartica.

        not even bullshiting.

        When i see THE DUDE move me this quick to a totally different location and all this stuff strange series of odd events starts happening around me in succession?

        it is for a reason. a really Good reason.

        THE DUDE protects me and makes my path straight.

        • WINTER is coming for Antartica. Opposite seasons to us on this side of the equator. Currently it is well past “tourist season” for that part of the world … so obviously something is going on wrt what you will be doing that they don’t want any tourists to accidentally “see”.

          Fun Facts:
          *Penguins only exist south of the Equator. NO Penguins live in the Artic.

          *Polar Bears do NOT live south of the Equator. NO Polar Bears live in Antartica, have to go NORTH towards the artic if you want to see Polar Bears (Churchill on Hudson Bay is the biggest tourist area for Polar Bear watching … you can even get there by TRAIN, no need to fly in fact – it is a seaport that in the summer season actually is still an export port for shipping Canadian ag products to Europe and the rest of the world by sea)

        • An auspicious visitor arrives on the exact day Andy announces his trip down south?

          “A king penguin from the sub-Antarctic region has been found more than 4,000 kilometres away from home on a remote beach on Western Australia’s south coast. She has been named Hope, after the name of the nearest town of Esperance. Esperance is a French word for hope, referring more to positive expectation or anticipation, rather than a wish.”

      • i mean it could be nothing. idk.

        but it is worth noting. i had no idea i was leaving Ms Love until that morning when The Pandemic Happened.

        my life took a complete 180 and the next thing i know i was 2000 miles away from her house under 2 weeks later. when i had no such plans prior to that morning.

        same sort of deal. by this time a month from now i will be in the future.

        accross the International Date Line. no where near the Iran War and nowhere near any big civilzation for that matter and not anywhere near the US.

        and there is a BIG Rush to get me there.

        and alot of wierd things are happening in succession.

        and as of just a few days ago, i had no other plans remotely what so ever, of the sort.

        so I know THE DUDE is making moves on my behalf for HIS purpose.

        i will check back in right before i leave. so ya have a heads up.

        • KAAAAAAACHING!

          and just like that TBS scores another Winning ticket ! DO I ever tire of winning ?

          Nerp.

          Not yet at least, and I still got gazillions of “Games” to play yet. Ice Hockey bets have been spot on this week.
          BBall march madness is running pretty good, at well over 60% winners. Biggie on tap today with 4 way parlay on UMich game.
          Got Wolverines winning it all this year – when they do , tbs will ring that register some moar. Ya know I cant stop, cause well Im addicted to the “shindig” – hear Anthony sing about it..CAUTION – best Live show on planet, hold on to Ure earphones, they may pop off on this piece, high blood pressure – pass on this one -https://youtu.be/o-3Zd4Zzj6M?

        • Thank you Andy for this testimony of faith and observance of warning. Prayers here to also be guided – in other words will be ready to move!

        • Dude wants you to “get out of Dodge…”

          G.A. STEWART : WHY DO I HAVE CONCERNS ABOUT EASTER?

          After one nuclear weapon is detonated in a Palestinian territory, a short-time later a second nuclear weapon is detonated in Italy.

          After Italy is attacked, a Russian Poseidon nuclear torpedo will be detonated and destroy most of England.

          Quatrain IX-31 is not saying that this will happen at Easter. It is predicting that global war will begin at Easter.

          https://theageofdesolation.com/nostradamus/2026/03/22/g-a-stewarts-nostradamus-timeline/

        • Sigh. Smooth sailing matey. Let us know if you get any Noah tips for us home boys to narrow down possibilities. I’ve been needing to take a vacation. I don’t think Antarctica is going to be on the tour list.

      • and if nothing happens, when i get back if we arent truckin? im taking that job up in the mountains helping the Hotshots durring forest fire season. be up in the mountains all summer. they are projecting a really bad forest fire season because of the lack of snow in the mountains in Washington, Oregon, Montana, Idaho and Wyoming. idaho and Wyoming hardly got any snow. The person who offered me that job said forest fire (watch) season has already started.

        idk George, Most Certainly, – The Game is afoot. –

        lots of things in play.

        my girlfriend is trying to cram 40 days of sex in the next 2 weeks because im going to be gone. she might give me a heart attack before i leave. hahahahhahahhaahha.

        it all reminds me of that morning at Ms Loves house.

        i woke up, sat up and thought I have the to get the fuck out of here and right now. the day before i had no plans of leaving. i just knew that morning, i have to leave now or i am going to die.

        now Ms Love is alot like my current girlfriend size and looks wise. I think they are even the same age. 33 years old.

        so i started grabbing my shit. looked in my bank account, $3500 and i had a $2400 check to pick up from work. i loaded all my shit in my car. she said what are you doing? i said i have to go! right now. if i stay here, I will die. she laughed, pulled the covers back and said stop talking crazy. come back to bed. I kissed her on the forehead. got up, got in my car and drove straight down to maple valley, got my check, deposited it. filled my tank and started driving towards California.

        ended up side tracked for a little bit.

        but as i was driving past the “Welcome to Palm Springs” sign on I-10, I looked up and Trump flew right over me on Airforce One and landed at the Airport there. same exact moment. Hi Trump! coool.

        2 months later the i read on the news, the first case of Covid 19, in the US was discovered in Snohomish, Washington exactly one block from Ms Loves House.

        This all feels the same. same emotional finger print to it. except, i will be far far, faaar away from the United States.

        now, this is not something i created on my own efforts. i didnt seak it out. i didnt pray for it. so i know THE DUDE has HIS Hand in it.

        i mean people working on research vessles arent in it to get rich. lol.

        and getting an offer of what i make doing 4 months trucking for 40 days of work on a boat in the engine room. its kind of a no brainer. Absolutely! i will be there! I like Money! what do i have to do.

        Now, ***** i have to figure out what to bring, since i might not come back or even worse, there might not be place to come back too.

        and it may be nothing. it is certainly not a “normal” situation. whatever “normal” is.

        movie recomendation. The Hail Marry Project. my girlfriend and I went and saw it on her birthday. one of the best movies i have seen in probably 10 years. so funny and super good. we went and saw it at the IMAX. we loved it so much, we are going to see it again at the matenee today. it is freaking hilarious at times and super good special effects.

        been a while since Hollywood produced such a holesome, funny good, space adventure movie. we really liked it.

        i will keep you all posted when it gets closer. which isnt very much longer.

        i moving into the future. if i can check in time to time from the ship i will. i will just be a day ahead of you all.

        i like that!

        I Win with God within.

      • https://www.laphamsquarterly.org/future/miscellany/mark-twain-again-follows-halleys-comet
        ‘Mark Twain was born on November 30, 1835—two weeks after the perihelion of Halley’s Comet. “I came in with Halley’s Comet,” Mark Twain commented in 1909. “It is coming again next year. The Almighty has said, no doubt, ‘Now there are these two unaccountable freaks; they came in together, they must go out together.’” He died on April 21, 1910—one day after the comet had once again reached its perihelion. ‘

    • Halley’s comet last appeared in 1986 and the next perihelion of Halley’s Comet is predicted for 28 July 2061.
      .
      Check your source..,

  1. George,

    The old-timers appear to be in sync.

    The peak valuations in 1929 and 2026 were caused by terminal cycle extreme overvaluation accelerated by bad debt creation (e.g. 1929 10% margin and e.g. 2026 KKR et.al private fund bad investment in frothy equities. In 1929 there was an initial cascading nonlinear unraveling in the 11/26/27 day :: y/2.5y/2.5y incipient 3-phase Lammert fractal crash decay series.

    2026 is different. Most (about 80%) of the 850 trillion derivatives are invested in interest rate hedge bets. With the inevitable bad credit/loan collapse, those hedges would have predicted lowered interest rates. Enter the Israeli-Trump war; the closure of Hormuz; the global sharp price rise in oil, LNG, and hydrocarbon byproducts (including fertilizer); the resulting inflation; and the held US sovereign debt selling pressure (for country’s dependent on imported energy and fertilizer). This sans-strategy and sans-big-picture war has resulted in rising interest rates, exactly opposite of the the derivatives’ hedge investment bets.

    With the 600-650 trillion dollar upside down interest rate derivative bets, the incipient 2026 crash devaluation will be more severe than 1929.

  2. I posted this a few days back.., and I stand by it.
    .
    Should the S&P 500 extend losses this week, it would likely move toward 6,200. [ Currently at 6,530 ] The next potential support after that would come in at 5,980, which marks not only the 50% Fibonacci retracement but also the gauge’s mid-June low.
    And I believe that is where we are heading.
    .
    There may be a bounce to the upside., but I believe it will be small-ish. The ‘mood’ on Wall Street seems to have – finally – soured., and the incredible overspending on A.I. is already walking through the streets yelling – “Bring out your Dead !”
    .
    I am not in the market at the moment – didn’t want to hold any position over the weekend. Nothing planned for the news on Monday to shock the boards – I just felt it better/wiser/more prudent to sit back and wait. Let the over-confident idiots make the first move. They always do….,
    .
    Good chart comments today – over on the pay side. Thanks.
    .
    I personally do not trust what is happening in Iran. It really does appear that Trump got suckered in – now wants out – but it’s too late.., he is already committed and is now dragging his heels on his next action.
    – If he is stupid enough to put boots on the ground in Iran – the entire world will pay the price. …, damn !
    .
    “Stay Frosty !”

    • After boots on the ground come the midnight suns.

      That dynamic appears to be the only way other than a very very large contingent of men being airlifted into central Iran to attack and try to destroy the very large nuclear complex inside a Granite Mountain in midish Iran (think the Iranian equivalent of Cheyenne Moutain that the US built outside of Colorado Springs)

      A few hundred to a couple of thousands of US troops airlifted into mid Iran to launch a ground based assault on that mountain … or the use of a nuclear device (or several)?

      Trump’s options are limited in fulfilling the promises he apparently made to Netanyahu.

      Why Trump canned the treaty that limited Iran’s enrichment to 3.5% I still can’t figure out … except Israel wanted it canned. It was only because that treaty was canned by the US that Iran could and did enrich uranium up to 60% … with the final leap to 80% (level of the Hiroshima bomb) or 90% (level needed for a smaller device than the 9600# Hiroshima bomb) is EASY from 60%, needing only a few weeks if they have a hall of centrifuges in that mountain. (unlike going from 3.5% to 50% which takes a LONG LONG time)

      • Stephen 2 : “… It was only because that treaty was canned by the US that Iran could and did enrich uranium up to 60% …”

        You were doing so well until ^ leaning towards a narrative. So, you figure since the Iranian Regime signed a piece of paper they would have turned aside from a long build towards nuclear? Right …

        If you supported the JCPOA it’s fine. Deluded, but fine.
        I’ll take this outcome. So far.
        Egor

    • “Trump got suckered in”

      I agree with your assessment. It’s possible Trump-o is a pedo and the nice Israeli folks are blackmailing him. Where are the Inherent military strategists when we need them?

      “Trump Floats Renaming the Strait of Hormuz After Himself”

      LOL

  3. re: “Spiderman: Brand New Day” ‘Looms’

    The ancient line of “Kash is King” still reigns? Is the French-based Pavlov lab experiment telegramming results?

    “…with great power there must also come–great responsibility!”
    Stan Lee, August, 1962

    New York Spidey fans – don’t forget to charge up your STS power tools before the Mayor dials back night power. While the lights are still on, here’s DJ George with a special request from the Kashier’s Cage – Camila Cabella ft. Young Thug at the following Youtube link
    “Havana”:

    https://youtu.be/BQ0mxQXmLsk&t=2m26s

  4. for Three Piece: A couple of days back you remarked about gold and other metals going down which was unexpected by you.

    It was not well reported but Turkey over the first two weeks of the War reportedly directly and indirectly sold 60 metric tons of Gold (much of it with repo agreements though).

    In addition I read that Gulf Nations with the cut off of cash flow since their exports were restricted were selling precious metals for liquidity purposes of funding their governments. No indication in what I read how much selling that entailed, but like Turkey’s sales were probably in the Billions of dollars worth (my guess as to the amount).

    Like what happens when there is a major sell off of stocks during a huge downturn the need for liquidity to meet financial obligations often (usually if the sell off is severe) results in precious metals being sold too which drags down the precious metals at the same time.

    Turkey’s selling definitely, and the oil producing nations dynamic if true, would explain the downturn in precious metals
    (haven’t looked but Aluminum may have actually gone up though due to the destruction of production ability in the Persian Gulf – a large aluminum producing area)

    • Put a pin on your Conspiracy Board – Turkey “sold” the gold/cooperated with the West. Wait to see if Turkey actually bought something. Maybe within 90 days they’ll control Iranian oil fields..

  5. a private note from a fellow commenter: Pentecost (Shavuot) is symbolic with Noah. a New Convenent. A New World.

    after 40 days out to sea, Noah Arrived at an Entirely New world. The old world and all its evil, was washed away.

    40 days after the Crusifixion and resurection of Christ, A New Covenant was established, A New World.

    The symilarities between the flood, and the Christian Water Baptism. when a Christian rised out of the water He or She is a New Creation. “The old man is gone. The New has come.”

    and I will be out to sea, on a NOAA type boat, for 40 days, durring Penticost. when i get off the Boat? Will it be a Totally New World? Will the old world and all its evil, be gone?

    Jesus said,

    “37 But as the days of Noah were, so shall also the coming of the Son of man be.

    38 For as in the days that were before the flood they were eating and drinking, marrying and giving in marriage, until the day that Noe entered into the ark,

    39 And knew not until the flood came, and took them all away; so shall also the coming of the Son of man be.”

    Happy Palm Sunday! Jesus road into Jeruselem knowing exactly what would happen. He didnt flinch, He did it anyways and Changed the entire world. Jesus didnt change the world for a day. Jesus changed it for thousands of years.

    Off to the Movies with My Beautiful Love!

    Until we meet again,

    I Win with God within!

  6. “Trump says he has ‘no problem’ with Russian oil tanker bringing relief to Cuba despite blockade”

    Like Trump has a choice. Hillary said Russians got their hooks in Trump and it sure looks that way.

  7. George, someone told me you wrote,

    “Write when you get Rich or hear from Noah” a couple few days ago.

    how funny. I didn’t know that.

    in the days of Noah. what did they who became The Watchers do?

    they tampered with Human DNA
    (MRNA Vaccines)
    They Taught forbidden Knowledge
    and all everyone did was evil in their heart.

    MRNA vaccines affect the heart.

    not to mention all this stuff about Epstine and sexual perversIons with Children, drinking their blood etc etc. black mail and all that. and no justice thus far for the victims.

    the elite club. where they are exempt from fraud and sexual perversion.
    and Alot of talk about nuclear bombs lately. there is alot of stuff we dont even know how much evil shit is being done.

    At Some Point, There are Great Forces unseen by the naked eye, that are going to say, You know what? lets burn it all down and start over.

    now i could be just starting a new and exciting career. wouldnt that be nice.

    and i could be getting placed somewhere safe because those Great Higher Power Unseen Forces are about to demolish the world, and not in the fun way.

    I spose, time will tell.

    one thing for sure, I have a place in The Future. so there is comfort in that for me.

    2 weeks from today, marks my departure from the United States.

    I Win with God withIN.

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