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Reader Note: Updated Daily!   If you don't see this page updated, hit your "Refresh" button (F5 in MSIE) 
This page is also mirrored here and may be available at http://www2.urbansurvival.com/week.htm   unblocked in some corp/gov offices.  Please bookmark both for use in event of communications disruptions.

 

Bouncing Toward October 7th

The big data pipes up at www.halfpasthuman.com are open today as the next web bot/ predictive linguistic run is about to get underway.  (Subscription info: $280 for first time subscribers, subsequent runs $70 each).

 

This run is focused on events as far out as July 2009, which for labeling purposes in modelspace is called the "Summer of Hell" for reasons that you'll be able to catch up with in Part Zero which is expected to be posted around September 5th, and the time monks offer this:

"Our internal review process (bitching at each other over pie and coffee) has brought us to the conclusion that we will 'tune the lexicon' this run, but will not adjust the contexts as they are seemingly pretty skookum and prescient. Sorry about missing the Pakistan regime change by a day. We will endeavor to increase the accuracy of our entertainment as we go forward."

If you're thinking about subscribing, this ought to be one of the best-timed runs yet, because it should be active as we get to the October 7 (7:10 UTC) release date.  That doesn't mean you will wake up to CNN doing some kind of 'event' coverage that morning (although it's possible).  It just means that we shift over into 'release language' which will be propelled by events that will have the same emotional 'fell' of the September 2001 events, except instead of six days of heavy emotional impact, this will be 5-months plus of that kind of thing.

 

Don't subscribe if it willk place a financial hardship on you and remember this is only  done as 'entertainment' and for our own amusement.  The fact that certain aspects of what's forecast seem to come true seem to occur on regular basis on a higher than chance basis is no doubt a long-lasting string of coincidences that have be strung along by Universe since we first posited publicly

in July of 2001 that the world was about to change within 90 days or less and along came the Twin Towers.  And the 'attack on house or assembly' before the anthrax attack, or the aspects of the DC sniper case, or the Northeast power Outage, and so on, right up through the regime change in Pakistan a few days back.

 

We will continue to post free warnings  here when of widespread public importance, such as the "Wedding Quake" warning two days before the huge quake in China in May of this year.

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Predictive linguistics is not a science that's been written up in book form yet.  Although we know that China has been doing massive internet sweeps for years (using much larger data samples than ours), this is still a garage and servers in the closet kind of operation.  Because there is no government funding, the project continues in its intended 'clean form' which is to say that the reports don't mince words for the sake of political correctness.  Inst4ead, the focus is on getting the feel of events right and far enough in advance so that a prudent person could hedge a few things if so inclined.

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Don't let my buying up solar panels in anticipation of a serious power shortage bother you none.  The libretto seems to be Big changes around October 7th, response around dark of the moon in late October, a bump or two around Thanksgiving, and then a mess of large proportion around December 10-12.

 

If we just happen to see a market decline to the 9740 range in early October and a terrorist attack or all out market crash  (or something of that emotional flavor) it'll just be a coincidence.  Again. 

 

Just remember that if by reading this site you sometimes get the impression that our coverage of events is prescient, remember it's not because of anything I do, other than read the predictive linguistics reports, and then try to back-fill the news stories that would be likely to get us to that particular flavor of the future.  So far, it's been a useful news coverage selector tool.

 

Border Security Perspective

"Russia isolating itself over Georgia: Rice"

"Russia is actually doing something about border security: Ure".

 

"Pentagon: No significant Russian withdrawal from Georgia"

"Ure: No significant Mexican withdrawal from Texas, Arizona, New Mexico, or California, either.  Your point?"

 

Headlines aside, you can click here to see Condi signing us up for more defense spending.

 

Ever get the feeling the boys in the District of Corruption don't get it and the world really is crazy?

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"Some Democrats urge delay in building U.S. missile system in Eastern Europe." 

 

Hmmm...I wonder...campaign fund raising a little light this year?

 

Conundrum

What happens when a commercial airline pilot ends up on the No Fly List?  Click here for the story.

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Come on, did a TSA inspector really damage nine planes at O'Hare???

 

The Runs: The "Who?"

Lemme see:  Ralph Nader thinks Obama will pick what's-her-name for Veep.  Personally, I think Obama could o a lot better, but that's just me - the guy holding up the "End the Clinton-Bush Aristocracy" sign. 

 

Kansas gov. Kathleen Sebelius is a possibility along with Joe Biden, Evan Bayh, and Virginia gov Tim Kaine.  You could maybe start a small betting pool at the water cooler between now and tomorrow when this is supposed to clarify.

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As the Washington Times is reading the numbers at the moment, the contest for the WH is about a tie at the moment. 

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Word that Joe Lieberman is being considered as a running mate for John McCain has me wondering "Where did I put that bottle of Jack?"

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But don't worry.  The UrbanSurvival creative department has just come up with a great new McCain bumper sticker:  "Give War a Chance...."

 

Peace Pays - Eventually

You did hear that "NYC to pay $2-million to arrested war protesters" in a case that steps from a 2003 confrontation outside the Carlyle Group's NY HQ?  After attorney fees, I figure about $25,000 each...  Oh...the City doesn't admit liability.  LOL

 

AARP Sued...

...for age discrimination?  OMG, What next?

 

Next War

Things seem to be heating up in the Philippines.

 

Rumors....

We're hearing how a major NYC environs mortgage package is threatening to go 'toes up' in the next month or so.  If true it could stick the debt market for another $225-mil.  So much for pro forma revenue projections, huh?  But maybe the rumor is just that.  With all the market jitters about, what a fine way to leverage a little renegotiation of deal terms...time will tell.

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Speaking of which, Peoplenomics for this weekend has the working title "George's College of Crooked Finance."  Not that I'd ever do any of the things outlined, but no doubt there are people who will...

 

Hand Me the Calculator Department

The NY Post's Mark DeCambre has a story out this morning that for just $100-billion, Fannie and Freddie could be made whole.  All of which would be dandy if it were coming out of the fat-cat slush funds inside the Beltway, but you know who's writing the check ultimately, right?  (Hint: looked in a mirror yet today?)

 

Two Can Play This Game Department

We can't help but notice the headline that "Russia considers nuclear missiles for Syria, Mediterranean, Baltic" which seems to come on the heels of the US/NATO putting aan anti-missile system into Poland and pressuring other former Soviet proxies to 'get on board' with Western corpornomics.  Yes, that's the socioeconomic system based on excessive mass consumption, funded by creative debt, and taking special care to prop up defense contractors...

 

That Three-Timer Fay

Looks like our tropical storm Fay coverage will drag on a little longer as Fay is still meandering around off the west coast of Florida dumping 10-inches of rain in Brevard County. Third time a charm, anyone?

 

School Punishment

The headline this morning "US: End beating of children in public schools" has me scratching my head.  But that's probably easily explained by my "Spare the rod and spoil the country" mentality.

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Let's all get together and abandon strict parenting and a swat on the butt (on rare occasion) all at once, so we can increase our lead as the country with the highest inmate populations in the world. 

I'm just saying a swat on the butt worked wonders for me and it's a hell of a lot cheaper than housing an inmate for x number of years.  

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To make matters even more absurd, I'm reading headlines like "Students, school officials continue drinking age debate"

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Hell, as long as we're at it, let's completely abandon any restrictions on kids.  Make it illegal not just to administer a swat on the butt when they try to burn down the house, but let's also ban parents from even speaking harshly to them about it.  And, as long as we're at it, let's lower the drinking age to 10,; shall we?  Yeah, that'll fix up everything and insure that prisons will continue to be a growth industry!  And remember, for every good criminal case, there are at least three attorneys with their hands out for dough (prosecutor, defense, and judge) plus umpteen zillion guards and counselors...why, I could build a great economy if I just had some more laws...

 

New Laws Department

"New law lets Ontario seize cars of repeat drunk drivers."

 

"New LA anti-tagging law targets parents"

 

"Murderer argues new law not for him..."  (Imagine that!)

 

And in Omaha, having your yard sprouting anything over 12 inches is about to become illegal.  Good luck trying to find a reliable kid to do yard work...

 

Did They Mean It?

"Small SUV's improve in crash tests".  Gee, I thought that would destroy them...but if you say so...

 

Hot Tunes

"Customers waned after iPods catch fire in Japan."

 

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Coping: Metals

Seems we continue to see two sides to the silver/gold story.  Here's one:

"Hi George,

Just thought you would be interested to know that my business ( i do crown and bridge work for different dentists) uses precious metals every day. After reading all the hysterics on the 'Net' yesterday about shortages I decided to call my supplier to see if they were having any problems. Nick at **** said he had not even heard a whisper about a problem. They also sell various types of gold coins and bullion. There is no shortage in these either.

Seems to me that someone is stirring up rumors. Gold should bottom around the $690-$750 area as near as I can tell. No need for panic."

One other reader says maybe the 'apparent' shortage of retail gold and silver coins is because dealers who bought at higher prices are loathe to sell at current levels.  Could be...

 

New Word

Reader email:

"Dear George,

Since I just renewed my subscription to Peoplenomics I thought I should write a note thanking you for restoring my ability to utilize common sense. I appreciate the wisdom of your insight and advice each week. I take pride in the fact that I am the person friends and coworkers come to for technical advice or how to save a few dollars on a purchase. You should be proud to know that you are the person I would seek advice from.

As for my descriptor word for the Power Parasites; "CORPORUPTION"

This word is an original thought. I can state with a clear conscience that I do not recall ever hearing or reading this word. If you have already encountered this word I apologize for wasting your time. If this is the first time you have seen it, feel free to use it in a sentence."

First time I've seen it, too.

 

Cash Becoming King?

The headline "M3 Contraction - the future is Now" is worth reading...As is the chart at Trader bart's Now and Futures site.

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Yeah, bonds may not pay much, but we're quickly coming to the time when making "gains" in any kind of investment will be subordinate to the safety and surety of getting your principal back intact.

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Send snip and save notes to george@ure.net

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Peoplenomics.com 

How to Cope with Rationing

While the strong hands (industry pros) have been busily selling their stock shares to the weak hands (the retail investors) as quick as they can (more in this week's ChartPack), I've become much less concerned with the day-to-day market moves, and much more worried about something that the HPH folks have had crop up in modelspace between now and perhaps year's end: rationing.  This week, therefore, we'll outline a scenario which could lead to rationing, and then explore some of the ways rationing arises, operates, and is then ultimately resolved.  Since we've always had a fair ration of foresight, we'll start by outlining a scenario that could lead to gas lines (and muc