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Weekend War, Four Day Workweek, Another Book Published

Seriously?  I mean WTF, over?  So we are what – running WW III on weekends only???

This is plain crazy! Ceasefire again on the brink as U.S. strikes Iran, Tehran fires missiles at Bahrain, Kuwait.

I don’t know whether the whole world needs a lithium carbonate enema, or what (that’s the manic depressive drug that works) but this is one of the craziest co-dependencies ever seen in market analytics.  (My writing tool just told me that was not the proper “inclusive” way of saying it, but we do plain speaking around here, so ‘f ’em.)

On news of this latest jerk-around, the markets are up. But don’t hold your breath this week because the Housing figures are out tomorrow. About all we can gin up in the way of excitement is a mid morning Dallas Fed report.

Honest to God, there are Mondays when I just want to go back to bed…really.

But then habit comes along and whispers, “Why don’t you check the…”

News Compressor

Dandy idea!  Here’s how the shit-roller is cranking it out today:

What changed overnight is de-escalation signals in the US-Iran confrontation after recent strikes and tanker incidents in/near the Strait of Hormuz, with both sides agreeing to halt further attacks and renew talks per US officials and Reuters reporting. This follows tit-for-tat actions that had tightened oil supply and raised market volatility. Markets reacted positively with stocks perking up, oil cooling/steadying (WTI around $69-70/bbl range in recent sessions), and futures showing modest gains in pre-market.

Ukrainian drones struck another Russian oil refinery, with Putin acknowledging fuel shortages amid ongoing pressure on Russian energy infrastructure. In the Middle East, Israel conducted operations against Hezbollah underground sites in southern Lebanon. Venezuela faced ongoing rescue efforts after major earthquakes with a death toll nearing 1,500.

Domestic US focus: No new mass-casualty events (3+ deaths, major evacuations, or state emergencies) reported overnight in mandatory sweeps. Ongoing wildfire activity in the West, with three firefighters killed  this weekend on the Colorado-Utah border fires (Knowles/Gore). NWS highlights dangerous/record heat building across central US eastward, critical fire weather in Southwest/Great Basin, and severe thunderstorm risks (large hail, winds) for northern Plains/upper Midwest. People in Europe are whining about excess heat deaths, as well.

Now – since I already let the cat out about tomorrow being Case Shiller Housing, let’s give another crank of the roller…  (BTC $60,398 at crank time.)

12–96 Hour News Outlook

  • US-Iran talks progress or breakdown (24-72h): Could further stabilize or spike oil/supply chain volatility; outcome hinges on Hormuz reopening details and implementation. High impact on US fuel prices/energy. To bet on the crap carnival you’d have to be touched. Just fill  the car today or tomorrow because prices can rise over the Fourth.
  • Heat wave expansion and fire weather persistence (ongoing into July 4 period): Risks power strain, wildfires, health impacts in central/western US; watch NWS updates. Confidence: high – along with the temps, deodorant sales. Somehow, we pencil in a really bad year of drunk drivers over the Fourth. Higher heat seems to imply more beer guzzling, does it not?
  • Ukraine-Russia eastern front (Kostiantynivka area, 12-96h is the risk window): Russian advances vs. Ukrainian drone/energy strikes; potential fuel shortages for Russia. US aid/strategy implications. Confidence: high that we are cart-wheeling into nukes – seems like only a matter of when – not IF – because Ukraine is playing tip of the sword for the EU which doesn’t have the balls to admit they need Russia or that whole Ponzi blows up – but that’s just old man abhorred by it all talking…
  • Supreme Court end-of-term rulings (days): Multiple Trump-related presidential powers cases expected; could shift legal/government operations. The accompanying rage theatrics will be mostly useless.
  • Oil market rebalancing post-de-escalation: Potential inventory rebuild and price moderation if flows resume; watch EIA data. US consumer/gasoline impact. more useless here because we are only one Israeli decision away from bio or nuking Iran and elections are coming there so Benj-Net has to put something on the board…
  • Cyber signals from Iran/others (24-72h): Reported surge in Iranian cyberattacks on Israel; monitor for US spillover. Which part of surprise do you want to pretend?
  • Venezuela quake recovery: Ongoing rescues; limited direct US impact but humanitarian/diplomatic ripples.

Blink Lab News — Rational People’s Response Planner

This is like being the only sober person at the party, ain’t it?  What to do, then…

  • Monitor oil futures and gasoline prices daily; de-escalation may ease short-term pump pressure but inventories remain tight from prior disruptions. Fill up when it’s free, stay home when it’s not.
  • Businesses in heat/fire zones: Prepare for outages, staff safety, supply delays (NWS alerts). Oh, and that brown stuff in the morning news roller reminds us: Brownouts!!!
  • Supply chain/transport: Watch Hormuz developments for shipping reroutes/fuel cost shifts. Side bets on if war goes hot over the Fourth?
  • Government/law: Track Supreme Court decisions this week for policy shifts. If you get jailed, they were bad.
  • Cyber: Federal agencies prioritize CISA zero-trust guidance and vulnerability directives (e.g., Cisco); general users vigilance on phishing amid regional tensions.
  • Energy: Russian refinery hits may constrain exports; US production/exports implications. Piss ’em off enough and they will nuke, but don’t take my word for it. I judge Putin as the kind of leader who admires Clint Eastwood and may act decisively.
  • Weather/ag: Central US heat risks crops/livestock; Plains/Midwest severe storms for infrastructure. Our greenhouse is playing “wilted salad” at the moment.
  • Local ops: Wildfire evacuations and firefighter safety in West; no major new US disasters reported. Had our fill, thanks.
  • Markets: Tech/AI stocks mixed amid global shifts; watch Nvidia/China exposure. Looks to us like Mid August of 1929 all over again. Though my consigliere’s view includes a side of Guns of August which might come in as a rhyme later on this year.  Stu’s looking at June27th-ish?
  • The news compressor got into gibberish this morning which is the only way I can figure this. “Health: Excess heat deaths in Europe signal US preparedness needs for vulnerable populations.” Let’s line this out: The World Health Organization (WHO) is urging governments to treat extreme heat as a severe public health emergency. Always ready to give away someone else’s money.
  • Space/science: NASA Swift telescope rescue efforts ongoing. One could hope they will go swiftly but only if they were desperately trying to write the world’s longest running early-morning stand-up routine ever…

New Signals Rising from News Noise

These are things which may impact so I have an action plan for each.

  • Iranian cyber incidents against Israel surged notably in 2026 (around 1,600 reported in one month per Israeli officials); potential proxy or spillover risk. Confidence 60.
  • Russian admission of fuel shortages tied to Ukrainian strikes; longer-term energy pressure indicator. Confidence 65.
  • US domestic firefighter line-of-duty deaths in western wildfires rising and off to a bad start for the fire peak season (3 recent). Confidence 80.

Shopping list: Actually might want to preload on N-100 masks and respirators now before the smoke gets thick, especially if you have breathing issues.

  • China domestic AI chip push (Samsung/SK Hynix involvement noted in regional reports) amid Nvidia sales stalls. Confidence 50.
  • Venezuela post-quake rescue scale (tens of thousands missing); regional stability signal. Confidence 70.

Quietly, I mumbled something about “Notice where your aid is coming from? Why not become a state and get even more?”

Around the Ranch: Another Book

See if you can guess the title, OK?

The whole book core concept comes down to this:

When you are laying there, gasping for your final breath, the last thing you will ask for would be, “Can I have more paper, please?”  Nope.

Time.

So big breath while we can. Now let’s all go pretend – again – that we’re all willing and happy work savages – because many will only have to keep up appearances until Thursday afternoon late…

Write when you get rich,

George@Ure.net

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17 thoughts on “Weekend War, Four Day Workweek, Another Book Published”

Comments are reviewed by a human because the web is crawling with spammers. Submissions after 4 PM Central usually appear the following morning. After you click Post Comment, you’ll jump back to the top of this article, but your comment is queued up here. We’ve got a robust community and your participation is invited. Some commenters are brilliant. Read a few and judge for yourself. Imagine. You could be one.

  1. (“On news of this latest jerk-around, the markets are up. But don’t hold your breath this week because the Housing figures are out tomorrow. About all we can gin up in the way of excitement is a mid morning Dallas Fed report.”)

    that’s the one I’m curious about.. around here housing and Rent are way about e the average wages.. seen three families having to move out of low income houxing..( housing is adjusted to income) they moved into campers.. I remember the canary in the coal mine..sanfran where food assistance for people making near a quarter mil .. having to use the sidewalks as a toilet and sleeping in cars and cardboard boxes..its now reached the wastelands… average house between three hundred grand for a four hundred square foot house to half a million and more..one of my coworkers was looking at a house one and a half million bucks.. twenty years ago..it was worth a hundred grand..
    since wages aren’t keeping up with inflation..will housing take a dip…

  2. Sell, sell, sell, sell – Holy Crap G-Man, SELL!

    Thar she blows ! What a big beautiful setup we are having, almost perfectly positioned for a correction,we are.
    News FLASH homegamerz, tbs is SELLING GOLD right in here.
    Actually more like Shorting, new positions – Gold etf’s.
    Looks like the ole relic gonna be giving back some her gains for rest of year. In meantime couple of lottery ticket flyers on SPY Puts going into Holidazed Weekend.

    *Local note-SE Pennsytucky – location of this years Fireworks Celebration has been relocated due to a pair of nesting Bald Eagles in middle of municipal park that the BrandywineRiver runs thru. Dem burds are Federally protected, youse dont want to disturb, besides the lil Eaglets need their SLEEP, got a big season ahead with Super Bowl eggspectations.

    * Socceroos made it thru to elimination round, next up the Towelies -https://youtu.be/Cv6tuzHUuuk?

    • re: “Spaceballs: The New One”, 2027
      feat: Mel Brooks,1 of the producers

      Len,
      “May the Schwartz be with him!” Apparently Mel’s next Spaceballs movie due out next year filmed in Sydney.

  4. can kickers are alive and kicking . stories and fairy tales . no earnings exponential debt .. what can go wrong ?

  5. You are missing an obvious interpretation of today’s flight of the commodity missiles. The new post-hostility target price is $70/barrel for WTI; the price dropped below $70, and out the missles flew.

  6. Trump did say he would make America the “crypto capital of the planet”/”digital Fort Knox” so it would make sense gold liquidates. Ask a Trumper. They’ll explain it.

  7. And now good citizens of UrbSurv, something Old and Different for Ure reading pleasure.

    This piece dropped in the In-Box this AM.
    All about the study of the Barycenter. Pulls together several “threads” some of Urbs’ resident investigators have been pulling on of late. Seems whenever the Big Boys are hanging out together on same side of solar system, Planet Earth goes sideways presto change-o like.
    Hear 4 Ure reading and edumacational porpoises -https://markashryock.substack.com/p/the-world-we-have-known-ends-this?utm_source=multiple-personal-recommendations-email&utm_medium=email&token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjo5NDk5ODAzNywicG9zdF9pZCI6MjAzMDM1NDI1LCJpYXQiOjE3ODI3NDkzMjAsImV4cCI6MTc4NTM0MTMyMCwiaXNzIjoicHViLTg5Njk2MzAiLCJzdWIiOiJwb3N0LXJlYWN0aW9uIn0.UAMR93T_3miLjvBMif65dZxWzMATQ4R-dfYhEC8_vFE&triedRedirect=true

    “We be listing badly, Captain..”

    *The more ya know, the more ya know ya dont know.

    • It is said that astrology has no known scientific basis, that it is purely observational and even fantasy. However, plasma physicist James McCanney has shown otherwise.
      https://www.jmccanneyscience.com/
      Interplanetary space is not empty/neutral. The solar wind is an electrical plasma charge, and the planets have a plasma ‘tail’ because of this. When planets align, their plasma tails connect, electrically and this changes the electrical plasma flow around the planets. This has effects on the planets, and the inhabitants.

      Astrology, thru centuries of observation, has documented the effects of these various electrical plasma connections between planets in various physical layouts. The barymetric center of the solar system, when massive planets congregate on one side of the solar system, also has gravitational effects on the surface of the sun, causing solar flares (and more solar wind output) and the intensified effects of the flaring.

      There really is science behind astrology… if one looks deep enough with an open mind.

      • re: from firehouse chief to chef
        feat: STS calls in early alarm

        What’s cooking at the firehouse? London’s “Daily Mail” has noted that “chart topping stars” are offering entertainment at a new MAGA club of sorts in Georgetown, Washington associated with a First Son. Precious few details are shared other than media-alleged venue patronage by at least a trio of #47 cabinet members as well as identical twin brother crypto billionaires.

        Clearly this adds up to let’s speak easy concerning matters of the public streetscape behind which adult beverages may flow. According to Wikipedia, the Vigilant Firehouse, Washington’s oldest such establishment, served to quench D.C. infernos from 1844 until 1883. Recent decades have seen fires contained in the edifice’s restaurant kitchens.

        A May 2012 edition of “The Georgetown Dish” noted that a “Papa-Razzi” Italian restaurant at the firehouse had suddenly closed on one overnight because “the building had supposedly been sold”. A year and a bit later, the ‘Dish revisted the address whose new merchant had leapt from fire to fry pan with a leather goods retail model.

        Separately, an article last month in the “Buenes Aires Herald” shared the wonderful story of two Argentinians and their adventures in America. They had apparently secured favourable business prospect in the shape of a distinguished former firehouse in Washington, DC. Curiously the name of the holding company for their various ventures, Hierophant, derives from Greek meaning “one who reveals holy things”.

        However typical hierophant word usage seems drawn either to a tarot card which is a trump card that can be a pope, or a death metal band from Ravenna, Italy. Ravenna is the city where Julius Caesar paused before crossing the Rubicon. It also served as capital when the Western Roman Empire fell in 476 a.d.

        “Mother Tiamat” is an early single from the band Hierophant. She apparently is a figure in Mesopotamian mythology who went to war backed by 11 monsters.

      • Hank,

        Thank you for mentioning James McCanney. I listened to his science hour regularly for well over a decade. He has proposed that the universe is indeed electrical, and that there is an action at a distance, an electrical discharge, to Earth by planetary bodies and comets. He has given fascinating presentations.

  8. looks like the intercoolers are kicking in at the end of the monday madness . well folks wecome to william diebert ganns anniversary dates . you can shove your elliot wave juju . belief wave my butt . where did yah find that one bobby ? lost chapter in rn elliots book . give me gann anyday . watch this rotation dopamine freaks

  10. All I want is for it to quit raining and be warm again. I admit to having been a bit too hot (Lahaina summer working in a space without AC) but fifty years of life in tropical places screams at me whenever cold comes. When we were boat building winter put ice on the deck and docks and there was never one minute of not wanting to get away from that. Plus, it was California, so the rest was also a great motivator.
    Get me warm again and then there is energy for everything else.
    Stiks

    • I hear that. Local ham radio ops say 70F is ‘Hawaiian Freezing’ here. I grew up in Wisconsin, but a -20F below winter would kill me now. Most of us live at 500ft AMSL or below, but there are crazy people that live at 4,000ft AMSL at the volcano summit area, where it seldom gets ABOVE 70F. Typical 40F nights with occasional frost in the winter. They complain it is too hot here in the lowlands.

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