Wait to Retaliate, Layoffs Low, Saving the Washer

If there is a “lesson” from the escalating tensions in the Middle East, it might well be that “Wars tend to escalate” – beyond which, not much else can be said.  Following the Iranian counter (to the Lebanon killings) we are now in position where Israel is expected to take a swipe at Iran in return.  Only now, Israel may judge that Iran should be hit with a nuclear device to take out its weapons program.

This puts Slow Joe and Kamala in a bit of a fix.  A month out from an election, Jewish voters won’t take kindly to the U.S. waffling. But there’s the bigger escalations problem driving ‘No’, US will not support attack on Iran’s nuclear sites (smh.com.au).

Two aspects of the Iranian attack are worth noticing.  First, one of our “extremely well-informed sources” explains this isn’t all making sense – yet.

“The look angle analysis of smartphone videos of the strikes on the primary F-35 airfield definitely seem to indicate the incoming missiles were aimed at the runway end of the airfield, not the aircraft parking and maintenance end of the airfield. In other words, the Iranians didn’t seem to be shooting to do much real damage. (Rapid runway repair is a big thing. We do it. The Israelis do it. Pretty much all the major players have engineering units dedicated to it. So, shooting at runways (versus harder to repair facilities) is almost a waste of time and rounds. Yes, one can impose a temporary inoperational time frame, but against a qualified, determined opponent, that temporary is actually a pretty short period of time, measured in hours, not days.) Again, WTF?”

Which then gets to the question “When (or will) Iran change up from “Firing for effect” to “Firing with purpose.”

Although my consigliere noted that the U.S. destroyers off Israel (think he said two were on station) fired all 12 of their anti-ballistic missile missiles in the first fray.  His concern – based on publicly available reports – is that 12-missiles are the total U.S. production run per year of this particular weapon.   Which means an interesting resupply issue.

Now, throw in the longshore strike and what do you have?

Meanwhile in that other war, if you’re a taxpayer wondering what Sloow Joe and Kamala have bought for all our billions spent so far, take a look at The Fall Of Vuhledar: What It Means For Ukraine’s Beleaguered Military – Analysis – Eurasia Review.  Looks to us like a full-sized diorama from a city collapse in WW II.

Worth what, $10 billion and rising, so far (less any audit of fund to “pops?”)

Market Turmoil

We need to dispense with the Challenger Job Cuts report, first.  Going into this, we thought it would hold about level – since U.I. filings in the past few weeks have been steady to lower:

“U.S.-based employers announced 72,821 cuts in September, a 4% decrease from the 75,891 cuts announced one month prior. It is up 53% from the 47,457 cuts announced in the same month in 2023, according to a report released Thursday from global outplacement and business and executive coaching firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc.

In the third quarter, companies announced plans to cut 174,597 jobs, down 16% from the 177,391 cuts announced in the second quarter of this year. It is up 19% from the 146,305 cuts announced in the same quarter of 2023.”

[AGAIN we ask why the Fed dropped rates a half with 5 weeks to a national election if it wasn’t necessary? Bullshit everywhere these days…]

UI Filings for the week just out:

The stock market is influenced by a few things – China being mainly closed for the week, another day of typhoon shutting down Taiwan.  And then there’s the overnight action in Japan. Up 743 points, which is a shade under two percent.

With the early futures here, we keep slouching sideways and being under a trend line that would usually act as support this is not particularly encouraging to the Bulls – yet:

Bitcoin, too was still soft – about $60,640 when I looked earlier.  Gold and silver are still alive.  As the “war indicator” copper was around $4.585 on the futures market.

BoA Blues: Internet Down Test Opty

Remember that Crowd Strike /Microsoft major internet outage a while back?  Well, Wednesday had a similar event which we file under “Internet Outage Drills to Learn From” as Bank of America glitched out:  Bank of America outage: $0 account balances, other troubles reported. And it was still making waves this morning here in Texas with reports like Bank of America widespread outage: Latest updates.

I’ve been preaching this – ever since my book Broken Web hit Amazon in 2012 – that everyone needs to have a “digital free” strategy to move on with life.  Our way of doing this was personal “downscaling” in order to never have a bill for as many things as we could think of.  For example, with no car payment and no house payment for a couple of decades, you can actually stack up some decent savings.  But the real point is that you can then have money to invest in resilience.  We don’t quite have a Seed Vault for example, but we have a couple of growing seasons worth.  Things like that where you turn sweat into forward resilience.  Not a popular topic and I could go on all morning about it, but there other fish to fry and who listened to old men, anyway?

Dirt and Smirks

Jack Smith is back: Jack Smith Has 77 Potential Witnesses in Donald Trump Election Case – Newsweek. What we really want to know is what happened to the lying democrat ex-intel types who lied through their teeth about the the salacious Russiagate stuff?  Oh. that’s different, right?

Also on the Traitor Watch: DHS threat report warns migrants with ‘terrorism ties’ will continue to exploit border crisis (nypost.com). Surprised?  No?

As FEMA continues to underwhelm with their Hurricane response, some local officials are getting some public wrath, as well: Local Heroes Speak Out After Lake Lure Fire Chief Threatens to Arrest Them for Rescuing Helene Victims (Video). Why, it’s almost like the Cajun Navy volunteers who got threatened how long ago?

Democrats have sold out America in this one, looks like, too: UN & WHO: Forced Vaccinations and Internment Camps, Common Law Solutions. Don’t mind our whining, we remember when America was its own country, not some sub for the Global Socialist Power Grabbers…

Come on – you can’t really be surprised, can you? Elite colleges shocked to discover students ‘don’t know how’ to read books: ‘My jaw dropped’ | Fox News.  Of course they need to be stupid. Programming doesn’t work on smart folks. FMTT.

At the Ranch: How to Save a Washer

Already today, a short version of “ShopTalk Sunday” washed ashore in East Texas.  I saved the washing machine.

Story goes like this:  I’d gotten up at the usual time (4 AM) had a close shave and a leisurely shower.  After dressing and making the first decision of the day (“Which of the 3 every day carry pocketknives to roll with today?“) I was ready to do the vitamin stack while the Tea was ‘waving.

On the way from the master bath to the food dispensary, I tossed a load of clothes in the washer. Soap, large load, medium-deep cycle on warm.

With the stack onboard, and the cup of tea brewing, it was off to the living/media room for the BP check in the recliner.  (123/66/52, thanks.)  Eyes closed, I was just sitting there when the microwave announced the caffeine was ready.

Then I heard it.

Something about the washing machine just wasn’t “right.”

As the machine ran, there was what sounded like a zipper sliding across the bottom of the tub.  It would make the noise for a half-dozen sloshes of the agitator, then go away for a minute.  Within another few, though, it was back, only to disappear again.

“Oh-oh!”  I had once – a few years back – forgotten to take some small drywall screws out of a shirt pocket.  Normally, they’d have been caught being too big to make it through the holes at the bottom of the (stainless) washer tub.  The one that got through ate the water pump used to pump out the used water…  So, my ears have been on “$500 dollar washer alert” ever since.

Suddenly, the tea was out of mind; it would have to wait.  I went to the washer, and wearing a short sleeve shirt, was fishing around in no time.  I felt around the bottom but didn’t catch anything, though I gave myself high marks for using warm, not the cold water cycle. No Wim Hof, me.

Another start – and a few more minutes of listening – damn! It was still making that metal noise.

About here, Elaine came out asking the obvious, “Something wrong with the washer?”  “Uh…something’s in it. Do you have a five-gallon bucket handy?”

I’d hatched a plan to empty out all the wet (soap still on them) clothes into a pail, conduct my search, and then dump it all back in and continue.

No, but we could use  a kitchen garbage bag…”  

A few seconds later, the Improvization Princess was assisting as the clothes came out and went into the bag.  Not a drop of water was spilled anywhere in the making of this adventure.  I was ready to go “fishing” again.

GOT IT!!!!”

A key to the lawn tractor was held up – with the same aplomb usually reserved for Southern bass fishermen who had one “for the books.”

The bag of sopping wet clothes went back in the tub, Elaine smiling at our 4:40 AM teamwork, and I rinsed the soapy water off my arms with the kitchen sink rinser.

So why is the story useful?

Simply to point out that – regardless of our age – we can still pick up nuances of trouble in the wings if we are just open to the prompts.   In this case, having listened to washing machines for 75 years, I had an idea of what “normal” was.  Everyone probably has that.  Was it the audio engineering trained ears?  Or just a sense of something? Can’t say.

What Life teaches (and I’m not sure if its a sound reason to build a complex Reality with reincarnation and whatnot) is that usually – somewhere down near the noise floor in Life, there are clues about the Future that can be intercepted while it’s still malleable. That’s when they first rise into consciousness. Inklings and hints.

I’m not one for idle boasts, but I’m pretty sure I now have the “cleanest lawn tractor key in Anderson County, Texas” – at least for the day.

More importantly, somewhere, an UrbanSurvival reader will be reminded to “Fix the little things – the out of place things – before they blow up on you.”

Because if you don’t, they will.

Besides, money saved spends the same as money-earned.  The tractor key now joins the collection of World’s cleanest drywall screws, too.

Write when you get rich,

George@Ure.net

104 thoughts on “Wait to Retaliate, Layoffs Low, Saving the Washer”

    • Bic: “When (or will) Iran change up from “Firing for effect” to “Firing with purpose.”

      Without wanting to dispute the source article linked (at Zerohedge), or his Ure-ship contact, BDA absent what was employed to disrupt inbound missiles / drones is half a loaf, or less. We have come a long way in the “jamming” world and so, even a strike close to intended target / best target is … perhaps a victory. Auto-projectiles without eyes steering to impact are fancy, handy, but increasingly less secure.

      Likewise, counting how many loads were expended from a couple USN Destroyers don’t mean much. We have lots of surface ships which can be re-positioned to go again, and again. Failure to build stores of same is another thing. Note: few equities are trading green of late, except Defense contractors. Let’s F***ing Go.

      The Israelis won’t allow a 181 missile strike to go unanswered. They can’t. Amazingly they seem able to task through multiple efforts nearly simultaneously. These people are warriors. They have to be. Iran is a target rich environment but they’d have to peel the onion to go downtown (unless from within).

      Tasking nuclear sites is full of risk, known and unknown. Clearly the world order votes nyet. If wanting to help the Administration they should include destroying the IRG hodge podge Navy early on. Iran’s 2-3 mbpd going off market isn’t cataclysmic but losing that plus 13-15 mbpd from closure at Straits of Hormuz is another thing entirely.

      Overflight. An attack wants friendly skies and there are direct paths and slow long pathways. Which will be sanctioned (or, an Arabic “look the other way”) is TBD. My guess is the House of Saud will play along.

      Funny to read financial headlines about tomorrows job report. Really? First, we have all learned to distrust output from BLS, at least through multiple revisions. Second, the nummer is small taters vs the rest:

      Middle East
      Ukraine
      SE USA

      Stay tuned. Open screens watch TNX, USD-JPY and the price of crude (big winner has been NG for those playing along). Silver is toying with a significant breakout at $32.75-ish. Watch this space.

      ATL: maybe later, another roofer is on the way to quote my job

      Egor

      ps – George, ponder how the -.5% helped with the carry trade positioning in coordination with BOJ. Had to be …

      • Sorry but YES the US destroyers off Israel do have a problem with Sm3 resupply. Better known as RIM-161 Standard Missile 3. We are NOT deep in this inventory. But we may not need to be; “When you are shooting expensive bullets at incoming bullets, and you have smart systems, you only shoot at the bullets that have an actual chance of hitting something you don’t want hit. This isn’t news. It’s standard air defense doctrine.”

        For as long as that works. See, the issue to watch for now is subtle change in doctrine. “Explain, Ure?” Sure.

        We have heard a rumble that Iran has (or is hurrying dev on) MREVs – maneuverable reentry vehicles. And in this case, the Patriot and SM3 layer of missile defense is toast. Because with a maneuverable warhead, the target inbound will have changed course and not be in harms way of something that changed course after a defensive launch.

        The two layers of defense then become drone clouds and faster anti-missile networks tied to a maneuverable interceptor platforms. Neither of which (to our lay knowledge) has been figured out to the fielding level.

        This leaves three outcomes possible. One is both sides will eventually drop the missile counts and go back to in=-media screaming contests.

        Option 2 is they escalate and then (once Israel is goaded into “first use”) then allowing Putin et al (along with China) to argue that the West started the using of nukes and they go weps free on the West.

        Third option? “Is Iran actually secretly colluding with Israel to allow the elimination of Hezbollah and Hamas? (And to some extent, even the Yemeni Houthis?) If so, why would the Persians be doing that? Tired of paying for their proxy bully boys? Don’t forget the ethnic considerations. Persians are NOT Semites. They are Sunni Persians. Maybe Tehran thinks it’s time to remove some of the annoying minor players from the board, and is more than willing to allow Israel to do so. I dunno. There are way too many moving parts for me to figure out. But there sure are a lot of WTF questions WRT the Iranian missile strikes.”

        Netanyahu may be pondering a strike on the Iranian oil transshipment island as a last chance for conventional warmaking. After that, it would be nuke bunker buster and from there it’s a hop, skip, and a button press to 12-million dead.

        Until we have “more time under the keel” we won’t know how to assign (realistic) probabilities to any of these models. As those mataterialize a massive market move (up or down) could result and for now the market is in a technical position to where it could break either way.

        We’re working on the deck. In the middle of high drama, it’s best to “break rocks, carry water, and weild nothing more dangerous than a paintbrush.” Why, even pens can be dangerous nowadays.

        • George, the Patriots have an active tracking system. Older versions use a ground based radar which relays course corrections to the warhead guidance system. News version have their own radar tracking system to allow for nearly instantaneous course corrections, so even if Iran is using MREVs, the Patriot system can still get close enough for its fragmentation warhead to take it out – it doesn’t require a direct hit, just “close enough” that its exploding warhead can destroy or degrade the incoming warhead. See:
          https://science.howstuffworks.com/patriot-missile.htm
          And while there are indeed limited numbers of the RIM 161 SM-3, it is an exo-atmospheric theater defense missile. It is intended to intercept a MIRV warhead before it deploys and disperses its payload. See:
          https://missilethreat.csis.org/defsys/sm-3/
          It will be saved for instances where fleet and national assets indicate it is absolutely necessary. Iron Dome and Patriot can handle the lion’s share of incoming hostile payloads. As of a few days ago, Israel was estimating 90% of incoming warheads have been successfully intercepted. If commanders have the time to pick and choose which incoming threats to engage (due to projected impact locations), that is more than any ground commander could ask for in a hostile engagement.

        • George: in a one liner I also expressed concern about resupply, saying “Failure to build stores of same is another thing.”

          My point was there are lots of other surface ships in the area which can shoot their load at need. Those two Destroyers are 2:10-ish by my count on a TV map the last few days.

          Are they trying to shoot during ascent / at apogee / during descent? Are inbound flummoxed by layered jamming signals? How many layers are at work (and whose)?

          My guess is our cyber-forces are playing a significant role along with unsleeping eyes in the sky. Meanwhile, the Mossad are in country and doing their part.

          I always thought going after Kharg and the other terminals made sense. But Brandon has allowed untold wealth to our enemy via petro gainers. And, the Admin prefers low gas prices to early Nov.

          Hope we don’t witness unleashing the Genie.
          Feller is hard to put back in the bottle.
          May we live in interesting times.

          We do, E

          ps – extra credit reading:

          […] USS Arleigh Burke (DDG-51) and USS Carney (DDG-64), in the Eastern Mediterranean, fired four to seven Standard Missile 3s to intercept Iranian ballistic missiles headed toward Israeli targets over the weekend, two defense officials confirmed to USNI News on Monday.

          Carney and Arleigh Burke have versions of the Aegis combat system that were modified to track and target ballistic missiles. The SPY-1D radar on the destroyers cues the SM-3 to attack the ballistic missile. The SM-3 transports a kill vehicle outside the atmosphere to intercept a ballistic missile near the height of its path from its launch point before it reenters the atmosphere to hit its target.

          Both the destroyers were placed off the coast of Israel as part of the defensive measures against a Iranian strike in retaliation for an Israeli attack on an Iranian embassy in Syria. […]
          https://news.usni.org/2024/04/15/sm-3-ballistic-missile-interceptor-used-for-first-time-in-combat-officials-confirm

        • “defensive measures against a Iranian strike in retaliation for an Israeli attack on an Iranian embassy in Syria. […]”

          Was it Charlie Chan that said?

          “An eye for an eye and a tooth for a tooth.

          Pretty soon you have a world full of blind people with no teeth.”

    • Give it time I believe that Iran is an old country with a deep faith and belief in their customs and traditions…..So far I believe that this is a two for Iran is still upholding their core values and beliefs in islamic law..
      (“core ethical values include:
      Good will, Tolerance, Compassion/mercy, Adherence to the Golden Rule, Responsibility, Reliability/dependability, Trustworthiness, and Self-Discipline. “) they do not want to hurt the innocent. and the timing is not right.. the poison pawn trap.. for a bunch of countries to get together let the big boys use up reserves and get weaker before the attack..
      they did the same thing in some battles in the BC..

      Once this appears to be the whole country.. and the situation turns to all out war.. then the whole mideast will lite up like a roman candle.. so far it has just been surgical attacks to avoid the innocents being killed.. On the same irael should have used the core beliefs of the Torah but didn’t..
      (“Jewish tradition permits waging war and killing in certain cases. However, the permissibility to wage war is limited and the requirement is that one always seek a just peace before waging war.”)

      what was the reasoning that the Irael govt. decided to go beyond their core values and right into destroying at the beginning .. my guess is the business model.. and will history paint the israelies as being just.. like the workers leaving Egypt.. or will it be like what is recorded in Egyptian historical accounts of Moses and the temple workers exodus from egypt.. two variations two complete different paths..

      Its like taking down a tree.. it will seem like it is taking a long time but as the gravity of this situation escalates it will speed up real fast..

  1. Knock me out with the smelly smell of mildew – HATE new fangled washing machines – THEY SUCK!

    Give me Ure tired, Ure worn out, that DONT stink, washing machines !

    They epidomize the FUCKEDUP DEI-WOKEness way of thinking about scheisse. As bad as blue light diodes are to Human & Melatonin processing VERSUS those hot incandescents = dumber everyday

    NO! they do NOT save water, they in fact WASTE water due all the tub cleanings that must be preformed bi-weekly.

    Go ahead and ask me how times I have to put a couple cups of Vinegar in that POS new fangled washing machine, just so I can breath in my own house, every month.

    FU pedo Joe, wordsalad IDIOT and the rest of wokesters on leftcoast & lib. NE coasters , Tub Clean this you assHOLES, filthy P’s of _____!

    Congrats on FUCKING UP the entire WORLD – USA, USA USA- nerp – or should that should be DOJ, DOJ, DOJ.

    * Wonder how data gets uploaded to dominion servers in middle of an election night – mid size hot spot & VZW cell network.
    ** who got the water tight safes off big Mikes sunken yacht?
    U know the “alphabets” wanted(desperate) to get their hands on the contents there in..

    ..things that me go hmmmmmmmm.

    Cheers !

  2. “What Life teaches (and I’m not sure if its a sound reason to build a complex Reality with reincarnation and whatnot) is that usually – somewhere down near the noise floor in Life, there are clues about the Future that can be intercepted while it’s still malleable.”

    THERE ARE CLUES ABOUT THE FUTURE THAT CAN BE INTERCEPTED WHILE IT’S STILL MALLEABLE.

    I should write this down on several post-it notes and leave them all around as a constant reminder.

    Thanks.

  3. I have been making a few targeted purchases this week. After my primary solar-powered watch (1 year old, still under warranty), and my back-up field watch both rolled over and died on me this week, I decided that maybe it was a sign that I should have a working mechanical watch (first in maybe 40 years) in my kit. I put down $150 on a Seiko automatic sport watch which was on sale. I’ll swap out the band for a Maratac military band.

    • I have been wearing Seiko since the’80s. Currently I am wearing a Seiko 5 diver. It is the first mechanical watch I have ever owned.

      You should buy a winder. I got one for $35.00 on Amazon. The other option is to go swimming for 30 minutes a day for exercise. That will eliminate the need for a winder.

  4. I am so blessed that Diana goes through all my pockets before any of my jeans go into the wash. There are two dead washer shells on the scrap metal pile waiting for a trip to recycle due to similar issues you described and especially now since we use a front loader.
    Unless I missed it I don’t recall you discussing edc edged tools/weapons previously. Maybe an interesting topic for a Sunday Shop post?
    My most used of the 3 daily edc squad is a Gerber money clip sized folder that uses disposable utility knife blades. It gets deployed several times a day opening boxes and those evil blister packs while the Swiss Army Knife Spartan model I think and the Kershaw folding tactical rides clipped in my strong side pocket.
    Stay safe. 73

    • My EDC is a Victorinox Adventurer (I believe that is the model). 3.125″ comando length blade and several necessary tools, plus the obligatory toothpick and tweezers. I go for this one since it has a Phillips Screwdriver instead of a corkscrew. I am more likely to need the screwdriver. It only has two rows of tools so is virtually flat in my pocket.
      I prefer the older side slide lock to the new liner lock versions and buy them up wherever I find them along with slide rules, and some versions of Buck folders.

  5. George,
    Unfortunately as we move forward in this crazy modern world, we encounter certain people like the Lake Lure fire chief. People such as him give the wonderful first responders and police a bad reputation. This person gives some credibility to the phrase, “instant asshole, just add badge”. It is becoming far too common today, and I fear will only become worse as time goes on. Personally, I try to stay as “invisible” as possible to the powers that be.

    Side note: Just paid my “annual rent” on my farm (property taxes), so that I can remain here another year. Makes you really glad to contribute when A’holes like the Lake Lure fire chief act as he did.

  6. I think based on what I have read about bank systems some very large depositors took their cash out of BAC (Warren ain’t stupid – he would stab you in the chest for a nickel though) – with his exit you must realize by now BAC is insolvent – they shut down all the deposit balances and swept the cash to make whole the deposit flight – if you aren’t removing all exposure to BAC – well good luck.

    • I have $123 or so in BOA. I use it for one specific automatic payment and reload it once or twice a year. It’s a free account, and if it goes tits up, it’s no biggie. I rarely if ever close a bank account – just add new free ones. You never know when having a backup account might be useful. I’d never consider even four figures in that bank. Too much of a chance of bail-ins. It does have some use since it’s a national bank.

    • (Warren ain’t stupid – he would stab you in the chest for a nickel though)

      No he wouldn’t.. he is a smart man and really into stocks and goes with his gut intuition.. but he is a really nice decent guy..

  7. Iran has to be ready.

    No different than us having say a revolver under the pillow, an AK under the bed… more in the closet…. then armor shows up in the front yard so the revolver was for naught because we can’t have landmines to keep the others off our lawn.

    • dam that would be lumpy and hard…

      (“us having say a revolver under the pillow, an AK under the bed… more in the closet”)

      speaking about the closet.. I have to get my grand son inlaw to put up I have three more camera’s in the closet ready to go up..

  8. Westerners don’t understand the Middle Eastern mindset. There’s a delicate tit-for-tat game that is played out that saves face for everyone. When done properly, it prevents unchecked escalation. That’s what we’re witnessing right now from Iran.

    Iran has been in the crosshairs of the U.S. (Israel) for a long time. Way back in 2003 while living in beautiful, sunny central Iraq I figured out the game. It didn’t take long to realize that ‘weapons of mass destruction’ in Iraq was bullshit (I was leading teams to actively look for them. I’ve got the receipts) and Osama was just another boogeyman for public consumption. The whole purpose of the American excursions into Afghanistan and later Iraq was to bracket Iran and then invade. Listening to the rhetoric in the media at the time made it easy math. However, that rhetoric changed once things weren’t going that well for us in either country. The Neocons thought everything would go just like they imagined it would, but it didn’t. The reason for that is that the Neocons are degenerate idiots. Everything they touch turns to shit.

    This whole thing with Israel/Gaza/Hezbollah/Iran is just another round in that old game. It’s the same idiots at work again. Literally, the same people and the outcome will be the same. Disaster. A bunch of dead innocent men, women and children and no one being held accountable.

    • i think Iran is using their junk weapons to test the iron dome for openings. then they will use the russian and chinese high quality stuff.

      i saw Putin strongly advized all russians to leave Israel now.

      • the Iranians are a fierce opponent in a war.. but a deeply religious one with traditional core values that they uphold .. and so far they are using restraint.. I believe that they will use restraint and are also using the war tactics that have been used for thousands of years.. once they move beyond that then it will be hell on earth.. once they let the stronger foe use the majority of their equipment to weaken them.. and the foe is surrounded.. then they will close in.. remember all the islamic countries are distant family.. let the foes of islam show the world how heartless they are.. ( like genociding the palistinians.. ) and it will draw them together..

        https://www.runi.ac.il/media/2ubiyian/2614iranianself2004.pdf

  9. future telling noise,,,
    like a squealing idler/tension pulley bearing going out, as it announces the soon to come failure.
    seems to me,,, that we are being squealed at on a global setting, chaos is approaching FAST
    everyone should have 15 to 30 days storage of needs
    the Perfect Storm is forming
    economics
    political
    social
    supply chain
    military depletion
    WW3
    How to break a Spell?
    The spell reQuires ure attention, behold the poison apple so to speak, but now our attention will be drawn in multiple direction at once,,, SNAP,,, Dragons? spell overload!
    the global deep state/cabal controls us with one problem/war after another, but some how we have multiple issues at hand AND bring in their exposure of satanic child sacrifice and pedophilia will open eyes and unite humanity into an aware future
    but for now the storm is at hand
    anybody seen Diddy lately? tick tock , did ya see Trump’s watches for sale all set at the same time,, that’s odd,,, same time as the Mickey Mouse watch in the Q drops
    did anyone listen to Julian Assange video first one since getting free
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hzHktIKyt-w

    strange how Julian looks just like D J Trump’s Uncle John

    What corporation controls the east coast docks

    • It is FO Time…

      As in Fuck Around, and, Find Out (FO).

      Are we entering the “Red October” that many have been waiting for lo these many years ?

      Going to Find Out right Quick, me thinks..

  10. (“Which then gets to the question “When (or will) Iran change up from “Firing for effect” to “Firing with purpose.””)

    Seems to me there is a strong religious battle going on..
    Battle of Uhud where Islamic warriors faced the warriors of the torah and their polytheistic beliefs.

    https://library.yctorah.org/files/2016/09/Of-Battles-and-Military-Strategies-in-Sefer-Shoftim.pdf

    they are using old strategies and battle plans.. at least that is what I see..

  11. Just a thought I had.., and according to CoPilot..,
    – The longshoremen’s strike, which involves about 45,000 dockworkers, is significantly impacting the supply chain across the U.S. East and Gulf Coasts. While the exact number of truckers affected isn’t specified, the strike’s disruption of cargo operations at 36 ports from Maine to Texas is likely affecting thousands of truckers who rely on these ports for their livelihoods.
    – I wonder how long it will take before the truckers get really pissed-off with no loads and no work ??

    • Yes. Wildcat sympathy labor actions are a potential issue. The West Coast ports are going to be overrun eventually. Truck, rail and yes, UPS are potential problem areas.

  12. I have a very bad record in recommending restaurants. I suggest, meaning well; and people get food poisoning, or somebody hits their car in the parking lot, or the waiter insults their date, or the delay is extreme, or the food just plain sucks that night. Or, all of the above.

    So, I rarely recommend anything any more.
    Having said that: http://www.jdfarag.org
    Palestinian-born Christian preacher.
    Strange guy with a strange history.
    He’s a “pre-mil” guy, and quite entertaining.
    Sometimes his “Prophecy Vids” are quite…..
    ….challenging.

    Good luck, and don’t let the waiter insult
    your date.

    73

    • Been following him for years. Glad to see him shared with others. His ABCs for new believers are used by many to save lost souls. Thanks for sharing his link.

    • “I have a very bad record in recommending restaurants. I suggest, meaning well; and people get food poisoning, or somebody hits their car in the parking lot, or the waiter insults their date, or the delay is extreme, or the food just plain sucks that night. Or, all of the above.”

      As Jimmy told Henry in Goodfellas, one of the two greatest lessons in life is…

      ” Always keep your mouth shut.”

      Especially if you are thinking of recommending a restaurant?

  13. So the cuban communist mayorcous says fema is out of money because pedo joe ,cumhola and him gave it all to the illegals. If there is no mo money , does that mean no mo money for the illegals? Or will pedo and cumhola and the cuban raid the Social Security money?People want to know.

  14. I have a ham buddy selling a bunch of old ham gear. I’m not sure of the inventory but if you are looking for something special please email me with request and I will ask him to see if he has it. Many items from a silent key.
    Thanks,
    I know you have most of it already but he may have the item you were longing for.

  15. (“Elaine came out asking the obvious, “Something wrong with the washer?” “Uh…something’s in it. Do you have a five-gallon bucket handy?”)

    a few years ago.. the girls kept talking about.. I need to go on a diet.. every get together I heard the same thing.. so one day I was looking at a junk front load washing machine and I thought.. hmm.. there is a cute thing.. take all the crap off of it.. have a fill and drain hose.. and hook er up to an exercise bike.. the salvage places cant give them away.. so getting one is easy and cheap.. we happened to have one.. and I thought here we go I will make a peddle washing machine.. then the next time the women folk said .. I need to go on a diet.. here you go.. don’t forget the spin cycle..
    I had all the parts ready to build it .. then the wife.. looks at me and says.. what are you building now with all that crap.. I had to tell her and she instantly said no your not.. get rid of that crap now.. I thought it would be funny and useful.. she was not pleased with my humor.. but seriously shtf .. it isn’t a bad idea
    the washing machines are crap anymore.. so why not.. simple easy to make and if you have any welding skills..

    https://inhabitat.com/cyclean-bike-powered-washing-machine/
    https://nevonprojects.com/design-and-fabrication-of-pedal-powered-washing-machine/
    https://youtu.be/4wG-aw9zxxc?si=tkUuSozpHNm_zOzN
    https://youtu.be/AOR8Q0RIZgk?si=sHMu1RrRbEdi-OpW
    https://youtu.be/peOhkE9CTNs?si=DidfvH-JO8xSF8BQ

    • I think I’ll just stick with my 30 year old third hand top loader! If it ever fails, I have spare machines, and if push comes to shove, I’ll actually repair it.

  16. .., and now for something completely different:
    .
    I have decided in my accumulated wisdom, that since I am closer to 80 then I am to 70., that it is time to stop shoveling snow. Fate lingers in the shadows and pushing my back with heavy snow lifting is something I think it’s time to avoid. [ ut oh., am I going to get into trouble for being right.., again ?]
    I have never owned a snowblower – but I have been looking and browsing. I have decided to go electric and found a couple that fit the bill.
    .., but undecided.
    Does anyone here have an electric snowblower ? Does it do the job? Would you buy it again?
    Any tips and/or recommendations appreciated.
    .
    I have been looking at the EGO Power+, 21 inch, twin 5 amp batteries, steel arguer – lots of great 5 star reviews on Amazon [ and a couple of other sites ] not self-propelled. Self-propelled is nearly twice the price. Why Amazon? Good place to go to find reviews on the item you are researching and free shipping.
    Electric? My thinking is that I can recharge the batteries., but it becomes useless if the fuel vanishes., and those batteries can be used in over a dozen other EGO Power+ tools – like a chainsaw and lawn mower. [The batteries are however expensive to replace.]
    .
    Thanks in advance !

    • Just remember they need the batteries to be kept where warm and no charging most LION bats when under 42 or they go tango uniform.
      (We could open a betting pool, which will last longer: D’Lynn’s snow blower batteries or Tehran….)

      • I have some batteries.. I got them from harbor freight what twenty four or five years ago.. rechargeable..
        they go into auto on nightlights.. ( love those things) and I have some ever ready rechargeable.. still going strong.. best batteries I have ever bought.. once every couple of weeks I have to change them.. then recharge them…

      • the cheap harbor freight ones last twice as long as the ever ready rechargeable batteries..

    • I bought the wife a Sunnyboy snow broom for her after having a few minor strokes she couldnt handle the big snow blower and since she likes to go outside and get fresh air..it was small enough and light enough for her to handle…
      if a full blown snowblower has anywhere near the power that little thing has then it should do ok.. I took it after three foot drift and it chewed through it with no problems..
      https://www.amazon.com/driveways-walkways-Sidewalks-Throwing-Distance/dp/B0CRXH1NG3/ref=mp_s_a_1_23?content-id=amzn1.sym.eccc14de-bcf9-4d10-8c90-d881827e88ad%3Aamzn1.sym.eccc14de-bcf9-4d10-8c90-d881827e88ad&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.d7dz2WurfRINuR8BDxr2fnYXnStv_Tpj-lyQdCSMC_VYbXkDIv2b7Qddmff17MMwW7_WMFxJX8dtauHJiXiT29kxD4OOi9BrLxWIP9sFP1W7yW3LVK4SRAgnZCYRDxAt6ZYDuPKJmLb5-nKP7IuiVssmapaFfL-jsKR2K-sSZVXGDP5ob3qVDXi87gZ6rbxVhdsEFUiI7PUXBDoCYLcG9Q.UH35UWMKcJRZkoQLa27vptgUKq5Rfvw5F3tFhPxCyoQ&dib_tag=se&keywords=electric+snow+broom&pd_rd_r=ec2aa58e-972f-4461-af5c-6d6cf6c1dc78&pd_rd_w=JxDJo&pd_rd_wg=vPHT9&pf_rd_p=eccc14de-bcf9-4d10-8c90-d881827e88ad&pf_rd_r=FCHXV3VMJKKRSA71XTG2&qid=1727987392&sr=8-23

      I don’t know how the snow Joe would work on hard pack snow.. but dam it’s nice..

    • I had a plug in electric (garbage) and am currently using a Craftsman gas machine. The electrics are like glorified brooms. So if you have enough snow for an electric use a broom, low tech and always works. Remember electric motors have instant torque but reach peak power almost at the same time.

      The problem for me is the snow plow that comes to my side street inevitably arrives at least 12 hours after a snowstorm and deposits a wet snow bank at the end of my driveway. Which then freezes in place so that there is a two inch ice barrier before I can reach snow. Kind of like the Great Barrier Reef of snow. I’ve seen someone use a small pneumatic chisel to break the ice so his gas machine could clear the snow.

      What happens with weak snow blowers is that they ride on top of the snow. Your boots then pack the snow behind you and underneath your feet making it hard to clear the remaining layer of snow.

      Also when buying a new machine the wider it is the more power it needs to throw the snow. So a thirty two inch machine with a 185cc motor looks good in the store. But a twenty eight inch machine with the same motor will lift more snow and throw it farther. A 208 cc twenty four inch machine should chew through a snow bank. (Hopefully)

      Or you can ignore my advice and instead do what I did and in March buy that electric snowblower at the end of season super duper mega discount, no return, no exchange, no refund, all sales final “sales event”. You can even pat yourself on the back for your sharp eyed no nonsense shopping. Like I did. Then in December when a thin tendril of smoke rises from your machine as you throw less and less snow you can go to the “recycling center” formerly known as the dump, and gently place your “e waste” next to the other shiny plastic snowblowers, oh so shiny, and then proceed slowly down the line where you witness a funeral procession of wailing women sing Vissi d’ arte while people are disposing of unrecognizable 35 year old rusted metal snowblowers in the ICE section.

      Maria Callas sings Vissi d’arte (from Puccini Tosca) Paris 1958.
      https://youtu.be/lxNThjjuqBk?si=YcmGKeXWm-EcK6mE

      Ok, so maybe Opera was a bit much but you get the general idea.

      • (“The problem for me is the snow plow that comes to my side street inevitably arrives at least 12 hours after a snowstorm and deposits a wet snow bank at the end of my driveway. “)

        Ok.. your going to think I am nutz.. but here is what I do..having run a maintainer as one of my hats.. the snow coming off of it.. takes about twelve to twenty feet depending on his angle.. so.. since he always leaves me a three foot drift of snow at the end of the driveway.. so I always go and snow blow the road for twenty feet..one lane.. at least four passes.. its so much easier.. the older guys were razzing me once about how I must be working for the city clearing the road.. I laughed and said.. well.. I don’t like that huge drift at the end of the driveway that gets hard as a rock as it settles.. after the next big snow every single one of those men were doing the exact same thing.. its so much easier to get the two or three inches or a foot or two than a huge rock hard drift.. and it only takes a few minutes to do..
        I started doing that.. when I swear that guy hated me.. always a five foot drift behind the car.. the city guy we had was always doing that.. I had to get the guys from the elevator to dig me out.. I cornered him cause he woulding clean any of it up most worthless city guy we ever had…. he responded.. I hit it five time.. and only five times.. so we had a big snow storm and I hear the plow I jump out of bed zoom once.. trying to put pants on zoom twice.. by the time I got the last boot on he had gone by five times.. to remedy that.. when it was going to snow I would park the cars in front of his house.. case closed..

        • Actually I don’t think you’re nuts. I simply can’t get to it in time.

          I’ve also blown out the driveway during a storm so that I would have less to clear.

        • Oh the painful teen memories of growing up in Wisconsin winters. Plowed-in cars on the street. I remember it well. I solved the problem permanently. Move to Hawaii.

    • I was looking at them last season, but I believe LOOB actually owns one.

      Their advantage is extreme light weight. As someone else who’s shoveled snow for more than 60 years, I feel free to say that might be a significant disadvantage if the snow is wet or heavy. (You could not give me a plastic or aluminum shovel. If you’re dealing with a real snowfall, you’ll work 4x as hard to do the job with a 3lb plastic shovel as you will with a 7lb steel shovel.)

      I will offer you the same advise I gave George years ago. You may do with it what you will…

      Why did the “cowboys” carry .44-40s in the 1870s, ’80s, and ’90s?

      Because it was a single caliber which fit both their revolvers and saddle-guns.

      If you are going to invest in cordless tools, it will behoove you to find a brand you like, then stick with it. I don’t think this is important with “toy tools” like my handheld chainsaw, but a big electric yard tool, like a snow blower or riding mower, should probably share batteries with your more serious tools.*

      *Amazon and Temu sell battery adapters, which will adapt one manufacturer’s battery to another’s tool. They adapt the physical interface. I don’t know if they address voltage differentials.

      • sunny boy has been a kick ass unit.. the little snow broom I got for the wife.. is nice.. in an area where you don’t get a lot of snow it would be great.. I had bought a cub cadet snow blower.. Had an old snow blower that I bought in the eighties.. great unit.. ( still starts one pull ) but you can’t buy parts for it.. I lucked out and got the new pull cord but they had to make it fit.. so I bought the cub.. we had three feet of hard pack snow.. I got halfway through the driveway.. and it quit.. I had to go get the old cheap snow blower.. ( I think I paid two hundred for it ) then called Ace for a quick drop off.. they brought me a new Toro.. now that thing was a work horse.. made in the USA.. I had to have the cub fixed.. what surprised me was when I called on the cub I had bought it in the spring first snow it broke down.. halfway.. the store said sorry charlie.. I called the company.. well you should have bought it in the fall its your machine do what you want with it.. so It cost me almost half as much as I paid for it to have it fixed.. and now I got two new snow blowers.. the cub I use.. and keep the toro in ready for a back up.. the down side of the toro is they use cable to change the actions.. you have to put lock tite on it.. otherwise the vibration will unscrew it while you are working.. easy enough fix..
        the snow Joe is an awesome little snow broom got it for the wife she loves to go sit outside.. and since she has had a few strokes.. its easier for her to use that..
        that thing is great if you live in the PNW where they don’t really get a winter.. then it is perfect.. and surprisingly more powerful than I thought.. I got a sunnyboy tiller and love that thing to.. I think I paid twenty bucks for it.. and got my moneys worth..
        the old tiller.. still going strong I gave it to the son in law.. one pull if it would have been feasible to do I would have had a whole new side put on it..

    • Corded one works ok in 8″ light snow, not in really heavy snow.

      Had an elementary school friend, David Ware, who was a hero pilot in Vietnam

      • I took on a three foot drift with the sunny boy snow broom just to test it.. it did quite well.. I went from the top down.. its like when I test drive a car.. I sit in the back seat and let the guy selling it take me around.. then I take it to a body shop.. a transmission shop and my mechanic.. if the salesman is against that.. no sale..

    • Had a PLUG IN electric one of my sons found for me at a garage sale for $5 … worked great.

      More power than a battery one, could actually work through 10″ of snow with no problem – not fast since that’s a lot of snow but would do it. Older so NO OSHA safety stuff, had to watch your own fingers and toes.

      Eventually gave up the ghost and I was too lazy to see what broke so threw it out … but based on my experience if you get serious snows you want PLUG IN electric snow blowers if you are going electric, I don’t see how the battery ones could handle a real snow.

      Obviously for really serious stuff, 18″- 36″ or more you really need a heavy duty self propelled gas engine snow blower (make sure those are electric start fwiw). The good ones aren’t cheap but sometimes you can find one when somebody is moving away and not needing such a beast anymore.

      Good luck!

      • the snow joe is a plug in.. I had a battery lawn mower.. it didn’t have battery length to do the yard.. it was a mistake.. I bought a zero clearance turn rider and gave it to the kids.. they in turn mow my yard in exchange for it..

    • Yep, it’s a Stihl leaf blower. Any accumulations that it can’t blow away will trigger a call to the very reliable neighbor Stevie. If I can’t get at it with the tractor or quad I go to the natural method of snow removal, warmer temps. Most times here any snow is usually gone by the end of the day though.

  17. Wham! A major X9.0 solar flare was just detected around Earth facing sunspot region 3842 at 12:18 UTC (Oct 3). This is the strongest X-Ray event of the current solar cycle.
    This incoming CME could be a doozy! Seatbelts fastened, tray tables upright, and brace for turbulence.
    https://www.solarham.com/

    • While we are pleased that Hank’s vocabulism has expanded from Blam to Wham when reporting on Ma Nature’s sun farts, we’d prefer some beano aqnd the ham band staying open…
      Blam, wham, and thank you man

      • And please note that the GCP dot for the past several hours has stayed “Flat line Red” at the top of the charts. I wonder what that means?

    • Yeah, thanks a lot, Ma Nature…

      My cellphone went offline, reporting: “No signal. Emergency calling only” for a (roughly) 4-hour period this afternoon. AFAIK the X-7 won’t even get here ’till tomorrow, so I don’t know what trashed (thrashed?) Verizon’s system.

      The X-9 should be here Sunday. I’ve little doubt both Friday and Sunday will be worse…

      • just checking-probing known vulnerabilities – practice for the cold November rain.

        GNR -https://youtu.be/Rz6__sLHPNA?si=c1V2thgPvI_wQjQF

        “we know who you are”..bwahahahahah

      • I have a friend flying to Portugal from NY overnight Saturday, arriving(hopefully) Sunday morning. I can’t guess how that might affect the flight, but there’s no convincing her to change her mind on anything.

  18. We keep our washer unplugged when not used. No reason to keep the usually expensive/back-ordered control board “hot” for days on end. The dryer has the usual “dumb” timer on it, plus it’s a pain to unplug. No mention on waste mitigation in the recovery zone; someone needs to get a handle on it NOW, especially with decaying bodies and compromised septic/sewer systems. Plus flood water getting into wells is bad news. Go long Clorox…

    • you know.. the stuff made today is not made like they use to.. way back when microwaves first came out.. I got a Panasonic.. nice unit cost almost a thousand dollars.. I bought it with our income tax return.. swore I wouldn’t use it as a glorified coffee warmer.. and didn’t heat anything in it like coffee for over a year… my ex wife got that microwave in the divorce.. she is still using it for cooking today.. its what forty five years old.. meant to be a long term investment product..

  19. George,

    To help combat foul smell in washing machine (of either the top or front loader persuasion), I add a tablespoon + of plain old borax to the washer. Especially do this when washing towels, because it makes them smell fresh.
    Also, I have owned top and front loaders. Never have another front loader, but always get top loader with an agitator. Another tidbit. My mother had a top loader with simple dial controls. Select the cycle, water level, and time for cycle all by hand (no electronics). Does a great job in half the time of my “all seeing, all knowing” computer powered washer, in half the time.

  20. Blue Balls? From a woman? This post on X is really interesting from a lady across the pond!

    https://x.com/DonnaPrissyrn1/status/1841469219021435357

    She talks about jelly Blue Balls falling from the sky, weather modification, ultrasonics and sounds that she says resemble a shofar(?)! She relates them to the SE-USA disaster. There seems to be some corroboration in her background text images. Apparently her blue balls are polyacrylate hydrogels and have some very interesting characteristics. I don’t have an X account and can’t read the comments, but this would seem to tie into a lot of occult science that’s been floated on Peoplenomics. FWIW, she’s a Ham and encourages getting a license.

    Here’s her youtube channel:

    https://www.youtube.com/@GlamHamRadio

    She might even be a reader here(or should be), though I’ve no idea about that.

    • now that is some interesting news.. when you think about it and what Monkey has been saying about the cloud seeders.. are they using this..

  21. The Fed reported that as of Wednesday, the level of its so-called earnings remittance to the Treasury Department stood at negative $201.2 billion.
    The negative number is captured in an accounting measure the Fed calls a deferred asset. The Fed must cover this shortfall before it can begin returning excess earnings to the Treasury., which could take years. Based on the recent bond sales – many years.
    Thus far, the Fed has not faced any political heat for its financial situation, that surprises some, including former central bankers.

  22. “I’m pretty sure I now have the “cleanest lawn tractor key in Anderson County, Texas” – at least for the day.”

    outstanding! really good stuff. :)

    all true. all true.

    i am sure your experiance, is like my crown connection experiance,

    its metaphore for something greater.

    :)

  23. your washer experiance is an artistic expression.

    like my tractor experiance. you know a semi dumptruck is also called a tracter trailer. its also called TNT truck and trailer.

    we both experiance something to do with tracters. harvesters are tracters too.

    in artistic expression, mine kinds goes somewhat like this: when trucking breaks down, and the koolaid hits the concrete? i recieve my crown, and see the shadow of death in the city. i will be resucued and receive a large sum, and by my own rules.

    something like that.

    ures is more of right when i was relaxing i heard the noise of something off, and i couldnt figure it out alone and Elane and I had to bale to find out what it was, in doing so we saved the washer. what is the washer represent? hmmmmmmm in the end, you saved the day and You and E came out clean.

    something like that.

    its the language of creation. its the omnipresent dialog. it speaks to us all. we just werent taught the language.

    im sure Christ tried to teach us it. He almost always spoke in parables. Jesus tried to get us to think in parables and metephores. do as i do. that is how miracles are created.

    because the language of creation speaks in metaphores and parables. analogys.

    as we say all the time, so to speak. catch my drift?

    but im sure you will find your own meaning to ure experiance. much like mine is uniquely addressed to me. because i experianced it. same as you experianced Ures. its conversation George. you know that much. its all one big dialog.

    so you respond by expressing this and that. then it responds by expressing this and that back.

    :)

  24. oh. im not sure about Ures.

    ohhh yes break it down,

    when everything breaks down, i will recieve my crown before the shadow of death is cast upon the land. i will be taken to saftey with my stuff and there i will recieve medical treatment (dr pepper) and a large sum. after which i will live by my own rule.

    okay. coooool. thanks for the Heads up DUDE! sounds good to me.

  25. that washer thing makes me think you are going on a trip soon. you put your stuff in the kitchen garbage… if it a bag?

    what that says to me is packed your bags.

    when you were resting, you heard something, you took action and packed your bags then unpacked them when you got done.

    that is what it says to me. but like i said. it was Ure Experiance. so it is up to you to interpret it. each of us experiances things like this that take us in a future direction. what we used to call “Sync Winks”.

    to refine my experiance. when i cant go any further, and stop, i will receive a place of Honor. a symbol of honor, before the shadow of death is cast upon the land. i will rescued, and taken with my stuff to a place where i will receive health, and a large sum, afterwhich i will live by my own rule. you rule. speaks of atonomy.

    my reply is, ok, i recieve. thank you!

  26. FYI:

    saturday im buidling my new website. Im going to write a blog for a month or two then start doing podcasts again. I have full access to a podcast studio in Seattle that will list me on Spotify, Amazon Prime, I-Tunes, and Pandora. I will do plugs on tick tock (2 to 3 minute excerpts of the podcasts) and youtube to draw guests to the show. That is the plan anyway. All based on true stories of miracles and spirituality. I did it before and was super fun.

    i have a million stories since the last time i did this and i put alot of quiet, contemplative thought into it. will purchase the domain name tommorrow.

    i can build the whole thing on blue host, and they will do registry and storage etc etc as a service. one stop shop.

    https://www.bluehost.com/wondersuite?utm_campaign=pmax_PPC&utm_source=googleads&utm_medium=genericsearch&channelid=P61C101S570N0B5578A2D4499E0000V313&gad_source=1&gclid=EAIaIQobChMI05XM6_DliAMVhCCtBh1WSConEAAYASACEgLfXPD_BwE&gclsrc=aw.ds#pricing-cards

    i will let you know. try to get something written up by sunday night to launch it.

    i am working 57 hours so far this week in 4 days. so it may be slow going at first.

    much obliged.

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