The 10-Year Delta

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I call it the Machine-Human Overlap (MHO).  It’s the period between when a new technology comes along that works without human participation and when the last human leaves a supervisory role.
We’ve seen this is broadcasting, railroad, but the big stuff (cars, trucks, warehouses, retailing) is just gathering steam.  So with more than some concern we focus on the life-change no one’s focusing on:  the 10-year delta.  After coffee and the charts, of course…

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5 thoughts on “The 10-Year Delta”

  1. YouTube independent journalism censorship has really gone up dramatically in the past few days. They don’t want independent journalism right NOW. Something is going to happen soon.

      • Genuinely not trying to start a measuring contest, so to speak; but U-toob has plenty of “garbage” they show no signs of censoring.

        Your labeling of the censored non-PC folks as “garbage” is simply another sign of just how politically divided this country is.

        This will not end well.

  2. Like George, I got my FCC First Class License in my teens and was a ‘transmitter meter reader’ in the early years. I survived that deregulation because I had technical skills and interests and became a broadcast systems maintenance engineer… keeping the big stuff on the air. That worked for forty years. Then the internet and seemingly unlimited bandwidth to relay HDTV video from a cellphone to anywhere came along. Suddenly all those private broadcast video links for video acquisition were obsolete… and so was my job. Downsized at age 63, I was fortunate to be able to retire early. Not my plan, but I survived.

  3. I have tried, and tried, to get through people’s heads, that the robots are coming — they don’t get it.

    The usual retort is: Of course robots are going to take jobs, but who’s going to build the robots? PEOPLE, that’s who! The people who’s jobs the robots replaced. That’s the way technology always works.

    No, it’s not going to happen like that. Other robots are going to insert those trunnion bolts and connect the hoses, run the wiring and test the subassembly functions, then do final assembly, QC, load, ship, unload, and set up. The only humans in the process will be the millwright who double-checks the set-up and signs off on the installed ‘bot, and the desk-jockey who receives the paperwork.

    “Oh yeah, oh yeah, well then what WILL people do?”

    I tell ’em to go dig up a copy of the movie “Brazil,” then get back with me. Either doing so is too much work, or people have done so, and don’t like the answer…

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