If you’re a new reader, who has perchanced to stumble onto this website, please consider how far you want to read.  Because our stock-in-trade here is eyeing the future and trying to assess where the world is going. The Global War, massive earthquakes, second pandemic, Oh! Let’s not leave out the Greater Depression. Like the … Read More

So, there’s this new book I am working on – the first part is due to hit Peoplenomics next week.  It’s about how “People Are Products” and how we are each uniquely genetically coded to do certain things. As I was working in my shop, I was struck by the high level of tactility evidenced in … Read More

We will know (for sure) tomorrow.  But one thing seems clear: our models of the financial future are poised for a major decline in the next week or two. Not that it will happen: No one knows the future.  But money does call the tune, so should be amusing to see what the “bid is.” … Read More

Three “lead items” on the list today:  Which we will cover in turn: Personal Income Hmm… Personal income increased $92.0 billion (0.4 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $79.7 billion (0.4 percent) and … Read More

You’ll remember that in the 1980s, I was senior VP of a regional Caribbean jet airline?  We had a saying back then – and worth remembering today – that “Crashes come in Two’s and Three’s.”  (Mostly threes.) That matters because of a tragic accident in the skies over D.C. early today: American air plane collides … Read More

We can now see a quickly developing gap between the interests of the Federal Reserve and the Trump administration as the FOMC not only kept rates stable but also hinted that future rate decreases would be cautiously approached. This is not going to make the developer-in-chief happy; never seen a Developer who likes more expensive … Read More

Great read out of MIT/Sloan this week – so if you haven’t read it, have a look while we all twiddle ahead of the Fed decision… A new look at the economics of AI | MIT Sloan We tend to believe in realistic outlooks more than political and financial partisans who talk their book far … Read More

This is what happens when you run afoul lessons in my recent book “The 100-Year Toaster.“  Companies make decisions as they mature to increasingly benefit executives and shareholders while the original Customers get screwed. I could insert a book-length treatise on this cyclical aspect of the SDLC, but you wouldn’t read it, so where is … Read More

Time to be asking such questions. Because one of the side effects of closing down American borders could be a lessening of long-term housing demand.  For now, we have today’s Case-Shiller/S&P Housing numbers to contemplate: (my underline) NEW YORK, JANUARY 28, 2025: S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the November 2024 results for … Read More

China Just Won The Day DeepSeek Turned Tech and Wall Street Upside Down – WSJ. And worse? DeepSeek may not be alone:  Chinese AI DeepSeek rattled the industry. We would not be surprised, for example, if China’s already got government cloaked models working out long-range policy guidance to assure CCP world dominance. Could an A.I.-generated low risk … Read More

Opening line of our Peoplenomics.com ChartPack Saturday summed it all up: “We think there’s a good chance that the market will continue to sell off next week and a knockdown could show up as early as Monday.” Well, here we is, and here it goes:  With the NASDAQ preopen down more than 900 points. As we should … Read More

You – you lucky devil – will be learning about tube testing today.  But before we do that, a background course in radio repair as a warm-up… It was a quiet weekend on the electronics bench as Universe had presented a mildly interesting case: A super cheap (Under $100 on eBay) radio – classic Heathkit … Read More

Ah, the headlines – sounds like government waste.  But today we have a dandy example of weaponized accounting to kick off the neurons. And, after that, we’ll consider the odds of a major downside Monday which floated to the top of today’s ChartPack. Now toss lightly with a sprinkling of politics and…gee, looks like the … Read More