Markets Get Data, Oscar Uselessivity, the Bully’s Mouth

With Oscar insanity now past, we can get back to the real job of wrecking America. I don’t say this lightly.  But, in our unflinching view, the Oscars have become a Woke-Racist marketing platform.  Mainly, it has become more about race and gender anymore’ not the craft of acting.  It has been years since anyone … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: Batch Up Your Projects! It’s Spring!

[Reader Note:  My life-long “brother by a different mother” of 70 years – the Major – finally made it home from Mexico – where his wife suffered a burst appendix almost a week ago.  They got in around 10:45 PM last night. “Thanks my Bro’ for your support and the prayers of so many of your readers … Read More

Karnak and the Market

With even Joe Biden hinting that famine will be the next scapegoat for our failing economy, some discussion about how next week could lay out.  Mainly today, a look ahead to next week when we see a really good chance of higher VIX (volatility index) readings.  The double-header-ahead might be worth bracing for.  Plus the … Read More

Hey Biden! Hillbillies and Rednecks are Way Ahead

Yo Biden!  Ever hear of Jimi Hendrix? “Hey Joe, where you goin’ with that gun in your hand? Hey Joe, I said, where you goin’ with that gun in your hand?” (Maybe there are some people who shouldn’t have guns, huh? ) No doubt, you have seen the headlines floating around with old Joe in Europe … Read More

Durable Goods, Jobless, War – You know – The USUAL

I don’t want to sound too flip here, but the news flow lately has been a real grinder.  We are in a war, failing countries are a world-wide deal, and few want to address the underlying malaise on humanity. Which comes down to a short list: There are nearly as many bad people as good folks, … Read More

Wartime Investing

We don’t like to think about War as a condition under which investment decisions must be made.  But things are going quickly in that direction. Driven by the historical usual suspects; namely race, religion, and real estate/resources. This is all made worse in the present conditions because we are in highly politicized times and the … Read More

Markets Hint Future – the Idiot’s Dance

When I cobbled up the first Aggregate Index in the wake of the Internet Bubble collapse in 2001, it was designed – as much as anything – to track inter-market variations. When Techs collapsed in a $7 to $9 trillion dollar heap of losses, Wall Street didn’t apologize for EBITDA accounting (wholly screwing up perspective … Read More

Stormy Monday

And a Stormy Tuesday morning coming. We’re OK – just heavy rain and lightning all over hell and gone.  G2 and his fire crew are out on downed trees and power lines with the local utility outfits.  Lots of red on the radar at the bottom of this system… A couple of tornado reports down … Read More

CFNAI, War, and Woo-Woo Reports

A dandy day of Spring, Sunday.  Second day of spring is a lot more “iffy.” Let’s begin with economic matters, especially the Chicago Fed National Activity Indicator which is just out: “The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) moved down to +0.51 in February from +0.59 in January. Three of the four broad categories of … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: Clean-up Breakthrough, New Tools

Everyone has a messy shop, to one degree, or another.  I’m just more guilty than most because of my youth. See, my Main Hobby was ham radio.  When you work on a radio, you do whatever repairs and adjustments are needed.  Then seamlessly slide into playing with it.  There’s no logical “break in the action” … Read More

Do Markets Tell Us the Future?

Seriously – in like a Nostradamus-like way?  Are they leading indicators of Life on Earth, overall?  Then head for the shelter. We will attempt to unravel at least a corner of this fall of yard in this weekend’s review of our Aggregate Index’s recent activity.  While points to a recent date and may be telling … Read More

Shrink’s Rap Friday – Seeking Vladidation

Notwithstanding my complete lack of mental health credentials, I figure with the world gone as “crazy as it has” it’s safe for anyone to “hit the couch” and see who’s nuts. As reports from the war zone run to Russia’s combat losses in Ukraine exceed 14,000 troops (ukrinform.net), our west L.A. *(Century City) [backup] consigliere … Read More

Fed Scrambles Ahead of Recession

But, before we wheel out the white board and play huff-the-marker, a number of housekeeping economic reports to dispense with: Retail Sales: Remember, this is a dollarized report.  So, we could have price increases – not actual consumption levels – account for virtually all of the (purported) increases. Then we stir in half a cup … Read More