NY Mfg. #’s> Retail>Fed Decision

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Are you ready to be massively entertained?  This week could be “one of those.”

This morning, the NY Fed’s Empire State Manufacturing Outlook is just out.  We can dispense with that one through this simple pull quote:

“Business activity grew in New York State for the first time in nearly a year, according to firms responding to the September 2024 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index rose sixteen points to 11.5. New orders climbed, and shipments grew significantly. Delivery times and supply availability were steady, and inventories levelled off. Labor market conditions remained soft, with employment continuing to contract modestly and the average workweek holding steady. The pace of input and selling price increases were little changed. Firms grew more optimistic that conditions would improve in the months ahead, though the capital spending index dipped below zero for the first time since 2020.”

That doesn’t sound like a contraction worth cutting rates over to us.

Already, the market was getting ready for a directional change – since Friday wound up on the high side.  But tomorrow morning we are due to see Retail Sales figures cross, and coupled with no sign of mass layoffs, it could force the Fed into a “no cut” position.  After the numbers, the pre-open numbers softened a bit more.

The cut/no cut decisions are generally pretty clear.  If the economy is doing well, rates can hold or rise. But, if things begin to sour, then they can be eased. Although this close to an election, that can bring down criticism of “interference” on the Fed.

Early today, the CME Fed Watch tool was showing a 59 percent majority wanted to see a quarter point rate cut.  Unfortunately, if that happens, it could indicate a recession in 2025 (which we were on track for, anyway).

In our estimates (based on a lot of colleague input) the best odds for a Chinese air and sea blockage of Taiwan would be immediately after BRICS, so about late October.

The gambling doesn’t stop here, though.  Yes, hiring was a little muted in the latest employment figures, but sine the Labor Dept. was forced to come clean about an 800,000-job overstatement last month, no telling how much credibility their nose counts have left.

And that gets us to the second chevron in this morning’s headline: What will retail mean?  That’s tomorrow’s Jack-in-the-box report.  If spending is strong – it means that inflation will likely hold another Fed session in that 3.2 percent (all items less food and energy) level.  But, if retail falls off a cliff tomorrow, look for a great cry to lower a half point.  Which would be a disaster because it about ensures the market will be declining in a major way – say 30 percent – within six to nine months.

Just to put that into perspective, the S&P closed Friday at 5,626, Seventy percent of that would put the S&P under four thousand.  That would mean a hard landing (forget this talk about soft anything’s in the world now) and we’d be up to our ears (Tax Year 2025) in short-term gains to deal with.  A high-class problem we’d love to suffer.

I suspect we are not the only ones to see it. A few readers, like D’Lynn who posts comments now and then, have figured that long-term options can work out quite nicely, thank-you. Big money, big taxes.  We can live with it.

Financial Desperation, Trump Attempt #2

The neocons are still driving hard towards war.  Especially in Russia because the megalomaniacs in charge of the EU have bankrupted the region with their grandiose BS (and retirements and such).  They need more economic slaves.

What they don’t seem to grok is that economic slavery is not a winning hand to play against history.  That’s why we see the import of huge numbers of non-Europeans into Europe (imported prosperity disease) didn’t work out so well.  Nor will it work out with America’s open borders nightmare which the Joe Buyed’em administration hasn’t been able to come to terms with.  Biden also doesn’t know what to do in Ukraine next: Biden, Starmer Fail to Agree on Ukraine’s Long-Range Strikes Against Russia.

No doubt, the Muslim reconquest of Europe, the US border disaster, and the Asia takeover of Vancouver will come up topically in up north where the MPs return to House of Commons for dynamic fall sitting | CTV News. You might want to avoid Toronto – especially if you drive a truck.

The only glue holding the world together is transaction rates. When the money flow slows, everything hits the wall. This is why the Retail numbers tomorrow are so critical.

When economic confidence implodes the markets will soon follow. And since the Bankster Class (and behind them the real 300 families who make up the Powers That Be) will be desperate for a topic-changer so they can make off with their ill-gotten gains.  This, in turn can lead to anything from war, unleashing of another pandemic, a “son of Project Blue Beam”.

By the way, two things on your to-do list this week.  One, realize that Project Blue Beam, though much maligned as “conspiracy theory” was a real working deal that we have incontrovertible evidence was “in the works” from the mid 1960s. Search | CIA FOIA (foia.cia.gov).  The second – if you think the world is full of untrue conspiracy tales – is to go back and watch videos of Harvard Lawyer Daniel Sheehan who outs everything from the JFK assassination to the aliens who are real and have been extensively interviewed.  Start with maybe this one: Harvard’s UFO Lawyer: Aliens, Disinformation & the Secret Government | Danny Sheehan (youtube.com)

The big picture we are “filling in” around here is that nothing is as it seems, and this naturally leads into the latest attempt on Donald Trump. Trump safe after potential assassination attempt at golf course with some additional details provided in Trump target of apparent assassination attempt in Florida: FBI | AP News.  There is plenty that doesn’t make sense to this one (either) but it’s clear the people who were forecasting a second attempt on Trump after the first one didn’t work out, were spot on.  So, hats off to the prognosticators who got that right.

Another prognostication to note: “THEY” WILL DECLARE A NATIONAL EMERGENCY BEFORE NOVEMBER 5 – The Burning Platform If so, try not to act surprised.  (Seat belts and tray tables?)

Seeing Future Coming

Near as we can tell, the Powers That Be have not called in “The Play” yet.  That’s because the plowing of the fields hasn’t been completed.  On the War front, Ukraine is not doing very well.  And while Russia is taking some of the economic fruits off the table Russian forces advance near Donetsk’s Vuhledar, destroy key mine infrastructure – Euromaidan Press, we can also see their longer-game spelled out in ISW: Russia aims for victory over Ukraine by 2026 amid growing economic challenges.

Ahead of the likely fall Taiwan challenge, the US is fighting a (losing) informatics war against China: US chokehold on China’s AI progress ‘unlikely to succeed’, says Washington-based think tank. Maybe the think tank just read China Claims Chipmaking Gear Advance Despite Tightening US Curbs.

Still, this isn’t the only front.  There’s also the future of Tik-Tok on the line as TikTok heads to court in suit against U.S. law that could ban social media used by nearly half of Americans | Fortune.

The Middle East play isn’t clear, at least completely.  We noticed, of course, that Yemen’s Houthi rebels launch missile at Israel as World War 3 fears escalate. But a little deeper thinking is evident in Iran using Houthis’ Yemen as weapons ‘testing ground’. There are also a number of stories around today about how Iran supposedly got (or is getting) nuclear weapons help from Russia in return for ballistic missiles to be used on Ukraine. (And presumably NATO if Putin sees a reasonable provocation that he can “sell” on the world stage.)

If it seems like the world is in much the same condition as it was Friday when we spoke, congratulations!  You survived the weekend and your brain is still working.

Distractemography

Dandy video: Plane is reportedly loaded full of multiple busloads of illegals by Border Patrol in San Diego… (rumble.com)  Well, at least they are departing.  But the real question (got a tail number and time?) is whether they are being flown domestic or for export?

It’s what the Elites do: Exclusive | What happens in Disney stays in Disney: NYC educrats took own kids to Magic Kingdom on trips meant for homeless students (nypost.com)

Around the Ranch: Which Holiday will Pop?

Been pondering a thought by our consigliere this weekend. Which weekend will the crap hit the fan this fall?  We know that we’re in a likely “something’s got to give mode” in here.  But where and what?

One candidate is the second Monday in October – Columbus Day. Which states observe Columbus Day or Indigenous Peoples’ Day? | Pew Research Center. Make that October 14th.  But the BIRCS summit (hosted by Russia this year) won’t be over until October 24th.

One way the Chinese could play this is ignore BRICS while another would be to tout This is how we treat NON_BRICS states…

The other is Veterans Day.

“1968. The Uniform Holiday Bill (Public Law 90-363 (82 Stat. 250)) was signed on June 28, 1968, and was intended to ensure three-day weekends for Federal employees by celebrating four national holidays on Mondays: Washington’s Birthday, Memorial Day, Veterans Day, and Columbus Day.”

Our biggest fear? Monday, November 11th which means the D.C. jungle will thin out from Thursday November 7th as all those bureaucrats have to burn some time off.

That’s another weekend to be thinking about.  Either one is a logical place to have your ducks in a row, all the prepping done, and so forth.  But I am personally leaning toward Columbus Day in October because that would have the greatest impact on the US election.  We can’t find any indicators whether the recent Xi-Putin summit in Mongolia covered anything like that.

California Rats:  My pal Michael out in the (reasonably sane) lands east of the Bay Area reports a big increase in rats and mice at his ranchly place.

“Came within seconds of losing my big flatbed truck and my manlift because of a rat’s nest on the exhaust manifold. Had I not had the second fire extinguisher somewhat close by I would have lost it!”

My theory is that the vermin are leaving San Francisco and heading for Sacramento where there’s more “rat food” available.  His place happens to be about in line with a migration route…

The takeaway: In all your prepping plans, have you considered how you will handle all of Life’s Little Nuisances should the world suddenly get thrown back a century, or more?

One more set of prepping chores.  We have a few buckets of mouse and rat bait. California has outlawed some of the more effective vermin treatments.  Professional courtesy from the Legislature, maybe?

ShopTalk Sunday is here, if you missed it.

Write when you get rich,

George@Ure.net

76 thoughts on “NY Mfg. #’s> Retail>Fed Decision”

    • Turns out “Frazzledripping” is way more detrimental to Ure Health (Physical/Mental/Spiritual) than anyone ever imagined..cept maybe the Papua New Guinean headhunterz.

      Anyone seen this forfeit soul lately ? Not too healthy looking IMHO. Shocked I tell ya, shocked.

      – the commie demon cant control her laughter, still cant. hell, she cant even answer an unscripted question..seems bout as intelligent as the cosmic chicken bunnies’ latest smitten Citten..

    • I see a new terminology
      “main stream media addict”
      “@robbystarbuck
      Wow. Attempted Trump Assassin Ryan Routh wrote a book on the Ukraine war. In the book he tells Iran to assassinate Trump while praising John Kerry for the Iran Deal. He also calls Trump an idiot and says he “perpetrated” Jan. 6th.
      He sounds like a mainstream media addict.”
      https://x.com/robbystarbuck/status/183553191278743975

      MKUltra? how long has he been an asset? how did he know about the unscheduled golf outing?

      • All it would take is to hang out in Palm Beach for a while. It should be obvious using simple observation, to tell when Trump is, and is not in Florida.

        DJT is a scratch golfer and plays 4-5 times every two weeks. When he is at home, he is likely to play on the golf course he owns that’s 10 minutes away from his home.

        The “press” is making a point of stressing that the shooter was 300, 400, even 500 yards away (depending on the newsnerd and how fat his(her) before-broadcast joint was.) What none have mentioned is Trump was putting for birdie on 5 when the shooter was discovered. If he’d been putting on 6, he would’ve been within 60yds of the perp’s muzzle.

        The shooter laid in his sniper’s nest for many hours, waiting for Trump to hit the 6th green.

        The shooter could’ve strolled around the golf course perimeter for weeks or months, and noted the position of people who were playing, to pick his spot when neither Trump, nor Secret Service were anywhere in the area. (Get a dog. Take it on a walk once or twice a day. After a few days you become invisible.)

        No MKUltra necessary…

        • Anything is possible.

          GODFATHER II (Michael speaking to Tom)

          “One thing I learned from Pop… was to try to think as the people around you think. Now on that basis anything is possible.”

        • An AK-47 and 500 yd shot ???????????? pulease
          -actor from the christians in action screening company..

          * Trumptardation is incurable, euthanasia is only viable treatment.

  2. What chu takin bout Capt. ?

    Clear as day – right in front of Ure face! You just gotta look, and you will see the Signal..eventually.

    No, not Satellites – Not you2 ?

    – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YLIvv5auV1k&pp=ygUcdTIgc2F0ZWxsaXRlIG9mIGxvdmUgem9vIHR2IA%3D%3D

    What is T CrB ?

    Bat Signal ? – nein
    Alien Armada Signal? maybe
    Last time she raised her anger..
    > 3K yrs ago, some dude named David knocks out some bigger dude named Goliath.
    >Zoroaster
    >Iron Age
    > Golden age of Villanova ns

    * Follow the Arc to Arturus (from Big Dipper), East of Arcturus is Corona Borealis…See T coronae borealis.

    “Fools Ruled by the Stars
    Kings Guided by the Stars” – BCN

    “Cant Stop” – lets get Chili with it -https://youtu.be/8DyziWtkfBw?si=KBlEuHVD9wIFxRkr

    “can I get two, maybe three of these?
    coming from space to teach you of the Pleiades
    cant stop the spirits when they need you
    this Life is more than just a read thru”- RHCP

    Dont forget homegamerz, “As Below (Urth), So Above (Heavens)”

    * Is Silver bullish ?

      • why do they put the worm in the bottle of tequilla anyway.. I have always wondered that.. when did it start and what was the reason for it.
        going down the ethnic isles I have seen pickled worms in jars.. and other disgusting things and have wondered.. why

  4. “We have a few buckets of mouse and rat bait. California has outlawed some of the more effective vermin treatments.”

    My favorite WAS DeCon. I haven’t been able to find in for several years now. It seems like not only California has gone to war against “the more effective vermin treatments.”

    I’ve been stocking up on “Giant Destroyer” brand gopher gassers and have even stocked a few of the longer highway flares for use in marmot and ground squirrel tunnels.

  5. Hi George – FYI, the capital of The Great White North where Parliament sits is in Ottawa, not Toronto. That said, avoiding Toronto traffic is generally good advice. With Parliament’s return many of us non-urban dwellers are hoping True Dope’s days are numbered.
    Cheers.

  6. My bet would be on Thanksgiving — cited often as America’s unique holiday.

    Hardly anybody I’ve ever known has worked on Friday OR Monday around Thanksgiving. Stand-downs, shuttered hours, skeleton crews, and General Great Relaxation is the general atmosphere. Nov 28 to Dec 1. Four days of highly reduced vigilance. Perfect.

    “Spooling up” to meet a 50,000 point nuisance attack would not be an easy thing.

    And…

    I could also be a LOT worse than mere “nuisance” level attacks.

    BUT… The Bad Guys seem to like the element of complete surprise. (“slow, unremarkable Tuesdays”)

    Can’t know…

    Any why let this steal our sources of Joy?

    One can’t live in constant worry and vigilance…

    • They must be government workers..lol lol I worked every holiday for over 30 years..bitched and moaned about it to..
      every mall every grocery store is open even late because of black Friday sales.. the only ones that get the holidays off are government workers..
      now when I worked county we had to be open But the county let us take off any other federal holiday..we picked… Poinsettia day… had big signs made up..closed for poinsettia day…lol lol lol..

    • Black Friday…Mall ofAmerica. Max Muslim population. Just sayin’…psychological impact would be off the charts.

  7. Just curious. With computers and hacking does anything in nuclear design really work? No testing in decades. What if all duds.

    • There was a long-ago novel called “The Jesus Factor” that held in the core of the plot that nukes will not work if moving more than parachute slow because they are so tied to space-time. Rather good plot tool, I thought.
      https://amzn.to/4eqa52G on audible too, I think (there goes LOOB< lol)

      • I remember that book. Read it many-moons ago. Clicked the link and – holy-crap, Batman…, $49.90 for paperback ?

      • They probably said the same thing about the cross bow
        They did say the same thing about the maxim machine gun.
        The said the same thing about the Vulcan mini-gun
        .., and they will say the same thing about plasma rifle.

  8. “One of the funny things about the stock market is that every time one person buys, another sells, and both think they are astute.” – William Feather

    • Rick Ackerman: The so-called ‘wealth effect’ is the Tulipmania of this era on steroids, creating untold sums of money from speculative spume. If materializing vast quantities of spendable cash is the goal, a revved-up wealth effect makes the Fed Open Market Committee look like a ladies’ luncheon club. Indeed, it can take long months or even years for the central bank to stoke the consumption furnace using swaps, repos and direct purchases of Treasury debt. These obfuscations are designed mainly to make the promiscuous use of credit more attractive to everyone. However, the money must be borrowed into existence for profligacy to work its magic on the economy, and that takes time. There is a much faster and simpler way to inject cash into the system. It works every time, and the result is instantaneous, effectively showering Wall Street with a blizzard of $1000 bills.

      This is a monetization trick that is not taught at Wharton. An added feature is that even Joe Sixpack can pitch in simply by buying stocks on margin. Turbocharged by a 4x multiplier and a steeply rising stock market, Joe will be driving an Escalade and living in a grandiose suburban home he will never own in practically no time. The chart shows how it’s done, satisfying America’s money sickness in ways even the financially ingenious Dutch might not have imagined.

      https://www.howestreet.com/2024/09/the-wealth-effect-is-a-delusion-and-a-fraud/

  9. One of the two most recent Monkey Werx videos (YouTube) shows US mil contractor flts leaving San Diego, flying straight to TX, presumably loaded with people of a migratory nature. Other destinations as well. These same contractors are picking up their human cargo all around Central & South America. So we can rest easy when govt officials tell us there is no problem at the border.

  10. “So, hats off to the prognosticators who got that right.”

    I’m not saying the prognosticators are wrong but didn’t some prognosticators also say Trump would be killed before the election, others said Kam would be replaced before the September debate? Still others said/say Veeps will be changed before the election. Remember, “Biden is going to be whacked so Kam gets experience”.

    I don’t know where/how the prognosticators get their info but to me it seems to always be a so-called shotgun approach and of course out of many they’ll get one thing right.

    Maybe it’s human nature but their seems to be a source then a the hive mentality propagates the information. Even with the phraseology like ‘hive mind’ ‘TDS’ ‘DTS’…. etc.

    And another thing!!! Trump being a bible salesmen should not be Truthing out messages of hate (about Taylor). Hate goes against the bible force (T sol d bibles before the hate message). I don’t know. Life on a planet…. or is it a plane? Ha!

    • buy a Bible,,,
      In Malachi 1:2-3, the Lord declares:

      “I have loved you,” says the LORD. “But you ask, ‘How have you loved us?’ Was not Esau Jacob’s brother?” declares the LORD. “Yet I have loved Jacob, but Esau I have hated, and I have turned his hill country into a wasteland and left his inheritance to the desert jackals.”

      liddle Taylor is a satanist

      • I get it and I’m not a bible thumper.

        Malachi is form the old way. Since then there was a new covenant. I’m just pointing out what I see as conflicting messages/inconsistencies.

        The whole Satanist thing? I’m just pointing out the messages being sent.

        Does Taylor sing about a broken life? Trump’s been divorces so isn’t that the same? Maybe they’re both Satanists?

        • that whole I HATE TAYLOR SWIFT thing wasnt about the singer. it was about the taylor made swift money transfer system.

          pay attention! thing will start accelerating soon. and events are going to starting to escilate in impact.

      • Hmm…

        “Look, what do we really know except a LOT that you swifties need to know … and know before you vote in this extremely important POTUS election.

        First, that Taylor Swift is not who you think she is. Think about it.

        Secondly, that Taylor Swift has risen to the very top of music stardom higher and faster than perhaps anyone else in history. That never happens unless it was made to happen. Again, think about it.

        Thirdly, that Taylor Swift simply does not control any major public proclamations or big announcements like her recent endorsement of Kamala Harris. In point of fact, her music and media agents, as well as her attorneys, control all of those highly consequential communiques. Not only that, but her well-concealed handlers and secret masters would never — EVER — let her release such a highly impactful statement unless she was told to do so. Once again, girls, think about it.”

        https://stateofthenation.co/?p=251019

      • Dude – you really need to get to the SOURCE.

        Ancient Greek is that Source. ALL others were “Translated” thru the Septuagint.

        Counciliorum collecto regis maxima, Christian cannon till this very day, translated from Greek to Latin by Jean Hardouin the jesuit librarian who told anyone willing to listen that all of of history has been faked.

        If the Gospels are in Greek, it follows suit that only a Greek scholar is qualified to interpret the New Testament, certainly not a rabbi, a priest (outside a jesuit who has studied Greek).

        4 own good, and to combat mendacity, check out the worlds premier Greek Scholar, Dr Ammon Hillman.
        It’s Hillmans contention that New testament is quite graphic in its depiction of Jesus Christ as a homosexual pedophile, a drug addict who pimped off his apostles who were little boys. In fact Jesus in garden of Gethsemane, is detailed account of his drug fueled orgy with prepubescent boys. Wont even get into abraham and sarah, for goodness sakes.

        Can explain crucifying Thieves ? The Purple ? Mark 14,51-52 naked boy?

        • ‘get to the source’

          Well that’s never going to happen. The sources are gone. We live here in academic hand-me-downs. And I wouldn’t put it past it all being made-up way back when to control them.

          People complain about the modern education systems but looking back these are the good times in terms of knowledge. Indoctrination is a different story. Back then the only people who had education were .gov and tax collectors. Maybe 1 out of 50.

          Back in the days before Newton.

        • Sounds like someone has an agenda. Ask him to explain why so many went to their death declaring that they had seen Yeshua alive after they had witnessed His death.
          Deny the living God at your own risk.

    • Hating takes far too much energy! I suppose it’s unavoidable at times when emotionally triggered, but it’s a poor long term strategy for anything.

      I like Taylor Swift’s body and the way she moves. Other than that, there’s not much to notice, other than perhaps how effectively she runs her business model.

      • It goes against the teachings of heavenly father.. but man inserted his own wisdom and rules in their personal interpretation of the laws of god..now I don’t know that for sure..but that’s my opinion as to why there’s over forty five thousand religions and twenty six tribes of islam..there’s about forty five thousand different pagan sects.
        Jesus taught there’s two things keep heavenly father above all and do unto others..
        (“37 Jesus replied, “‘You must love the Lord your God with all your heart, all your soul, and all your mind.’[a] 38 This is the first and greatest commandment. 39 A second is equally important: ‘Love your neighbor as yourself.’[b] 40 The entire law and all the demands of the prophets are based on these two commandments.”)
        for me it didn’t come to light until I read the lost books of Eden.. something that god told Adam made it all clear as a bell.
        the rest is up to everyone else to discover for themselves what they believe and hold true to their heart..

        • It takes a long time for many people to learn to love their own self at other than an ego level. Until this happens, the Golden Rule is distorted in their minds.

          I’ve been blessed to have had good teachers.

    • (“Hate goes against the bible “)

      lol lol lol… have you read the bible, Torah or Quran.. lol lol
      that’s why every preacher ran from my questions when I was young lol lol.. in the USA we pick and choose a passage.. in other countries they go by the entire section..

      • “pick and choose ”

        Yes, you’re right.

        “There’s nothing new under the sun” except as far as we know instant global communications and man made WMDs.

        To keep it simple Trump declares to the world, and Truth or X does message out to the world that he hates.

        Someone else picks that up and declares, “Well I hate you!” Next we have people pinging Trump or shooting from bushes. And this is where we’re at. Advanced cavies.

  12. In the largest nearby bedroom burgh, I am seeing a new influx of young, well-tanned homeless camping in plain sight local in places I have never seen vagrants before, and fairly close to the gas station where Greyhound has their local drop. Their attire looks CA, not TX. They don’t seem to know about the cart thievery patrols. I’m thinking that CA has disbursed it’s homeless peeps eastward.

    • they would be crazy to leave California.. free house and all their expenses paid..
      listen to the movie stars.. they are over paid and willing to pay for any illegal coming here.. in Texas they would have to work for a living..lol

  13. Anybody see where the congressional calendar is literally blank for all of October and for the first several weeks of November – nothing scheduled either in the house or senate?

  15. Miss me ? Nah.., I doubt it…,
    Just got back yesterday from five days in the saddle., in Montana. Great trip ! Fantastic horses. My only concern on the whole trip was that we were in griz-country and they are very active this time of year.., but I had 45-70 lever action and a 44 mag in a cross draw.., so, if I had the time – I had the fire power.., never saw a one, or fresh scat – and the horses never alerted – so all was great. [ friend’s ranch – his horses – mainly old forest service roads that have been closed off ] “The Mrs” is walking a little gingerly this morning [ different set of muscles ] – to be expected. She has never been on a horse for more than 30 minutes.
    .
    Yes., I am invested in LEO’s [ Long Expiration Options.] 3 – Indexes / 3 – Stocks [ One stock has nearly tripled already. Cha-ching ! ]
    .
    It’s a ‘2-on-the-table’ bet, folks. Remember, we have two candidates running.., and you can wager heavily that security for the other one just went through the roof.
    – .., and – how did an idiot know that he would be playing an unannounced & unscheduled round of golf, and be at that spot., at that hour? No one “that” stupid” could be “that” lucky.
    – ., and there is no way you will stop a determined, trained sniper once he is on the hunt. You will have to get to him ‘before’ he commits. If he can do – just, one inch MOA out to 800 yards – you’ll never stop him in time.
    .
    ., and on a sad note: Found out in an email when I got back – ‘Gregory’ one of the best poker players around and has been for over thirty years now, was shot and killed outside of his hotel., in a robbery gone-wrong. He wasn’t going to, or from a game – so no obvious ties to the poker circuit. The shooter was caught about an hour after the killing. – I was really looking forward to playing against him sometime in the future. He was a friend of ‘Lady Fingers’. [ She is ‘very’ pissed off ! ]

    • “and there is no way you will stop a determined, trained sniper once he is on the hunt.”

      So far they’ve been amateurs… People who profess to know firearms, talk about how far you can reach out and touch someone with a 7.62×39 carbine. ‘Pretty sure they’re just reading the caution label on the ammo box and using the number to make themselves sound like they know what they’re talking about.

      According to neighbors, dude in Fla owned a machinegun, but didn’t have it with him. He also had a couple dozen felony convictions and about 60 other guns — no report yet on how many the po-po previously took away from him.

      • I personally am not a nug person..and if it was up to me to hunt for food.. well no animal will die by my hands.. LOL anyway.. My sister and her husband owned a beautiful cabin up by yellowstone.. and he loved to hunt.. and one day he was telling me about how a grizzly and two cubs were in the yard.. he stuck his hand out the door and took a photo.. was telling my stupid sister about the scary event that had happened just a couple minutes before. as she walked out the door and went for a walk on the same path as the momma bear and cubs.. I couldn’t believe it and said why in the hell did you do that for.. it was time for my walk and I see those bears all the time on my walks..
        Now that is stupid.. if she had even a slight inkling that my sister was a threat.. dam.. that was many many years ago now..

      • I wonder who all had connection to his GoPro via wireless.
        both shooters somehow got into Blackrock commercials,,, that is to big of a coincidence to ignore, as it appears that both are controlled actors so to speak.
        the shooters long ass rap sheet and not doing time, it appears that he did NOT slip through the system, but was slid through the system by an unseen hand,,, as always I am skeptical.
        And then I read this from eric prince, just before I hit Post Comment on this reply, as I was looking for another bit of information.
        https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/09/erik-prince-trump-assassins-appearing-blackwater-commercials-statistical/

      • Ray – one little fact that people should keep in-mind about long range shooting.
        94% of all police sniper shootings occur at 100 yards.. or less.
        98% are at less than 200 yards.
        Only 2% of all police sniper shootings are over 200 yards.

        • I know.

          But John Q doesn’t, unless (s)he is, or knows, a competitive shooter.

          And if anyone in the lamestream knows, they’re not about to tell…

  16. re: phantom schedule
    feat: ghost microphone

    Folks,

    Did someone book off? Today’s official schedule, times eastern, for the President reflected departing the White House at 0900 by way of Wilmington, De., to arrive in Philadelphia, Pa., at 1315. The President was then to deliver remarks at 1430 to the 2024 National HBCU Week Conference taking place at the Marriott Downtown. The speech was in the can before 1430 and online live feeds had already turned off.

    Here is a link to the 21m20s C-Span feed and accompanying transcript “from uncorrected closed captioning”. The last audio snippet to be heard is the President quoting his grandmother to ” go spread the faith”. Then the music started up again and he walks off stage.

    However the closed captioning continues at 21m00s with the following:

    “How much my head on the spirit just move. You are your destination.”

    The President gets it. Life is the journey?

    Here’s the C-Span link:

    https://www.c-span.org/video/?538434-1/president-biden-remarks-2024-national-hbcu-week-conference

  17. “We have a few buckets of mouse and rat bait. California has outlawed some of the more effective vermin treatments.”

    My favorite WAS DeCon. I haven’t been able to find in for several years now.”

    Nor will you. d-CON was banned by Mr. Obama’s EPA, in 2013.

    The active ingredient in “d-CON” is “Dicoumarol.” Dicoumarol is the 1st gen of warfarin and coumadin. It kills rodents by forcing them to bleed to death, internally, when they suffer a bruise. EPA’s rationale (and I can’t say I totally disagree) is if a predatory animal eats a d-CON-kill, it will get a dose of Dicoumarol and could also bleed to death.

    Dicoumarol is made from the fungus which forms on stored grasses (especially clover) which are not properly dried before storage. d_CON is Dicoumarol and corn meal, with a sawdust filler.

    A rodenticide which is as effective and much safer is common baking soda, mixed with corn meal. Rodents lack the ability to belch, yet their stomachs use hydrochloric acid, same as ours, as a principal digestive media. Ingesting baking soda will cause that annoying little mouse to explode, yet be completely harmless, should Tabby choose to feast on it.

    To make:
    I recommend a corn meal mix which contains honey.

    Mix equal parts baking soda and corn meal.
    Sift twice.
    Store in a sealed container.

    To use:
    Put a couple tablespoons of the mix in a low-sided container (most people use jar lids. I use petri dishes just because I have some laying around.)
    Place container in each mouse run.

    If results aren’t completely satisfactory, add up to a third more corn meal and resift. The meal is there just to get the critters to eat the soda, so it must be able to hide the taste.

    BTW, if you read the label on Tomcat, D-CON, RAID, or any other “rat and mouse killer” you will see they are all now principally baking soda and corn meal.

    Roll your own and save a bunch o’ bucks…

    • yes, secondary rodenticide poisoning is for real. ask any wildlife rehabber. we’ve lost innumerable hawks, owls, snowy owls and bald eagles because of rodenticide. ratx is the way to go. it uses salt which will only kills mice but not raptors.

  19. i had 2 kitties in my bed, two nights in a row.

    ha ha ha.

    one said to me this morning, do you get up so early and pray and meditate every day? i said i never miss it. It is the important meal on the menu. it is more important than breathing.

    is my understanding

    we shall see the great push back against the Pope by the the church soon. due to the Pope spewing things that are contrary with with Gods Holy Word. There is going to be s great unsettling event as it relates to the Catholics and Evangelicals. its already begun.

    O.K. gotta get!

  20. Millions In Stolen 1MBD Funds Was Routed Into Kim Kardashian, Pharrell Williams Bank Accounts

    The Malaysian High Court was informed last week that a staggering $2.4 million in stolen funds was diverted from the scandal-plagued 1Malaysia Development Bhd sovereign wealth fund, into the accounts of celebrity Kim Kardashian and musician Pharrell Williams, through fugitive businessman Jho Low’s shell company, Good Star Ltd.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/24-million-stolen-1mbd-money-was-routed-kim-kardashian-pharrell-williams-bank-accounts

  21. War Preparations Build After 9 Killed, 2700+ Wounded In Israel’s Pager Attack On Hezbollah

    Israeli media says Mossad rigged the pager batteries of a shipment that was imported five months ago:

    The Israeli spy agency placed a quantity of PETN, a highly explosive material, on the batteries of the devices, and detonated them by raising the temperature of the batteries from afar, the source says.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/hundreds-wounded-dead-beirut-after-israel-remotely-detonates-hezbollah-pagers

    No.

    Doesn’t work that way. Huge coup for Mossad (if they were indeed responsible, and I consider it likely) but flat-out misinformation on the method of detonation.

  22. Secret Service Director Makes Cryptic Reference To Coming ‘Geopolitical Event, Kinetic Conflict’ That Could Endanger US Leaders

    Ronald Rowe Jr., the Secret Service’s acting director, defended his agency, saying it had put in place the “highest levels of protection” as directed by Biden.”

    He then said: “There could be another geopolitical event that could put the United States into a kinetic conflict or some other- uh- some other issue, that may result in additional responsibilities and protectees of the Secret Service.”

    https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/secret-service-director-makes-cryptic-reference-coming-geopolitical-event-kinetic

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