We’re Already Higher than 1929

In the ChartPack today some very bad news for Bulls.  There is a simple way to compare the recent run of the markets in this “Replaying 1929” period.

Not only will we run those numbers for you – and call of the laggard – but we will also talk about why a soft hyperinflation probably won’t work.

Bean up and read on…

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54 thoughts on “We’re Already Higher than 1929”

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    • Hmm.. now what could I make besides using this as a concher… hey a small candy panner.. and home made malted milk ..
      ½ cup malted milk powder (like Carnation or Horlicks)
      ½ cup powdered milk
      ½ cup powdered sugar
      ¼ cup flour (for structure)
      ¼ cup melted butter or lard (for richness)or you could use coconut butter..
      1–2 tbsp milk or cream (to bind)
      Optional: pinch of salt or vanilla extract 1 tbsp.
      Mix dry ingredients in a bowl.
      Add melted butter/lard and milk gradually until a dough-like consistency forms.Roll into small balls (½ inch) and place on parchment.
      Bake at 250°F for 20–25 minutes to dry and crisp. Let cool completely. I use my dehydrator … then coat with chocolate dip in powdered sugar

      • Lol..gotta find ways to justify buying ANOTHER kitchen gadget…especially one that expensive..for coaching I have a 2+6 stirring bar for a magnetic stirrer..that would work perfectly to conch home made chocolate for chocolate bars..to use as a Candy panner.. I already have one of these..
        https://www.chocolatetemperingmachines.com/products/chocovision-panner-commerical-chocolate-panning-machine
        and that can definitely be used as a paner..plus its set up to be used like a wok so I will first let it collect dust ..
        its going to be a hard sell instigation to explain its importance.. especially something that expensive and me having to go back to work to make enough money to buy what few groceries we need and the house taxes..and anything not budgeted for that sneaks up on you..had to tell her yesterday when she said the cars need an oil change..yup sweetie next month I’m going to squeeze out enough for one of them..but it has to wait.. so justifying this is going to be a huge process..I also splurged on some hot dog casings..she hates hot dogs.. and the cold smoking of them … all big event.. I’m Also thinking maybe five to ten pounds of kielbasa…

  1. Recall a year or so back some American folks seemed to indicate the U.S. should protect Taiwan ‘at all costs’.

    Note: Without a poll widget we can’t know the UrSu ratio of supporters or who…. Way back there G did a report on statistics and sampling sizes. Perhaps a poll widget could help see the future.

    Any-who, it looks like Trump conceded Taiwan.

    “Trump halted over $400 million in military aid to Taiwan this summer, seeking a trade deal and summit with Xi Jinping. The package, described as “more lethal” by two sources, included munitions and drones. This reverses U.S. support for Taiwan, claimed by China, per five anonymous sources. ”

    https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/trump-blocks-400m-military-aid-104311797.html

    • (“Recall a year or so back some American folks seemed to indicate the U.S. should protect Taiwan ‘at all costs’.”)

      I remember that to…..
      but ….Personally, I’ve seen the human side of this geopolitical tension through my two acupuncturists—one from Taiwan, the other from mainland China. Their families are split across the strait.. parents in one country, grandparents in the other. For them, Taiwan isn’t a battleground or a flashpoint—it’s simply another state of China, separated more by politics than by people. Despite the headlines and rhetoric, neither sees the other as a threat. They share traditions, language, and care, reminding me that just a few miles of ocean doesn’t erase centuries of connection. In their quiet way, they embody a truth deeper than policy… that kinship often outlasts division… it would be a less dramatic situation if Taiwan would embrace a pact similar to that of Hong kong..While the strategic impulse to defend Taiwan may resonate with American industrial ideals, the reality is that such a defense could prove futile given the current state of the U.S. economy and military posture. The nation faces deep economic fractures—ballooning debt, supply chain vulnerabilities, and internal political gridlock—that weaken its ability to sustain prolonged overseas commitments for any of the several fronts our military is divided among..divide and conquer. Meanwhile, the U.S. military is stretched thin across multiple theaters, with readiness challenged by recruitment shortfalls, aging and collapsing infrastructure from sheer neglect because of our military ways we have diverted funds and resources that should have remained here at home, and shifting global priorities. Engaging in a high-stakes conflict over Taiwan, just miles from mainland China’s coast, would demand concentrated force projection and logistical resilience that America may no longer possess. In this context, defending Taiwan “at all costs” risks accelerating domestic decline, turning a principled stand into a perilous overreach.The convergence of open-border policies, economic fragility, and systemic neglect does resemble a kind of perfect storm—one that threatens not just prosperity, but civilizational continuity. Millions entering without structured integration strain already fragile systems: housing, healthcare, education, and energy. Underpaid laborers—many undocumented—fill the lowest rungs of the economy, while the middle class erodes under inflation, outsourcing, and stagnant wages. The grid, aging and vulnerable, groans under increased demand. The healthcare system, once a point of pride, now buckles under cost, access, and burnout. And with critical industries outsourced, America’s ability to produce, repair, and defend itself is compromised… as our adversaries have told us exactly how they would take us down for the better part of a century..homes that a short time ago sold for thirty thousand now cost a half million low income housing that costs more than low income wages.. an insurance industry fast to take money but reluctant to pay ..its the business model..the core pathology of collapse—a business model that extracts from the base, concentrates wealth and power at the top, and then wonders why the foundation crumbles. It’s not new. From Rome to the Maya, from the Qing Dynasty to the Gilded Age, civilizations have followed this pattern: undervalue the laborers, outsource the essentials, weaken the grid of care, and then pile complexity, spectacle, and elite consumption on top. The result is predictable—fragility disguised as progress.

      When the base of society—farmers, builders, nurses, teachers, tradespeople—is hollowed out, and the systems that sustain them are neglected or privatized, the whole structure becomes brittle. Add to that a fractured economy, dispersed military, open borders without integration, and outsourced industry, and you have a civilization poised for implosion, not invasion. The storm isn’t just geopolitical—it’s systemic, spiritual, and moral. Weimar, Zimbabwe, Greece and Argentina here we come.. not slowly either.. it looks like the politicians are trying to herd us into collapse like..oh no..here it comes…..DUMBED DOWN SHEEP…. When leadership becomes more invested in spectacle than stewardship, in profit than people, the result is a society that’s managed, not served. Policies are crafted to appease donors, not citizens. Infrastructure crumbles while luxury towers rise. The working class is squeezed, the middle class hollowed, and the elite insulated—herding the rest into dependence, distraction, or despair….This isn’t just neglect—it’s a systemic inversion of care, where those entrusted to protect the foundation instead strip it for parts. The language of unity is used to mask division. The language of progress is used to justify extraction. And the people—those who build, teach, heal, and feed—are treated as expendable inputs in a machine designed to elevate the few.The let them eat cake if they don’t like it..

      • LOOB, Extraordinarily well said! The future is not looking good. Your key phrase, “When leadership becomes more invested in spectacle than stewardship, in profit than people, the result is a society that’s managed, not served”, is welll-supported by the evidence. How to get more “served” and less “managed” is the issue and there is no clear path to resolution.

        • Thank you… I’m just a disposable at the lowest tier of society.. it looks so obvious to me..but doesn’t seem to phase those with the ability to make the changes..
          sadly I believe the time for those changes has long been gone..we will have to ride this carnival ride to completion..
          for that …I hope I’m totally wrong.. but it would take a massive and almost instant change in the business model currently in play.It would require a rupture in the business model itself—a shift from extraction to stewardship, from spectacle to service, from profit to people. And that kind of shift doesn’t come from policy memos or quarterly reports and heightened bank ledgers… It comes from visionaries with conscience, from Schindlers who see the machine for what it is and choose to jam it with compassion to lend a hand up .the Mari Antoinette s that could have made a difference but didn’t really see the need in their own country..

      • Good points.

        I’m not sure if the angle of conceding Taiwan is cooperation to keep the $ scheme going or if resistance to China has become futile.

        China plans to build a naval ‘Great Wall’ to fend off thousand-drone swarm attack

        China’s naval researchers are developing a “Great Wall” defense system to protect warships from drone swarm attacks. The proposed multilayered architecture will use AI sensors, satellites, and advanced weapons such as hypersonic missiles, lasers, and microwaves.

      • So LOOB, what about the 40mln or so native Formosans who are not Chinese, don’t have relatives on the Mainland, and whose parents and grandparents were Japanese slaves until we freed them in 1945? The Formosans are not Chinese; they’re certainly not Han, which means they will be treated the same as the Uyghurs and other ethnic minorities — the ones who live will be pressed into a lifetime of slavery, with no hope of escape or freedom.

        And you’re okay with this?

        • nope not ok with any of this… but then take a look at america..the good ole USA..the cultural shifts.. the worthless eating class ..
          If Taiwan were ever to enter a political pact with China, the Formosans would face existential risks similar to those families trying to survive the hood..those that enter hospitals and clinics ( brought that up because its close to my heart and life experiences) turned away refused care or delayed care. kids without a future.. every country has these cultural and economic ..The Formosans, like families in neglected urban neighborhoods across America, face existential risks not because of who they are, but because of who the system refuses to see them as.. human, worthy, sovereign. When a child in the hood is turned away from a clinic, when care is delayed until it’s too late, when futures are quietly erased by policy and poverty—that’s not just neglect. It’s structural abandonment. And that same machinery, scaled globally, is what would await the Formosans under a pact that treats them as Chinese citizens rather than a distinct people. their language, land rights, and cultural autonomy could be suppressed under assimilationist policies similar to those imposed on Uyghurs and Tibetans. Any agreement must explicitly recognize their sovereignty, protect their traditions, and ensure they are not treated as collateral in a larger diplomatic transaction. Without such protections, the Formosans risk becoming yet another erased people—caught between empires, remembered only by those who still see.Being realistic there’s no way we can defend Taiwan in any meaningful sense especially since we can’t and won’t even defend our own our politicians and social class structures scream they’re worthless why should we care about them.. Our military is dispersed in so many directions , our economy is severely fractured, and our moral compass has been compromised by spectacle and for profit. To pretend we could protect Formosan identity while failing to protect dignity in our own hospitals, schools, and streets is not just hypocrisy—it’s a severe mental delusion. The real defense begins with recognition, with care, with restoration of the base. And until that happens, any promise of protection is just another cherry-topped dream then the border and the potential threats that entered with government acceptance..The simultaneous challenge of defending Taiwan while managing unchecked threats from an open southern border mirrors a classic chess tactic…the poison pawn trap. On the surface, Taiwan, ukraine, Israel and Syria etc.they all appear to be the noble pawns—strategically vital, morally compelling, and symbolically and rich with vital natural resources . But committing to its defense while domestic vulnerabilities multiply may lure the U.S. into over extension. Open borders, exploited by cartels, traffickers, and potentially hostile actors, erode our own internal stability and strain resources that would be critical in any overseas conflict. The trap is set when leadership, driven by spectacle or bravado, reaches for the pawn without securing the home front—leaving the king exposed. In this scenario, the real loss isn’t just geopolitical—it’s the erosion of sovereignty from within, sacrificed for a move that was never truly winnable. We go to war to make some schlock rich that doesn’t even pay taxes in the usa.War, in its modern form, often serves as a profit engine, not a moral imperative. Defense contractors, logistics firms, and global financiers—many of whom pay little or no U.S. taxes—stand to gain billions while ordinary citizens bear the cost in blood, debt, and broken futures and economic destruction. The spectacle of patriotism is used to mask the machinery of extraction, where conflict becomes commerce, and sacrifice becomes subsidy for those who never serve, never suffer, and never settle their dues.The truth is, we’ve traded industrial sovereignty for short-term profit, and now we face the consequences: a hollowed-out manufacturing base, abandoned steel mills, and a generation of skilled workers displaced or never trained. Our charcoal and metallurgical capabilities—once the backbone of wartime resilience—were outsourced decades ago to the very nation we might one day face in conflict. That wasn’t strategy. That was economic betrayal dressed up as globalization.We don’t have the manpower for an extended war because we no longer have the infrastructure of continuity. Retooling would take years, not months. Our supply chains are fragile, stretched across oceans and dependent on a nation whose interests diverge sharply from our own. And while the elite profited, the rest were left with crumbling bridges, failing grids, and hospitals that turn away the vulnerable.We neglected our own in a strategic and economic plan so that a few could grow rich off the illusion of efficiency. And now, when resilience and dependence of the American citizen is needed most, we find ourselves exposed, underprepared, and overmanaged. the pieces are already in motion. For decades, adversaries have played the long game, not with tanks and missiles, but with economic infiltration, ideological subversion, and strategic patience. While we chased short-term gains and enriched a handful of profiteers, they bought up our infrastructure, our farmland, our ports. They studied our weaknesses, exploited our divisions, and watched as we scattered our military across the globe—leaving the homeland exposed, hollowed, and distracted.It’s a civilizational vulnerability. The enemy didn’t need to storm our shores—they walked in through deregulated markets, open borders, and corporate loopholes. And now, with alliances forming among the very nations we destabilized for profit, the board is set for a final move.War, in this context, wouldn’t be defense—it would be checkmate. Not because we lack courage, but because we lack continuity. Our supply chains are outsourced, our steel mills rusted, our skilled labor scattered. To pursue war without first restoring the base—without retooling, retraining, and reclaiming sovereignty—would be to sacrifice the king for the illusion of honor.A truce, a deal, a recalibration—these aren’t signs of weakness. They’re the last moves of wisdom before collapse. But they must be forged not from desperation, but from clarity, dignity, and a refusal to play someone else’s game. The Scary part is For many in power—or those insulated by wealth and distance—real life is abstract. They see war as winnable because they don’t feel its cost. They mistake simulations for strategy, and ignore the fact that the battlefield is no longer overseas—it’s already here, in our fractured supply chains, hollowed infrastructure, and dispersed military. The futility you speak of is invisible to those who’ve never waited in an ER, never watched a bridge crumble, never buried a dream beneath economic neglect.For years, North Korea has been the unpredictable piece on the board—a wild card with a grudge, a formidable force that could tie down South Korea and Japan, fracturing the Pacific alliance and opening the door for China to make its move. If that happens, we won’t be fighting a war of ideals—we’ll be scrambling to defend a homeland we’ve already sold off in pieces. Ports, toll roads, farmland, companies—all quietly transferred to foreign interests while we were distracted by spectacle.The truly scary part isn’t just that war is un-winnable. It’s that those who think it is have already sacrificed the pieces that matter most. What I see in Xi Jinping is a man shaped by legacy, not just power—a leader who speaks in the language of history, family, and national restoration. His actions suggest a deep commitment to China’s long-term wellbeing, not merely its short-term dominance. If met with truth and sincerity, he may be one of the few global figures capable of honoring a treaty that preserves peace without humiliation. But such a treaty must be forged not from weakness or spectacle, but from mutual recognition of sovereignty, dignity, and continuity. In a world teetering on the edge of conflict, where war would mean checkmate for all, the path of sincere diplomacy may be the last move of wisdom left on the board. of course what would I know

        • Accepting that the globe no longer has one main authority..In a world that has clearly shifted into a multipolar reality, it’s no longer viable—or ethical—for one nation to impose its values and systems on others. Most people across the globe are honorable, rooted in traditions that reflect centuries of culture, struggle, and wisdom. Each society has its own way of caring for its people, and while not all are perfect, the vast majority seek peace, dignity, and continuity. For the United States to dictate how others should govern or behave, while failing to meet the basic needs of its own citizens—neglecting infrastructure, healthcare, and economic justice—is not a show of leadership, it’s a show of hypocrisy. True global cooperation begins with humility, with the recognition that we share this planet, and that stewardship must replace dominance if we are to build a future worth inheriting.

        • Ray … the question really is:

          Since we no longer have the ability to defend Taiwan with conventional weaponry, only nuclear weaponry will stop a Chinese takeover, WHICH and HOW MANY US cities are YOU PERSONALLY prepared to sacrifice in such a War? (our own War Games have shown that to our Pentagon planners EVERY TIME they have run them or the last half decade)

          OH, and HOW MANY AMERICANS?

          60 million Americans and 30 cities? Or 100 million Americans and 100 cities?

          The world have moved on from the days when the US Military reigned supreme, shoot we couldn’t even defeat a bunch of locals armed with mostly light weapons in both Vietnam and Afghanistan. We had to kill almost 700,000 CIVILIANS in Iraq as we tried to take over that county plus another 150-200,000 armed militants (over the 14 years we fought there). Shoot we now can’t even build our advanced fighter aircraft or the advanced electronics our military now uses without PARTS FROM CHINA!! … how is that going to work out in a War with China?

          Maybe you won’t see my reply since this thread is now aging, but I really would like to know WHAT SPECIFIC CITIES you will be willing to sacrifice if we go to War with China over Taiwan since in order to “defend” Taiwan we WILL have to take the War nuclear.

        • @Stephen 2

          “Since we no longer have the ability to defend Taiwan with conventional weaponry, only nuclear weaponry will stop a Chinese takeover, WHICH and HOW MANY US cities are YOU PERSONALLY prepared to sacrifice in such a War? (our own War Games have shown that to our Pentagon planners EVERY TIME they have run them or the last half decade)

          OH, and HOW MANY AMERICANS?”

          I’m not in a position to sacrifice anyone. I assume you’re prepared to sacrifice all cities and 100% of PopUS, by doing nothing?

          I fail to understand why so many people, especially older Americans, have such a hard-on for nuclear bombs. Residual radiation renders everything unusable, for really long periods of time. China does not have to be flashed off the face of the Earth to be “defeated.” Neither do we.

          If you look at wars past (I suggest our Revolutionary War as an easy example) you will note that “victory” is subjective. We did not defeat the British by any measure. What we did was become such a thorn in King George’s side that he finally deemed us not worth the trouble.

          If you look at any war, save WW-II, you will see the same. They are not necessarily won by the biggest, baddest kid on the block — they are won by the kid with the most patience. Chaing’s followers need not annihilate Mao’s followers, merely become enough of a pain in the ass that General Xi determines Taiwan is not worth the effort.

          As for how many U.S. cities and how much of our population? NOT stopping China will eventually lead to ALL U.S. cities being lost and ALL Americans dead or enslaved — Won’t affect any of us; will absolutely affect our grandchildren. China has a plan. Eventually our participation in it will cease to be optional. “Chamberlaining” China may postpone our participation, but it will do so by radically increasing the likelihood of our demise.

      • How many times ?

        It NEVER changes here on prison planet Earth, NEVER. Same old shit every millennia..

        Humans/Lu will never be allowed to Get Along with each other, never be allowed to Come To Together – that is the overlordz Standard Operating Procedure (s)

        “Tower of Babel” was huge successful, modernized City, ET prison screws DESTROYED that whole City and everybody living there abouts. RESET . Cant have that kinda cooperation..”stupid beasts”

        Gee maybe the Ophanim will come back, open all our 3rd Eyes” and save all the meek and less fortunate…Bwahahahahahah

        * My advisor considers himself but a dust particle on his Masters finger nail.
        Millions of People consider/considered my advisor a living God. In almost every single Qi Emitting Lecture I attended or heard recorded, he always advised that he was 100% Human.
        MY own personnel perceptions is one of Super Human Abilities/Skills. Cant not explain ANY of the Phenomena – any of it. I just Bow Down to the NRG, the Natural Source, it is most stubborn and difficult, but when you learn how best to Connect with it ?!?!!!!!

        Out of this F-ing WORLD !

        “As Above, So Below” -Ya really think “they” aren’t and haven’t been Mentally Manipulating leaders for hundreds/thousands of Years ?
        Its why those who have “Sold”, sleep with one eye open..Its not Who, its Where – https://youtu.be/TrkJ0adLofE?si=XICnV3c9GlrcKqXG

        Psi-tronics Baby!

        ..look into my Eyes…Straight intoooo my Eyes -https://youtu.be/JFY9_HEkL6c?si=9HH49bL90nci0t9O

        Nyuck,nyuck,nyuck.

  2. “US forces strike third alleged drug vessel… that we already have enough narco states around (Mexico, etc.)”

    I thought about the concept that Trump might be weeding out the competition. Not to be obvious but:

    “As of September 2025, Claudia Sheinbaum is the President of Mexico, and she is the first person with Jewish heritage to hold the office.”

    To borrow a phrase, “Prove me wrong”. We’d need an evidence board w/red string connecting everything. Ha! Together we wait for the JFK files.

    • tRUMP keeps criticizing nutinwahoo, more and more epstain leaks will be forthcoming. Yes times of israhell had article/op-ed alluding precisely to this fact.

      ZOG includes military decision makers and agencies.

      Who exactly are the White Hats or in a MAD world the White Spy ?

      *The kirk Op was a White Spy HIT on Black Spy. Guess whats good the Goose is whats good for the Gander.
      **This is one BAD Penny -both sides, B&W lead to same outcome..

      New Moon – best to make good use out of New NRG’s coming in from giant satellite near youse – https://youtu.be/YLIvv5auV1k?si=k3Ij26hxlHQg9gs7

      • Git right w/the right book:

        Russia to seize assets of international ‘Satanists’

        “Russia has placed the “international Satanism movement” on a financial blacklist, allowing the government to freeze the assets of its alleged members, even those without a criminal record.”

  3. re: Admiral Byrd, 11/1929
    feat: Liv Glacier

    Folks,
    Unattributed postings have appeared around 1:00 am on a pair of Pavel Durov co-founded platforms, VK and Telegram. Airspace over Military Unit 15644 (Kapustin Yar Airbase and home of the Oreshnik) allegedly will be closed from the 22nd to 27th inclusive next week.

    Is it a plane or ufo? No! It’s DJ George calling up The Byrds in the “Fifth Dimension”. Here we go with “8 Miles High”!

    • re: dLynn – “Stay Frosty”
      feat: Sergeant George C. Scott

      DDG AI informs me that the “Stay Frosty” alert originates via the US Marines. Apparently the saying reached a wider audience in the 1986 “Aliens” movie as seen in the following YouTube clip:

      https://youtu.be/5dU0ZRY7wBw

      From what I see, the phrase’s earliest appearance on the big screen perhaps is with Marine veteran George C. Scott (d. 22/9/1999) in 1972’s “The New Centurions”. Here’s a YouTube link to that clip:

      https://youtu.be/5xnz3vs_uto

  4. A friend of my daughters had a heart attack.. I stopped to see how she was doing.. in the lineup for valet parking..an hour and a half wait. close to an hour wait to pick the car up..the reason.. to meet budget..they cut from the bottom tier of employees.. in the dinning room..same thing one person to man the hot line instead of three..they were running their butts off..as I stood in line to grab a small bouquet.. I listened to the worker in the gift shop complaining venting to her friend about what the administration is doing all while giving themselves a raise..justify it anyway you want that’s a pure eroding of the laboring staff..

    • Good empirical evidence.

      In the past I questioned the American legend of tarring and feathering bad CEOs/politicians or ‘running them out on a rail’ as a system relief valve of sorts.

      Today we’re helpless against CEOs by law so it’s likely Adam Smith’s Invisible Hand along w/Newton’s Third Law of Motion kicks in. Back in 2002 there was a movie, John Q. Spoiler alert:

      “When he discovers that his medical insurance won’t cover the costs of the surgery and alternative government aid is unavailable, John Q. Archibald (Denzel Washington) takes a hospital emergency room hostage in a last-ditch attempt to save his child.”

      20 years later life imitates art:

      “Luigi Mangione allegedly shot UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson to make a public statement against the health insurance industry, which he viewed as “parasitic” and a source of corporate greed, according to his writings and prosecutors.”

      Once a person has nothing to lose… All that to say is look for more security in places of doctoring. Hospitals will look like late night liquor stores and gas stations w/Lexan transaction windows.

      • I have seen so many that have been turned away.. managed healthcare could be feasible. citizens spend trillions on healthcare insurance.. our citizen dps and politicians hand out about a hundred billion a year for medicine research..that once its made is then sold to the citizens for tens of thousands of percent more than anywhere else..one of my VA doctor’s makes 650,000.00 a year and essentially has half a year off vacation and federal holidays..he has no clinic space rent or supply costs doesn’t have any wages etc. The average U.S. household currently spends $22,000–$28,000 per year on healthcare-related costs.. Premiums Deductibles Out-of-pocket expenses Employer contributions (indirectly paid through lower wages)Studies suggest that a single-payer model could reduce total healthcare spending by 10–15%.Estimated annual cost per family: $12,000–$15,000, funded through progressive taxation rather than premiums.For low- and middle-income families, this could mean significant savings, especially with no deductibles or surprise bills.God I can’t believe I’m going to quote daddy’s boy preppy school study lol. lol lol.. the one school that hates to let anyone see anything academic lol lo! YALE study last year..Universal healthcare could save the U.S. $438 billion annually.
        Most families would pay less overall, especially those currently uninsured or underinsured. and they wouldn’t have their lives destroyed by insurance industry that refuses to pay or puts the deductibles so high that you couldn’t even imagine .. I will never forget the humiliating events of seeing bills over half a million and making less than five bucks an hour at two percent interest a month..the destroyed me destroyed my personal feelings of self worth..hell I fought two years trying to get the Medicare supplement to pay the two grand that I had to get cafe credit to cover at forty percent interest..last November I told the agent..tell them that I don’t care if they pay a f@#king dime..just send me a nice cover letter with their company logo.. EAT SHIT AND DIE…instead in December they sent a couple hundred bucks.. or the guy that went in for his cancer clinic that was told to leave the clinic.. ( he had previously gotten a letter asking for his generous deposit on his future cares) he started to cry when I loaded him in the buggy and asked..what about me.. my life.. it took social worker a while to get it cleared up..but that’s how it is.. my new friend that’s being stalked by Satan at the hospital collections..I told her to hold off dancing with the devil..in truth I hate to tell her..they will lose their home.. its the business model..

      • “Luigi Mangione allegedly shot UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson…

        Spoiled, wealthy Luigi Mangione allegedly shot UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson…

        Fixed that for you.

        He’s a greedy little psychopathic, narcissistic, “1%er” SOB, or worse — not exactly a representative of anything that’s good or righteous in society today…

        The entire insurance industry is parasitic. The way to fix it is not to murder its execs, but quite simply to starve them. Murder is wrong — period.

        Wanna fix the insurance industry? Simply outlaw insurance…

        • It isn’t the execs fault for the business model..they are only doing the job they have been instructed to do…..the insurance industries job is to insure the investors reap a profit. the insurance industry, like many sectors, is structured not around care or protection, but around profit optimization for investors. The executives aren’t necessarily malicious..they’re simply fulfilling the mandate handed down by shareholders and boards..maximize returns, minimize payouts. In that system, denying claims, delaying reimbursements, and narrowing coverage aren’t failures—they’re strategies. The tragedy is that the original purpose of insurance—to provide security in times of loss—has been hollowed out. What remains is a shell of risk management, where the real risk is being poor, sick, or vulnerable. The executives may not be the architects, but they are the stewards of a system that rewards withholding help.I remember sitting at the pool watching the girls playing and splashing around. the hospital downsized and his cut as VP was eliminated..a couple of cold adult beverages later he was all upset..insulted because the only offer he had gotten was for a half million a year at a hospital in another state..I started to laugh..he asked why..well if a wage that high is as n insult I make 3.50 an hour..they could beat the hell out of me with insults like that..he took the job and moved..one of the gentleman living in our spare bedroom.. his brother was and is an insurance adjuster..his job is to tell people their stuff has no value.. one day he was visiting and started in about how wronged his brother had been treated.. by the industry he loves and the hospital that was relentless attacking him over his medical bill for a heart attack.. as we sat there drinking coffee and he was going off on how these people were so stupid to consider that their deal had any value and how wronged his brother was being treated.. I said to him..i paid thirty seven dollars for these chairs we are sitting in and bought them ten years before …. ok a major catastrophic event happened..they were desgroyed..how much are they worth…replacement costs today are at fifty dollars.. he got a serious look and said..oh fifty cents max..thats your answer..you just adjusted your brothers value..there’s bean counters everywhere. you won’t leave with anything ..his life was disposible.. the hospital needs to pay wages insurance companies need to make profits. lawyers make money by destroying others.. he couldn’t argue the connection..

  5. (“And it’s just beginning: 44 of the biggest 50 metros are flashing a grave warning that a house price crash is next.
    Problem is always timing the when, of course.”)

    hmm… let me see.. homes selling for a half million ..five thousand dollars a month payments plus all the other crap.. health insurance around two thousand plus a month with deductibles so high you won’t ever meet tgem..then the rise in groceries.. a family will pay over three hundred a month per person.. granted there are those that will argue this all while not counting that seventeen dollar happy meal or five dollar cup of coffee..
    just a wild guess… but knowing prices are higher in some areas than the wastelands and low income housing at ten dollars an hour clear.. it won’t be long now..

    • The vast majority of homes within 20 miles of me sell for under $120k unless they have significant land attached. My youngest brother, who lives ~7 miles from me, bought a new, used home about 5 years ago. 2800sq.ft. under roof, plus a new 40×60 steel pole barn, 7 acres, half woody, two wells, septic, bomb shelter, FTA and Internet TV and Patriot Mobile cell/Internet service. I’ve no idea what he’s paying for gas/electric, but the place is R-38 insulated. Total cost for him and his wife to move in with no mortgage was under $110k.

      My health insurance is under $130/mo.

      Groceries do suck, but eggs are now under $3/doz, milk under $2.20/gal, and chuck roast under $4/lb. Mr. Biden fucked us hard, but things are (slowly but surely) getting better. People who expect 4 years (or 40 years, or 112 years) of monetary abuse to be reversed in eight months are either hopelessly naive or hopelessly stupid.

      Happy meals are $4.49/cheeseburger – $4.89/nuggets, and my coffee is $1.79 (24oz.) at the local “grind & brew” cstore coffee stand, when I choose to not make my own. I had to drive by McD to get the prices, because in my old age I’ve developed an allergy to eating sawdust, so I don’t patronize the clown house (or any of the other “big name” fast food joints.)

      CNAs in my general area make between $18-$62/hr plus bennies, RNs make from $31-$74/hr plus bennies and some hospitals are offering sign-on bonuses of $20,000-$30,000 for experienced ER, ICU, cardiac, or peds nurses (according to ZIP-Recruiter.) I’ve an acquaintance who’s an RN at the local VA. His hobbies are collecting/restoring vintage Cadillacs and traveling CONUS with his new bride. I doubt either hobby is inexpensive.

      If you live in a hovel on the palace grounds, you’re going to pay the King’s prices and suffer the King’s whims. I choose to not do so.

      I spent the last few days in central Kentucky… shopping. I came home with a full trailer, containing, among other things, a used (new list $23995) tractor (average used resale between $13-17k), for which I paid $309. Playing the “Mike & Frank game” isn’t very glamorous, but it gets me out of the house every once in a while, and often wins a little butter & egg money. This little John Deere is in perfect mechanical condition and decent cosmetic shape. I will make sure everything is as it should be, then list it on eBay or some similar site with an $11k reserve. I think a 4000% ROI for a can of paint and a drive in the country is sufficient.

      ‘Point is: If you haven’t enough money to sustain your lifestyle, either cut your expenses or increase your income, or relocate to a better hovel that’s far, far away from the King’s estate (or do all three, as I have.)

      • Phew that sounds like Missouri.. their grocery costs are a fraction if here to..I pay over four bucks a dozen now and five bucks a gallon.. A house that sold twenty years ago for thirty just sold for half a mil. my house that I built myself.. hell the taxes on it is just about 25% of the cost to build it.. water bill about two hundred a month average and their planning to increase it again because roads need to be repaired..I tried to talk the wife into selling and moving to Missouri.. homes are about four hundred grand for a small one bedroom..but taxes frozen if your an old foggie and no personal income tax for the elderly..she wouldn’t agree to it..
        low-income rent here is cheap at seven hundred a month plus utilities.. A two bedroom at about 1500.00 a month and climbing..
        the house my granddaughter was looking at just shy a half million ..it sold for twenty something thousand over twenty years ago..I suggested she put the four grand a month in savings bonds or zero growth..stay where they are at.. then in five years or so buy a house.. or build one.. then if they have a child..daycare would be another fifteen hundred or just below that for daycare..their health insurance is already at shy two grand a month..with riders on there saying that in case of some illnesses that her past family has..is not covered at all.. yup .. her biological mother had MS and any illness associated with the disease or any disease close to it and any of the tests or medications is not covered at all..

      • I know the further you get from metropolitan areas the cost of real estate goes down. I loved where my brothers living.. dam its wonderful and no stress..if someone had told me life could be like that I’d have told them they were lying..and a vineyard every ten miles…I paid two bucks for a nice bottle of rose wine..good stuff to..when I can afford the bottles I will bottle the Yuzu Coconut wine..I should have about ninety bottles..then I can make the buffalo berry wine my wife likes..

      • (“CNAs in my general area make between $18-$62/hr plus bennies, RNs make from $31-$74/hr plus bennies”)

        well.. I made 66.00 last week Tuesday I will know more on this weeks pay after travel expenses I made six dollars a day.. my wife working as a floor nurse …made under fifteen dollars an hour at an assisted living..once I get my certification I can make 18.00 an hour as a med tech.. the assisted living offered 14.00 which is the one I’d take..its next door..we paid over two grand a month just for my wife’s health insurance catastrophic only for years lowest offer was eleven hundred and you were only allowed a total of three visits in a calendar year.. I pay fifty dollars copay at the va. and fifteen for generic and up to what was it 275 for brand name..their collection agency is the irs.. that does just take it out up to 750.00 a month.. no questions asked..now I know federal employees that get the golden goose insurance cheap..hell my sister and the whole family have no more than a couple hundred payout per calendar year..most companies don’t offer insurance to the regular employees just the executives..the same with the vacation times etc. at the hospital they go by a point system.. I was a point five..which guaranteed me with five working days per pay period… so if I took five days off..( you weren’t allowed to take more..and if you got sick..well your job was eliminated..) then you wouldn’t get paid.. I banked the total hours I could bank both in vacation and sick time.. then would give away my two weeks to other employees that would get sick..( they were usually let go)
        when I met my wife nurses made 4.50 an hour..at the one facility I was just stepping in to help at..health insurance for one.. was five hundred a month two hundred dollar clinic copay and twenty grand deductible..I tried to get the government golden goose health policy..god I tried..I tell all the kids working there stay even if they don’t pay you a dime..the retirement the health insurance and getting school loans paid off is payment enough..when my daughter w as noted to go to the hospital to work I asked her why..she said look what they give you..yes it is a rewarding career but for gods sake don’t expect the perks they give to the administration staff.. one year we got a pad of twenty two inch by two inch sicky notes lol..the vacation condos and cruises the nonuses etc.are not meant for the regular staff..its the land of short shifts to walk in and have someone pat you on the back as their shift exits…tag your it… and if your an..RN.. with a late night emergency.. the doctor you call will tell you just what a worthless piece of shit you are for disturbing him late night.. I seen one moron throw the chart at the nurse then refuse to see the patient..she left in tears.. I said hey you should chunk that shit at me once I am the one that brought the issue to her..he was smart and didn’t he just huffed out the door..now that doesn’t happen in a government run hospital.. oncall doctor is allowed to treat a late night event..the family physician steps in during the day during clinic hours..
        big a happy meal that cheap there.. I just paid seventeen dollars for one a breakfast meal was ten..its broken..and the scary part is you see it in the lineup at the drivethrough..

      • I most definitely am living in the wrong state.. in Texas a years home taxes is what ours is per month.. ( my electrician pars two grand a month.. my new friend that lost income is over a grand a month.. my guess fifteen hundred) a wenty five year comparison.. value twenty five years/to today. 1/10,000 what a home cost twenty five years ago is about ten grand higher per dollar.The stage is set….when the receptionist atvthe clinic said the other day when I took the wife in for a routine blood test that nearly every patient that day had called and canceled their appointment, it’s not just a scheduling issue—it’s a signal. Citizens are making hard choices, not because they lack responsibility, but because the cost of simply existing has outpaced the dignity of living.Its a quality of life issue.. I had experience this quite a lot .. and I had to learn a lot of things just to be able to have some sort of quality of life.. a brick and mortar building has its requirements .. these are costs set in stone..we stopped off at a subway last night..the manager gave us a buy one get one..we had been the only customer in four hours..at the football game.. a hot dog 4.25 a glass of water or soda 3.25 needless to say.. we didn’t buy and neither was anyone else..I observed them be that stopped then peeked in his wallet then left..

  6. George,
    Is it the Federal Reserve that has created the 800+% increase in equity valuations since 1913 or is it the (winning of WW2 and nuclear superpower position) and recently (last 30 years) of very accommodating congressional policies, e.g., repeal of Glass-Stealgall in the 1990’s, NAFTA and PNTR trade agreements, corporate stock buy backs, 2008 corporate bail-outs, 2-3 times of average GDP growth deficit spending, and equity long term/short capital gains tax advantages? Do investments in debt markets and personal saving accounts have similar tax advantages? Most would concur US equities are, by far, the most advantaged global holding asset.

    With such advantages, the asset debt macroeconomic system will extend self-assembly of equity valuations to their maximum possible fractal growth.

    For the SPX, the 1982 to 2026 13/33 year :: x/2.5x fractal series, a transient valuation high occurred on 19 Sept 2025 as it occurred for the QQQ. From its 2008 low the QQQ is following a 35/88/82 of 87/88 month fractal growth series.

    From its 7 April 2025 low, the QQQ has followed 3 observable 3-phase daily fractal growth series: (you decide if there is a observable pattern.)

    10/25/20 days :: x/2.5x/2x
    5/13/13 days :: x/2.5x/2.5x and
    7/16/14 days :: x/2-2.5x/2x ending 19 Sept 2025

    The last 14 days of the 7/16/14 day fractal growth series was a 2/5/5/3 day series followed by a 3/8/8 hours ::x/2.5x/2.5x reaching a new blow-off valuation peak on day 14 : 19 April 2025.

    A crash is expected over the next 9-10 trading days ending on 2-3 October and completing a 7/16/14/10-11 day 4-phase growth and decay fractal series.

    Exiting equity money will flow into the debt market driving interest rates down sharply and facilitating the next two fed funds rates cuts.

    Will the final high completing the 35/88/87-88 monthly fractal growth series be a higher high or a lower high .. time will tell.

    • Since equity pricing is now largely based on AI’s trading equities back and forth to artificially inflate values, I’m wondering if Elliott waves still really exist in the wild. A glorious free fall in equity prices over the next ten days would reestablish the rule of frightened knee jerk investing, and a return to beloved economic barbarism. Down with artificial intellectualism and corruption, and up with the real deal.

      • To create the equity collapse, due to all the AI Trading and derivative offshoots (which are all interconnected) what would need to happen is for SOME part of the interconnectivity chain to go NO BID … and then over time the entire chain collapses on itself (the higher the leverage and the closer to the NO BID item the quicker hat part collapses). That is what happened back in 08 when one of the prime Mortgage Obligation Bond Insurer went TITS UP (AIG), after which credit markets across the board started going NO BID wrt their wacky debt and derivative instruments. (same thing happened with Long Term Capital Management with all their high leveraged plays on Russian Debt in 1998)

        Being an outsider you don’t see the collapse as it starts, all you can do is look around the edges at stress indicators and try to read if those tea leaves suddenly move in an illogical manner.

        The “Pump Is Primed” so to speak. Everybody is leveraged up the wazoo, particularly retail (which is ALWAYS wrong at the top). Once a sudden event starts it is going to be difficult for the FED to control it’s descent as bankruptcies will start occurring in the most unexpected quarters

        (General Electric in 2008 came within an hour or so of locking up the entire Commercial Credit Market, they were the largest issuer of Commercial Credit paper a the time, which would have locked up the entire bond market – bankrupting many if not most of the big trading houses in the process)

        I guess we wait and see. Interesting Times to be alive!

  7. … The last 14 days of the 7/16/14 day fractal growth series was a 2/5/5/3 day series followed by a 3/8/8 hours ::x/2.5x/2.5x reaching a new blow-off valuation peak on day 14 : 19 Sept(vice April) 2025.

  8. I am not sure that it’s the on-going news cycle.., or my own personal cycle/rhythm.., maybe Sun Spot activity ?.., tarot cards weren’t shuffled properly ? Mars is in transit of what? But the news this past week, or so, has really dragged me down. I have been in a perpetual “bummed-out” state for a couple of days now. And I don’t like that very much. I had to step away for a few days.

    Until recently I had some hope for this country. We have always managed to pull our selves out of the quagmire of war and disasters and rise once again to new heights. I no longer have that hope. It has vanished. Left me completely. .., and hope is a very strong outlook and motivator. My outlook now is non-existent and there is no motivation. There is no hope.

    I have no hope left for this country. When over one hundred Texas Teachers publicly applaud cold-blooded, first-degree murder and thousands rise-up to support them – where does that foster any hope? Where does that one act show any unity., or cohesion for this country?

    It doesn’t. It shows that we are fractured., completely, without any purpose other than ‘me first – screw you’., nation wide.

    We have failed. Miserably. ., and yet here you are arguing and getting your tightie-whities in bunch about Presidential popularity polls.

    Opinions are a fleeting thing., they really don’t account for much. “It’s not what you think that matters – it’s what you ‘do’ that shows the world who you are.” And my opinion is not worth any more than yours. I understand that., very well.

    It is my opinion that we will not make it through the current Presidency. If we do fall into a depression, tens of millions are going to die., simply because the supply chains will shatter., and every major city will collapse. Whether we do or not, has very little to do with the Federal Reserve., or this administrations economic policies.

    I spent just over a year with a research group on what will happen when a depression hits and those supply chains vanish. The research paper was supposed to be published this past January.., it hasn’t. It’s been locked-up or, buried somewhere within this administration. I do not know if it will ever be released. I now doubt it. And it would be an illegal act on my part to release the finished report. It was a government sponsored academia research project. I was one of two mathematicians and a weekly contributor to “creative ideas” – 12 of us in total.

    My hopes for this country has vanished. I reread the final version of that research paper just a couple of days ago. It is just as frightening now as it was when we finalized it. – but now it appears to be a blue print of what is going to happen.

    “It is my opinion that we will not make it through the current Presidency.” I sincerely hope that we do not follow the course set out in that research – but then, I have personally given-up and have no hope left. .., and it is – just ‘my opinion’.

    Take care everyone. Sadly, it is not going to get better.

    – “Stay Frosty ! “

      • I dunno… sounds like doomer dozen to me. Disturbing news.
        “Stay Frosty”
        What do you get when you cross a snowman with a vampire?

        Frostbite.

    • Every so often, a comment comes in that makes me stop, set the coffee cup down, and really listen. One of our sharpest readers — a man who has carried weight in places most of us wouldn’t choose to — is describing something unusual: not tactics, not opinion, but a flat admission that his hope for this country is gone.

      That should make you sit up.

      It’s not about polls, or the Fed, or the usual squabbling headlines. It’s about the deeper current — the sense that the United States is no longer pulling together, that the social contract has already frayed past mending.

      You don’t need to agree with him. But you ought to recognize what it means when seasoned eyes, the kind that have seen a lot and never rattled easy, are now reading the horizon and calling a change of sea state.

      We’ll pick this up in Peoplenomics next week with a look at how to navigate when the weather turns. Because if the waves are shifting, the job isn’t to argue with the tide — it’s to trim sails and steer smart.

      “Stay Frosty.”

      Copy.

      • Many of us who come to this site, have gained a lot of respect for d’Lynn and his contributions here. He is smart, articulate and a hell of a poker player. His loss of hope is not a good sign.

        Please don’t leave the site D’Lynn. We need your continued wisdom as we go through this raging battle between good and evil. There are too many good people to abandon. As a Christian, I know where the final hope lies.

    • The University of Michigan’s February 2025 forecast paints a picture of an economy walking a tightrope—showing surface-level momentum while quietly absorbing deep structural strain. Real GDP growth and job numbers suggest resilience, but beneath that lies a trifecta of looming threats: rising tariffs that could choke supply chains, a fiscal agenda poised to widen deficits, and federal downsizing that risks hollowing out public services. Inflation remains unpredictable, driven by spikes in essentials like used cars and insurance, while consumer confidence teeters on policy uncertainty. then there’s the Krungsri Research March 2025 analysis offers a sobering view of the U.S. economy, warning that recession risks are intensifying beneath the surface of modest growth. The report highlights a weakening labor market, rising consumer delinquency rates, and persistent high interest rates as key indicators of systemic strain. It notes that federal policy uncertainty—particularly around tariffs and fiscal restructuring—could further destabilize inflation and erode.
      competitiveness. While some sectors show resilience, the overall picture suggests a fragile economy vulnerable to external shocks and internal misalignment. The analysis urges close monitoring of manufacturing output, consumer spending, and credit markets, framing the next 12 months as a critical window for either soft landing or deeper downturn.its really not a secret..they are selling the business model..it’s spectacle masquerading as salvation. The business model being sold to the public is dressed in optimism, padded with inflated projections, and sweetened with promises of prosperity. But beneath the cherry topping lies a bitter truth that those with the ability want to keep hidden..the foundation is being hollowed out, not reinforced. The “big beautiful bill” isn’t designed to serve the many—it’s engineered to enrich the few, those with decision-making power, while the real economic outlook is quietly amputated from public view.This is the classic collapse pattern seen through history: inflate the top, amputate the base, and distract the middle with performance. The numbers look bigger people think they are being productive and growing, but they’re built on borrowed time and inflated legers..I remember a time when I thought..if I ever make four dollars an hour I’d be rich, since then we have outsourced labor, and systemic neglect deregulated essential services and neglected our own infrastructure to inflate the top tier of society.. our grid is vulnerable because its been kept weak to enrich a few.. our medical system is poor at best and a insurance industry raping the public where it could be fixed easily its kept weak to insure inflation for a few. It’s not just bad policy—it’s a betrayal of our polictical leadership and stewardship of our industrial leaders.

    • I personally have not been affected deeply by the current state of affairs, but am quietly surfing the waves. My wife, on the other hand, has been in what I might describe as a “blue funk” for a couple of days now. Today, for example, she got upset at our gate opener because it didn’t, then at me because I didn’t approve of her idea to fix it. That resulted in her actually throwing something (small) at me in anger. That has never happened in 55+ years. I have nothing to which I can attribute it other than the upheaval in “the force”.

      Might be a good time for me to crawl in a hole and pull the hole in after me.

      • I hear ya..when we visited at my brothers for vacation.. life felt different..oh my god it was amazing.. a different life.. what I see daily didn’t exist at all..if someone had told me life was like that..I would have thought they were blowing smoke up my keester.
        so its obvious these areas exist.. like the stores in his area..groceries were overall one third of our area..we ate at a very nice Italian restaurant and a very nice Mexican restaurant.. both with drinks.. for five people for what it cost to stop at the local burger king for two whopper meals..In places like Portugal, Mexico, Costa Rica, Thailand, and parts of Eastern Europe, the cost of living is significantly lower, healthcare is more accessible, and communities often value elders as cultural anchors rather than economic burdens. A U.S. retiree receiving $1,500–$2,000 a month might struggle to cover rent, food, and medical care here—but in those regions, that same amount could afford comfortable housing, fresh meals, and even routine healthcare, often with money left over for community engagement or travel.
        I am still trying to convince the wife we need to move.. In the U.S., elders are often forced into economic triage—choosing between prescriptions and groceries, delaying care, or downsizing into isolation.The effects of economic collapse and systemic neglect always travel like a wave—hitting the poor first starting in one area and rippling out whether its the slums of a city or the wastelands of the usa.,the effects of eroding their access to care, housing, and dignity long before the affluent even notice a ripple to these the issues just don’t exist and those forced to seek community assistance seen and disposed as leaches on society . Those living in gated communities or high-income enclaves remain insulated, buffered by wealth and illusion, believing the system is stable because their lives are untouched. But when the wave finally reaches them, it will be too late.. Had the Romanovs, King Louis, or Marie Antoinette chosen humility over spectacle, inclusion over separation, they might have rallied the people to solve the crisis together. Like the Bundled Emperor who, upon seeing the true suffering of his people, worked tirelessly to restore balance, they could have rewritten history through stewardship. But when leaders refuse to see, the wave becomes a reckoning—and the fall, inevitable. we are at the cliffs edge. and I don’t see how we can avoid it.. even though it hasn’t hit your area.. YET.. it will..so I will continue to share my recipes for the small things that give one a quality of life when it hits the skids

    • Hope is a valuable commodity my friend. The interesting part is it is free. All it takes is to know that we are being looked out for and watched over. All that we need to do is lay everything down and know it will all be OK in the end. For me they are The Father and The Son and The Holy Spirit. Don’t know who that may be for you but I do know there is someone.
      I personally am sending my positive energy and prayers to you. Don’t give up. Take a break if needed, just don’t quit. Believe it or not there are millions of reasons to stay in the fight.

      Stay safe.

    • “It is my opinion that we will not make it through the current Presidency.” I sincerely hope that we do not follow the course set out in that research – but then, I have personally given-up and have no hope left. .., and it is – just ‘my opinion’.”

      This is the conclusion I came to in 2008. It is the reason I held my nose and voted as a Republican, for the first time in 26 years, for Mittens, in the Presidential Primary. It is the reason I got pissed when Huckaby dropped out of the Primary, specifically to 86 Romney’s chances. I had determined the nation was so far gone that only a businessman could save us. By 2012 Mittens had sold out and I started looking for the fork holes. Then Trump came along and did the impossible. He singlehandedly, with the judiciary, all the Dems, and half the Repukes against him, pulled our cookies out of the fire.

      I refuse to believe he can’t do it again.

      If’fn you want a left field event, turn on your idiot boxes today. Charlie Kirk was not just a political pundit. He was a Christian evangelist with a larger following than any politician (except the Pope) of any era, which anyone here can name. The Phoenix Cardinals NFL team won’t be playing a home game today. Instead, Messrs Trump and Vance will be present, along with the majority of Trump’s Cabinet, virtually every Republican in Congress and half the Dems, and 200,000 of Charlie Kirk’s followers (not counting the million or so, outside the Glendale complex or the tens of millions at Turning Point chapters in the U.S., Canada, Mexico, every nation in Europe, most nations in Africa & Asia, and every other English-speaking nation worldwide.

      I don’t know if this is going to be a sob-session or a celebration, but if it’s the latter, it may change the course of human events for years to come…

    • Do NOT forget the Thucydides Trap.

      I have been living with that projection from my original economic /war model done in 1979 for over 45 years now … and 1979 was more than 30 years before a Harvard Professor “discovered” and “wrote up” what my research had shown me as the future long before.

      With everything in my model having hit right on their timing points for 45 years I have no reason to suspect my War /Economic model will now fail. The cake is baked and can’t be unbaked.

      Long ago as my model was hitting it’s timing points I came to an understanding with my relationship with my God so like Andy I don’t allow myself to worry about it anymore.

      It is what it is, the freight train is going too fast to stop and is too close to the crash site such that even a derailment today would not change the outcome. (if you have even watched a train wreck approaching in real time you will understand that all you can do is stand back and watch the event happen since it can’t be stopped).

      Find peace with yourself and with your family. That is Andy’s approach to what is coming, and mine too.

    • The sad part..is its only just starting !!!
      I gave up on how I seen things moving a long time ago..

  9. Reviewing operational status.
    Employer has work.
    Got a fresh haircut this afternoon.
    I bought new tread for the SUV 2 weeks ago. The vehicle is broke in, but mileage is not too high. Never start a major downturn or life change with a vehicle on life support and bald tires.
    Bicycle is serviceable.
    I went off the (prep) wagon and topped off the short term water reserves and laid in gathering supplies for potential social disruptions a month or so back.
    Cash reserves are good. Plastic is paid. Bank and insurance ratings look OK. Monthly comms, utilities and fuel are modest. I keep utilities paid months in advance. I pay comms in advance where I am allowed to.
    I need to do a little more tractor work, but it could be put on hold until spring if absolutely necessary. Broke the tractor; part should be in Wednesday. I’ll fix it myself. No biggie.
    Rotation fuel is topped off.
    I always have food reserves.
    Got two chain saws that will start, and spare chains. Need to take one in for service. I have 2-cycle gas and oil on hand.
    Not really set up to go into deep isolation hiding, but I can make myself very scarce if need be. I am as vigilant as BP allows.
    Don’t need to make any major purchases to get by. Just need to use restraint, and think things through before going for the wallet.
    I would like to see dLynn’s study paper as soon as it is published. I have weathered some bad times in the past, but conditions should be ripe for an accelerated downhill excursion. Stay frosty and flexible, I would think.
    TEF’s comments indicate that we are about to get a confirmation signal on whether the economy is really free market, or is hopelessly rigged. BCN’s comments on lack of confirmations is on the mark.
    No comment on Nov 2 ballot, except that there two constitutional amendments for property tax exemptions on the Texas ballot that I want passed. And yeah, I have the same COI that every other citizen homeowner has.

  10. If things do all go to shit as some are predicting, the hue and cry of “Aristo, Aristo, a la lanterne” will at least provide some short term entertainment. The tribal goings on in deep blue shit holes will make for captivating Television, too. For as long as cable still works. At least for those prepared folks in fly over country with a goodly supply of ammo and comestibles. So there is always a bright side.

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