BFD Arrives. Martket Rally on Fumes?

We hope you had a kick-ass Turkey and have put on the “special lotion” to minimize Credit Card Burn as the IED’s (improvised expensive deals) are going on all over the Edges of screens already… Today’s Agenda: We need a “deal review” and to remind Sunday is our ShopTalk Sunday Tool Slut Bargain Calendar. Market is … Read More

GTO (George Turkey Operations) Then BFO

GM introduced the GTO to the mass market in 1963 based on the Tempest lightweight chassis. After 62 years of of “progress” I still haven’t got one. And GTO means George’s Turkey Operations (or “get turkey over” is you get the working end).  BFO?  Black Friday Operations.  (Customary ad link here) Bag Warning Do not … Read More

The Northern Impact Report

Ah, Earth being smacked by an asteroid – why it’s perfect dinner table fare for tomorrow.  Except, of course, that Earth could be the Turkey. See, this problem keeps coming into focus, Lurch by lurch. But when the timeline seems to be Biblical to Nostradamus, to linguistics, to remote viewing?  Yeah… a concern, no doubt. … Read More

Housing Updated

Just out from Case-Shiller/S&P latest housing prices: Year-Over-Year The S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 1.3% annual gain in September, down from 1.4% the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 2.0%, down from 2.1%the previous month. The 20-City Composite posted … Read More

Holiday Rally Eyed, A Senator Steps in It, and AI Comes to Dinner

Two Agendas are running:  The Home Agenda and the Life/Finance/Greed Agenda.  this is a two-part report because Housing Prices are due out shortly. Home Agenda Other than HELOC paperwork, or a stick-up on the way home, here’s the layout: Thanksgiving ? Thursday Black Friday ? Friday Weekend lull / cleanup ? Sat–Sun Cyber Monday ? … Read More

Casino Lines and the R-Value of Bacon

Monday comes for us all.  And sometimes, change comes with it. QHA (Quick Hits & Agenda) Casino doors open on Wall St. shortly – we’ll do some nose counting. Big buzz on possible peace between Russia and Ukraine – but we have concerns. Click fever overcomes personal savings plans this week – but we have … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: Free Storage, Killer Sound Sys, and Phased Speakers

TLl;DR:  I’m gonna show you have $8 bucks worth of 2-By’s will change your life.  Then we plan for the Post Christmas Speaker Scrounge – which leads to phased speakers.  (And maybe permanent hearing…what????) Get 2-by-4s for Christmas Um, after you buy all my books, and buy a Peoplenomics subscription for everyone in your state…ahem… Step out … Read More

Conditioned Response Investing

Pavlov and markets both ring bells.  And Wall Street will ring-a-ding Monday.  So while we wait to drop the other “catastrophism shoe” next Wednesday when we roll the Northern Impact Scenario, today we take a breather to stack some cash.  And break “the old physics.” But next week could be tough.  Four major psychological forces … Read More

Market Flirts w/Crash, Moving Averages Warn, Ure Does Kid’s Book?

TL;DR:  Our “big rally” came by early in the Thursday session and promptly left town. Now our Fractalist pal warns of worse while moving averages blink. In denial, I consider writing a children’s book. But even that’s…well…You’ll see. Markets Before Rehab The Fed’s “intake counseling” results will pop in December with the rate meeting.  But … Read More

Division Work! Market Rallies – GovUp – Noise Floor Work

TL;DR:  You can see the headlines solidifying now: MAGA fractures, Biden to Cheney Funeral, and more. But the market loves a good story of long-division. With GovUp plodding, we’re hiding out from noise. Long-Division Time In the mid 1960s, I was part of the original New Math kids.  The Russian launch of Sputnik a few years earlier … Read More

A Historical Convergence?

Economics will encounter gravity on its own timeline soon enough. That timeline is driven by interest rates and the laws of compound interest. Today we summarize a much more serious topic than even markets. And for this you need a definition before we begin. PAIR-Compliant: PAIR-compliant means aligned with the Probabilistic Asteroid Impact Risk framework … Read More

Can Bitcoin Be Saved? News-Noise and Strategic Christmas

TL;DR: Bitcoin busted below $90,000 overnight. Japan market dropped more than 3 percent.  And when we start getting current US Financial reports again?  Well, anyone’s guess.  Still, holiday rallies seem possible but Christmast this year will be more strategic than warm & fuzzy. Today’s Setup Is that coffee or Panic! we’re smelling this morning? It’s one of those mornings where … Read More

“Ovals” Call Market Rally, GovUp Normies, Intent Boxing

TL;DR:  Today is a “5” for markets – Government is edging back to work, and a close brush with death by stroke was averted.  Today’s breakfast is Spontaneous Healing, Magic Ovals, and the Math of Miracles. Breaking:  NY Fed Empire State Does this read like the “world ending” to you? “Business activity increased at a solid … Read More