The Rally We Warned Of? Housing to Follow

This will sound paradoxical as hell.  When can a stock market rally be bad?  I mean really, really (potentially) bad? The answer is when it becomes part of the “last train out” before a global spasm of collapse which we figure will get organized in Europe within a month, that’s when! Let’s see what the longer … Read More

Are Depressions “Winnable?” CFNAI, Knee Sprain

The ONLY question that matters today is “Will we bounce?” The stock market has been in hard down mode for a while now.  And after the Futures markets became stable (a little after 5 AM Central) our long-term view (which told us a large Wave 3 Down was here) pointed to a nasty open. The … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: Complexities of Collapse

I’m (wild-ass) guessing son G2 will be back on homestead lands before Christmas.  Not that making a boatload of money up north isn’t grand fun, but the fact is the Old Man can’t figure out how his assignment will keep from getting shut down when the world hits the financial skids in the next couple … Read More

Red Friday Breakdown

We stick to our economic long wave roots this morning.  With the market breaking (for a while) below June lows, our “worst case” outlook is (unfortunately!) beginning to firm up.. With it a few headlines, but mainly this is a time when the game of future may be won, or lost, depending on the prepping … Read More

Breaking Through June Lows

Henceforth this may be called Red Friday.  June lows fell, but now trying to bounce a bit and kiss the lows again. While our lookahead allows for a modeled rally after today, the larger picture remains 50-shades of grim. About the only other counsel worth keeping is my consigliere, some colleagues I’ve worked on theory with … Read More

Parimutuel Collapse Training

Old Man Ure needs to blow out super-early today.  Car tabs come up so I need to make a run into town for the annual inspection (“yes, it’s a car”) and visit to the auto tabbery at the Courtly house in order to keep up the driveryly legalities.  Twice a year the old Dog pickup … Read More

Day Trading the Weimar, Players a Bit Scrambled

Glorious Thursday!~ It was a highly profitable Fed announcement for Ure’s, truly.  And for a few of our readers, like D’Lynn for one.  Yes, it was a dandy day.  But punctuated with a reminder from my consigliere that although we are expecting something of a rally in here, “Counter Trend Trading is a great way … Read More

Where America Went Wrong

Welcome to Fed Day and the afternoon adventure of “How High Will They go?”  As we collapse down into the Second Depression (our use of the term ought to be obvious within a year) we spot and tell you how to fix two of America’s dumbest decisions.  This won’t be painful, except if you find … Read More

Here’s When the UKR War Ends. Housing Data

Fascinating historically based rambling-tale of a pseudo-academic logician’s thought processes kicks off today. Sudo apt-get install, shall we? From the top, then.  The Vietnam War ended on April 30, 1975.  Using this point alone, long wave economics can offer us AMAZING insight into the future of global conflicts. Including a couple of windows for the … Read More

Dead Queen Day – Markets Slide More – Court Attacked

We will give only a few lines to the queen’s burial today.  We will – because there is so much media attention on the event – keep this morning’s remarks quite brief. Although, have to tell you, “live coverage” of a death event is somewhat oxymoronic to our clear-headed way of thinking.  Yet here you … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: Fall Kick-Off, Side of Woo-Woo

I’m really, really big on lean-to’s.  Don’t know if I ever told you the story of the one on the east side of our “trailer” or not.  But we had this existing wood porch that led to the front door.  And it was made from real treated wood.  The kind you could get “back in the … Read More

Crash Picking!

Step right up, folks!  With the long-term market peak in, we’re gonna play Crash Call!  It’s a game where everyone can win – and everyone can lose. Get the date right?  Got the right financial instruments in your pocket?  You could be the Big Winner.  Why the odds would embarrass Publisher’s Clearinghouse. Except, for one … Read More

Markets: Mini-Crash Alert! Hard Week Ahead

Warning:  Do NOT read today’s column near an open window.  Yeah, it’s that bad. Here we are.  Made it to Friday with a short position upside down based on early futures.  Not terribly worried about it, though, since we can exit on any short-term rally. It’s NEXT WEEK we need to start thinking long and hard about.  … Read More