A Historical Convergence?

Economics will encounter gravity on its own timeline soon enough. That timeline is driven by interest rates and the laws of compound interest.

Today we summarize a much more serious topic than even markets. And for this you need a definition before we begin.

PAIR-Compliant: PAIR-compliant means aligned with the Probabilistic Asteroid Impact Risk framework — using physics-based, Monte-Carlo–validated models to plan for low-probability, high-impact celestial events. In practice, it means preparation scaled by altitude, redundancy, and quantified risk rather than fear, fiction, or guesswork.

It’s NOT like huge events don’t announce themselves. In addition to Clif High’s work on globla coastal impacts, there’s Farsight, other RV groups, and even a religious seer or two.

Big events tipping their hand in advance? Sure do — you bet. Let’s back up.

In the decade leading to the 1871 firestorm, America was in the grip of two overlapping movements: the Second Great Awakening and the rise of Spiritualism (1848 onward).

Both created an environment where visions, warnings, and premonitions were part of the public conversation. Several figures — mostly revivalist preachers and frontier visionaries — issued warnings about “great fires,” “judgment by flame,” and “Northern destruction.”

By the late 1860s, Chicago was frequently targeted in sermons as a “city of pride,” with prophetic warnings it would be “brought low by flame.” Spiritualist circles in the Midwest recorded dreams of “red skies,” “fire in the night,” and “a storm of sparks that moves like wind,” though none named dates or locations.

Among frontier homesteaders, a few letters and diaries from Wisconsin and Michigan mention a “bad feeling” about the unusually dry season of 1871, and one Methodist preacher in Wisconsin reportedly warned his congregation in mid-September of “a cleansing fire coming soon.”

None of these rise to the level of documented prophecy, but they demonstrate a cultural and intuitive sensing of danger in the months leading up to what became the Peshtigo and Chicago Fire events in October of 1871. Some of that feels oddly familiar today.

Now, we have technology. And we have orbital mechanics and new means of analysis. Though long, at over 60 pages for both parts today, this is only the first of two scenarios we’ve run.

This one is “Modeling a Southern Impact — A PAIR-Compliant Framework.”

Next week’s Northern Impact is even worse. And over 70-pages.

But hey! It’s a Bank Reserve Settlement Day and with a holiday ahead, printing presses on a roll — what’s not to love? Well, except our focus here.

If you’re not already a subscriber, this material should be on Amazon inside two weeks when the full model is wrapped. Peoplenomics subscribers, as always, get first crack at the good stuff. Or in this case… maybe “good” isn’t the right word.

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42 thoughts on “A Historical Convergence?”

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    • I called for the Second Civil War to begin in 2025 back in Mar.2006 at the Hazlet,NJ firehouse when I told one of my nephews that Neptune,the planet of delusion,was once again going into Aries,the sign of war in 2025 as it had done before on April 12,1861,the date of the Fort Sumter attack.

  3. Quack !

    What do Quackers and Presidents have to do with each other, Brother?

    Can you say Lame ? As in Lame Duck ? quackquackquackquack -https://youtu.be/cQ8j263XmIc?

    His Arrogance, the orange asshole of self aggrandizement, has decided to okay the release of epstain files ??!? Give me a F-ing break. They were getting released whether our Zio puppet wanted them to or not.

    FULL OF SCHEISSE the orange sword swallower be. Anyone surprised by this turn of events ?

    Musk has already proposed the soilution to the “Pollution” that is the DS/swamp.

    *****************CUT the Govmint in HALF, 50 % right off the top.

    As he did at TESLA – forcing Efficiencies and Forcing innovation and creativity.

    As Trauma be the BEST Teacher & Trainer one can get.

    Implode the Shitshow or we bee going down several levels into servitude to same Masters as got the orange gullum of greatness ASS in a sling.

  4. I’ll say it again – read Ethical Skeptic and his ECDO; Earth Cataclysm. Oldest monuments on earth all pointing to original North Pole before the Pole flip that killed virtually everyone from the flood. Leaving behind all kinds of warnings for future generations many intentionally hidden. Most popular among them the Pyramids because everyone is familiar with them. Coastal events, tidal wave bombs all kind of portend to something major. It may end up being the pole flip. Only 10% or so will survive……. fascinating information and the guy has serious creds.

    • Google Earth Pro..

      open that sucker up, drag cursor over to Greenland. Further drag to northern most tip of Greenland, now slowly slide cursor over the Coastline.

      See that huge ass Scar ripped into the bedrock ? Just ione of the many impact sites dotting the globe..

    • Yes, and also the work of Ben Davidson (https://suspicious0bservers.org/). I find some of Ben’s stuff a little over the top, but he does a good job of laying out all the pieces and history related to these events.

      Impactor event is within the range of probability but there’s enough historic evidence to pretty much guarantee some sort of solar event.

  5. George, now you’re scaring me with the Monte Carlo simulations…. One of the things I pay attention to.

    I think I’ll go make some more tea while I ponder what this really means for my personal bubble lol.

  6. just rig it ehh . im 2 negative because i dont support corruption . take a flyting f t f land and tell somebody else yah corruption supporters . funny good ehh dopamine freaks

  7. Bubba – Putin has vids

    Who is Big Beautiful Bill ?

    Who is Donica Lewinsky

    What an embarrassment !

    You can coat that scheisse with as much GOLD as you like, its still a TURD.

    • oh what wicked webs have I spun ?

      Dont forget youse needa “wicked” Spider, to spin a WICKED web..

      -https://www.theinteldrop.org/2024/07/16/americas-most-viral-trumps-settlement-documents-for-10-child-rapes/

      Can you believe any of it ? Hmmmm

      Try maybe this one – a different angle as it were -https://www.theinteldrop.org/2025/11/19/neutralizing-both-charlie-kirk-and-trumps-epstein-ties/

      Oh Ollie !

  8. wow that amazing fella the boss of goldman sarks . yeah mate !!! up and down for years the market . he just trades 2 !!! AI AI AI , him and the girl interviewing him are getting sexually excited talking about it !!! goldy sarks 770 bucks a share !!! get outta town . !!! im a dumb f

  9. ehh !!! laurel and hardy !! elon and jensen big capos at the saudi investment circus . money and currency is irrelevant . ahh F$#@ this . evil sheet

  11. She is home !

    .., I’m exhausted.

    Thanks again – one and all !
    [ two in particular.]

    “Stay Frosty ! ”
    .

  12. wow that was a great peoplenomics today. got up and started clapping my laptop . always knew you were a smart fella G but that was in another galaxy of genius . and yep its not just presentation material , its the style of writing and the sequence . tip my hat to you

      • cant wait . the old shock and awe stuff ? when yah seen enough in life just look after health then go and sleep . great news again dlynn

      • Georgia Republicans already gagging (or losing their 20 yr positions) on AI impact:
        https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/11/19/electricity-rates-data-centers-elections/
        ‘If this month is any indication, artificial intelligence has disrupted yet another part of American life: electoral politics. Nowhere was this more evident than in Georgia where two Republican incumbents lost their seats on the Public Service Commission, the regulatory agency responsible for utility pricing. An AI data center construction boom across the state has caused consumers’ electricity costs to surge, leading voters to elect Democrats to state-level office for the first time in two decades.’

        • “leading voters to elect Democrats to state-level office for the first time in two decades.’”

          Wow – whole State full of People as stupid as…are.

          Above, is like Shooting holes in the Lifeboats on deck of Titanic prior to Sinking.

          Wheres Johnny when Youse need him? Cause there aint no breaking out this prison hellscape without some assistance..

          https://youtu.be/Mv4xlp3GlWw?si=MhuriK7ULywendg1

  13. re: Carnac the Magnificent
    feat: Turkey

    1./ According to Grok, guinea fowl (numida meleagris) from West African regions acquired its European name of “turkey” through trade via the nation now known as Turkey (or Türkiye since a ~2022 UN edict).

    2./ [North] American “turkey” (meleagris gallopavo) appearing on grocery shelves today apparently descend from birds domesticated by the Mayan and Aztecs in Mesoamerica before Europeans arrived.

    3./ Today the President of the Ukraine and entourage reached turkey via a white bird. Upon arrival in Ankara, the visiting group received a tour to the Anitkabir (“Grave Monument”) Mausoleum situated in Peace Park. There the visiting head of state placed a wreath upon the tomb of Turkey’s modern founder, President Atatürk. Afterwards he received an audience with President Erdo?an. The latter received praise for his “diplomacy”. Apparently the visit to that point had plumbed no additional monies towards the war effort.

    • re: a “Room 16/ODESSA” anomaly?
      feat: Ali Baba

      One imagines a delegation’s members in Ankara, Turkey are drawing a plumb line to a nearest wishbone. It seems the IWKM (Institute for War and Peace Reporting) convened a public meeting in Kyiv last week to mull over matters of alleged corruption in the Ukrainian energy sector. The IWKM is a non-profit charity headquartered in Camden, London on a street whose legal profession roots date to the 13th century.

      Thereafter Ukraine’s NABU investigating leaks of alleged siphoned energy sector funds offered a short update. A Mr. “Ali Baba” is a person of interest.

      Alright then, let’s get back to the Turkey feast.

      • re: Odessa files
        feat: Pegasus?; red split bet?

        ‘…Paging Linus to Mr. Ocean’s office…Paging Linus to Mr. Ocean’s office!…”

        Folks,
        The Prime Minister of Ukraine, Mrs. Sverydenko, has added a public post to her Telegram account announcing a new state regulated lottery after a 12 year hiatus to be administered by public regulator, Play City. The image headlining her post shows by publicly available search as being first indexed on a privately owned AI image editing platform headquartered in Malaga, Spain on April 27, 2023. The current copy is unattributed so one imagines that the PM’s office holds a paid subscription with the image hosting platform. As chance would have it inferencing from the imaged numbers, I’m guessing someone may be playing roulette 27 on a (European?) roulette table to match the 27 EU nations.

        Although today’s lottery announcement is new, state regulator Play City offers up interesting elements. Although the Play City name is fresh this year, it allegedly occupies the same office and employs the same number of people as previous state regulator KRAIL according to “Glavnoe” (Main). Currently Play City is led by a ruling ‘Servant of the People’ MP from the Ministry of Digital Information. At last gasp, KRAIL had been led by a former mayor of Odesa. Ukrainian news platform Strana (“Country; Page”) blocked in Ukraine and Russia published a 2017 report concerning the mayor’s son’s real estate adventures. The son who remains a sitting MP in the Ukraine Rada informed Strana that he received a us$700,000 loan from his father-in-law who apparently is a vehicle driver with Russia’s Gazprom.

    • must be talkin bout dem Oscillated Turkeys, pretty and colorful burd of Central America. Very noisy burds as well, hard to miss em/mistake em- early morning sunrise time..sitting atop Temple IV- great jaguar temple January 1st, 2000, waiting for Sunrise.
      Oscillateds be one of first things you will hear, followed soonly by the Howler Monkeys..
      Bungle in the Jungle or Jungle Love…hard to beat “I brought you a Crate Papaya, they waited all night by Ure door” -https://youtu.be/7qi6xXR7Eyo?si=zVrVEXmP1Gc-2SZG

      • re: “Book of Dreams”
        feat: a ‘Space Cowboy’

        Papya Wont Deny Ya,
        Thank you for the helpful link leading to a winged-horse-Pegasus album cover. American author Jack Kerouac’s “Book of Dreams” novel came out in 1960. Apparently it follows along about his 1952 to 1960 dream journal.

  14. “Turkey bounce and one that could last to New Years.”

    A week ago the thought was a slide into New Years, now it’s not. I get it’s fluid but still.

    “CW2”

    The thing with this .gov is if it goes so do all its entitlements – everything. So how likely it it everyone gives up their SS/pension bailouts/SSDI and all the others? School loan payments will vape so that’d be nice for some.

  15. Ure Pair Report #1 is dated November 2026. Is that like some sort of Homer Simpson offshoot prophesy or somethin’?
    Large scale inundation of the Gulf Coast would disrupt energy distribution throughout the country. Restarting a refinery buried under 20′ of silt won’t happen. It would likely be faster and cheaper to rebuild. Same issue for ports.

      • As one of my All Time, all time HERO’s, duh-oooh! – those are some very large shoes for Youse to fill. No doubt on my part that you can indeed fill those shoes some day..

        May I suggest you start with Skittles and Duff Beer ? Great method for getting into character, maybe even practice conversational skills with a “Gupta” like Abu in the Simpsons -https://www.youtube.com/shorts/kobrAE5He6Q

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