Statistics, contrary to popular belief, don’t tell us where we are.  Only where we were some time ago. Life is “offset from the numbers.”  For example, on a 4-hour statistical period, your average driving speed may be 40-miles per hour.  But it means absolutely nothing if you are heel & toe through the corkscrew on the east side … Read More

God, I love my meta index work!  Earlier this week, in the Wednesday Peoplenomics.com subscriber report, I made an outlandish call for where the markets COULD go based on my theories of multiple markets, entrainment, and predictability of the human psyche. That was the Line, Bounce, and Crash post, right?  Two out of three came … Read More

We have fresh data! More 1929 rhymes.  But there’s more. I have enjoyable and very lifelike vivid dreams quite frequently. But two, in particular overnight seem to have dealt with Taiwan woo-woo. Because that is one of the few “big deals” in the foamy world of future-emergent news bubbles that could drive such a close … Read More

It occurred to me (after being up all night running future scenarios) that non-subscribers might be interested in what all that “line, bounce, crash” stuff was about. Let’s see the line, first. As I have been telling you for several weeks (months, actually) since the 7/31/23 high we are now in a position to drop … Read More

Our outlooks provide for a drop of more than 1,000 Dow points before month-end. Today is Bounce. Though we have to admit a certain fascination with learning whether the Replay/Rhyme on 1929 can possibly be that deterministic. In other words, one path forward through a chaos theory window is to conduct high-intensity study of starting … Read More

We don’t usually speak grossly, but we have been telling you since not long after the July 31 high this summer that we were going down into the macro-Wave 3 Down. We also from last week were pointing with an arrow to the bottom of the ascending trend line.  How we go down and through … Read More

Should be considered in light of the Case-Shiller, S&P Housing report just out: YEAR-OVER-YEAR The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported 1.0% annual change in July, up from a 0% change in the previous month. The 10- City Composite showed an increase of 0.9%, which … Read More

Plus, we also have our “After Action” report on the odd cluster of calamities that showed up here this week: power down, phones down, heavy rains…Then there’s the market which is still falling apart.  Target-rich reading environment while we await Housing which will be along shortly. Calamity Pain We will have a look at the … Read More

In sections due to rather intense storms in East Texas. 3-inches of rain in gauge.  Moderate wind and non-stop lightning overnight.  On solar driven battery backup.  Will set up the genset after first light. Early futures were about flat, which means our decision not to hold a short postion over the weekend was a good … Read More

We begin with the “Comms drill” report first.  Since being an extra class ham radio guy, who has been in charge of all kinds of computery stuff over the decades, this was a real series of Crashcading Events that was both sobering and instructive. Friday’s Digital Crashcade Life changed here at 4 PM Friday afternoon. … Read More

Calling market tops is dicey at best. But we have been calling the July 31st top as “it” for over a month now.  But that’s only a small part of the forecaster’s dilemma. The attending problem is “Where to from here?” Today, a deep-dive into waveforms, history, momentum dynamics, and even some high-leverage gambling notes. … Read More

Having figured out that investing can’t be done anymore, and Life is now all about Gambler’s Money Management, I haven’t particularly cared about playing this initial decline into Wave 3. “Wave 3? Want to Explain, Ure?” Let me roll out the white board, huff up some marker smell, and line out the bullet points of how … Read More

There is a reason our Peoplenomics report Wednesday focused on the light-up (into World War 3).  Because the waveforms are screaming odds of a replay of 1929 are materializing before us. Consider this view of the pre-Depression Dow and our own Aggregate Index work which is a meta index more suited to widely dispersed modern markets: We … Read More