One of the hardest decisions a small trader can make is whether to hold a position on a Holiday weekend.  So, today we will consider just a bit of the recent data in this regard. Around us, the world situation continues to devolve.  With liquid reinforcements, a roast thawing out, and a whole bunch of … Read More

I’m really glad you asked that.  The “What could go wrong” part.  Because the plain and simple is “A whole crap load could let loose.” Before we look at our loose, intuitive future modeling, though, we have a pile of data and recent news note which may influence the Just Ahead part of life unraveling. … Read More

This is another one of those mornings when I could sleep – there is just something about this market that can’t be trusted, in our view.  The same kind of “down in the gut” we’ve been having about Bitcoin, too. Speaking of which, BTC hypers were back screaming “Buy!” when we approached the $72,000 level Tuesday. … Read More

25-years ago we coined the term “UrbanSurvival” on the leading edge of what became the prepping movement.  Today, there is what we think will be another long-term trend change in play. Young people are warming to minimalism and downscaling. We’re no strangers to the downscaling concept.  Having made the decision to downscale in 2002-2003.  But … Read More

We can begin today’s scribble with advice from Superman’s admirers. “Look!  Up in the Sky!” Throughout history, signs and portents have been sky-tied.  Everyone from Mark Twain to a host of other ancients view celestial events with a sense of wonder and awe. Off the front-page Monday: Rare Fireball Comet Turns Night Into Day Over … Read More

Once again, I have taken a “vow of brevity.”  Which may not last one column’s worth. Short-Term Future Monday: Looks like the Spidey-sense was right about the market going higher, at least at the open.  As you look at the following plot, consider that if we are to have 3 large (multi-month) waves up from … Read More

Two important topics on our agenda today. Small Drilling & Dremming Problems As you know, we look at Making very seriously and methodically.  To us, there are only four general shop operations you need to master: Note the subcategorization by species of tool is important. Measure Tape Caliper Sticks Angles Cut u under this heading are: … Read More

Markets don’t get into a “teaching position” like this very often.  But – wow – are they in a position to inform experts in coming weeks. Some of it has to do with inflation. But there’s the trend channels discussion. Hold the phone, though; we have two holidays in the coming month, as well – … Read More

This is “grocery run” day.  Which naturally segues into the idea of inflation and how it is warping Public thinking.  There are, dear readers, two ways you have to look at inflation. Inflation’s First View This view predominates because the Free Luncher Club (Congress) promotes the idea of an “economic conveyor belt” that will make … Read More

It’s a very Big Deal.  With the attempted assassination on the Slovakian prime minister, we think there’s a case to be made that the world has slipped deeper into a WW-1 Replay, a Weimar-like Inflation, and an economic Depression, all rolled into a new and improved version of Humans Are Stupid, Gold Edition. Let’s see … Read More

OK, Ure is pissed. The markets are being hyped up over 100 at the open based on a minute drop in the All Items less food and energy in today’s CPI report. What you are not hearing much is that retails sales laid a big fat goose egg. Advance Estimates of U.S. Retail and Food … Read More

Yeah – strange topic. But having written a book on vivid dream work and Packing to Die, the suitcase between your ears”  it’s more a logical follow-on. Today, we will review how the three alternative perspectives are religion are doing, too. Fascinating to watch what humans can come up with the explain the outlook over … Read More

Although we would normally begin with the latest breaking data (since markets seem to love it), we will hold for a second to see what the (geniuses) in D.C. have cooked up. Tariff Wars Specifically, the big White House press release beginning: “President Biden Takes Action to Protect American Workers and Businesses from China’s Unfair … Read More