OK, sure. The Fed doesn’t look at Housing prices, because they really like the idea of All Items less food and energy.   But, as a symptom of financial storm clouds?  When the herd gets antsy, we get worried. Today, a chill pill. “Data through June 2025 reveals the following: Year-Over-Year The S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National … Read More

Bet you don’t know when the World’s first Tuesday was, do you? The world’s “first Tuesday” showed up long before Alexa ansd Siri, though nobody called it that yet. The Romans carved the week into seven slices and pinned each one to a god or planet, handing Mars his own day—dies Martis. When the northern … Read More

Gravity and Markets should be explained as today and tomorrow roll by. Reader dLynn is just one of our readers who was wondering WTF? about the Powell rally Friday.  The answer is?  It fills a trend line move.  Now, in our ChartPack (Peoplenomics) gravity is “cleared for takeover.”  Even my consigliere was  calling over the weekend … Read More

Change of plans. See “Real Serious Prepping Note” at the end of this!  Today’s column was going to be about unboxing of a Johnson Ranger and a Hallicrafters SX-32 and the process of restoring each of these to primo condition. Unfortunately, though, the caffeine-agitated mind would not stop; insisting we first get closure on my … Read More

If cycle-seeking numerical decompositions sounds arcane, you will love the practical. Today we reveal the existence of the MoneyMachine project. Which is a kind of “roll your own AI to make money in markets” module. This is not the “how-to” actually code and run such a thing. But the first pass has already flagged Monday … Read More

10 AM today, Fed boss Jerome Powell speaks. We hope he uses our “Magician” speech.  The one where he says “There is no magic in economics.  Money does not just appear.” The one where someone speaks to the raging stampede “There’s no free lunch, this tariff stuff is only a tax on foreign-made goods. Do … Read More

My digital alter-ego has been at it again. Is AI Really NZT-48? – Hidden Guild “One of the subtler promises of NZT was not just more brainpower, but new modes of thought. Users described seeing connections they had never seen before, shifting into a higher-level coherence. In a similar way, AI nudges human cognition into … Read More

There is a lot of ground to cover today, so expect things to jump around a fair bit. Let’s begin with the headlines about how the Military Preparing Attacks on Mexican Cartels. This is not something come from Out of the Blue.  In fact, on the Peoplenomics side of the house, there’s an archived report from 2005, … Read More

Heavy math in one and a new domain of human thought being discovered in the other. As general thinking skills, today’s papers may take a few minutes to absorb. The first paper argues that human cognition has historically been organized around a limited set of domains—most notably the mathematical, linguistic, and symbolic-logical modes. Yet evidence … Read More

It was all such an easy column to block out – until I got to the E-Wave part. Just out from Census: Building Permits Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in July were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,354,000. This is 2.8 percent below the revised June rate of 1,393,000 and is … Read More

“Takes paper to make paper” is the first calendar entry this week.  A bunch of Treasury this-n-that’s (buy-backs and such) start the week. After fondling $124,000 last week, Bitcoin is “viagra-seeking” from the $115,000 range early. Gold and silver firmed earlier, but nothing to get excited about. REAL Action this week will be the Fed … Read More

Thanks to Iridium, just got an update that many readers (esp. Egor and other sailors – like us) will like reading: George, We’re ten days out of French Polynesia heading for Fiji. Three aboard, started in rough seas and smoothed to heavenly transit. Full moon, medium trade winds, steady seven to eight knots, averaging 150nm … Read More

You may remember Friday (pre bar stool) how we were asking our AI for the ultimate $500 and five-minutes-a-day formula for wealth. AI said the only way to get there would be gambling, but it did tease three solid side-hustle ideas that might get legs. (Everything in life is a gamble, marriage licenses on down…) … Read More