Just when the Bears were lining up for a “Big One…” As a result of following long wave economic influences on markets for a quarter century in our Peoplenomics reports, is that it has provided time to come up with interesting “Early Warning Indicators.” As you will see in this morning’s ChartPack, one of these … Read More
There is a huge pre-election distraction being played out in America this summer. It reopens in July – the 11th – when the “convicted” Donald Trump will face sentencing after being the first American president in history convicted of a felony. There’s a long list of legal flaws in what we have come to think … Read More
Fear. You can smell it in the markets. Yet this is only the first whiff. The kind you get off the stockyards along I-40 up in the Texas Panhandle, long before Amarillo. Palpable. Fortunately, also tradeable. Fear Looks Like This: Discussion: First, this is an Aggregate Index. Second is the (yellow, large) Wave 2 up may … Read More
Just as I was writing this morning’s column on Tuesday, a wild storm line went through and we haven’t see power since. There’s even a chance we won’t get power back until Thursday or even Friday. The good news for us is that we have a generator and transfer switch plus all those golf dart … Read More
Our usual publishing is way off schedule today. We had a set of severe thunderstorms go through the area Tuesday morning and honestly, we have no idea when the power will be back on line. The generator is working like a champ, but until the extra kick from the solar comes back up (around 10 … Read More
Just in from S&P: NEW YORK, MAY 28, 2024: S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the March 2024 results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices. The leading measure of U.S. home prices shows that all of the major metro markets reported month-over-month price increases. YEAR-OVER-YEAR The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price … Read More
We will post the Case-Shiller/S&P/CoreLogic Housing data when it crosses. Usually have it up by 8:15 AM Central, or so. L4L versus HFL While we’re waiting for the Housing report (we’d expect it to be hot), the strategic economic issue facing America is what to do with persistent inflation. Under more normal economic conditions – … Read More
Greenhouse Development work continues at Uretopia as we wend into Summer. To recap for newcomers, about two years back, son George II and I were messing around with Ground Screws and (in a flight of fancy) I decided to put up a greenhouse. A lean-to against the Music Studio’s west (outside) wall, it seemed like … Read More
Summer is nearly here, and with it, more time in the shop. Sometimes, You Get Lucky Take this morning, for example. Stepped in the shower and…the water never got hot. We had put in a new water heater back in March. Divel did the heavy work on this because, at 75, I’m trying to manage … Read More
Peoplenomics is now up for subscribers, so for the masses, a couple of short, but interesting topics to glom onto. The Oscilloscope Review II As I told you recently, I ordered – and had to send back – a Vevor 7 inch LED oscilloscope. The reason was there was an issue with the upper right … Read More
One of the hardest decisions a small trader can make is whether to hold a position on a Holiday weekend. So, today we will consider just a bit of the recent data in this regard. Around us, the world situation continues to devolve. With liquid reinforcements, a roast thawing out, and a whole bunch of … Read More
I’m really glad you asked that. The “What could go wrong” part. Because the plain and simple is “A whole crap load could let loose.” Before we look at our loose, intuitive future modeling, though, we have a pile of data and recent news note which may influence the Just Ahead part of life unraveling. … Read More
This is another one of those mornings when I could sleep – there is just something about this market that can’t be trusted, in our view. The same kind of “down in the gut” we’ve been having about Bitcoin, too. Speaking of which, BTC hypers were back screaming “Buy!” when we approached the $72,000 level Tuesday. … Read More