Don’t look now, but a dangerous story of “tits and tats” seems to be opening. Because Israel – as expected – attacked Iran overnight. But things are far from settled. So, in addition to a nice quiet Saturday news review and the week’s closing ChartPack, some speculation on what happens next. More for Subscribers ||| … Read More
HDNBW with a side of Fatal Distractions? This is a dandy time to discuss the value of broad perspectives and the importance of generalization skills. Because for most of us, the coming couple of weeks will bring the culmination of many long-chain event sequences that none of us will have any influence over. So best … Read More
In keeping with our focus on Long Wave Economics – that, along with prepping for anything goes being the cornerstones of this site – let’s begin with a Big Long Term view because it is very important. As explained in our Peoplenomics.com ChartPack Wednesday, its hard to deny that we’re in a financial bubble the likes of … Read More
Two worthy topics on tape today (besides the weekend war outlook). We do some mighty interesting (and humbling) calculations comparing the 1929 bubble (and inflation from the Great Depression) with modern times. You talk about getting knocked down a notch! Then we do another chapter of our Longevity book (“Tell your doctor” – but it … Read More
You know the old saying, right? “Man who keeps ear to ground risks being run over!” And yet, there is so damn much going on that a little “ground sounding” seems like a useful thing to do in here. Starting with a look at the markets in the Pre-Open with our Aggregate Index to see … Read More
Boy, this is turning into a simple column to write: The “Waitstate Weekend” from our Peoplenomics.com report Saturday morning has been exended. And judging by what’s on the news budget for the day, not much change seems likely. On the economics side, our wildly over-leveraged long-expiration put options are likely to bounce back a bit … Read More
Most of the projects out here are pretty interesting and there’s a lot to be learned by studying them. Like the small (8X8) deck project that wound up this week with the completion of the railings. As wife (and OSHA site inspector) Elaine puts it “Adds to the house and it doesn’t look so much … Read More
We have a list of “life-changing, but for now still pending” events that make us a bit cranky this weekend. No, not that we are in a hurry for WW III to break out, nor are we anxious for the wrong presidential candidate to get the nod by voters. OK, and we don’t really want … Read More
We are (at last!) nearing the end of the political silly-season. The Election is about 17 days out. And as the mainstream keeps touting, there’s what some stories report as a 72 percent chance of a Harris win. As in The stock market still leans to this candidate winning the presidential election. For us, however, … Read More
Retail Sales: Might as well get this one off the table at once. So we can get back to our back-alley pool where the odds are increasing that when Israel goes-a-popping Iran, it will be next Tuesday. Because that’s when the BRICS brass will be in Kazan, Russia. And world focus will be elsewhere. So … Read More
Beans, bullets, and a big water source are sliding as priorities a bit. While preppers up-armor, it’s time to check emotional supports, and look for rational national leadership. All as America comes under attack by foreign drug gangs who’ve infiltrated via the Obama-Biden-Harris open border. Which means what, exactly? Simply that our Seven Major Physical … Read More
We were shocked today by the CNBC report headlined “Harris proposes 1 million forgivable loans to Black entrepreneurs, as Trump makes inroads.” According to the CNBC report the idea is for “…an “Opportunity Agenda” plan for Black men, which includes a proposal of forgivable loans of up to $20,000 to Black entrepreneurs.” No mention of … Read More
Might as well get right to the NY Fed’s Empire State Manufacturing number, first today… “After climbing into positive territory last month, the headline general business conditions index retreated twenty-three points to -11.9. New orders fell, and shipments edged lower. Delivery times were slightly shorter, while supply availability deteriorated somewhat. Inventories shrank.” Markets, perhaps still … Read More