A special Peoplenomics subscribers only report ahead of this week’s Fed FOMC.
Markets today are running hot when every major cycle in the book says they should be cooling.
That’s not just a quirk of data — it’s a setup we’ve only seen a handful of times in the last century, and none of them ended quietly.
Behind the headlines about AI riches, shiny IPOs, and Crypto’s immortality is a structural mismatch: the clockwork rhythms of markets are pointing down while the tape keeps climbing.
History tells us that kind of divergence doesn’t resolve gently.
This special Peoplenomics report dives into what those cycles really look like now, why we’re in “never before seen” territory, and what the three most likely outcomes are.
If you’re wondering how far markets can stretch before reality intrudes — and what comes after — that’s where we’ll go.
If you can make it part the side-by-side charts – they’re riveting.
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Remember George,
with a magnifine glass you can focus the power of sun to burn a hole in a piece of paper.
Supeman who got his power from the yellow sun, used His Magical Maginifying mind coupled with focus, to cut through steel.
so what can an out back east texan who gets his power from solar pannels do with the Magnifing mind and Focus?
Well, there you have it.
until we meet again,
Specticals, Testicals, Watch and Wallet.
~ I Win with God within ~
p.s. this morning i recieved, multiple reports of “standing room only at Churches” all accross the globe.
i do find it interesting having had burned the house of 200 year old key cards to ash and dust……
Today, The House of The Lord is a Full House.
“Faith will make you look stupid until it starts to rain ~” Noah
Cue ~ He Reighns ~
https://youtu.be/Y8R9ZPT2T-I?si=BJvjes6IxAtCrOKN
Newsboys.
Great column George. Thanks.
My friend I hope, George.
As usual I go off topic and you edit with my respect. Thinking as usual that big news hides other actions not for public consumption is me, myself and I.
You being experienced flight engineer/pilot and conographer of truth backed by many specialists. Question.
Canada geese arrive from farmland daily usually before 11am. Small groups ie; two or four land without any change in flight.. Large flocks come in to this Great Lake and approximately 75% at 50 -80 feet do a 45,90 or 180 degree brief flip before smooth landing. Any airplane history on this?
I would imagine this is the CG analog to the tower command “take the high-speed” – On big airports,. there is often a 30-degree, or so turnoff so when the tower would be me “Muskateer 7912-Lima, keep your speed up on final and take the high speed…” that would inform me that “Big sucker’s on my butt and I need to get down and off the runway right freaking now…” (Once you take a high-speed, you’ve still got room to burn off a lot of momentum before you get to a perpendicular taxiway. OK, that is one analog. This explains your 45-degree guys and maybe ther 90-degrees.
But, what about those bothersome 180s?
For this example, we turn to crop dusters – a hardy and ballsy group if ever was. They make their living doing something calolerd “teardrop stalls”
They will be spraying along the length of a field, so north to south. When they get to the south end, they kill the spreader, pull back hard on the yoke, and go nearly nose-vert. At that point, hard over (left or right rudder) and the inboard wingh (whichever side) will start first, and the plane will “fall off” that way. Now, you push the nose back down (you’ll need to preserve momentum here in a second) because close to the ground, you will NOT want to run out of “airspeed, altitude, and ideas” at the same time [that defines a crash].
With the laminar airflow going over that previously stalled wing, you now see the ground coming at you through the windscreen. Eyes flick to the VSI and airspeed and then (it becomes a visual think on practice) you haul back on the stick to level flight while opening the spreader for the pass south to north. Repeat all day.
I suspect
Wow. You rarely surprise me but what an awesome explanation. Fortunately they do this at stall speed over water.
Think big headlines are cover for South America.
And I old did it with a “pretend hard deck at 4,000 agl outside controlled air space. Still, great fun! Er…, STALL great fun.
In 1978 stall training was no longer required, but my flight instructor took me up to 10k ft over a bean field and prompted me into a skid turn that stalled. The break damn near broke my neck. When I pulled my face out of the rear seat, all I saw was that tree and fence line rotating in the windscreen. Immediate stall correction applied even as my instructor… clutching crablike to the sidewall… yelled “Now you’re in a stall!” (I knew that already!!)
The turning continued and I asked “How long does this take??” “Just hold the inputs!” he yelled. I did.
Three and a half turns and a thousand feet lower seemed to take forever before I could pull out of the straight dive. Lesson learned. Don’t ever crab a turn on low, slow final approach.
I wish I could post a picture my friend sent me. Frozen lake surface with a fine dusting of snow. Two looong skid marks in snow, ending with goose footprints walking away at 45 degrees. Picture he captioned:
“Any landing you can walk away from is a good landing!”
Thanks George for the special update …… lots of good ideas and logic applied. Seems markets are held up (managed) for a reason, to control the herd … I don’t see that going away. Circuit Breakers were created in 1987, to stop a crash ……… it seems the Govmint will always step in (whenever then decide, but they always do of late) as the backstop of choice …… different times today? maybe …. all the best, thanks
“Cycles Say ”
Do cycles work in controlled, non-capitalist economic markets?
“the Kondratieff Wave, or K-wave, a long-term economic cycle theory named after Russian economist Nikolai Kondratiev… describing 40-to-60-year cycles in capitalist economies”
G,
You are a reporter so put on your reporters cap. Does the evidence support a conclusion the U.S. is a capitalist economy? The answer is in the evidence, right?
The most cogent analysis and reasoning of the present financial situation I have ever read. I don’t trade, but I do like to know ‘what’s going on’ and what to expect soon. Good job, Ure!
I’m really enjoying watching “Dark Winds” and learning more about the Navajo culture and their deep belief that they must do everything within their power to maintain the balance between Mother Earth and man.
Then by accident I came across this news story of a spectacular tornado that swept across Navajo lands, only 3 days after the eyes of the world were focussed on Utah.
https://www.9news.com.au/world/tornadoes-destroy-several-homes-in-southeastern-utah/c5a05e24-63cf-49fc-895f-d52649165084
“The tornado formed with the area of the four sacred mountains of Navajo culture, where natural disasters like tornadoes are not supposed to occur. These four mountains include Mount Blanca (Sisnaajini in Navajo), Mount Taylor (Tsoodzil in Navajo), the San Francisco Peaks (Dook’o’oosliid in Navajo) and Mount Hesperus (Dibe Nitsaa in Navajo).”
“Tornadoes are pretty unusual in that part of Utah……the weather service had only confirmed two there since 1950.”
Let’s hope the balance has been restored……….
Years ago there was a story that was told about a former supervisor who ran with a fringe (in Texas, mainstream) somewhat Christian roller church group. as the story goes, his prayer group stayed up half the night one night invoking Divinity to do something about a mean drunk (and probably wife-beater) spouse of a woman who was either a member of the congregation or near relative. The next morning the miscreant dropped stone cold dead without warning. Summoning tornadoes is a new one.
While I am dubious about ritual conjuring by amateurs, I avoid those sorts of people and groups, because the same people are typically involved in false witness (and outright vigilante gang stalking), and after all, it is the thought that counts. Hopefully asking for a return to sender and sponsors would not count when dealing with idiot holier than thou vigilantes.
So solly -hope is NOT a strategy !
Like Faith – there is no “there” there, just illusions and mirages, NOTHING substantial that you can wrap Ure fingers around, Taste or even Imagine.
Hope and Faith = emotional anchors used to manipulate and control the HUrd.
*Ya gotz Green/Blue comet coming in from behind Sun and just id’d last week. A blue star kachina ? Who knows?
Ya gotz 3rdEye-Atlas vectoring in from behind Sun and approaching MARs after CHANGING its Direction. How many dirty snowballs you know can change direction independently?
It has somehow posted/projected 3 “Orbs” forming Triangle in local Space around MARs. Recent course corrections indicate a future track directly towards Earth.
We is being “RE- Balanced” – how We as individuals react to the new NRG’s is a matter personal development and where Ure Mind bee at here & Now.
“Like Faith – there is no “there” there, just illusions and mirages, NOTHING substantial that you can wrap Ure fingers around, Taste or even Imagine.”
Oh, you mean sorta like Bitcoin? We all need something to believe in.
Fantasies abound everywhere, particularly fantasies about wealth and money … like the fantasies many have that that green piece of paper with Bejamini Franklin on it has some sort of real value.
Really? It is just a green piece of paper around which revolves cult thinking that somehow it has some sort of majical properties. Nope … it is just a green piece of paper with a nice painting on it.
Chocolate Bars did the same thing to people in Italy in April 1945 … but at least you could eat those.