There isn’t much going on for the rest of this week. Trump is in, and going to work, while liberals and the lawfaring industry are predictably pissed. Balance is back. Merit matters, again. But, our macro problems have yet to be addressed.
We return, for a second, to the matter of SynGro. That’s Synthetic Growth. It’s what happens when modern manufacturing can crank out everyone’s basic needs. Plus have enough left-over to fund “human replacements” such as robotics and A.I.
This leads us to the hallways outside the HR Department; wondering if anyone has a plan for Economic Depression Avoidance. Inside, the HR types face a mini-collapse of empire as President Trump Issues Sweeping Executive Orders Aimed at DEI.
Some of our problems (jails in CA and SA being dumped into the U.S.) are now properly being addressed. Trump shuts off access to asylum, plans to send 10,000 troops to border. It will prove to be only the first play in a very long game. The Lawfaring is about to begin in earnest.
Sure, Trump has a “great from the gate” approval rating, but America’s problems are rooted in two economic non sequitors.
- First, Only Humans Pay Taxes. But as we have argued many times, why are machines not taxed when they replace human output? We have forgotten that the Great Depression was, in large part, fueled by the human labor replacement on the Farms of the country by ICE powered tractors and trucks. We dis-enjoyed more than a decade of business engineering favorable tax treatment; things like depreciation which (also) gives primacy to Machines over Humans. Did I mention the problem is about to get worse going into the next round of human-replacement with A.I.? Collapse of the (human) “Educators” is in view, not to mention the collapse of professions like Law and Accounting as large language models reveal Human Replacement 3.0. Tractors replaced farmers, computers replaced office workers, A.I. replaces the intellectual work class.
- Second is the Paradox of Free Enterprise. When there is resource and an opportunity for Growth, nothing works like America’s blend of Capitalism. The problem is when growth takes a hike, the American Business Model (ABM) blows up. We rollover, or using used car sales terminology, we get “upside down” and the Repo Man commeth. Crypto “schemes” are nothing more than Side Show Don demonstrating the Three Card Monte. The value is America’s GDP, the second cup has debt-logged FRNs, and crypto is an environmental disaster of wasted energy spent “mining” those lacking mental acuity. Ya’ll have fun.
While we spent the past week buried in economic research (that “Ebbinghaus-Ure” stuff), the total U.S. public debt (including interest costs) is $158.577 trillion. In Q3 (the most recent numbers available) we made $29.37 trillion annualized from all our “work.”
The problem is that5 with sign of a balanced budget and with $6.3 trillion (at 4% on total debt+int.) sorry to say, we don’t see a workable answer, yet.
Which is why the democrats rolled with SynGro – opening borders, anchoring babies, and all the steps take by the E.U. when they opened Europe to a similar invasion. How’s that working out?
Not trying to tell you a Second Depression is coming. Obviously, unless we are smacked upside the head with an overdose of honesty, the delusions can persist.
While They Do?
My consigliere called Wednesday. “Are we to the Moon, yet?”
“Maybe…”
Could this perspective be wrong? Why, sure! It’s all based on our Aggregated Markets notion that argues there is – at any one point in time – only so much total money in the world.. And it behaves in a consistent manner.
Oh, and that Ebbinghaus-Ure report on Peoplenomics Wednesday? It’s just our fun new way of turning a sequence of numbers into a “modeled surface view”. Which earlier today – for the NASDAQ – looked like this:
It’s an interesting view to watch. But that little hook upper left, is where early Futures were pointing. Leaving us expecting to get an answer soon to the question “Is the bounce over? Have techs kissed a key overhead resistance level?”
Not our monkey and not our bananas. But financial markets have memories and memories do, per Hermann Ebbinghaus, fade over time. Even Great Depressions seem less vicious.
The “What Matters” Sort
OK, math models aside: News ambles on…
We been writing for how long about a Q2 25 vaccination scare 2.0? Keep an eye on WHO Director-General: “Last Friday, WHO received reports of suspected cases of Marburg virus.”
Say, you don’t think the WHO is running a game on us, do you? WHO Begs Trump to Reverse Withdrawal After Executive Order Cuts Off U.S. Funding.
North L.A. Fires are on the rise, along with lawlessness in fire areas: Over 100 Arrested Amid Los Angeles Wildfires: Looting and Burglary Cases Rise Criminals Exploit Chaos as Los Angeles Wildfires Rage. Doesn’t speak highly of Angelinos, now, does it? But look who they elect…
Will Soros “charities” become a “terrorist organization” target under Trump? We ask because Soros-Backed DA Seeks to Bring Charges Against Jan 6 Prisoners Despite Trump Pardon.
As Trump has signed an order to expel foreign students who protest in the U.S. the terrorist organization label spreads: Trump moves to relabel Yemen’s Houthis as foreign terrorist organization. You saw where Hezbollah admitted to paying protesters in the US? Fake news costs money, you know. Oh, and speaking of which…
Gee: Does this mean the Global elites will stop peddling ‘bug spew’? Panicked Klaus Schwab Admits Trump Is Already Reversing the ‘Great Reset’.
Useful health note: Common drug found in most household cupboards could slash dementia risk. Spoiler: Ibuprofen is on the list…
At the Ranch: Spring Life Cleaning
Inside the last month to 76 years of age, we are always looking for ways to increase enjoyment in Life. This year, I’ve decided on a program of Life-Cleaning.
The first part of it involves using A.I. more effectively. Sure, got the basic personal time management nailed with tools like Brisqi. But I’ve moved into “active theft/borrow” mode when comes to knowledge hacks. Speed-learning and the like.
For example, my buddy (or 73-years) the Major turned me on to using A.I. to dodo book summaries of key books I want to absorb. But with A.I. the results are quick, no subscriptions, and no waiting. Just “Give me a detailed summary of the book [title] by author [name]” and hit enter. Most of the AI’s do this.
We have a copy of Carl Jung’s The Red Book on the coffee table. And I keep meaning to read the damn thing but it’s huge. Not how I roll (big books and such). Instead, I can get to the point with AI telling me…
Overview
The Red Book is a large, leather-bound folio containing over 400 pages of handwritten text and 53 full-page paintings. It was Jung’s record of his “confrontation with the unconscious,” documenting his self-analysis and self-therapy during a period of intense personal turmoil2.
Context and Composition
Jung began working on the Red Book after his break with Sigmund Freud in 1913. This period coincided with the outbreak of World War I, and Jung retreated from many of his professional activities to deeply explore his psyche1. He initially recorded his visions and experiences in a series of smaller black journals, known as the “Black Books,” before transferring them to the larger Red Book.
Content
The Red Book is a mix of journal entries, mythological narratives, and psychological observations. Jung documented his hallucinations, dreams, and encounters with various inner figures in a prophetic and elaborate calligraphic style. The book explores themes of spirituality, mythology, and the unconscious mind, reflecting Jung’s belief in the collective unconscious and archetypes.
Publication
Despite Jung’s intention to publish the Red Book, it remained unpublished during his lifetime. It was only in 2009, with the cooperation of Jung’s estate, that the book was published by W. W. Norton & Co1. The publication included a facsimile edition of the original manuscript, an English translation, and extensive editorial notes.
That didn’t sound very exciting (compared with Dreams, Memories, Reflections, anyway). What WAS more interesting is Amazon says I paid $117 for the book in 2009 (my reading list moves slowly!). And it’s on sale today for (just?) $196 and change.
In this example (of Life Cleaning) I can look back and say “Never had time to read it, so next life, keep the reading list shorter and more actionable.” Also, take that “walk-around money” that we all keep and buy $200 worth of shares in new IPOs. The ROI will be greater.
Now, having figured how to use A.I. to further my “speed-learning” addiction a bit, the next step is to spend more time working on the personal “40,000-foot view.”
In thinking about Life lately, I’ve ome to the conclusion that I am a “middle cruiser.” I have a great and powerful grind on. But I miss the “high and low boundaries” in life. The high level? Well, that 40,000-foot stuff. The low level is remembering to vacuum my office weekly. I seldom get to that.
Another Life Cleaning action point then, is more time at the extremes (high and low) and less time in the middle. Translation? No more watching the markets all day. Set alerts and go off to the extremes to work there.
Should be an interesting change. More time spent planning what’s important in life, more time doing it, and less time doing “all that other crap” that gets in the way. I’ll keep you posted on how it works out. ChatGPT was ghaving web gateway issues at press time…
Warmer than New Orleans? The promise of warmer temps is here after 23 overnight. There’s the little matter of more than 2-inches of rain coming through next week, too. But, at least it will be warmer.
I’ll pop up a picture from the security network later…may be a pretty sunrise…
Write when you get rich,
George@ure.net
Well as usual, I am off topic, but I do wonder if there are any experts here on the internals of deep well submersible pumps:
Trying to troubleshoot lack of water; might be frozen (it’s been around 3 or 5 F last few days at night, but I have some pipe heating) pipe in odd place, or bad pump.
So main question is, can an old (probably 1/3 or 1/2 hp Goulds pump, almost 50 years old, about 125’ down) pump be drawing 5.25 amps at 240v and still not be pumping water? That is, is there a failure mode where the motor spins and draws current but somehow isn’t pumping water?
Yes but the current would be lower. Recall V*A=P So 5.25 amps at 240 volts is 1260 watts and dividing this by 745 (watts per hp) the pump is drawing? 1.79 HP
Mt money (while it’s cold) is the pump is running, holding pressure, up to an ice block in the line.
If you have the same problem after a dayr two above freezing, then a pump bearing becomes the issue.
For now, though, Ice blockage. Hair dryer and heat tape?
Amps are right on for 1/2hp according to
https://www.franklinwater.com/resources/franklin-aim/
Hair dryer usually fixes it in a couple hours but its been drying for 24 hrs now, something is different.
Agreed but also you noted the pump is nearly 50 years old. Cracked check valve, split pipes, etc. Hope you get your well back soon. This time of year is not a good time for that kind of work.
had a household well pump stop flowing while drawing power . It had a ‘spring’ type check valve right on the pump discharge, the rotation of the flow cause the check to spin and it failed over time and the disc went up and blocked flow when running, The well puller guy said they should be mounted at least 3 ft above the dicharge of the pumps, I agree with his diaganosis, to prevent spinning
Jeff from Ohio here. Yes, Mike, I’ve been in the water well business for 60 years here in Ohio. 5 amps is about right for a 240 volt half horse. If it wasn’t pumping water it would be less, say 3.8 to 4.2. So, it is pumping water. The next question is, where is it going? A leak? Where? Check your outside faucets on the side of the house. It’s always possible that a frozen pipe even for a brief time could have put enough pressure on the drop pipe (the pipe the pump hangs on) to pop out a weak fitting or some such and the water to just be recirculating inside the well bore. The way to test that is to lift the pump up out of the pitless adapter (3 feet in Ohio) and test the pressure at the top of the pumping piping. Or, at least see if it pumps water there. Be careful about the pitless adapter as there are a bunch of different kinds and some of them require a key to release them. If the drop pipe is full of water, it will weigh close to 75 pounds with the pump on it. Don’t try it yourself. CHECK FOR LEAKS first. That”s probably the problem. My email is ka8kdw@gmail.com. Good luck.
(“the Farms of the country by ICE powered tractors and trucks. “)
The first wood gas machine I seen was in the shelter belt of a friends dads farm.. we use to pretend it was many things in his old machine shed he bad a windmill ..that was when they used wind for electricity.. we have a radio it has short wave stations on it..it was my wife’s grandparents you put a car battery in it..
mother earth news drove a pickup from one county fair to another.. I once asked my friends dad he said during the war and depression gas was rationed so these were put on they would use trash. two small towns use to have a generator for the old towns all ran by gasification of garbage coal etc. I am sure they are long gone now..the old civil defense community reconstruction book had these all listed.
I have built a couple of gas stickers easy to make.. one friend of a friend wanted to build one we made it and dam it was nice using plumbing parts.. when he died they offered it back to me but I declined it.. my wife likes parking in the garage..and seriously I can build another without much difficulty..
the second one it dawned on me.. that the air to gas ratio wasn’t great enough.. just like most we put a turbo charged fan on it and got better gas flow..hmm..do you suspect that could be why Adolph Hitler’s engineers..oh wait that deal was made in Detroit in the beginning.. maybe that’s why they have patents on it.. maybe that’s why they built turbo chargers into their design..
?https://youtu.be/blWVB-JpdEk?si=LTNcJq4SI_U2BkCa
oh here’s a link to the red book…
https://archive.org/download/carl-gustav-jung-the-red-book-liber-novu/Carl_Gustav_Jung_The_Red_Book_Liber_Novu.pdf
Got a proper name and author on the civil defense book? thanks
Or a worn pump impeller is allowing water to bypass rather than forcing it up the pipe. A 50-yr-old pump sounds like that might be a problem.
I thought that one, too, but it’s drawing too much power. When the impeller is loose or busted, doesn’t take as much pwoer to turn it…an yway, he’ll report back soon enough….
“I can look back and say “Never had time to read it, so next life, keep the reading list shorter and more actionable.” -thats rich!
You really think you can take Ure Memory/Memories thru Death ?
Where o where does this belief come from, pray tell? Schrooomages, Peyote, Orange Sunshine on windowpanes, Fenty, Tranq? Seems like you “christed” something..
Says here that which you describe is IMPOSIBLE…without Help/Knowledge/Guidance and some outside (read ET) intervention.
Got “GATEWAY” procedures down pat do you ? PHD level graduate from Monroe Inst. ?
PERPOSTEROUS ! As evidenced by historical body of work.
Nice try at the make believe, unfortunately Youse need FEAR AND DEPENDANCE for Faith to work as a control mechanism. See ANY/ALL world religions’ for examples..
Memory thru Death..bwahahahahahahahahahahahahahahah
I’ve met a couple of people who have been clinically dead and been returned. They tell me yes. I’ll take that over opinions from those never dead with a memory of it, any time. Dr. Ray Moody has said as much, too. Older EMTs and fire too…changes you. Life bcomes school, work camp, and adventure series…every day a chapter.
“PERPOSTEROUS ! As evidenced by historical body of work.”
https://www.news.com.au/lifestyle/real-life/news-life/im-a-doctor-who-studied-5000-neardeath-experiences-there-is-life-after-death/news-story/5e962f5a5a108d7b8d6f99e27023d9e0
Had this issue with similar setup on my neighbors place. Ure is likely right – and if so, the solution was to enclose the well in a little shack so a high output incandescent bulb or two can keep things above freezing. We did not do it, as winter here is light-duty, but the portion of the line around surface could be warmed with a 110V heater strip like they sell at Lowes – they make them up to 25′ length….
Old school – to determine if the pump was working, we used the “broomstick device”, which older farts may recall? Break off a broom head and place the rounded end of the stick against your closed ear, so you get bone conduction. When you place the other end of the stick on a running engine block, you can hear everything moving. If you have a bad lifter or other issue, you can move the end of stick around to trace down which cylinder is involved.
We applied the ‘broomstick device’ to the output pipe and could hear the pump working via vibrations at surface in a 100+ ft deep well. Flip the breaker off and no sound emanating from said pipe. Anyway, there’s pretty good shot its an ice issue within feet of surface.
Still could be an ice block, but no loss in replacing a 50 yr old pump…
Army & Marines on the border: can we trust Trump?
The Army (and probably the Marines), encourage illegal aliens to join and in return these literally indentured servants get benefits of citizens (who not in the service) and citizenship. And bring their families!
Of course this ignores the question of how did they get into the U.S.and not be immediately returned?
Biden used the military to speed up processing of illegals. Biden did not send them back to their home countries.
Trump appears to be doing the same thing. He does not appear to be stopping anyone from crossing the border. Evidently he is ‘processing’ them in.
He is even using the same military bases and compounds and other facilities Biden used to receive the 10,000s of illegals Biden flew into the country. And then flew them into the U.S. interior.
The good news is he says he has stopped the flights of illegal aliens into the U.S.!
If he were doing what everyone thought he would be doing on the border, he would order the military and Border Patrol to stop crossing, to capture all who manage to cross the border, get their names and addresses, take their picture, probably DNA, and immediately put them back across the border.
He has made no mention of the many 10,000s of visa overstayers to become illegal aliens staying the U.S. And like every women who sneaks across can have instant citizen kids with all benefits.
He has made no mention of having E-Verify apply to all employees or any employee!
I could go on, but you get the point.
A big question is why isn’t his Administration having Congress pass most of this type of legislation?
One guesses the Republicans are not united in correcting the awful immigration mess. Ergo, changes are temporary and often cosmetic.
Trump needs to Walk the Talk.
“The high level? Well, that 40,000-foot stuff. The low level is remembering to vacuum my office weekly. I seldom get to that.”
Use The Swiffer. Quiet and relaxing. Also available in X-Large.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-W2DCGJTml0
Your place looks good. Very peaceful. I’ve been following a similar path as yours. I have done my best to focus on the most important things and have found that the day-to-day stuff will often mostly take care of themselves. For example; my reminder of keeping up with the cleaning and vacuuming of my “Fortress of Solitude” consists of 2 levels. First is when I find that the vacuum cleaner and a tote containing Windex, Endust and cleaning cloths will appear conspicuously on my desk in front of the main monitor. Another similar tote appears in front of the staging area of the soon to be set up Ham gear. After 2 days if these items are not returned, by moi, to their storage areas I receive a second notice which is a personal visit from a beautiful Queen who advises that I should get busy with the cleaning so the rest of the house can be taken care of. I have found this method to be very successful.
Stay safe. 73
“Could this perspective be wrong? ”
I’m not saying you’re wrong or don’t put in hard work building charts.
How can a fiat system ever pop? Back in 2008 Little Bush said,
“I’ve abandoned free-market principles to save the free-market system”
and words mean things.
That’s not to say Greenie isn’t right.
“We can guarantee cash benefits as far out and at whatever size you like, but we cannot guarantee their purchasing power.”
— Alan Greenspan
The last time I went inside a gas station and checked candy bar prices ask on the regular size was $2.49. Work harder, right.