Storm 1 (Tracking Stu), Storm 2, Storm After

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We are nearing the halfway mark of what promises to be three major storms. Two of which are hurricanes, and the third will be “what follows as a consequence.”

However, before we dig into that, we have a couple of “housekeeping stories” because economics does matter.

Fed Dope & NFIB Small Business

No surprise in the Federal Reserve (yoke of) Consumer Debt report out Monday. Although spending continued strong at just over $5.0976 trillion outstanding and the preliminary July data was dialed back by a couple of billion (which is budget dust when in th trillions range), we again (for the umpteenth time) can’t figure out how the Fed could justify a half-point rate cut. Oil is back down (a bit) but consumer spending continues unabated.  With Amazon Prime Days today and tomorrow – plus what will be screaming demand on the materials side – seems to us there is nothing but high demand ahead and that – if you skipped econ class – is bound to drive up prices.

The next question goes: When will this be noticed down here at the non-Elite level?  Partial answers may be intuited from the National Federation of Independent Business surveys that come out monthly:

“Small business optimism remains historically low in September

WASHINGTON, D.C. (Oct. 8, 2024) – The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose by 0.3 points in September to 91.5. This is the 33rd consecutive month below the 50-year average of 98. The Uncertainty Index rose 11 points to 103, the highest reading recorded. Fifty-one percent of owners reported capital outlays in the last six months, down five points from August. Meanwhile, the number of owners reporting inventory gains fell four points to a net negative 13% (seasonally adjusted), the lowest reading since June 2020.”

The “street” is doing fine (retail is holding, the rates are down a bit, and GDP is going along) but it’s like the old sailing problem: “How do you trim sails for a shit-storm?”

For now, one of the biggest problems is we are no longer self-sufficient.  And that’s how elitists at Davos and the WEF get to screw with us: We are being choked by economic dependencies which (watch for it) are being tightened over time and will result in the eventual capitulation of America into the Global Socialist fold – with them in charge – not us little people.

So with that cheerful framing, let’s see how bad the trade deficit is shaping up, right?  I mean when you export enough core jobs and have to buy foreign made washers, driers, televisions, stoves, refrigerators and God knows what else from Asia, it’s hardly surprising, right?

Well, no.  That’s because in statistics we have a screaming C.I. (confidence interval) problem.  The initial July $94.3 billion. How to you miss $15.4 billion?  So we expect (going the other way) the present number will “fess up” after the election, around $80 billion, which means a trillion a year burn rate.

Tomorrow afternoon, the Fed Minutes will be released.  And we’ll be looking to see if there’s any mention of passing around a nitrous bottle.

I say that because Truth in Accounting is out with their 2024 national report on state financial conditions. My favorite highlights:

  • 27 states did not have enough money to pay their bills
  • $2.9 trillion in debt   vs. $2.1 trillion in assets
  • Unfunded retirement liabilities were the largest contributing factor to
    the $1.3 trillion in state-level debt.
  • $840 billion in pension debt and $493 billion in OPEB debt

Really, you don’t need to read axe murder novels, any more.  Accounting reports are scarier…

On that, no nukes went off overnight, so we can move on to managing the global mass delusion.

Storm 1 – Stu’s Adventure

Great conversation with G.A. Stewart (of the Age of Desolation website) where his massive research into Nostradamus is headquartered. Stu, as you will recall, had 3-1/2 feet of water in his (rental) home in the Tampa area. And in the process of rising “bay and sewer water” all of his core prepping gear was ruined.  “And you know, what do you do with a gun collection? Just check into a hotel with it?”  Good point.  The main focus though was that five-gallon buckets float – and all but a couple tipped over.  So for the past week here’s bed walking of “visqueen alleys” in his house….which he’s now out of.

So are a lot of other people:  He says it’s like a third world disaster – people have went molding furniture and household goods stacking up along streets and with the second storm coming, which we will get to in a sec – the city is having a hell of a time cleaning up to get ready for whatever Milton brings.

The good news – there’s a fair bit of it, actually: Stu’s driving a Ram 4-by-4 rental truck. He has rented a new home which is 30 miles north and well up hill from the coastal disaster.

But he reports a HUGE problem with how certain companies – like rental car agencies – have demonstrated their lack of database flexibility.  So, he’s at a rental car place and there’s about a hundred people there (he’s still got the U Haul at this point) and people are screaming and pointing at their phones saying “Says right here my car is ready!!!”  Meanwhile, the hapless local face of corporate America is pointing at the empty car lot saying “The computer is wrong…”  People were getting more and more pissed.

Well, turns out, the military and big corporate came in and simply took everything in the inventory for “emergency use” and there went some of the cars.  The rest was that huge gap between local disaster reality and “what the computer says…”  We figure Stu’s safe and on high ground out toward Sarasota.

Another key learning point he passed on: We live in a “can’t read, gone pictorial” culture.  He discovered his insurance company had a 9 picture limit on claims pictures uploads. Ex-squeeze me?

9 Pictures?  9???

His workaround was to stay up late and put all of the pictures into a Word doc and then PDF that and upload it on the cell phone.  (The good news is these are mostly working.)

What that means is he has a long report ready to bump up to the Age of Desolation site, but he wants to put in pictures and other “fine tuning.”

Meanwhile, he’s been back at work after his employer, a government contractor on the .mil side) gave everyone 3 days off without burning PTO (personal time off), so he was able to get packed up and when we talked about lunchtime Monday, he was about to sign the new lease and move stuff into the high ground refuge.

Meanwhile, back at The Pickle, a/k/a McDill, the base is about to be hammered again and our “well informed source” not only sent us some imagery but the note:

“McDill is in for it. CENTCOM HQ and SOCOM HQ both in the solid red zone for flooding of greater than 9 feet above ground level. Their buildings are both in the red area east of the main runway, not far from the water.  Orange is storm surge more than 6′ deep above ground, yellow is 3′ deep or deeper. The map depicts actual effect of the surge on the land, not just level above sea level. I imagine that all aircraft are being relocated away from the area. I guess Milton is going to “Hav-A-Tampa” (which are no longer made in Tampa, but rather in Puerto Rico, so are safe… more or less, from the storm.)”

Along with those cigars, much of the surrounding area is about to get smoked again… but for now, Stu’s safe and that’s a very good thing.

The Second Storm Comes

Milton is still spooling up as a Cat 5 in the Gulf. Conspiracy fans will love the overnight appearance of the yellow X on the map.

Meantime, most of the entire rest of the US is heading into drought because all this (coincidental, not driven by the global network of atmospheric heaters that are warming up air masses to drive weather around, of course) must have nothing to do with these odd behaviors.

But the question now is what will it hit land as? (Bets on Cat 3 or 4 here).  And the more important “How much water will it be “pushing and dumping?”  The push will come from low barometric pressure which will pile up water near the core before coming ashore so an “eye on the glass” will be useful. And an umbrella…

As you can see, there are areas of rain that are likely to push into that 15-20 inch range as they come in, so the second storm is set to be worse than the first one.

And (try not to look surprised) we are seeing stories in the media – about the media – and oh, my, here’s personal branding in action: Kaitlin Collins Stunned By Mayor Jane Castor’s Dire Warning (mediaite.com). No, normally we don’t link to such pap, but we are living in the “clickbait and eyeballs era” which is awkward in a crisis event. Media is largely, and I used to be in it- the most anti-environmental industry or all: producing goods with 1 second half-lives… Film at 11  (and 11:01, and 11:02, and….)

Oh, and see The weaponization of weather: When ‘climate control’ is mass marketed as ‘climate change’ (substack.com)  Yeah, um…

WW Storm III

The dishonesty of the Biden-Harris administration becomes clear to us – that the War Party is still angling for a World War – when a master arms dealer release deal is cut and the arms dealer is freed:  Viktor Bout, Vladimir Putin’s ‘Merchant of Death,’ back in business after prisoner exchange release . If the dems really wanted peace (or were even being honest about their gun sympathies) then they would have kept the ARMS DEALER LOCKED UP. But, no. Swallow the bullshit and let’s all keep pretending that socialism (woke, climate, etc) all makes sense.

Oh, but the World War stuff will come late this month. That’s when BRICS is over and Russia will be ready to take on NATO even more directly.  Russian forces reach another key frontline city, Ukraine’s military says (trtworld.com). And look who else is coming to the party: North Korea ‘highly likely’ sending troops to fight for Russia in Ukraine, South Korea says.

Sure, there may be some (rational) people trying to re-establish regional stasis Slovak PM Vows to Block Ukraine’s NATO Membership, Calls to Restore Ties with Russia (kyivpost.com) but James Taylor lyrics are being applied by the War Monger block (“I’m a steam roller baby...”)

But there are more that “balls and box scores” to report around Ukraine.  Here’s an interesting tech discussion if you’re still hot to invest in the death industriesL A Missile Could Not Erase Russian Drone’s Embarrassing Stealth Secret (forbes.com). I’d have to check, but when I was at Sherwin-Williams for my deck railing paint this weekend, I didn’t notice a “stealth coatings” end-cap. So yeah, maybe paint, electronics, and design angles matter…

Back to the key takeaway: by releasing Bout, Biden becomes the world’s biggest biggest-ever gun control liar. Surely the (dynamite) Nobel will be coming?

Meanwhile, Here In Crazyland

On the Kamala side:  Taylor Swift hugs pregnant Brittany Mahomes at Chiefs vs. Saints game (pagesix.com) OK….and… (crickets)

With the M.E. on edge and Biden Palestine support: Trump appears at Oct. 7 remembrance event in Miami, Fla. Second biggest community outside NYC, is it not?

And yes, to anyone with a brain: Elon Musk: “Purpose of No Voter ID Is Obviously to Conduct FRAUD In Elections”. OH, why imagine that!!!

If you missed the Sept. 25th Peoplenomics report, this may come as a surprised (but not really): FEMA Doled Out Millions Pushing ‘Equity,’ Prioritizing ‘Underserved Communities’ Leading Up To Hurricane Season. (I bet more people are damaged or injuried by DEI in these hurricanes than media reports…)

Around the Ranch: Food Run and Writing

Our grocery run Monday came to $703.68.  Why, with such a small food bill, no booze in it, right?  Yeah – different trip. Might take the truck for that run…

Which gets to Peoplenomics tomorrow (in the Longevity book installment) where we will explain getting out of the ‘starter fluid and brake fluid Life.”

You go finish your starter fluid now…

Write when yu get rich,

George@ure.net

40 thoughts on “Storm 1 (Tracking Stu), Storm 2, Storm After”

  1. Playing on social media and noticed how a lot of articles are being “updated”. Seems people didn’t say what they actually said. Someone has been quite busy using an eraser.
    And, going back to see things I’ve commented on no longer show some of my comments and/or reply to others who commented.

    I haven’t been blocked, I’m just being censored.

    I stopped wasting my time playing this game. Fun while it lasted though. Interesting how folks are getting dumbed down.

    I think about those folks who are siding with our downfall and seem to be quite proud of themselves. Oh, they talk shit and probably laugh as they insult those who do have some truth and integrity but, if history serves me correctly, regimes also get rid of those kinds of folks in the end, just to cover their tracks. Oh well.

    • These enemies of freedom need to remember one date- May 5, 1789. A bunch of Frenchmen had enough.

  3. We are all glad to hear that Stu is ok. Hank is probably correct that Milton will hit land as a category 3 or 2 but with all the rain and damage from Helene, this will still be a horrible water event for Floridians. If it hits as a 5, it would be beyond comprehension.

    I saw a Tampa weatherman on TV last night with tears in his eyes. He mentioned the largest atmospheric pressure drop he had seen is his life time. 55 millibars in 10 hours?

    Pray for the safety of Stu and all our friends in this state.

  5. Hmmm
    One Major Dimm contributor, and owner of All BS Communications, is directly on the mid-point between Tampa and Orlando.
    I wonder if any of the atmosphere heater operators were thinking about that when they were spinning Milton up?

  7. a little more,, Here In Crazyland
    Kamala handles that shovel like a real hoe
    14 sec video of Oct 7 tree planting ceremony
    https://x.com/KarluskaP/status/1843385297934913549

    while the gulf storms hit America, the demons’ fear of ‘The Storm’ grows
    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/10/deranged-msnbcs-joe-scarborough-claims-donald-trump-is/
    but on the other hand,,,
    “MUST WATCH: Elon Musk to Tucker Carlson: “If Trump Loses, I’m F*cked… How Long Do You Think My Prison Sentence Is Going to Be?”
    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/10/must-watch-elon-musk-joins-tucker-carlson/

    Hey Diddy ya got any videos ? you know the obama ones?
    here is a video with Legend and his chrissy
    https://rumble.com/v37vmra-chrissy-teigen-implies-she-and-john-legend-had-sex-with-obama.html

    but when we are attacked by ‘so called’ our own government with weather directing equipment, you have to ask, who the fuck is ordering these storms?
    https://x.com/RedpillDrifter/status/1843127213581025668
    it is a 2min video, you have to click the mute/unmute button to listen

    mean while we attacked on the borders with invaders labeled as immigrants, and our money/economy is being blown out of world with inflation/thief,
    migrants receive while citizens need,
    while the talking heads on the boob tube lie to you continually

    CHAOS keeps US focus on survival and distracts US from the hidden hands dirty deeds
    where are all the children that come across the borders?
    PedoGate is still Satan’s gate is in operation, dirty liddle Diddy and friends, just like the Epstein bunch,,, partners in crime,,, psst ya lookin for a liddle adreno and chrome? Billy Gates style, frequent flyer to the Island, named computer programs after his drug addiction
    Tick tock ya baby eaters, the Storm is coming for YOU

    I keep wondering about the Pirates of wooden ship sailing days,,, who the hell financed them? Skull and Bones,
    ships cost money, men cost money, supplies cost money, ships need men with knowledge to navigated and sail the seas, knowledge of commercial shipping when and where to attack

  8. I found this to be right between ridiculous & hilarious..,
    .
    13 States and the District of Corruption are suing TikTok because…, and I quote: ” it is addictive.”
    .
    I have a few “parental” suggestions, but I am pretty sure that hard as you may try a smart phone will not fit into that designated location.

    • dLynn: oh I dunno. Mrs. E is retired from lifelong employ as a surgical RN. They (the surgical staff) could tell stories. Ya think a smart phone wouldn’t fit but, the list is long as to what _does_ fit. Like, think : Comcast television remote. Or, don’t think about it? Egor

    • Recall the beginning of the year when TikTok was going to be outlawed. “The Chicoms are stealing info….”

  9. dude, sarasota county recieved an alert yesterday that read,

    Emergency Alert: EXTREME!

    Sarasota County is calling for the evacuation of Levels A And B.

    LEAVE NOW!

    My little Hispanic girlfriend sent me a sceen shot of it yesterday. Hopefully Stu is safe!

    she made it home last night. said i have the key to her heart. funny thing is, she bleached her hair blonde.

    i said im working today, but after work i will be all over that ass like hobo on a ham sandwich. and she said you are soooo fun! please sir.

    tips hat.

    off to buy a new chevy truck.

  10. oh. after i posted that a truck drove by me with the symbles of $ (heart) $

    okay ,cool. thanks. im open to receive.

    i got the funds. try to get that website up and running asap.

  11. whoaaa big wave

    of dejavu. im in down town seattle getting a load of dirt. expressways are shut down due to a roll over.

    and i had dejavu that i wrote on here dejavu. lol

    october suprizee…………

    uhem. have a wonderful week. :)

  12. my friend Darla just posted a video on social media of the Sherrif driving through her neighborhood in sarasota county saying leave now! over the P.A.

    her car is packed and she is leaving right now. she its pretty much a ghost town now.

    • re: Milton
      feat: getting the lead out

      Folks,

      According to the White House schedule, the President will be arriving in Wisconsin shortly. Remarks are to be delivered concerning the “Biden-Harris Administration’s progress in replacing lead pipes and creating good-paying jobs”.

      Okay, thanks Pops. And now back to an I-75 traffic report…

  13. (The “street” is doing fine (retail is holding, the rates are down a bit, and GDP is going along) but it’s like the old sailing problem: “How do you trim sails for a shit-storm?”)

    that is a good one LOL LOL.. next time one of the store managers is bitching to me.. I will have to print that article out and show them.. no it isn’t like you say see here this is what the article says LOL LOL.. have you ever noticed that Zon days always has things that interest you for sale.. LOL LOL… and look at the ad’s.. the loss leaders.. instead of two per isle they are putting up three and four loss leader sale items to get people to go down the isles.. the other thing is.. I see massive changes in how the isles are moved around.. this was a huge deal in the eighties.. we moved the necessities from one location to another and then put up end caps with loss leaders all over.. by moving crap around so you cant find it you have to walk down other isles and everyone knows if you walk down an isle you will pick up this or that along the way.. what is hurting this… is ordering online.. then picking up the item outside the building.. this eliminates spontaneous sales..

  14. He warned the world of the threat that A.I. could destroy humanity and won the Noble Prize for his work.
    Nobel Prize in Physics awarded to ‘godfather of AI’ ..,Geoffrey Hinton who warned it could wipe out humanity.
    Professor Hinton is notable for his opposition to those technologies. Last year, he resigned from Google after a decade so that he could freely warn about the “existential risk” posed by the very technology he helped to develop.
    In a speech accepting the prize, Prof Hinton, who now teaches at the University of Toronto, Canada, indicated he was proud of his work on artificial intelligence and would “do the same again”. But he fears that the consequences of his work could be “systems more intelligent than us that eventually take control”.

  15. I will never forget Toilet paper as a loss leader.. I would roll out a pallet of tp.. and it was like Parana hitting the tp.. LOL by the time you got it to the display it was gone..
    one of the most amazing things I ever seen was we had apple juice on sale by the gallon.. glass gallons.. a coworker and I were coming around the corner from the meat department and seen a sacker grab a jug.. off the bottom pallet.. they were stacked six pallets high four foot by four foot.. in horror we watched as the stack of pallets started to tilt and sway and then topple over.. gallon jugs bounced around the ware house like ping pong balls.. not a one of them broke.. while we were thinking run for your lives.. they just bounced around.. we both were laughing because we had never seen anything like that ever.. Ican tell you that I use to keep a five gallon jug of molasses in the garage I accidentally nicked it with a saw blade.. on top of the freezer.. a slow drip.. five gallons.. thank god my wife was at work when I discovered it.. a whole day cleaning up that mess.. and yes it was a mess.. a huge mess.. five gallons.. she got home.. there was a spot the size of a half dollar on the floor that I missed.. my wife comes in and starts talking about this horrible spill in the garage.. of molasses.. I go out and see this little spot and thought to myself.. thank god she didn’t see that other mess.. and cleaned it up.. speaking of which I have to defrost that freezer.. cow comes next week.. now if five gallons will make a huge mess like that.. imagine what a thousand gallons would look like..

  17. took an ass whooping because I failed to follow Ure’s trading advice, never lose more than $50 in a trade,, take the loss and get out,, as I rode my $DJT down the rabbit hole as someone with lots of that stock, which Blackrock did have a bunch of,,, drove the price downhill with AI computer timing. Seems they have ran out, as the stock has turned,,, was down in the $12 range 2 weeks ago
    TRUMP MEDIA & TECHNO DJT: NASDAQ
    $21.38+$2.99(+16.26%) as of noon today up 16%
    been going up for 2 wks after a long ass whippin. I am still in the RED, but I blame only myself for my lack choosing poorly with my timing and movements,,, lazy
    It does not seem to follow the index crowd, but has a life of it’s own.
    Now that Elon has joined the Trump campaign, jumping in with both feet,,, literally
    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13928717/Trump-rally-Butler-Pennsylvania-Elon-Musk.html
    I have to wonder, if a joining of platforms is in the future?
    X and Truth,, just a daydream,,, back to my regular scheduled programing,,, shouting into the abyss, waiting for the echo or answer,,, maybe I should not shout, but speak softly as the non verbal voice that I have ‘heard’ before, that spoke with a softness and Truth

  18. In a recent analysis – 27 States can’t pay their bills. They are In-the-Red. That number expected to go to 38 by the end of this year.

    Well., I’m out-of-here for a couple of days.
    Please don’t blow anything up while I’m gone.
    Private, invite-only game down on the Columbia Gorge – good looking winery.
    Not a single bottle under $60.
    Small game, but according to “Lady Fingers” there is one player I should go up against.., so., I’m off.., I can use the mental challenge !
    .
    “Stay Frosty !”

  20. POW! An X1.8 solar flare was observed around Earth facing AR 3848 at 01:55 UTC (Oct 9). May be eruptive. Stay tuned.
    Flare pretty much wiped out the interisland 40 meter NVIS net at 4:00pm HST.

    • Russian ambassador to U.S. “concludes” term, Russian agencies report
      Fargo, ND, USA / The Mighty 790 KFGO | KFGO
      Thomson Reuters
      Oct 5, 2024 | 6:55 PM
      (Reuters) – Russia’s ambassador to the United States, Anatoly Antonov, is “concluding” his diplomatic mission, Russian agencies reported late on Saturday.

      “Russian Ambassador to the US Anatoly Ivanovich Antonov is concluding his Washington assignment and heading to Moscow,” Interfax agency cited a representative of the Foreign Ministry as saying.

      The envoy will be returning to Moscow within hours, Vedomosti newspaper reported. There was no further detail provided.

      Antonov has been Russia’s ambassador in Washington since 2017.

      tass.ru reports this as normal, and that a new Ambassador will be appointed by, well, today…

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