Job Numbers and Back to Bed

Yes, the stock market is closed.  Good Friday, don’tcha know. But this warms me to our first Agenda Item.  What’s so “Good” about “Good Friday?”  To cite from Wikipedia (Etymology entry): “‘Good Friday’ comes from the sense ‘pious, holy’ of the word “good”.[13] Less common examples of expressions based on this obsolete sense of “good” include … Read More

Job Cuts, Shortages on Horizon, Market’s Paradox

Ure has turned over a new leaf:  shorter reports. Just not today. Job Cuts First Second horse pick in the weekly financial trifecta:  Challenger Job Cuts: “Job Cuts Rise 15% in March 2023, Up 319% from Same Month Last Year, Highest Q1 Since 2020 | Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc. (challengergray.com) Which then continues with … Read More

Manic Markets – Turning Tuesday? Gag Don?

Scrying Future ain’t easy work.  Some fellows use language shifts on social media streams, others refer to oddly Greek-named computers,  More press sound effects buttons on TV. And, sure enough, as you’d expect (since much of the future comes down to close – nearly 50-50 chances anyway) everyone will either be right.  Or, have a ready … Read More

Rallying On: GDP and U.I. Filings

Say, there’s a symbiotic relationship for you.  Let’s roll the Gross Domestic Product out first.  Because you have already suspected what the real agenda of higher prices has been. Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2022 (table 1), according to the “third” estimate released … Read More

Hype in Mire Monday – Sketchy Week Ahead?

Why, looking at the early futures (Dow +200) you’d think that the skies were about to part and the rally into the close Friday might continue. ‘fraid not. But, the good news for old day traders is that the markets always “swing” so there’s usually a lunch money trade, or two, lying around.  Still, it’s … Read More

April Collapse Odds Climbing – Ports Disaster Unfolds

Earth Time Piling Up:  A large cluster of bad ju-ju is presenting its leading edge, just now.  We see it across many of our “Seven Systems/Domains” model and it seems the next 60-days will be key to our future. Regardless of your partisan leanings (*they’re mainly a marketing division, anyway) the list of existential challenges … Read More

Rhymecast: Echoes of Locarno – Powell Saves Weimar II

Hard to make sense of the world through press off ejaculate “pressers” which artfully pick and choose morality to suit agitprop goals. However, through the lenses of history and economics, a pattern begins to fill in. And so, as near as we can figure it, the Weimar (II) has been saved by Powell as the … Read More

Immortality: The Investment Problem

Life Extension has a hard limit defined by personal income over time. Wife Elaine nailed it at breakfast Monday when she said “You can’t have one without the Other.” Life extension mainly costs money and investments usually cost time. Today, we’ll look at this balancing problem.  And begin to draw an odd kind of outlook … Read More

Ex-Im, PhillyFed, Housing Starts & the BreakCiv Problem

The curse of George Ure is ALWAYS being too early.  I booked a small loss Wednesday because of misjudging the start of what may be the beginning of the stock market shaking off the recent banking mania.  Although, in fairness, Arnold’s “I’ll be back…” line is likely to be apropos. The future is always clear … Read More

CPI, Orange Bashing, Bank Pan, SD-AI and Mirrors

There’s too much going on to mess with flowery language today.  We have a ton to cover before the next leg down. But we need, like the Air Force 2025 study did, circa 1996, to consider the long-term historical “Where’ve we been?” and “Where we are going?” kind of questions. Bank runs and Crypto’s role … Read More

Profitectomy: Slip-Sliding Away

Been a fine, if not damn near dandy week, here in the East Texas Outback.  The time of year when “green up” happens – as the wild lands look greener than Ireland. The bank balances are greening-up nicely, as well.  Because we have a useful kluge of a lot of technical gibberish and simple visuals … Read More

Optical Speculation

Software mirrors psychology, as we figure it.  And important consideration when trying not just to sort out what the ChartPack hints at, but a whole field of research in and of itself. You see, we don’t get much training in how to use the components of mind:  There’s a graphics layer, a data table view…all … Read More

The Leading Edge of Tainter

While in the shower Monday morning, one of those “Doh!” moments hit me. I won’t spoil the (deep) thought, but it explains nearly 100 percent of what’s going on both socially and economically around the world today. If you want to understand news headlines, read Joseph Tainter. Which we will lay out – vastly simplified … Read More