Although we don’t offer financial advice, we do nevertheless write and opine on both economics in general, the long waves within economics, and some of our own independent research very specifically. Thus, we feel somewhat driven to announce this is likely to be the transition into? Deadly Downside Day We begin in the general economics … Read More
Money is what “floats your boat” in today’s second installment of our Ark building book. Because while “prepping” may be popular, what’s really satisfying is the larger context in life: Building a Personal Ark to sail into the unknowable future. We aren’t building a Noah-like flood building, though. Rather we are looking at owning a … Read More
Reader Note: I made a couple of changes to the site you may notice, depending on caffeine loading. The first is the home page is now two columns (except on phones) so you can scan what’s going on more quickly. The other change is to underline links in our content, so it’s (more) clear you’re … Read More
The study of Long Wave economics is always complicated. Because there is such an abundance of data to make sense of. You take the stock market of today. We should not be this high. And yet, on this Monday we have all three possible Futures (good, bad, and indifferent) laid out in the charts before us. … Read More
Ham Radio Focus today. You don’t need a license to read, though. And lots of hints, kinks, tweaks, and special sauce secrets along the way. We have been in something approaching “recovery mode” since our consigliere left Tuesday and headed back to the (chillier) Northeast. Leaving me no “second eyes” and “second set of hands” … Read More
With markets at new (nominal) highs this weekend, a look to see where the runaway train is headed seems to make sense. Will we hit a turn and “jump the tracks?” As we ponder this, the Russians have gained more ground in the area of Donetsk where future-critical petroleum reserves are located. Plus now we’re … Read More
Several items of note today, hence this odd update. First is – as we told you to expect – Fed Chair Jay Powell is not rolling over on rates. In fact, in a speech today he went to far as to say: The FOMC is strongly committed to bringing inflation down to 2 percent over … Read More
Seems to us like a good discussion today would revolve around the three flavors of Future that are seen laying out before us. First comes the Very-Near Future. Like the rest of today and into the early weekend. Intermediate-Future, from 2 or 3 days out and going into the New Year. Then most perplexing of all … Read More
Personal Income is our first fairytale today. Theory is we’re all making more money, but what’s the old saying? “The harder I work the behinder I get.” Unless you’re the gubmint. Because the more you make, they bigger the tax bite. That is to say, when it comes to real disposable income, we haven’t seen … Read More
Getting hard to “run away to the frontier” to craft a new kind of life these days. But that doesn’t mean it can’t be done. It just takes a little different mindset to pull it off. Today, the first 7,000-word chunk of how to pull it off. Everything from escape to the backwoods, the sea, … Read More
And with the news, look for markets to back off on silly-talk of rate cuts. Because the Fed wants 2 percent inflation, not the four-something percent of now: NEW YORK, NOVEMBER 28, 2023: S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. … Read More
How the Future shows up is slowly coming into view. Low probability, but there’s a theme evolving and it’s scary. It’s also complicated with several additional levels of play hidden from public view. Let’s go exploring, shall we? Imagine a future where: An outbreak of violence over immigration (legal and not) breaks out in America. … Read More
I’m not sure if spendgasm is a word, but it sure as hell ought to be one. This was the weekend of Black Friday sales and today, we’re already $95 into Cyber Monday deals on Amazon and the sun’s not even up, yet. Black Friday shoppers spend record amount online, Adobe says. We will be talking … Read More