Markets Peak… Food Next?

The longwave economics view brings many terrible thoughts to mind.  It’s like standing at the shoreline, sometimes, watching the tide come in.  Then realizing it’s a tsunami. Amidst the odd machinations of the news lately, we are reminded of a huge story lurking behind the headlines.  Namely that America has some exceptional drought impacts evolving. … Read More

Five Signs of Economics Sanity (At Last!!!)

With the quickly approaching Long Last Weekend of vacationing almost here, I’ll drop back into our “B-mode” today and tomorrow.  Short, punch, broadcast writing, since time is tight.  Especially if you’re heading out… The main point his morning – despite the temporary insanity being spread virally around Internet, there are still signs that all home … Read More

Fine-Tuning Crash Prospects

As you may have inferred from the article on the UrbanSurvival site Tuesday morning, we are taking on the task today or looking a bit more deeply into some of the possible timing marks that are coming along shortly if the historical rhyming with 1929 continues. It certainly is rhyming nicely on trade… We’ll get … Read More

“Prepping” for College? You Bet!

One of our nephews is off to college now up in Tyler, Texas, where he’s hoping to do well in his chosen physical trainer program. Before he took off, we spent a little time a couple of weeks back and I helped him with some of the mental “prepping” for school that most people don’t … Read More

Housing Still Hot – But Vegas???

Just Out: “NEW YORK, AUGUST 28, 2018 – S&P Dow Jones Indices today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for June 2018 shows that home prices continued their rise across the country over the last 12 months. More than 27 years … Read More

Trump’s Blow-Off Market

Reader Note:  Look for the Housing Update at 8:15 AM (plus or minus coffee) so check back… How much of a Stock Bubble will the Trump Administration get? My consigliere and I talk about this on a regular basis and it all comes down to a combination of the social mood, technical innovation and change, … Read More

Market: Up – but the Calendar Matters

Here we go with another late-summer Monday in the “world gone insane.” Mass shooting, dead senator, and Hawaii cleanup dominating the news flow elsewhere… Like back in the day, when Disney theme parks had ride tickets (with things like Space Mountain being an “E” ticket) this would have been about a “B” ticket week. On … Read More

Prepping: How to “Go Rural” – Smart

We recently decided to take down our www.ruralpioneers.com website, but there are a number of very useful articles buried in the archives of that site that should be considered today because they offer very valuable – timeless – advice to preppers and contingency planners of today. Here’s an example from 2004 where I wrote up … Read More

How High is “Up?”

This morning we focus on the one investment move that’s likely to matter this fall:  When do we head out the casino door and let the place fall apart? Both the NASDAQ and the S&P 500 will open Monday from Record Highs, but the Dow has been non-confirming. First though, a check of a few … Read More

Prepping: Ready for Sunburn?

With just a week to run before the last “sunny holiday” of the year, it’s time for the two-bit sunburn avoidance reminders. The Basics: 1. You need to have sunscreen around at all times when outdoors.  No doubt about it, excessive UV (and B in particular) increases the odds of melanoma. 2. You may not … Read More

When Ham Radio Matters

Which it does, right now, in Hawaii.  Hurricane Lane is taking a swipe at the islands from the south-southwest: With up to 30″ inches of rain coming, a lot of the island’s infrastructure may be damaged.  The American Radio Relay League – the largest of the ham radio organizations – has radio gear ready for … Read More

Hawaii: Cane-Quake or Cane-Flows?

As I was contemplating the pending arrival of the hurricane now bearing down on Hawaii, an odd possibility crossed my mind:  Could the hurricane have some impact on the geological activity of the Big Island now in progress? Let’s take it from the top and see where things lead.  Starting with the NOAA SitRep as … Read More

How to Build a CMFTPM

This morning we do a rethink on one of those “soft” relationships in economics:  Between the performance of the stock market and the operation of commodity markets. All this because?  We like to develop trading-support models.  Intuitively, if you have a modeling system like our “Golem” spreadsheet (and understand it is offset from actual results … Read More

Toggle Dark Mode