Coasting the Paradigm

3:00 AM…Again, my thanks to George Noory for being a witty and gracious host on Coast to Coast AM last night.  His 11th year in the chair, no less. 

There were lots more things to cover than we were able to talk about in an hour, so this morning in lieu of the usual “Coping” materials, we have a discussion about Computer Assisted/Aided Prediction as well as an update to some research I did in 2006 where I went looking to see what kind of “music” might be discovered in stock market data.  Yes, the market has a music of its own.

As to the predictions for 2014 (and beyond)?

More NSA Surveillance disclosures to come.  As Peoplenomics subscribers learned this weekend, you may be able to take news stories, like revelations about NSA spying, and map out their likely path by using S-curve analysis pioneered by Cesar Marchetti.

Next point was that the bloom off the rose with social media potentially ready to peak in early 2014.  The main issues include time to spend on social media, and corporations not stepping up to pay for notification of their own markets which many social media outfits are now demanding.

The Kondratieff Wave suggests global war due in the 2020-2022 area, and between now and then unemployment will likely bottom this year.  A combination of robotics and immigration will be key deciders there.  Longer term, a forecast I presented this weekend to subscribers suggests a 19% unemployment rate by 2022.

The Fed will be under pressure to begin to phase out of quantitative easing and that leads to a major market decline likely toward year-end 2014. Withdrawal is a bitch whether a controlled substance or (made-up) money.

With that traditional hedges, like gold could fall further, perhaps under a thousand/ per ounce but first a rally to 1,400 is possible near term.

By 2022: Need for new war for economic stimulus to end Depression 2.

Market high may be in this week, with other turn dates at the end of January, late April…summer rally, fall decline pattern returns.

Wild card: Rabi Yitzak Kaduri’s prediction that the Jewish Messiah will reveal himself after the passing of Ariel Sharon…and as you know, he’s been in a coma since 2006 and his condition is deteriorating.

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Coast to Coast Reader Notes

A few words about CAP – Computed Aided Prediction What’s a web bot? Term first used commercially to describe “central control software for controlling the operation of an automatic utility meter reader system comprised of utility meters interconnected via the Internet” by MU Net of Lexington, Mass Common use in 2000 as short for “internet /or/ web robot” Wikipedia: “a software application that runs automated tasks over the Internet.” Current Approaches: Astrology (oldest) Religious or drug experience Language shift studies Word-frequency analysis (change) (with fine structure-constant or without) Indicator phrase studies Time-referencing language studies Cycle analytics (May be WFA/FSc related) Search queries …and combinations in conjunction with expert/learning systems What Works Best?

Coping: Futuring with Music of the Markets

Since I was on Coast to Coast AM with George Noory overnight, I decided (while waiting for the clock to roll around to air time) to update a bit of research I did in 2006 when I set off on a quest to see what the “music of the stock market” would sound like. The approach was simple…and anyone can replicate the results. Here’s how you go about “extracting music from markets.” 1. You begin with the data sets you want to listen to.

Who Will Have Work in 2022?

We’ve laid the ground work in a couple of recent Peoplenomics reports (“Tax Robotics: Unwrapping the Future” and “Taxing Thoughts: Fighting the Wrong War.”) The first report deals with the new technologies such as 3D printing that will continue to impact manufacturing and then there is the ongoing destruction of labor demand by ever-increasing levels of factory automation. Then we look at the problem of funding government’s various roles via the income tax on humans, but not machines, in the “Taxing Thoughts” report.