3:00 AM…Again, my thanks to George Noory for being a witty and gracious host on Coast to Coast AM last night. His 11th year in the chair, no less.
There were lots more things to cover than we were able to talk about in an hour, so this morning in lieu of the usual “Coping” materials, we have a discussion about Computer Assisted/Aided Prediction as well as an update to some research I did in 2006 where I went looking to see what kind of “music” might be discovered in stock market data. Yes, the market has a music of its own.
As to the predictions for 2014 (and beyond)?
More NSA Surveillance disclosures to come. As Peoplenomics subscribers learned this weekend, you may be able to take news stories, like revelations about NSA spying, and map out their likely path by using S-curve analysis pioneered by Cesar Marchetti.
Next point was that the bloom off the rose with social media potentially ready to peak in early 2014. The main issues include time to spend on social media, and corporations not stepping up to pay for notification of their own markets which many social media outfits are now demanding.
The Kondratieff Wave suggests global war due in the 2020-2022 area, and between now and then unemployment will likely bottom this year. A combination of robotics and immigration will be key deciders there. Longer term, a forecast I presented this weekend to subscribers suggests a 19% unemployment rate by 2022.
The Fed will be under pressure to begin to phase out of quantitative easing and that leads to a major market decline likely toward year-end 2014. Withdrawal is a bitch whether a controlled substance or (made-up) money.
With that traditional hedges, like gold could fall further, perhaps under a thousand/ per ounce but first a rally to 1,400 is possible near term.
By 2022: Need for new war for economic stimulus to end Depression 2.
Market high may be in this week, with other turn dates at the end of January, late April…summer rally, fall decline pattern returns.
Wild card: Rabi Yitzak Kaduri’s prediction that the Jewish Messiah will reveal himself after the passing of Ariel Sharon…and as you know, he’s been in a coma since 2006 and his condition is deteriorating.