Scoring Our Trading Model

As we continue to pull bits and pieces together for 2014’s annual forecast, it’s time to see how well our Aggregate Index-based trading model would have done if you had done NOTHING but traded our timing model from last year about this time until present.  At a time when banks are paying a crummy 0.1% (or less) on savings accounts, this system has been a huge winner.  You oughta be impressed as hell when I run through the numbers with you.  As the gurus of “Big Data” will tell you “data trumps gut” almost every time and this year was a hard lesson for me in not trusting my own model!  First, though some headlines to size up how the rest of the world (the part not worried about making decent returns from investing) is holding out…

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Elsewhere around the net…Fed Beige Book is due out this afternoon, so we might see some late afternoon market reaction to that.

And my friend Gaye over at www.backdoorsurvival.com has an article on “DIY Miracle Healing Salve” which is pretty interesting, especially if you (like me) have skin that gets flaky and itchy due to the dry air when things drop well below freezing which they are up in the Midwest.

Later this week here at the ranch we will see temps plunge down into the area of snow and ice pellets, which will be a real culture shock from our nearly 80  due today.  But the good news for farmers is that such temperature shocks kill off a lot of bugs, so the breadbasket ought to be full, or nearly so, going into next falls big market decline…

More tomorrow…off to do real work now…

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