MOAB but not Utah

I wasn’t going to write a long piece this morning, since it’s a holiday and I have many other things I’d rather be doing. But please take the time to carefully read this morning’s “Coping” section and understand the case I’m making – namely that government is already heavily relying on ‘computational support’ as a precondition for major moves. And in such a world, we may be seeing artificial intelligence throwing in suggested “actions” for the administration to take.  Such a tie-in would explain why there was little functional different … Continue reading

Coping: Trumped? Shared “Computational Governance” – Real?

Don’t look too closely:  America may be on computer-assisted policy auto-pilot and that could explain a lot of Trump actions lately. A number of readers are confused by my outlook on the Trump presidency.  So this being a semi-holiday, I thought it would be a good time to explain what MAY be going on. If you don’t subscribe to our www.peoplenomics.com website, you may not be aware that as long ago as 2001 we postulated the existence of a “super-secret” government bureau that would advise the president on national matters … Continue reading

Thursday Pre-Holiday Blues

Yep… markets will be closed in the U.S. tomorrow and we have a boatload of reasons NOT to want to hold stocks over three days when you’d be “locked in” to holding for the longer term. As we explained to Peoplenomics readers some months back, people have three ways they can “play the market” – even it said “play” is something like positioning of your retirement account money. There is Long – expecting things to go up.  Short, expecting things to go down.  And then there is cash.  Which is where we … Continue reading

Coping: America Needs More Time Off

Don’t we all work hard enough for “the man” as is? Tomorrow is one of those days I hate. It’s a semi-vacation day. The rich (and those who make it possible for them to be so) down on Wall St. will have tomorrow off.  The Bond market will be closed. Worst of all, most Americans will be stuck at the grindstone, nose hard at it. When you think about it, there’s something asymmetric about the day:  Why should government offices be open while the secular markets and banks are closed? … Continue reading

Times of Economic Self-Preservation

We dispense with all the usual formatics this morning to deal with the One Question that Matters. What’s the right move at this precise time and place that a person trying to preserve their retirement accounts and such MIGHT consider given where we are in the Economic Long Wave? It’s a complex question and while we don’t offer financial advice, this morning’s discussion will give you all kinds of things to consider. Indeed, an  unusual report this morning, but then again, these are definitely unusual times. As always, I tend … Continue reading

Rex On Troubled Waters

Some things are just predictable. Take the overnight economic developments: Japan was down 0.27%. The Hang Seng was down 0.72% Germany and France with down a bit. But the UK rallies. Amidst this, U.S. futures were flat and, as we explained in a special report for our Peoplenomics.com subscribers Monday, there was some art involved in getting out of a long position near the top of Monday’s trading range. What could calm markets and get people to piling dough back into the markets? Hmmm….cue the SecState! “Tillerson on Syria: Military … Continue reading

Coping: Sufficiency – The Root Cause of War

Simply, it’s the lack of sufficiency in how whole nation’s think and act. With the West and Russia going eye-to-eye in Syria (again) and with the U.S. Navy moving into the Western Pacific within striking range of North Korea, as China masses 150,000 troops on the North Korean border, I thought it might be productive to consider the whole “war” paradigm.  Where does this come from? You see, there is a dirty little secret among economists.  It is simply this: Many of the global trade problems and friction between nations … Continue reading

Come Sit at my Trading Platform

I  rocked it today.  Not a big win, but this time I conscientiously journaled every move, since a number of subscribers have asked about my thinking processes between the Peoplenomics Oscillator updates at mid week and on weekends. You asked….so here’s how we rolled.  Thought by thought. Blew out of my long position, if even for 20 hours, when an urge to exit hit me shortly after the open on Monday. This afternoon, the journal of the thinking process  – on the off chance you might find it useful and/or … Continue reading

China Moves to North Korea?

Words out of Asia verge on alarming at this hour as a machine translation off the Korean news agency Chosun uncovers this: “As the United States announced its independent North Korean behavior and moved the United States Navy’s nuclear-powered [Vinson] (CVN-70) carrier class to Singapore, the Chinese army has deployed about 150,000 troops in two groups to prepare for unforeseen circumstances. “The report said. It is because of the prospect of taking “military options”, such as preemptive attacks on North Korea, just as the United States has launched an air raid … Continue reading