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Is Solar Putting in a Bottom?
Every so often we like to get practical and hands-on with economic notes that make sense even for the non Wall Street investor, since, coming up to whatever it is this spring, now could be a dandy time to be investing in solar panels.
Not that the turn to the upside will be dramatic or sudden; this for several reasons. First, Germany, which had been handing out big subsidies has decided to hurry the end of such public policy moves.
India, which has had some of the most aggressive solar infrastructure plans reported it missed its goal of 1,233 megawatts, but they are still putting in lots of solar.
I've been watching solar prices pretty closely, although we already have 3.6 kW of grid-tied online. Always room for more, especially if the prices stay low. If Buffett is buying, I figure it's like standing next to a winner at the roulette wheel and making the same bets.
A few weeks back, the best price per watt out of www.sunelec.com was 87¢ and now it's up to 88¢ per watt. Moreover, the prices of "balance of system" components, like grid-tied inverters, DC power enclosures, and DC breakers have stabilized and seem to be firming.
If you're thinking about solar power - with an eye on what will "carry value forward" regardless of what lies ahead in the way of economic tripwires, a couple of KW worth of power to keep the frozen foods cold (and you chilled out) may (with tax credits and all) make sense now.
With oil barely under $100 a barrel, it's not a compelling case -- yet. But, if - due to conflict in the Middle East, or just rolling blackouts from not enough source on a hot summer day - oil goes up dramatically, it will ne nice to have guilt free power and arguably solar may provide more comfort than paper abstractions in the bank.
If you don't like the Measurements
...change the measuring tape. You know, it's getting harder and harder to be a dyed-in-the-wool economic fundamentalist. Not that the amount of money chasing the goods and services Made in America isn't still terribly pertinent to the long-term economic outcome of the world, it's just that ever since St. Greenspan (chief Housing Bubblemeister) buried the sausage by ending the public disclosure of the broadest of money measures (M3).
When this was done (announced 2005, done deal in 2006) it was argued that M3 didn't provide much additional information than was included in M2. Can't speak for anyone else, but the size of the difference (namely large time deposits, institutional money market funds, short-term repos and other large liquid assets was a useful number for market players who were curious when liquidity was waning versus when there was a lot of money sitting on the sidelines. (M3-M2 = the aforementioned loose change.)
So now the Fed is changing how the narrower M1 and M2 are measured:
Normally, if someone were doing a paper on revising the basis for monetary operations, a college prof at the post-grad level (we consult with one of these now and then) would perhaps ask for a few samples of the impact of (I think China might call this kind of thing and example of capitalism's tendency toward revisionist economic history) how the changes will make the data look when viewed backward a year or two out when we should really be in the throes of Depression 2's second big downer leg.
Seasonally adjusted, the past year has seen an 18.4% hike in M1 and a 9.6% hike in M2. Unadjusted is up 18.5% and 9.7% respectively.
"Is this going somewhere?"
Pardon moi! Just a guess: M1 was up another .4% while M2 was down .2% when the revisions are combined with the latest data. Makes me think the Fed may indicate even easier money when they meet next week. Zero percent interest anyone?
Buying the White House, Continued
So, how much is South Carolina's Primary worthy? I reckon about $20-$25 million by the time after-the-fact reporting catches up. But so far it's up to $12-million per this report.
With republicorps falling right and righter, as in the Rick Perry pull-out on Thursday, we seem to be getting a decent preview of who the movers and shakers will be in the Gingrich malministeration should we be so unfortunate.
Gingrich didn't want to talk about his ex's interview with ABC which, we understand, painted him as a two-faced kind of person. Frankly, no surprise there since he is a career politicians, after all.
Still, as long as Romney's in this, Newt may run low on wool to pull, which is why I'm so worried about great misfortune for those who oppose the PTB ...er...picks. Had to be careful not to drop an "r" in there...
Thought Control Department
Several people, including our news analyst dude up in Winnipeg have noted the arrest of several people on internet piracy laws down in New Zealand and elsewhere. "Looks like TPTB have stopped playing nicey-nice on the internet. Censorship isn't pretty."
There is another way to look at this: I wonder why SOPA and PIPA are being pushed so hard since there seem to be enough existing laws to go after even non-residents. Say, you don't suppose political dissent was really the goal of SOPA and PIPA, do you?
Meantime, the foreign press is asking where's that much-touted "due process" America used to boast about. And we see republicans are against the piracy laws...which means someone's gonna have to get the checkbook out to fix that...don'tcha love campaign tactics?
Had the workings of this explained to me by a long-time lobbyist source once upon a time...that's why there is so much emotionally charged "news" (froth) leading into elections as people sell positions for....er...votes....but of course you knew that, I assume.
Birth of the Holocaust
70-years ago today, Wannsee Conference took place.
He's a really cool sounding way to rack up those continuing education credits: A conference on the legal implications of self-driving cars today at Santa Clara University School of law.
I assume you know that the automatic, self-driving cars from films like Minority Report are already in the long range plans of the PTB, right?
So if lawyers used to drive you crazy, they're first in the driver's seat to drive you other places, too...
Well, lookie here! A Chinese New Year's card from KPMG!
Wonder if China can top their Catalina fireworks show from Nov. 2010?
More after this:
Coping: Friday at the WuJo and 314
We are almost swimming in oddities from the land where woo-woo runs smack into science and fights it out in the mental arts dojo we call the WuJo. In particular we have problems with disappearing things and disappearing time as these first couple of reports outline:
First right past the Twilight Zone.
But seriously, there is a growing gob of statistical evidence that as we move forward (from our perspective in time) the number of these kinds of reports are increasing at a faster and faster rate.
Had one myself this morning. I went to the north deck door to put on my shoes and start the long commute to the office (60-70-feet). No shoes.
Got out the flashlight and scoured the house. No shoes. Woke up my son (who borrows shoes now and then, since we have [not surprisingly] the same size feet.
I go back to the north door, having decided to make one last pass before putting on my cowboy boots and lo & behold, there are my shoes. Couldn't have missed them before, but I did. Hmmm...
Well, I'm not the only one with this kind of thing going on. Try this report from last January about this time which I haven't shared yet.. I just collect lots of reports, a kind of personal X-Files project....
See the pattern here?
Not ready to commit to a line of thinking just yet, as long as the WuJo is getting email like this one:
We'll be right over.....just kidding!
But seriously, a thoughtful reader recalls the concept of an "assemblage point" which was somewhere in the area of the left shoulder, which in Castaneda's books was where the Nagual was giving occasional smacks to in order to reframe the understudy's assemblage point.
The idea of an "assemblage point" is that it's the place around which we (for lack of a clearer way of saying this) assemble reality from the wavefront of the kalapas around us. Don't want to get you reading the Fire Within or the Art of Dreaming but to follow this next email does require a bit of deeper reading than just the Sunday funnies, know what I'm sayin'?
Whew! Enough to do a number on your head and that, speaking of which, gets us to the follow-up on the n umber 314 which seems to be appearing a lot in people's glances at clocks and so forth. Got'cher Cyrillic font installed for this report from Russia?
Yeah, I suppose so, but that would be regional and from what I'm hearing the reports are Western...although it would be interesting to share notes with a Russian site if there are any discussing this point.
Then there's this from the group up at The Chronicle Project which is retranslating the bible from the best sources they can find....
And that in turn, gets us back to the discussion about Lake Vostok and why the ice race seems to be going on to find that mass concentration underwater...but I suppose we need to call it quits at the WuJo at some point and get back to making money and not worry about the wars in the heavens that can be found in everything from Vedic to biblical records.
So long as they remain in antiquity where they belong.
Gaming: Beyond Flight Simulator
Speaking of flying machine from antiquity and such...Did you notice that Microsoft is due out with a new flight simulator system this spring? With it's arrival I'll see the departure of my last few minutes of free time weekly...even though shooting IFR landings is not loggable time on a basic FS system... still keeps skills us and polishes the headwork a bit.
You know, my birthday is next month and since I know you're wondering what I'd like...how about an Icon A5...and I've already got some Lake LA4-200 (Buccaneer) time....so the transition time should be minimal...
Our Kind of Headlines
Gaye over at www.backdoorsurvival.com touches on something down near the archetype level this morning with her headline "7 Tipes for Cast Iron Mavens, or Soon-to-Be-Mavens..."
Iron Mavens? I'm thinking more Iron Butterfly (have speakers up full, unless at work...)
Elaine's pancakes from our cast iron Thursday are still a pleasant memory which gets me to wondering why I'm still writing and not over at the house finding out if there are more where those came from.....
More for Peoplenomics readers tomorrow, more for non-subscribers on Monday, unless something BIG happen. If it's really big we may do an update, but if it's ultimately BIG no one will be left to read it..,. pancakes ahoy!
Monday is National Pie Day! Get pied this weekend...
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What Carries Value Forward?
The Big question from a reader this morning is "Would you buy silver? and gosh, this gets into what as a b-school jock I'd call a serious multivariate problem. Serious because we are in such a sloppy world financial right now that whole categories of "variates" are coming at us from every which-way. And those might include? We start with our review of a few news items. Relax - it's like playing pool....my break and we're playin' slop....
Safer Computing: Swearing Off Cookies
It has been a while since I roared the praises of the Maxa Cookie Manager which you can download and install for a free test drive by clicking here.
To upgrade from the demo to full working is still less than $50 and one heck of a bargain at that, if I do say so.
I am a high-reliability computing kind of guy - and near as I have it figured, the road to a hassle-free computing experience is (like flying an airplane) a matter of going through a proper checklist before popping onto the web:
Like anything in computers, updates are critical so before work every morning, the computer does its update ritual - Check of Maxa (5.3.02 is current) Avira, and Malware bytes.
Toss in a good bit of common sense (example: Don't open email purporting to be from UPS, IRS, the US Post Office, or anything else that even has a hint of fishy odor to it) and first thing you know, the internet's actually a useful tool.
"Live on $10,000" A Year
Having a hard time making ends meet? (Like who isn't, right?) A good starting point to better match up income with outgo is our $10 e-book "How to Live on $10,000 a Year...or less!"
It's an automatic download. It's written in an information dense style: The whole thing runs about 65 pages, but it gives you a vision of how to not only live on the cheap, but also how to migrate up the economic foodchain if you have a little hustle left. A bonus section called "How to Build Anything" should instill confidence if you've never taken on a home improvement/home creation project before, too..... Click here for the index and details.
Please pass along word of this site to your friends by simply clicking here to send 'em a short email. - Thanks!
Thursday January 19, 2012
The Consumer Price Myth Continued
With the latest assertion that the Consumer Price Index remained unchanged in December, we wryly note that's hardly the case if you zoom out to look at something a little broader than one month's worth of data. Shall we begin with the official wording, please, before I get out the rusty scalpel?
That's the "official version". Now let's consider how this is to be read if you're an economist, or a regular, great unwashed mass of humanity type human:
The rolling 12-month change in energy was still UP 6.6% (note how putting the word "down to" in close proximity makes it sound like a decline if you're only half paying attention? Got to admit, some first-class wordsmithing going on at BLS in this one.
Similarly, by putting the the phrase "edged up from 4.6 percent" in front of the 4.7% food increase, the public is left with a positive take and an impression of a tiny bit lower number.
But in the end, the Fed continues to print money (basis M1) at an 18.0 percent rate, or (basis M2) a 9.8% higher rate, or 7½ - 7⅞ percent (or thereabout) at M3b which means we're still in deflation but the rate may be slowing, since I (simple-mindedly) figure Secular Price Inflation (less) Monetary Inflation equals more or less a real inflation or deflation rate.
Which means if I swallow 3.0% unadjusted 12-months for everything, and subtract an eyeballed 7.75% M3b Monetary rate, de facto deflation is still 4.75% which is why I haven't sold my bonds yet. Besides, a lowering may come from the Fed next week to hook another battery jumper cable up to this flat-lined economy.
So when Housing Prices come out from S&P in a week or so, I expect housing prices will be down (year on year) about this 4½ - 5% range. Don't hate me, I'm just the guy with the calculator. But there are lots of policy options. Let me think...
War works when it comes to fixing an economy as we've shown many times...which gets us to.....
Circle: March 8th
As the world turns, we see on the flip side more maneuvering over the pending Iran showdown to come. While Russia is warning of catastrophic outcomes if Iran is attacked, and while the Israelis say it is they - not the Obama administration are the ones that called off the US-Israel war games this week - and we were reminded in an email from a colleague:
Even if you don't get our premium Peoplenomics reports, just realize that frequently market crashes happen about 55-days after a major peak and I'd offer as an example September 3, 1929 as an example. You do remember what happened 55-days later? Hint. Futures are up 50+ so here comes our top! Maybe...
Although it borders on woo-woo, the large number of people having dreams about the number "314" - and running into it on clocks and such, has us wondering if an attack by Israel (the 8th of March seems as good a time as any and highly symbolic) that the US stand behind plausible deniability (being played in public theater on media near you) could culminate in a mushroom festival come March 14th. Cuban missile crisis was a multi-day affair, no reason this shot at WW IV should be any different. (III was the Cold War, foo!)
It'd be a fine time to be out of big cities of strategic importance. Maybe early for vacation planning, but let's see how this develops closer in, shall we?
The reason my thinking goes down this rabbit hole is that the Obama administration turned down the Keystone pipeline project this week. Pretty obviously, if we were serious about distancing ourselves from the teat of Middle East oil, we would be passing out solar panels (Solyndra, anyone?) and approving all the oil reroutes we could. Not happening. Thus the conclusion is it's not going to...
No, we're not really doing that, are we? Sure! I figure it's some fine orchestrating of events to keep up fully committed to defending the Middle East which is what keeps young men and women otherwise occupied (or Occupy would be even bigger) while at the same time artificially raising employment which in turn keeps prices firm (see first story) especially the price of energy, and oh, yeah, keeps the PTB firmly running things including politics....which gets us to....
Meantime, Back at the Kabuki
I can't help but notice that disgraced former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has zipped (predictably) to the number two spot in the freshest Rasmussen GOP presidential poll. This leaves only some great misfortune to befall Mitt Romney to provide a clear path for PTB ownership of both sides of the ballot.
One fly in the ointment seems to be Gingrich's ex-wife doing an unload interview, but while the debate continues over whether that will see the light of primetime, which I doubt, at least before elections in SC, so I find myself wondering where's the organization that will go back a year from now and check bonuses of those in the MSM who will (no doubt) cave in and shelve the interview for a while till Newt is in the driver's seat and the reedit version of the interview airs?
But in the meantime, Mitt Romney's clay feet could be the admission to having some investments offshore in the Cayman Islands.
Near as I can figure it, if Romney pulls out a win in SC and the Cayman Islands stuff blows over, then the PTB would be reduced to more direct methods (great misfortune) that derail his run. He just might be too independent-minded.
In the meantime, Gingrich is playing ugly with claims the Romney camp is "dirty and dishonest" which is the pot calling the kettle black if you don't remember Newt's ethics sanctions which ended his House leadership. Oh, this is so rich - and meaningless. Pick an idiot, any idiot....and we usually do.
Oh, and worth mentioning: Rick Santorum did win Iowa, apparently, by 34-votes in front of Mitt.
Name That Blonde Dept,
Yep...as the details keep coming in about the tragic sinking of the Costa Concordia, we keep hearing more and more about the mysterious [well-dressed] blonde on the ship - n ot jnust the cabaret act troupe - which screwed us up a bit on the interp since the ship of state label really fits since the decks of the now defunct cruise liner were named after countries of Europe...marvelous web bot hit.
Speaking of sinking...If you pop over to page 2, line 21 (Net foreign acquisition of long-term Securities" issued by the Treasury in their TIC report), level is about half of what it was running in the previous year.
A Fine Time
The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority has socked Citigroup Global Markets unit with a $725,000 penalty for failure to disclose conflicts of interest.
March to the Police State, VIII
NYC is, according to this report, going to put scanners on streets to find illegal guns. Apparently mayor Mike has seen the light of turning the Big Apple into Police State Corptoplis, which means, I figure, he'll be put up for some plum federal job in the next Obama administration.
Coverage is being served up all friendly-like referring to hizzoner as "Mike" instead of "Hermann" but whatever.
The minor nit is that the Constitution prevents (or at least, used to) illegal search and seizure. But as Gotham residents are about to find out, there's no constitutional ban on cooking people.
Still, might be a useful tack. Why, just think of the social benefits of being able to thaw nearly frozen homeless people! Yum.
Your "Useful Life"
Speaking of cooked: Sources and intel suggests we will be seeing a big flare-up in cell phone dangers soon. Seems that inside the US public health organizations a battle is raging over whether to admit to the public that cell phones may reduce lifespans dramatically.
The International Agency for Research on Cancer is among the groups gathering data...and the buzz (thanks to the bots reading fora) is the global cell phone craze could be a self-limiting phenom...
See Clif's pictures of Olympia - south of Seattle, here. Ansell High.
Coping: Vostok and Mascon
Although it would be tempting to jump right into the further discussions and disclosures of the upward move in "woo-woo" we have a couple of other items on the agenda which may possibly be of more immediate concern, namely the goings on and race to reach the bottom of Lake Vostok.
Let's back up a bit. You know that as part of the fallout from the predictive linguistics development over at www.halfpasthuman.com, that in order to broaden the perspective of the web bot project there are multiple languages mashed up by the automated language processors? A kind of "geek point" of interest perhaps to those who develop and program in the the somewhat arcane prolog language, indeed.
But the main reason for mentioning this is that in addition to Western Americanese and Eglish, the web bot project "eats" (last time I asked) something like 23-languages one of which is Cyrillic/Russian. So when certain things light around here, it is oftentimes, if a US/Western/English/Americanese source is not cited, something that popped up off a foreign discussion forum (o0r fora if multiple) which is why web the GlobalPop and Terra entities in modelspace are examined we are in fact looking at global events. Or, if in a single-language or national origin, then we take it as something going on in Russia, and of interest to Russian scholars and followers of woo-woo.
Except, this is not woo-woo. There is a race going on down at the Antarctic to get more information about a "mass concentration" which is under a body of water beneath the icecap called "Lake Vostok."
To sneak up on my point a bit closer, it seems, so Clif tells me, that in the current non-English speech sources, there's something of a bump in the data suggesting something like this:
All off which wouldn't be particularly notable except for a couple of things, one of which would be the apparent NSA blocking of ultra-high resolution mapping of the Lake Vostok area by satellites and the space station, and because there have been plenty of books written (think 2001, A Space Odyssey ) about what happens when a monolith left behind by a previous or visitor culture is activated.
Not that people with looking glass/time-viewing technology (separate and apart from the web bot project; possible of non-terrestrial origin) haven't had a decent idea that this is how things would come together temporally for some time.
In fact, it could be argued, and this is a huge thing about the movie "2012" that people miss: The movie begins with those couple of old men at sea who are killed and the focus on their lounge-act in the opening of the movie.. No, it is not a perfect fit with the goings on with the ground/sinking and notoriety of the entertainers on the Costa Concordia, where rescue diving is back underway this morning, but it's close enough at the archetype level to have a certain ring to it, except for the possibility that certain earth-features moving (was the ships GPS thrown off?) that we are compelled to remind you of one of our favorite points of guidance around here:
An Apology and Clarification
Several times in the past few days people have asked me about the data gap which had appeared in the HPH data. I had been under the impression that the data gap had disappeared with the ability to "tunnel through" the mass of high immediacy values and into the longer term linguistic values.
But on Wednesday, Clif explained that wasn't correct: We do, in fact, still have the data gap and we're at the very leading edge of that.
I asked him how we could have the data gap and the long-term values (since I'm about as bright as a stone. Let me paraphrase as best I can before 6 AM:
Oh. Say, that's not very reassuring, is it? Which means that nuclear war this spring (or very late winter) is not off the table, which would explain a few things, but more on that when we do a fifth order house audio on events just ahead...
Friday at der WuJo tomorrow.... much happening....
Tuesday January 17, 2012 07:55 CST
Fed in the Box
The economic boogeyman is in our immediate future, because regardless of what the Fed does at their rate meeting next week, it's bound to be wrong. If, as some are hinting, the economy actually is staging a modest recovery and we keep rates constant, it could delay recovery in Europe. Europe's big financial headline this morning is that the ECB may benefit from low inflation numbers which could lead to a rate cut over there.
But while the Fed eyes the possibility of lowering rates here next week, to jumpstart the economy with a little bigger battery, there's this morning's Empire Manufacturing report from the NY Fed to consider:
Obviously, if the recovery is already underway, lower rates could over-stimulate and that would fan the flames of future inflation. But, on the other hand, we have the other glove: Inflation in a deflationary word is not a problem. Especially when there's buzz on the net about the Fed being forced into a defacto devaluation later this year as the economic vice tightens.
In the short term, gold popped up a further $20-bucks this morning and that sends the Dow skyward as I keep waiting for that last big pop to the upside (2-billion shares on the NYSE and a blow-off top sense of it).
Pobrecitos of Banking
There's a report that Morgan Stanley is limiting bonuses to $125,000. But as you read into the fine print that's the immediate cash. No telling what the deferred comp and options work out to. My guess? The banksters will do just fine.
March to the Police State
Ever wonder what the world would be like without the public/share encyclopedia efforts of Wikipedia? Well, you may get a chance to find out since it's reported that the Wiki folks are going to black out Wikipedia for 24-hours to protest anti-piracy legislation.
Time for government to....er...drop the SOPA.
Russia Takes Things Syriously
Western diplomats are trying to figure out what Russia is getting at in their latest proposal to deal with violence in Syria. Seems strangely worded, ambiguous, and unclear.
Wonder if they've been taking writing classes from the folks who write the US Tax Code, or write federal laws in the US....hmmm...
War Drum Update
Meantime, latest out of Israel seems to suggest that if Iran has nukes, expect a higher belligerency quotient from Hamas.
Couldn't just be white phosphorous blowback, could it?
We're starting to read about some of the top products popping out of Las Vegas where the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) has been underway. I kinda like the idea of a 4 mm thick 55" OLED TV, myself. Now if it were just free....but not till October and by then, TV may be the last thing on our collective minds.
If TV is still online, then we'll just have to see if pricing will mean a bank robbery or simply a convenience store stick-up to afford it....
Bigger Shakes to Come
Reader Tony Ring is kind enough to get us the monthly update of earthquake activity of 7.0 and larger going back to 1973. And if the red line (fifth order polynomial fit) is anywhere near right, in the next month or two, we should see some decent-sized 7.0 and larger earthquakes..
If you were a good little conspiracist, you'd be asking "Why isn't anyone mentioning this?" The answer is simple, of course: No point is causing stress in the herd since governments and leaders in science et cetera like to speak only when then have real answers. Global warming mess is fresh in the mind.
Except at election time, of course. In those special days, politicians
will say damn near anything to grab a vote, but like a good drunk, they seem
to have no recall of "promises made" upon reaching office.
Election blackout is what we'll call it... Obama called it "change" and the Bushistas called it something else...but that's what it is: faulty recall. Either that, or the President is actually held hostage by advisors and a shadow government and really isn't given any personal policy choices, for, if taken, they'd go Kennedy, if you know what I'm saying...
Which is why I steer clear of conspiracy thoughts and just deal with the data on the table...like....
The number of Peak Oil deniers is really interesting..and I'm getting hate mail from people who don't understand that oil is finite and the only way anaerobic oil works is if you don't mind waiting 5,000 years at the gas pump.
The recent spate of earthquakes up in Oklahoma, the outbreak in Arkansas a while back, and in other areas where natural gas fracking is taking place is the only reason energy is cheap, sorry.
Oh, and yes, EPA is getting concerned about water-injection schemes...with good reason. Turn off fracking and we're right back into the grips of peak oil, sources in the oil industry tell me.
Coping: With a Really, Really Bad Thought
"Why is it an otherwise reasonable consultant/economics geek would spending so much time wondering about events down at the WuJo, Ure? People are fallible and their memories aren't perfect...so of course, you're going to have oddities and inconsistencies crop up...what's the point?"
That's the typical question I get posed from readers who would just as soon I still with the "well worn path" and just be another economics wonk, albeit with a stranger sense of humor than more. You know - park the rickety time, and stop mentioning all the oddities out of the WuJo reports and stay to the "straight and narrow" (widest part of the shared reality consensus bubble) - that kind of thing.
The reason is obvious: The middle of the river is not where the action is. It's along the banks (er...so to speak) and to best know where the river will turn next, it's easiest done by simply keeping a watch on the outliers in the data inputs that make up each of our individual lives.
So before I present my really, really BAD thought for this morning, how about a few more of those WuJo reports - the reports of woo-woo from people who are normal and have, at least until recently, lived woo-woo lives. Like this lady...
My money is on the pending burglary - or light sleeping neighbor whose bedroom shades weren't keeping out all 60-watts. So this on is seemingly explained. But try this one..
NSS! Or this one...
And this one - call it the adventure of the SUV cat is pretty good, too:
Did I mention the mystery of the mysterious water?
BUT: here's one that's a real "topper"...
Hit the pause button.
Now I'm starting to get a bit sketched out. Why?"
Remember the past of the Alta Reports - and in some of Clif's "Shape of Things to Come" reports where we talk about people who get "stuck" - and go into "drooling and just standing about unable to process things?"
What IF we really are heading into a period of increased Woo-Woo at the WuJo and this turns into an epidemic?
Noticing that I've had a tripling of WuJo-like experiences over the matter of just a couple of weeks - and it seems to be in an odd way almost tracking the moving about of military hardware in the Middle East and such, what IF - and this is a big IF here...
What IF WuJo experiences are a kind of "bow wave" (i.e. water pushed ahead of a boat before it actually arrives) except that the bow wave, in this case would be problems down at the detail level of reality where the arrow of time operates on a gazillion things all at the same time? And what would rip the multiverse such that the bow waves would become non-normal in the period just ahead – and perhaps accounting for a huge spike in WuJo reports?
Bang!!! Rip of space-time as energy and matter dance directly. We would have missed the effect in Hiroshima and Nagasaki, since they didn't have the internet at the time and there was so much other death/stuff going on that a subtle effect would be swamped by other inputs.
Our colleagues down the hall working at the quantum/quanta/kalapas level already know that time is not absolute but is highly relativistic and wonky is how it averages in a direction...and that means bow waves possible along with aftershocks, although the aftershocks are much larger because why? They are "recalled" as history.
The foreshocks aren't historical...yet. So since we all share a societal bias (no psychedelics, not even a good smoke is allowed most place) we have buried the shamanistic "reaching out and touching" the archetype level - mass consciousness - where things can (and are) touched remotely and/or in advance... so people that spend time in The Stream tell me - and it's from The Stream that events seem to coagulate into our physical reality. This junior time monk in training stuff is brutal.
So I find myself wondering "Gee, do big events have major impacts on us humans like this - on top of the already established fact of people's language is changing down at the preconscious level ahead of events - which is how our predictive linguistics stuff works?
Fact is we have never seen a mass of data - almost a singularity of so much crap all happening at once - and what we saw five years ago as a data gap is not a gap so much as the shadow of a much less directed/by the PTB world. They simply turn to dust and go away.
The only question is what is big enough to be global and push this big a bow wave? Global famine? Economic collapse of the West? Toss in some nukes over Iran or wherever? How about something from column A, something from column B and then whatever from behind curtain number four?
And so as we get closer to events of momentous size, do we see a corresponding increasing in high strangeness/oddities/ and WuJo-like stuff?
Oh...we also seem to be noticing an increase in reports from dream land over at the www.nationaldreamcenter.com site.
You keep sending in oddities, and I probably should do a scatter chart to see where this leads....or not.
One one other thing to ponder? If you do happen to here the Morse Code message I'd be real curious if it is this:
dit dit dit dah dah (3 short dits and two long dashes) a pause and then
dit dah dah dah dah
dit dit dit dit dah
That'd be 3 1 4 in Morse.
Would be a wonderful promotion for National Pie Day on January 23rd, or what?
Pie up. All of humanity is about to play in the freeway. Think Newton's second law of motion.
Further Reading Dept.
Our friends who put together the www.dogstarmist.com site have a couple of good reads talking about money changers and the temple in one and :Devaluation by any other name" in the other. Worth coffee and...uh...more pie.
fifth order house Back Online
Yes, I managed to squash the .mp3 where Clif and I talk about the short term value sets down into a much more compact 6-mb file instead of 22 mb...and I bought some more bandwidth for the project, so we're back up to serving the file again. Thinking we might get a report put together around the 24-25th...some where in there, but we shall see how that goes.
If you're mystified about all this fifth order house talk click here to learn more.
Monday January 16, 2012
So, Where's the Blonde?
No small number of readers have been after me to answer the question this morning whether the sinking of the Italian cruise ship this weekend with considerable panic/loss of life was somehow related to temporal markers in recent outputs from the "rickety time machine" - more correctly the predictive linguistics from www.halfpasthuman.com. Specifically, they wonder if this part of the December 5, 2011 report might have been telling us something:
[Quoted with exclusive permission from Shape of Things to Come report #23, Dec. 5, 2011.]
OK, you're thinking to yourself, so who's the blonde? Well, a reader - not me - has been following this rather closely and offers this:
Have to admit that the candidate is certainly an improvement over the usual old men with odd sexual peccadilloes that we usually see in the data...
As for the incident between decks, we have a couple of nominees here, including a "streetly teenager hero" and the little matter of the captain being on the wrong deck (bar?) when he should have been attending to duties like monitoring ship operations...
If you're wondering how could all this be mashed up with the names of countries in Europe and how could there be so much wrong in that it's all tied in with failing countries of Europe and all that?
Simple: The Costa Concordia's decks are named after countries including according to the site www.cruisedeckplans.com the "Polonia, Austria, Spagna, Germania, Francia, Portogallo, Irlanda, Gran Bretagna, Italia, Greciua, Belgio, Svezia, and Olanda" decks.
Staring into the future looking at "word stew" is an interesting pastime. Although I do get people asking "What about that Big Tipping point in November of 2010...what was that all about?" But, as a reader offered:
Than and the "occupy" idea and 99 and such were starting to get legs...but yes, it's at best a looking into the future through a window with Vaseline smeared all over it...but better than nothing.
Oh, next temporal market should be nation's marching toward war and such which gets us to the second item(s) of the morning. Though straightaway, I can see why people hate Mondays...
This is No Game
The Obama administration has canceled planned military exercises with Israel and there have been reports that Israel is getting ever-closer to popping Iran's nuclear development.
Naturally, as you'd expect, we are seeing the predictable "disappointment" response from Israel.
The "war lobby" is going full tilt now, with former UN ambassador John Bolton tossing in his two-cents worth...Meantime well connected Israeli sources have been beating the drum, too, claiming within the next year Iran will test a one kiloton device underground. And if that's not enough to f/u your day, the US has moved 15,000 troops into Kuwait.
Right now there are five assault ships and four carriers out if you check the US Navy deployment page here, and when the carriers out number gets to six, or higher, then you might want to have your stock of N-100 masks at the ready.
Economy Sucks, But...
That doesn't preclude the happy-talk among the death industries whenever the scent of war is in the air. Since gold was up a bit, we might expect the markets to start the week on the upside, as well, since both gold and ownership of company shares tend to run in the direction of inflation...up about 3.25% annually, that is, if you date from the founding of the (not really) Federal Reserve in 1913. Oh, and that includes the Great Depression, so in "more normal times" the inflation rate is higher, which those of us owning gold and silver are keenly aware of...
But I digress. The stock market will be closed in honor of Martin Luther King's birthday today and those oh, so hard working broker types, won't get another holiday until my birthday next month. Pobrecitos.
The real jollies will be along Wednesday with Producer Prices and then outright laughter and guffaws will arrive with the alleged Consumer Price Index on Thursday.
Me?: I'll be the guy up in the green house plugging in the seed mats to get started early on a bunch of plants for the garden this year. A garden won't eliminate your grocery bill, but it can take a bite out of it...so to speak.
After betting his stake in New Hampshire, Jon Huntsman is widely expected to drop out of the president contest today. Now if we could get Newt to do the same thing, I'd be a lot happier...
Parking Meter Roulette
Since this is a national holiday, parking meters will be off most places for the holiday - like in Washington.
If this morning's column seems a little shorter than usual (and might even get spell-checked) it's because the flow of news has slowed to a trickle until later today.
Coping: A Holiday WuJo Festival
As you may (or may not, if you're lucky) be aware, as we get into a more and more complex future (more people, more technology, thus more possibilities) we are apparently pushing physical reality so hard to keep up that occasionally things don't work like they should and we get reports like this one:
Well, Mrs. Perplexed, at least you can take comfort that you're not the only one looking at strange things going on. Remember that case last week of the lady who bought some clothes at a discount store only to find that the labels changed over time to something else? Of the couple who were in an empty parking lot that had people suddenly materializing out of nowhere? Well, those readers have lots of company...
And to make it a perfect trifecta of WuJo events, try this one on for size:
NSS...but that's what it takes to make for a good WuJo report...so it you run into any of these moments like the ones we report about here...keys falling through the floor into the downstairs living room, cars morphing into something else, missing time, shape-shifting clothing, wandering receipts, people twice-encountered, or money that comes and goes...send it along so we can share your WuJo moment - anonymously, of course.
Like the old joke goes, I have good news for you and I have bad news.
The good news is you're not crazy. The bad news is Universe and everything in it is...
This isn't a for-sure WuJo event. But just in case, did you buy a lotto ticket? I have this pet theory that when Universe goes wonky it's a cloud of events, some you notice, others you don't. So buy a lotto ticket when wujo's about and send me 10% for suggesting it...thank you.
Around the Ranch
G2 (my son) has been visiting, and like all father-son relationships, ours eventually comes down to dad funding gasoline through carburetors. First in the truck and then in the airplane. Seems his fright instructor (sic) is pleased with his progress.
We're making good progress weeding out the ham gear, too - should get at least some of it on eBay this week. Meantime, I've decided to keep only one tube-type rig - an HT-37, the matching T.O. keyer, R-48 speaker and SX-122 receiver.
Oh and speaking of Morse code (reminds me of this WuJo report):
And here this fellow may have hit upon why married couples end up with glasses...rolling their eyes at one another!
OK, I'm going to go snooze. What are you doing up this early, anyway? Don'tcha know it's a holiday?
Before the chart, a little background:
Once upon a time, a long while ago, I observed during my quest for 'truth' in economics, that the PowersThatBe, the talking heads on the teeve, and the other information sources that actively engage in the programming of humans not to think, had conveniently swept several trillions of dollars that disappeared in the Internet Bubble's bursting (since spring 2000) under the rug. Surely, it wasn't unnoticed by the thousands of people who called brokers and said "Where is my money?" "Gone, but hang in there as you're a long term investor!" was about all they heard back.
So one of our charts for Peoplenomics subscribers oughta be widely circulated - it shows that if you line up the peak of the Dow in January 2000 with the peak in early September of 1929, we're on a very very close replay track. Much closer than even the chart shows if you were to back out inflation, and put in the effects of 1929 deflation, but that'd be real work, and I'm sort of lazy if the truth be told.
No, it's not a perfect replay of 1929, but history doesn't repeat exactly, it only rhymes. So think of this as the rhymes and the crimes chart:
"George, that's only a coincidence!" your monkey-mind will protest.
Why sure it is...you bet. A 11-year long coincidence...yessir....just a coincidence, we're like SO sure... (Shhh...don't tell anyone that major Depressions are two-part coupled affairs like the linkage between 1920-21 and 1929, OK? Damn, dude...don't spoil it for the sheep...)
Oh...don't forget to "Write when you get rich!"
George Ure, The People's Economist
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