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Friday January 6, 2012
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Update: Shape Report Back On So many people sent notes over to Clif at HalfPastHuman.com that he's being forced by public demand to complete the pending Shape of Things to Come report, even though it may be his last what with SOPA and China-like internet filtering due here. Surely, you've seen about TSA squads showing up at Social Security offices as a "drill"? Get used to that and more....the wide open internet may not survive, either. Can't have too many "free people" getting to be "free thinking" all at once, can we?
The report will not be out till the first part of February however and will only focus on long term values.
Speaking of which, just to give you a sense of scale of the numbers ahead - think of these as magnification levels if you will - we're presently (today in building tension (b)) at about (b)38. When we get up to the peak of building tension about March 1st, we will be around b78.
When we flip over into release values (r) we hit (r)216 on March 17th, or so, then on to the first of May where it's up to 3,181, and by the end of May we will be at 7,571. And before summer time is out? (r) 50,706. And yes, "that's somma bigga change, mama."
I've been thoroughly scolded for saying to much already, but that's the drill. Clif's working a couple of hours a day - as time permits. But we'll keep you posted as this pie gets closer to coming out of the oven...while we're on our way to prep the pizza pan. Slicing should follow shortly thereafter. I've been tasked with finding the mushrooms....and as a reporter being fed mushroom food and being oftentimes in the dark, at that, it seems at least this task is within reach.
Job Numbers Improve The George-bear is on standby to wade hip deep into the short side of this market again. So what if I'm a slow learner since this wild-eyed gambling cost me money last year, - I'm not above touching the hot stove again, just to make sure. Yes sir, all ready to hit the transfer funds button today or early next week to buy oodles of short positions because the market is possibly approaching a blow off top. From there, we ought to see a nice (profitable) swan song to the 2009 lows.
But let's start with the jobs report since a lot hinges on that. The envelope, please?
The CES Birth/Death Model was down 11,000 jobs for the month. In the January n umbers (first week of Feb) is when the annual confessional for this index comes out...it removed 2.867 million jobs last January...so a drop in the jobs report is possible for the next one. Post Christmas layoffs fall in, yada, yada...
When you look into the details, the civilian labor force number was nudged down by 50,000 so when you get to the heart of the matter, the more important labor participation rate was still stuck at 73.4% and this is while the country's population was argued to be up 143,000.
And Table A-15 which is the alternative measures of labor under utilization index (the PhD's flipping burgers and the MA's sweeping floors) was 15.2%.
Looking at the Yahoo Finance page, looks like a 75-100 point pop up and maybe we'll get a couple of hundred points out of today and Monday, in which case I'll get the bear suit out of the closet and get ready to put it on again. Why?
Let's roll out Robin Landry's latest outlook sent to colleagues in the industry which he generously allows me to share here:
Cuts of Defense Spending The outline of president Obama's defense cutting plans is pretty simple: With all the national debt piling up, we can't afford to keep military expenditures where they are. But, as the NY Daily News points out, this also means we can't fight two conventional wars, either.
Not to be excessively cynical about this stuff, but I look at the low-intensity conflict with Mexico and doubt we can fight one conventional war. But that's a different take than those who will be off on the right screaming that this is the big move of a new breed of socialists who've come to Washington. I don't think so.
In fact: Forget it. The reality is simple interest. We've run up a huge national budget deficit over the years and we're quickly approaching the point where we all get sucked into the ultimate end game of the economy which will have to hyperinflate if things continue.
Even my deflationist pal Jas Jain commented in an email to me recently that the Newter wasn't being honest when he was going off on the Obama's tax policies:
And, since the federal budget is an accounting problem, one way to move things along is to reduce the expense side of the ledger and that seems to be where the defense spending cuts are coming from.
No, this doesn't make me a lefty. I freely admit many of the John Birch predictions have been correct. But in this one case, and I trust by PhD colleague here, the data is the data. Motivations is something we can argue six ways to Sunday. But percent of GDP as taxes is key.
Problem is, such simple evidence isn't very provocative content. And the republicorps have been much better at building their media business models than the democorps.
The reality is what? The republicorps and the democorps run competing business models and the most virulent model raises the most money. Divide and prosper, I always say. Big profits in disunity. And gimme an "Amen!" from the Church of the Almighty Dollar congregation, brother.
Ron Paul's Best Endorsement This is a "don't miss it" report. Lucky film crew...
Nonbank Supervision Plans Are being outlined by the new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Nice showcasing by corpgov and all, but until Gerald Celente and a bunch of farmers get their dough which was supposedly in segregated accounts at MF Global back, it's all whitewash, soft-shoe, and bullshit, near as I can figure. --- And speaking of farmers, you know there's a corn seed shortage looming for farmers, right? And you know how much high fructose corn syrup goes into foods, right?
And you do have your garden seeds in hand and in the refrigerator stratifying for this season, right? --- Well, if we can't get corn, there's still a bumper crop of bankers, though I don't see a "Banker's Cookbook" listed on Amazon yet. 13 Bankers: The Wall Street Takeover and the Next Financial Meltdown (Vintage) is out on paperback, though. Hmmm...speaking of sickening prospects...
Tracking Flu We're watching for H5N1 flu stories like a hawk (if that's not a terrible play on...) since we went through the conversation in yesterday's column.
Latest developments including two more birds testing positive for the virus in China and there's been a case being watched in Egypt. Not a good time of year for the bird flu - a few more words on point in the Coping section following.
Celebrations Department All Friday's are good Friday's, near as we can tell. But the headline "Orthodox Christians celebrate the Epiphany" deserves special mention. Had one myself a while back. No holiday for mine though, so musta been a minor one...
Remember This? The story on CNN about how "Memory, mental function begin slipping as early as.....er.....where were we?
Notes to the PTB If you happen to be a paradigm-defending stooge of the PTB, might want to read the management advice offered on the Linked-In site today. It's "The 7 habits of spectacularly unsuccessful executives" and point #1 seems to apply to most office-holders with only a few exceptions... and it might make a good study guide for March.
Which we'll get to after this:
Coping: Mothballing the Time Machine? Remember a week, or two, back we were talking about plans of www.halfpasthuman.com's Clif to come out with one more Shape of Things to Come report in advance of the March 2-9 period when we go into a huge release period which runs from about March 9/10 and out 90 days, where after there's just what may be the linguistic equivalent of "ruins" left percolating along at a very small level?
Well, that report has been shelved. The why is important and deserves very close attention here. Check www.halfpasthuman.com often, this is all subject to change, of course.
The period approaching (this spring by Clif's work) is not a tipping point. It's something else. The reason being that with a "tipping point" you get an event (or collection of events) and then life changes, but continues on.
In the data for the period ahead, it's the "continues on" part that's worrisome. In other big "tipping points" - like the tipping point that accompanied 9/11 - there was release language all over hell and gone for several days but then we started back into building tension language shortly thereafter. This time there's no resumption of the building.
So in Clif's view - if I'm communicating it anywhere near accurately - whatever kicks off in March goes on for 90-days or so, and then dribbles off as a very slow decline rate from June on out.....well, let's just say we kinda dribble off into the future.
OK, what is it?
This may be hard to wrap your head around on the first cup of coffee but think of it this way: What if the March period is turns into what Terrence McKenna and others have referred to as the eschaton? That's a concept which McKenna used - it's Greek and means roughly "the End" - when describing how his Time Wave Zero work pointed to a period in 2012 when the harmonics of everything that has gone before pile up and a Grand (Whatever).
Having played with the Time Wave software - separate critter from Clif's work - there is, nevertheless a very key misperception about the workings of time that most people walk around with in their heads.
Specifically, the average human who exists in the Perpetual Now is hypnotized by our way of thinking into believing that the events of today are ruled by events of yesterday. True to a point, but it's also demonstrable that longer term harmonics exist in history.
Take this H5N1 flu case we were talking about earlier. You know that the reason World War One ended was as much because of the Spanish Flu, as it was any desire for peace? There were simply not enough soldiers to keep up the fighting - that's how widespread that flu's impact was.
I'm worried about H5N1 due in part to the unknown nature of a super bug's impacts on society now. Should it come around in a couple of months - just to make a wild-ass dart throw - what would be the impact of businesses globally from people sequestering themselves away in their homes? What happens to the global economic model?
But what if - and the data seems to point this way - we have what can only somewhat be construed as a "shitstorm" of everything bad we worry about clumping into a window of less than 90-days. Imagine a two week period where:
So, at least in the data, we have - potentially - this (whatever) period at hand.
Frankly, I differ (but only slightly) from my esteemed colleague's view of the times immediately ahead.
One of the short-comings of the rickety time machine has always been that it reports on the language to appear which is different than actual events which may happen. In other words, a mass media outbreak of yellow journalism which sprouts a full spring of extreme anxiety producing language at the same time the clamp comes down on public discussion - maybe - just maybe - could explain a less than 'dead humans' outcome of a massive scale.
But sadly, no, if that were the case the whole modelspace wouldn't be doing a heave and collapse. That would be what we've seen before. (Keep an eye on the Pope's health, by the way).
So rather than do a report, Clif has other agenda items to attend to, including building grow domes.
Around here, we will be working on similar (food producing) projects since this will be critically important going forward. In addition to our usual work, I've added the important task of bringing up an email version of the Peoplenomics newsletter for this year, since even in China, email is still widespread even if discussion on public media may be filtered to restrain criticism of government.
Beyond that, it could be a false alarm - we are talking software here. Or, we could be talking about a totally unexpected phenomena which wipes out a huge chunk of omnihumanity is a single pass or three. In which case, doing little work and enjoying the last 90-days would move way up the agenda anyway.
Still, as usual, we will keep our eyes out for the worst case (and make some moves accordingly) why recognizing the limitations at hand and maintaining our steely-eyed, science-based outlook.
Maybe after we get past this maelstrom of language in March and 90 days thereafter the rickety time machine could be restarted - or not, depending on how aggressive the SOPA filtering is. I'd expect very and I won't be investing in social media.
After having a wide open internet for as long as we have, it may be that the awakening of the global consciousness is NOT something that can be allowed by the PTB because it has the potential to be the "sand in the gearbox" which brings too many people to a high state of awareness which, in turn, could undermine the current power structures and way of life to the point of failure.
I've written many times previously about how the PowersThatBe (regardless of what you think of them) almost always telegraph how they see things in their messaging in advance.
Yesterday's "realignment" of the military announced by president Obama was put under the microscope from an extremely astute, advanced degree, trust me when I tell you he's a "real deal" guy who summed up the military moves this way:
Thus, from the George-distanced perspective I find myself asking "What's life in a regulated internet world going to be like after SOPA is signed and sites with hot language like Occupy [whatever] all go away and discussions on forums are limited to only the topics at hand and any deviation could get a website into hot water?
What would that look like in modelspace - as different sites, with different focuses (like a forum that discusses 2012, a "kill shot" site, the "occupy" sites and so forth) are all shut down sequentially because of the threat posed to the existing paradigm?
Some variant of this may account for why the language seems to disappear and discussion quickly peters out. So could a combination of SOPA and spillover effects from a global economic collapse maybe account for some of what's out there? But what about Terra data going bonkers, too?
Alas, there are no simple answers, no easy guidance to be found. We have the SOTTC reports up through this point and if we're all here in May of 2013, then the odds are good we're good to go out toward wherever the clock is stopped with the final heartbeat. But the tripwires are numerous and the risks extreme. And sometimes knowing too much about the future could be a bad thing.
Maybe I'd better start on my covered growing spaces, too. All the while I'll be wondering if the "Terrified woman from another Universe wakes up here" story might be something more than a put-on...
Overblown Fukushima Notes Had a reader ask an interesting questions about the period ahead...as it relates to bird flu:
I asked our consulting PhD microbiologist to address this one since it's out of my ken:
Whew. Nice numbers, and owning the airplane still makes sense. Still, there are some very simple human answers as to how H5N1 variant 2012 could go global overnight:
At least through March...almost worse than waiting for Christmas, ain't it?
2012 as Old News I suppose could could mention the idea of aliens showing up this year has been around for a while - back in 2004 by this here article found by a reader. I don't have a strong "savior gene" so I'm not inclined to go mow a landing place on the west 10-acres plot. If they're so damned advanced, they can level it themselves. Concrete it, about 1,500 feet worth of runway while they're at it would be nice, too. Then I could get an ultralight in here...
Letters We Like to Receive Here's one from a Peoplenomics reader which is of general interest:
You bet! That's the whole point of Peoplenomics...more critical thinking and hints and tricks about everything from how to draw a chart, to looking at markets, to retiring from the rat race, to...in this case...how to avoid overpayment for higher education. --- If I could describe how I differentiate between UrbanSurvival, Peoplenomics, and the articles I contribute to the www.strategic-living.net site, it might be this:
Not that this is perfect, but it's a good start.
Hawk Debate Settled Thanks for all the notes on our Hawk pictured in yesterday's report (below, or somewhere around here). This one is the best summary:
I'd print them all but we don't have all day on this - but thanks to all who sent in notes. --- Remember the old 70's like "How's your bird?" Now you know.
National George-o-graphic, II From a reader:
Here's some of the note from the Mensa type:
Not me. I still plan on having to fill out TurboTax 2012 Home & Business Edition in Feb of 2013. Whiplash is good.
Seems to me uncertain thinking pairs up well with an uncertain future...know what I mean? People who claims to know the future beyond a set of probabilities are like the old nicotine injection system - blowing smoke....
More tomorrow for subscribers - and more here Monday, when some backed up WuJo reports need to be tabled.
Write when you break even: george@ure.net Reader Action Department: Visit: The UrbanSurvival Amazon store. Books, computers, software, and outdoor gear.
Now on our premium content site: www.peoplenomics.com: Scenarios of 2012 As our last bit of serious noodling on the outlook for the year that starts at midnight tonight, I thought it would be instructive to run through some scenarios which have been kicking around. You know - test fit a few and see how they'd feel. But before we do that, we'll begin with a last check of the news events that will propel us into the first trading day of the year - next Tuesday [Monday being off for New Years] although it may be a week or three before the underlying trends assert themselves.
More for Subscribers To Subscribe, CLICK HERE
Safer Computing: Swearing Off Cookies It has been a while since I roared the praises of the Maxa Cookie Manager which you can download and install for a free test drive by clicking here.
To upgrade from the demo to full working is still less than $50 and one heck of a bargain at that, if I do say so.
I am a high-reliability computing kind of guy - and near as I have it figured, the road to a hassle-free computing experience is (like flying an airplane) a matter of going through a proper checklist before popping onto the web:
Like anything in computers, updates are critical so before work every morning, the computer does its update ritual - Check of Maxa (5.3.02 is current) Avira, and Malware bytes.
Toss in a good bit of common sense (example: Don't open email purporting to be from UPS, IRS, the US Post Office, or anything else that even has a hint of fishy odor to it) and first thing you know, the internet's actually a useful tool.
"Live on $10,000" A Year Having a hard time making ends meet? (Like who isn't, right?) A good starting point to better match up income with outgo is our $10 e-book "How to Live on $10,000 a Year...or less!"
It's an automatic download. It's written in an information dense style: The whole thing runs about 65 pages, but it gives you a vision of how to not only live on the cheap, but also how to migrate up the economic foodchain if you have a little hustle left. A bonus section called "How to Build Anything" should instill confidence if you've never taken on a home improvement/home creation project before, too..... Click here for the index and details.
Do Tell Please pass along word of this site to your friends by simply clicking here to send 'em a short email. - Thanks! ---- Last week's report is always here.
Thursday January 5, 2012 (Reader Note: The UrbanSurvival.com site is updated each morning at 8 AM Central, Mon, Tues, Thurs and Fri. If you aren't getting your fresh content befor the market open, please visit and bookmark www.urbansurvival.com or www.urbansurvival.com/blog/ so you you can keep up with us. Some internet providers cache our content and this leaves you in the dark and behind the curve, so call your ISP and complain. Lots of readers are noticing the delay - so make noise about it....Our RRS feed isn't moving until sometimes 2 PM or later even though posted by 8:10 AM daily...)
Beware The Ides Of.... While we await Clif's next report (long term values, linguistics about life after 2012) I mentioned a few scenarios for Peoplenomics subscribers recently which might account for the years-long release language. It wasn't just a "Life'd be a bitch after nuclear war..." There were other possibilities listed, too. Such as an outbreak of a "Super Bug" which could devastate the planet, in which I pointed to a curious lone report of a recent case of H5N1 flu in China. Still, steely-eyed as we try to be, I put the odds of this being the cause of the world's upcoming mess at five percent, or less.
That is, until yesterday.
It was then that an email from our "consulting microbiologist" (a fellow with PhD after this name, along with other sections of the alphabet, is the real deal, more than equally steely-eyed, such as professors at major universities tend to be. Here's part of his email to me and Clif and why I'm raising the odds of Super Bug in the Spring from five percent to 15%:
Knowing Clif's adage "If George can think of it, it's not likely to happen" I was temped to let the email flow by. But no, something compelled me to pick up the phone and ask my source/colleague/friend to lay out a little more specifically how this kind of a "non-item" could end up being the left-field event which could lead to Clif's years of release language.
The following is NOT a prediction of what will happen, but rather what COULD happen in an absolute worst-case build out from a single bird flu report. As you read this, you'll understand why I am never critical of the US government's www.flu.gov website!
Curiously timed is the WSJ article "Hong Kong urges Bird-Flu vigilance" and the curious duality implied by these two stories:
More after I go wash my hands...
Previewing the Jobs Report First thing out of the box this morning on the economic side of life is the report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas on the year-ending jobs summary and outlook for what's ahead:
Then, observe the latest weekly jobs report from the Labor Department this morning:
All of which causes me to gasp: Expect the Official report on jobs tomorrow to report about 8.4% unemployment - but realize this is likely to come more from statistical manipulation rather than actual hiring. If you decrease the count of the number of job-seekers far enough (such as those who have exhausted their UI benefits) you can make the reported job rate look like anything you want.
Market Outlook
Chatting with my friend Robin Landry yesterday: Don't expect a massive decline just yet - we could still have one more blow-off day to the upside - something like 200-300 points on 2-billion shares worth of volume would do it...and that's when I'll be buying short positions hand over fist for out past March.
'Raq Attack Another wave of religious violence seems to be sweeping through Iraq. I keep waiting for someone to tell me what we bought to 9-years, umpteen lives, and a huge taxpayer bill. No satisfactory answers yet.
Simmering Syria And while 500 prisoners have been released in Syria, don't hold yourt breath waiting for peace and harmony to break out there.
High Seize This from an Immigration and Customs Enforcement news release:
Dah high seize, man. Not the same scale as the Helena Star seizure off Washington state in '78...now that was a biggie: 37 tons worth. Ah, the good old days when big busts were more in vogue, in a manner of speaking.... took 24 years to tie up the loose ends on that one.
China TV Trimming I don't suppose you notice such things, unless you happen to read our column in Hong Kong or China, but the Chinese have implemented a new "excess entertainment law" which cuts the number of prime time shows aired in country from 126 a week to just 38.
Wonder if the Chinese have figured out something that has escaped Western minds. How about garbage in, garbage out, for example? Kind of relates to our flow into the Coping section this morning...
Coping: With National George-o-graphic Not often will I bore you with pictures snapped out here in the East Texas Outback, but every once in a while I get a decent shot off with our old, reliable digital Canon with huge zoom capabilities.
The story of this picture is I was talking to Rhone of AIG Services (no relation to the failed and bailed AIG insurance outfit) and he was telling me some nightmare stories about people's experience with governmental and economic failures in Europe.
Seems he'd just finished telling me about a couple in Greece with six kids, who were ordering seeds so they could feed themselves. The husband was among Greece's long-term unemployed and the wife, while still nominally employed, hadn't received a paycheck from her government job for more than a year. She keeps going to work on the hope that someday she'll be repaid. I'd heard similar stories during the decline of the Soviet Union, too: People going to work out of habit hoping...not dissimilar to why almost everyone goes to work now that I think about it.
Anyway, after hearing this nightmare - and the report of a reader in Italy who is scrounging coffee cans to try and grow a bit of food on his apartment balcony, I caught something out of the corner of my eye. "Hold on a minute for me, Rhone..." I grabbed the camera...
Magnificent! And not bad for 150-feet away and through the window of my office. Remind me to Windex it again.
I don't collect many pictures but this one seemed worth taking, even if the blow-up of the hawk wasn't as crystal clear as it would have been if I'd gone outside...but then he would have been gone, of course...
"Sorry about the long hold Rhone..." A second later, the hawk - all 3-feet of wingspan of him (or her, I'm no ornithologist or flying OB/GYN) took off.
Panama and I studied this picture a bit; red-tailed or Cooper's hawk? We weren't sure, though I lean toward red-tail. If you're a bird expert, advice on differentiating between the two would be nice.
This one goes into my memory, along with the sunrises of Mount Rainier from my sailboat at anchor in Puget Sound, and the mental library of wilderness vistas, sailing adventure pictures, and the guts of high tech electronics. The brain is full of many fine pictures and that brings me to an interesting thought:
Wouldn't it be a trip if the whole point of Life was a test? The set-up would be: "You go through Life, collect picture-thoughts in your head of your experiences, and when you die, you'll get a score and a chance to relive time and time again those moments captured indelibly in memory..."
Mind you, I'm not saying that's anything like how Life really operates, but I notice aware people are very conscious of the gateways to their awareness.
The more aware, the more they seem to act like this is the hidden agenda. Clif doesn't eat meat, for example. I don't watch movies where the theme is murder, rape, or other dark content. Think of it as high-level photo editting.
Suppose for a moment that in the end "We are what we think" and we'll each be laid to rest forever to ponder in the afterlife aided only with the pictures in our heads. What's your collection like?
That possibility, however small, is why I treat my occasion lucky picture with reverence and great importance. It's one of my most important jobs: Editor in Chief of the National George-o-graphic's special Lifetime Edition.
Cause of WuJo Reports? A reader wondered in an email overnight whether the Fox News report "Now you see it, now you don't: Time Cloak Created" might have something to do with our occasional report of temporal discontinuities.
Darned if I know...but I suspect not. But, as long as we're on the topic of time and such, here's an interesting ponder for you: Where did the web site www.andersoninstitute.com go?
You might remember George Noory had David Lewis Anderson on CoastToCoastAM as a guest back in 2010 - and his short bio may still be found at the C2C website.
Lots of past references to the site exist, and with a little looking, you can still find a pretty good .pdf of various approaches to time travel "scored" in terms of what would do what. But the Anderson Institute website seems to be gone. I'll make a note of it here should it reappear, or come around in another reincarnation.
Was time simply "up"?
Tuesday January 3, 2012 Change in 67 Days? As we kick off the first workday (for most) of 2012, I couldn't help but notice that my colleague Clif has posted a piece on "2012 and the Planetary Discontinuity" which, if you want to set a countdown timer, is as of this morning only 67 days off.
Two comments to toss into the thought-blender this morning: First is a number of readers who are not familiar with the workings of the "rickety time machine" which we've been watching since mid 2001 have asked "What is release language?"
In modelspace there are two general change states - kind of light tides that flow through the affairs of men, as The Bard noted. One is building tension which would be like a "sucking of breath in". You see a car barreling at you after running a red light and before it smacks into your car, there's a great drawing in of breath and a momentary hold at peak tension until the moment of impact.
Release language, on the other hand, is the release of the tension - the exhalation after the car smacks yours, and you release the held breath to begin assessing damage both to you and the car.
In human language terms it's not severe, of course. If you think of a good novel or longish action/thriller on television you've got the first 2/3'rds of the novel or movie where the tension builds and then at the peak of the novel/movie there's that moment which the authors particularly savor. Then comes the dénouement. The final resolution, unraveling, or clarification of the whole plot.
As as you read Clif's work, you will get a sense - flavor if you will - of that first week, or so, in March. Last I checked, Clif's still working on the possibilities and the longer-term values will still lead to another report sometime this month (hoping). But, in the meantime, we can all play the "Home Version" by scanning the headlines and asking "What will the peak [whatever] be that unravels more or less in perpetuity? A few ideas were posted on the Peoplenomics.com site in last Saturday's report, but every day grinds us closer to whatever that's going to be...
Strait Talking A reader asked me why war why Iran wasn't my #1 pick for the release language - a kind of tinder which sets off a global/nuclear conflict. My usual answer was really two-fold. First, the US/West/Israel will not allow a regional power to develop serious nuclear capabilities in the region, and thus when we see how "Iran warns U.S. against sending aircraft carrier back to Gulf" we know it's only a matter of time before hostilities break out.
The second point I make is that we've learned from the rickety time machine's past which goes back to pre 9/11 times, that "If George can think of it, it won't happen..." In other words, left-field or new events to fit the new language tend not to be something easily derived.
"Tour of Tyrants" From our Winnipeg news analyst:
Might want to check this Google search for developments - it's a catchy phrase which will appeal to the radio talk show crowd. Incendiary but not necessarily thoughtful language.
Craziness Outbreak in Virginia Seems like after reports that the state attorney general would try to slam through a change in law to allow presidential wannabes - who didn't raise the required number of signatures to appear on the ballot - may be backing off that proposed move.
So, is this someone coming to their senses - sensing the dismay of America that Big Money is trying to rule by force of their checkbooks? Naw...no such luck. Instead, the VA. state's republicorps are requiring the signing of a loyalty oath.
Problem is this: Should the delegates be required to support the candidate of the state's republican party (care to be it's organized as a corporation?) or, should the delegates be bound to support the most popular candidate? The anti Ron Paul undertones are amazing in all this. Apparently the two parties at the trough don't want to share payday, you think?
Indonesia and the UNBux Remember a while back, I told you the strange tale of "UNBux" that had appeared in Indonesia, sniffed out by our Bureau Chief Bernard G? Well this has managed to turn into breaking news this morning and the adventure of the UN-stamped looking US $100 bills continues...
Even more interesting is which chemicals are used to remove the UN stampings from the US $100's that are real...but a damn curious story, indeed. Money travels... Nothing elsewhere in the Western press about this. Give it time.
The Currency Budget Speaking of which, our sources in the banking industry point out how much money the Fed figures will be needed in 2012. Not budget money (easily made up) but how much actual cash money will be needed:
Which will drive monetarists crazy, since money is a shape-shifter, changing its look and quantity depending on where you observe it - on a balance sheet or in a wallet, but vastly different things.
With $7.6 trillion in debt maturing this year, globally, it should be a fine year to be in the printing "money" business. Job openings at the Mint maybe?
The Weak Ahead I'm betting the Dow will come close to the 12,500 level before starting to slide later in the week. The futures have enough "juice" to pop through at the open.
There are some interesting numbers to watch: FOMC Minutes this afternoon, factory orders tomorrow, but the biggie will come Friday with the Jobs report. What makes this one even better than most will be the annual corrections/confessional to the estimated jobs created in the CES Birth/Death Model.
I plan to catch up on sleep this week.
Coping: Nostradamus Revisited A note from my friend G.A. (Stu) Stewart, author of "The Age of Desolation" web site has been sending me notes recently about the curious "fill" of Nostradamus prophecies which seem to be arriving...and admitytedly he (and Clif) "called it" with regard to the new "anti-terrorism" laws...
Here lately I've been wondering if MABUS wasn't a clever play on Man After BUSh. --- So, one of the last "tumblers" to fall into place would then be the matter of the Black Pope which gets mentioned in this is and that. Those who follow this particular prophecy are no doubt watching the Pope's health lately, since the flurry of headlines about that last month. We notice in the report that the "Pope will; skip Mexico City in upcoming Larin America trip" that the reason for skipping is given as "concern for the 84-year old pontiff's health."
But there is another possibility few seem to catch: The "black Pope" is the term used for the head of the Jesuits/Society of Jesus, and the head of the S.J. retired recently (announced in 2008) and his replacement is Adolfo Nicholas. He took over the job from former S.J. head Peter-Hans Kolvenbach who retired.
This is one of those areas which prophecy students don't seem to address, namely whether the use of the term "black Pope" is symbolic, literal, or just how all that fits. It could be argued many different ways, and whether Nostradamus was onto something ought to be clear in a few more Centuries.
My 2012 Outlook Several people have asked, having seen the Discovery Channel stuff which is apparently still airing six years after the interview. Question seems to be "So you really think the world is going to end?"
No.
If you recall at the time we were looking at a "data gap" - and while serious, the data gap in the predictive linguistics work changed in nature - big time.
The main features of it involved a pulling forward (hence March of this year is key) and the other thing was that it turned out (at least seems so) to be a period of hugely intense high immediacy value language.
In other words, there is so much "focus in the moment" for a while going into spring that it shadows/covers-up longer term values. Which is why Clif's pending further ahead look may be so useful, since it's a tunnel-through to 2014...
I am still planning to write a column on December 23, 24... makes me seem like a nut, fine, but that is what things looked like at the time. And, yes, times do change. Speaking of which...
WuJo: Another Alternate Reality Report Say, this is a good one to wrap your head around: How would you feel is you went through something like this reader's experience?
Might think back on that first repairman. He didn't have a hint of green around the jaw line did he? No noticeable shape-shifting tendencies?
New School / Olde School A ham radio buddy locally sent me a link that will make the perfect year-starting time sink, especially if you work with numbers: An on-screen slide rule!
Oh, sure, takes the Java runtime to execute, but then so does my trading platform. Once you can use one of these proficiently, you no longer have to fear the end of the world shutting down all computer horsepower. Hand-powered computation!
Leaves on small concern: With the power off and refineries & energy distribution down, means something of a bummer when it comes to putting all those had-won calculations to some good use. But that's a bridge we'll cross (if not rebuild) when we come to it.
Survival Readings Go check out the Activist Post listing of the Top 10 Survival Downloads you should have.
Download and print them out, unless you have a computer that can run after an EMP or Solar flare event in 2013... and with it, there goes any chance of getting any serious work done for the next couple of days.
Don'tcha love New Years?
Monday January 2, 2011 2012: Year of the Police State and Lies? I'm deeply saddened for the future of this Great Nation when the first bit of news I have to report is that not only did president Obama sign into law the National Defense Authorization Act - which provides for secret abductions and rendition of American Citizens by the military should they be deemed (at the military's whim near as I can tell) to be "enemy combatants but worse - by far - as we reported to Peoplenomics subscribers on Saturday is another attack on Liberty, reposted here because it's a vital public concern:
OMG: Far Beyond the NDAA Say, watch for this one to pick up and go viral one of these days: HR 3166" The Enemy Expatriation Act" which you should read here (introduced by Rep Charles Dent, republicorp, Pennsylvania):
Say what? Not sure how IRS would react to this one, since last time I checked, people who don't have US Nationality would, logically, owe no taxes to the US. Am I right? ---
But, on a little different level, doesn't this raise the specter of US citizens who engage in peaceful opposition to government policies, once declared by officialdom to exist at the "laws of war" level (declared, not voted on, since Congress abrogated decades back...thinking Gulf of Tonkin timeframe) could be stripped of their Constitutional rights without due process?
I don't know whether it's something in the drinking water in Washington DC or the "security/defense" industry is just showing us how much of congress they own...Hmmm...
Oh....here's what you're gonna hear from TPTB: "Trust us..." You betcha. Like the Germans did 80 years ago? --- This greatly disturbs me: Should this second rights theft go through, it would seem that a military decision that you're an "enemy combatant" could strip you of your Citizenship which would forever allow you to be held in detention.
Which gets us to the larger question of "How can we have "enemy combatants" without a formal declaration of war?" It hurts my head and grieves my soul to write these words, but there you have it. Might as well go ahead with the name-change, too: The Corpgov States formerly known as America.
All it will take is some military officer deciding that Occupy is an enemy of America and showing up for one of their demonstrations could someday be classified as an "enemy act" and if (we hope soon to be former) representative Charles Dent has his way, you could be stripped of your USA Citizenship.
Not just Occupy: Notice the FBI reportedly wants "food activists" reclassified as "terrorists" according to this site which is notoriously slow loading but which can be picked up other places like this Google search here.
So goes Life in the Checkbook Republic. Speaking of which...
The Magic of Big Money In last week's column I advised you to be on the lookout for the arrival of "Big Money" to derail Ron Paul's move to the front of the pack in Iowa. Just listening to radio news reports on Sunday I was shocked at the corporate media/ MSM attention paid to the Newter: Most newscasts of a certain canine related network frequently seemed to lead with fourth-place Gingrich headlines. Ah, the power of friends, huh?
Even Time Magazine puts it as "Romney looks to fend off Santorum, Paul."
The last Des Moines Register polls has Ron Paul just 2 percentage points behind Romney for the lead. If Romney finishes more than 5% out of first, I'll be suspecting "Foul!" Not that it matters...voting has become an illusion to all but the millionaire class.
Meantime, there has been a growing public backlash to reports that the GOP will be doing their vote counting at a secret location. Gee, look surprised: GOP, secret location, yessir, that's their version of transparency and democracy in action these days.
If I had enough money in the checkbook, I'd buy me a congressional seat and long as we're selling out America to scallywags and scoundrels. As least I'd be better qualified than most.
Resolutions that Matter A couple worth noting: "10 New Years Resolutions for Non-violent Activism" over at Activist Post and along the same lines, my friend Gaye and I have a list of "Nine Resolutions that matter in 2012" over at the Strategic-Living site.
My favorite of the bunch is "Buy a Vote."
If I sound a little dismal at times, it's OK, I'm not the only one to read a little history and connect the dots. Go check out the Dominic Sandbrook column over at the UK's Mail Online here. "The spectre of 1932: How a loss of faith in politicians and democracy could make 2012 the most frightening year in living memory." NSS
Just the Fracs Yeah, I know the oil industry doesn't like this, but Oilman2 (one of our key sources) says fraccing and quakes are connected. And I mention this why?
"Earthquake in Youngstown, Ohio, interrupts natural-gas drilling operations."
The USGS details are here. But lookie here: Better it's blamed on fraccing than a precursor to a New Madrid quake, right? Don'tcha love an optimist?
To Market, To Market The US Stock Markets are closed today as this is the day when New Years is observed. On the other hand, Europe is back to work already and mostly up by small degrees, although France was up more than one percent and Germany up nearly two percent when I looked.
Might make for an exodus of cash from the US markets when gambling...er....trading resumes here tomorrow.
Kafka's Life 40,000 new laws have taken effect in the past couple of days. --- Ignorance of the law really is an excuse. Even big ones, like letting MF Global go through bankruptcy as a securities outfit instead as a commodities outfit The first saved the bankers, the second could have saved the farmers.
Coping: Dreams and Earthquakes If you go back and read last Friday's post, which you can find in the archives of the UrbanSurvival site here, I would raw your attention to this part wherein I said of my vivid dreams...
OK, so along comes the earthquake in Japan on Saturday night. First reports (like this one here) had it listed as a 7.0. "Just a coincidence..." I thought to myself.
Of course, as we know now, it was then downgraded to a 6.8 by USGS. Leaving me to wonder "Hmmm..." --- If you do have a vivid dream at some point during 2012, please jot it down over at our www.nationaldreamcenter.com site. And you might keep a notebook or audio recorder next to the bed so you can recall details when waking, log them, and so forth.
2012 in the WuJo Time to open the heavy beamed cedar doors of the ancient mental arts dojo where science flips out on the mat of reality with reports of woo-woo. Like this one here:
No, I haven't had any of these things happen personally, but we had a flurry of reports about three-years ago of people waking up at xx:22 and why twenty-two minutes after the hour was popping up was a fine question. Maybe it's lottery numbers?
Who "Owns" the Moon? This was a question that popped up in following reports that China is planning to put a man on the moon in the near future. If they do that, then would that give China a legitimate claim to moon ownership and the right to tell the rest of humanity to "Keep Out! No Trespassing!"??
A reader with a legal background offered the answer and, if you have visions of a US Base on the Moon as a stepping stone to the stars, you're kind of S.O.L. by the sound of it:
Not that we'd be able to keep up with the cost of an outpost on the Moon. Hell, we can't make ends meet on Earth, so no point taking on larger jumps until we can get our economic act together.
Seems to me before the engineers finalize plans for a "People's Moon Base" we need to round up the lawyers and accountants. Deal-killers I think they're called. --- You did notice that NASA does have the first of its high resolution Moon mapping probes in place? An anonymous readers notes that the gravity probing of the Moon is supposed to begin in March. Would finding out the Moon is an artificial satellite possible be the cause of the massive shift into "release" language coming out of predictive linguistics March 2-9 - and leading to a more or less permanent state of release language have something to do with it?
I keep thinking: What if the Moon is something like a bee hive and we've gone off kicking it?
Before the chart, a little background: Once upon a time, a long while ago, I observed during my quest for 'truth' in economics, that the PowersThatBe, the talking heads on the teeve, and the other information sources that actively engage in the programming of humans not to think, had conveniently swept several trillions of dollars that disappeared in the Internet Bubble's bursting (since spring 2000) under the rug. Surely, it wasn't unnoticed by the thousands of people who called brokers and said "Where is my money?" "Gone, but hang in there as you're a long term investor!" was about all they heard back.
So one of our charts for Peoplenomics subscribers oughta be widely circulated - it shows that if you line up the peak of the Dow in January 2000 with the peak in early September of 1929, we're on a very very close replay track. Much closer than even the chart shows if you were to back out inflation, and put in the effects of 1929 deflation, but that'd be real work, and I'm sort of lazy if the truth be told.
No, it's not a perfect replay of 1929, but history doesn't repeat exactly, it only rhymes. So think of this as the rhymes and the crimes chart:
"George, that's only a coincidence!" your monkey-mind will protest.
Why sure it is...you bet. A 11-year long coincidence...yessir....just a coincidence, we're like SO sure... (Shhh...don't tell anyone that major Depressions are two-part coupled affairs like the linkage between 1920-21 and 1929, OK? Damn, dude...don't spoil it for the sheep...)
Oh...don't forget to "Write when you get rich!"
George Ure, The People's Economist |
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