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March 13, 2010
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Friday March 12, 2010
New ALTA/Shape of Things To
First Cliff at
has in the past few minutes released a new "Shape of Things to
Come" report (#4) - his first since last December 9th.
If you have $10 bucks and want a good overview of what's maybe
coming down the road towards us (humans) as presaged by shifts
in language, then go read the report.
The method of perceiving
change in the future - based on shifts in language - seems to
have some degree of accuracy based on past 'hits' (e.g.
fulfillments of expected descriptor sets). Often times,
these not as we project things will happen, but this is more a
function of the limited scope of humans to properly interpret
rather than any failing of the processing which is spread across
several hundred discrete .EXE files and stitched together with
glue, scripts, rubber bands, and subroutines such as to make
'spaghetti code' orderly in comparison.
Interpretation is the core
shortfall. The human element seems to be weakest.
Just as First Peoples in 600 A.D. would not have a
word-pairing for "TV remote" or "9-volt battery" we
probably don't have words yet for some of what will likely
emerge in coming months.
Still, a key (and public)
takeaway from the work is that the tipping point discussed in
previous SOTTC/ALTA reports that occurred in (roughly) the Dec.
9 - December 21, 2009 window brought an unexpected change
relative to 2012. Essentially: We lost more than a
year and events once associated in the mass [internet]
consciousness with 2012 seem now to break into the public mind
in early 2011 with foreshadowing events late this year.
A fair question to ask is
why hasn't there been more notice that a new report was in the
works? Predictive linguistics has an Achilles Heel: This
method of predicting the future has only limited capability of
being shared with the public lest it become self-referential.
The reason is that by
putting ideas out onto the internet, we set up a kind of
feedback loop which become extremely onerous in processing.
Despite have a new (old/recycled) RAID array for this run, four
processors have been busy for months running about 72% of their
efforts simply throwing out references to our own works and
writings. In the short term, it means more processing to get
a large enough input cross-section and in the long term, it
means there's a finite limit as to how many can 'know the
Perhaps no clearer
illustration exists than the term 'web bot' itself.
When we first started using
the term to describe the project in the summer of 2001,
predicting a massive 'tipping point' in human affairs which we
didn't have a (single) word for at the time, but which would
have aspects of 'military' and 'accident', the term 'web bot'
was only occasionally referenced in obscure programming books.
that word pair brings more than 21,400,000 references in a
Google Search and stands as clear evidence that just
injecting a new concept (or word-pair meaning/word-pair context)
into the global discourse brings with it a set of problems
(maybe even some karmic burdens, who knows?) such that our own
linguistic footprint - the self-referential occurrences must be
It's like stomping around
on the ground while looking for wild game tracks. At some
point - if there's too much messing about - you'll never find
the tracks of a wandering critter, no matter how good a hunter
you are, since your own 'footprints' will obscure what you're
after in the first place.
Time's an elusive critter
and we have to deal with our own footprints since we're now 9
and 13-years into this little time tracking exercise.
When Cliff talks about "not
doing another report' (as he has in the past) it's not only
because of the emotional burden of seeing the future (lots of
dead people and suffering) well in advance - which means having
to experience the worst of humans twice-over. But the
second problem is the self-referential loop - almost a feedback
problem - that takes time off the task of tracking the wandering
critters in time.
So with this morning's
release with virtually no advance notice, we've got spiders
deployed to see who is posting references here and there, who's
posting unacceptably large chucks of the data, not to mention
looking for those paths which lead to people modifying cliff's
proprietary content with the apparent aim of putting their
particular spin on future events. At a minimum this part
of the project will possibly make it possible to do a
future run, however given the immediacy of events, that may be
Cliff will be on
CoastToCoastAM with George Noory (I'll be there, too) on the
April 1st show - which considering what we're looking at...well,
Universe is wry at times...
The Elusive Recovery
The stock market's optimism
the past couple of days certainly poses an interesting problem.
While outfits like
FedEx are worried the recovery is in trouble, there's
trouble afoot on Fleet Street as
Fitch is saying that the UK's credit profile has continued to
erode. Oh, and you see where
Greece is wrapped up in a general strike today?
Thanks to the miracle of
globalism (OK, corporate cannibalism, then) it means that a
screw-up anywhere on earth can topple the whole planetary game
if the botch is bad enough. THAT my friend is progress.
Then we see where
S&P is warning over America's top-tier debt, too. But it's
nothing a little more ink,
hundred dollar bills, and an unlimited supply of zeroes
can't fix, is it?
And what's one way to do
slam through a high-cost spending bill for national health care,
But just anyone starts to
worry about the financial world imploding a little too much,
there's also the Middle East to serve as a distraction as
Israel seals off the West Bank.
While that's going on, we
continue to see the
"Battle for Pakistan" heat up since the Pakistanis have
nukes and that's gotta be a wet dream for jihadists.
As luck would have it,
we've managed to get through another week on Third Rock without
any danger of global peace, harmony and goodwill breaking out.
Good thing, since there's no money to be made in caring and
sharing and globalism is based on giving your job to someone who
will do it cheaper. Since there are almost 7-billion
people who like to eat, it's been a relatively easy thing to
find humans who will undercut American workers.
But, just to make sure, the
borders still don't have fences and sicne they don't the
national ID card is in the works, too.
If this sounds a little
cynical to you, gee, you think? But wait! Stop the
presses! Here's some "good news" in retail sales figures
just out today...hell, I was able to write that half an hour
before the news release came out because things are so damn
(32 minutes later):
"The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance
estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for
February, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday
and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were
$355.5 billion, an increase of 0.3 percent (±0.5%)* from the
previous month and 3.9 percent (±0.5%) above February 2009.
Total sales for the December 2009 through February 2010
period were up 4.5 percent (±0.3%) from the same period a
year ago. The December 2009 to January 2010 percent change
was revised from +0.5 percent (±0.5%)* to +0.1 percent
Retail trade sales were up 0.3
percent (±0.5%)* from January 2010 and 4.4 percent (±0.5%)
above last year. Gasoline stations sales were up 24.0
percent (±1.5%) from February 2009 and nonstore retailers
sales were up 11.8 percent (±1.7%) from last year.
So if you want a fine
zoom-in on irrational, try this one on for size: The Dow
has run up from last year about this time being 6,627 to
yesterday's close around 10,612.
That's a 60.1% increase for
stocks and all this teetering on a retail sales increase of a
whopping 3.9% increase from year ago retail sales...but that
doesn't take into account whatever monetary inflation is.
Say, you don't think it
would be a fine time to look at how much more M1 money is
sloshing around the system, do you? Lemme see,
Feb 2009 was 1.5621 trillion and this year it's 1.7104
trillion...an increase of 9.5% in M1.
I won't paint the obvious
for you - it's probably slow at work (if you have a job at all)
so it'll give you something to noodle on till 10 AM.
Still Lots of Debt
Think the credit card
business is gaining because people are paying off debt and not
piling it on like they used to? guess again: An
MSNBC story reveals that much of
the decline in credit card debt has been due to credit card
companies writing off bad debts. Damn...just when
we thought thter was hope...
Some morning's it just
don't pay to be an optimist, huh?
But wait! Did you see
Citi is bringing back to Zero Percent APR for 15-months card?
Lost Wages, Nevada
A reader in Sin City sends
"Hi George: The latest
news out of Las Vegas NV is the Mayor Oscar Goodman wants to
fire all City employees and re-hire them all at a lower rate
of pay.The mayor is asking Attorneys whether this is legal
or not.He the mayor is not kidding. If this doesn't happen
app 150+ people will lose jobs, and alot of things / places
will close if not done.The major was asking everyone to take
a 8% cut in pay this year and next. and so far the Unions
are throwing a fit. And have threaten to sue the City over
You could check out the Review
Journal/Sun Newspaper as there is probably articles about
Stay tuned it can't get much
Oh sure it can. You
just don't have enough faith in government.
Say, here's a dandy
report that the CIA may have poisoned a whole French village in
1951 with LSD in bread.
Pass the French bread and
have faith in gubmint.
Swiss (Banking) Cheese
UBS - which has been in
IRS reportedly has 20-odd Swiss banks that have secret accounts
in their sights as the drive to crack down on offshore tax
No doubt we will hear all
kinds of noise from this "I oughta be able not to pay taxes
while my countrymen get screwed" crowd. You know - the
phat cats who got paid options offshore, cashed 'em in, dumped
the money offshore in a numbered about and draw in dough from
ofrfshore when the bar tab gets too high.
Sorry, got no sympathy from
--- snip and save section
Quest for Transmutation
It's amazing all the time
people have put into the study of the occult. Why there
are books, treatises, and
grimoires ,all over the place. Occasionally, the study
of such tombs bring about a discussion of "transmutation" and
the supposedly lost art (if one believers alchemists) of turning
something of little value into greater value; lead to gold
being the use case most often searched.
Around the WuJo - where the
world of woo woo meets hardcore science - we have always been
curious about 'transmuting' in general not so much as a course
to power and position (those are easy if you are willing to
abandon morality, forsake trust, breach confidences, and mind
others through trickery), but with an eye toward understanding
some of the more often repeated 'miracles' that some humans have
Among such, beside
levitation, makes ashes appear out of an empty hand, and
starting fire by touch, more interesting is the study of chi
(Eastern Life force energy) and how all of the above relate to
the emerging high strangeness in the world of quantum physics.
The main 'transmutation
problem' is that quantum physics are getting closer and closer.
As Gary Zukav suggested in Dancing Wu Li Masters: An Overview of the New Physics.
A quote from the book (borrowed from the Amazon site) offers
"The Wu Li Master
dances with his student. The Wu Li Master does not teach,
but the student learns. The Wu Li Master always begins at
the center, the heart of the matter.... This book deals not
with knowledge, which is always past tense anyway, but with
imagination, which is physics come alive, which is Wu Li....
Most people believe that physicists are explaining the
world. Some physicists even believe that, but the Wu Li
Masters know that they are only dancing with it."
And, of course, the
ultimate Master is the Universe itself, which as all of us have
to admit does step on toes of almost all humans who don't
understand the dance steps.
The short bottom line is
that as humans advance the line between 'miracle' and science
continues to wear thin. And
Arthur C. Clarke's Frank Pool character noted in 3001: The Final
Odyssey ""A wise man once said that any sufficiently
advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic" and then
commented on facing the magic of 3001.
Word this week that the
Large Hadron Collider will be shutting down for a year to have
certain key sections redesigned and rebuilt has passed
somewhat unnoticed in the MSM.
However, it hasn't slipped
notice down at the WuJo where earlier articles about how
Universe may not want pesky humans lifting its skirts and
learning its source code en masse. pointed to a series of
statistically improbable events (a bird dropping crumbs from a
scrounged piece of bread cause one set of problems for example).
With the Large Hadron
operating at only half-power until it is updated and upgraded,
seems we will have more time to contemplate the core problem of
the new physics which is "How much responsibility to humans have
for the world is simply observe events also seems to create (or
at least co-create) them?
A reader I've been tossing
some ideas around suggests a good starting point on the road for
deeper knowledge may be a rereading of "The
Emerald Tablet" one of the more enduring rumored sources of
"Just wanted to toss in
a couple more comments as well as a few references from
which the majority of my (limited) technical knowledge was
The first comment has to do with
Enoch/Enki/Hermes Trismegistus and his Emerald Tablet. Here
is the translation as provided by Mr. Isaac Newton:
1. Tis true without lying,
certain most true.
2. That which is below is like
that which is above that which is above is like that which
is below to do the miracles of one only thing.
3. And as all things have been
arose from one by the mediation of one: so all things have
their birth from this one thing by adaptation.
4. The Sun is its father, the
moon its mother,
5. the wind hath carried it in
its belly, the earth its nurse.
6. The father of all perfection
in the whole world is here.
7. Its force or power is entire
if it be converted into earth.
7a. Separate thou the earth from
the fire, the subtle from the gross sweetly with great
8. It ascends from the earth to
the heaven again it descends to the earth and receives the
force of things superior and inferior.
9. By this means ye shall have
the glory of the whole world thereby all obscurity shall fly
10. Its force is above all
force. for it vanquishes every subtle thing and penetrates
every solid thing.
11a. So was the world created. 1
2. From this are and do come
admirable adaptations whereof the means (Or process) is here
13. Hence I am called Hermes
Trismegist, having the three parts of the philosophy of the
14. That which I have said of
the operation of the Sun is accomplished and ended. and a
more modern translation
1. It contains an accurate
commentary that can't be doubted.
2. It states: What is the above
is from the below and the below is from the above. The work
of wonders is from one.
3. And all things sprang from
this essence through a single projection. How marvelous is
its work! It is the principle [sic] part of the world and
4. Its father is the sun and its
mother is the moon. Thus the wind bore it within it and the
earth nourished it.
5. Father of talismans and
keeper of wonders.
6. Perfect in power that reveals
7. It is a fire that became our
earth. Separate the earth from the fire and you shall adhere
more to that which is subtle than that which is coarse,
through care and wisdom.
8. It ascends from the earth to
the heaven. It extracts the lights from the heights and
descends to the earth containing the power of the above and
the below for it is with the light of the lights. Therefore
the darkness flees from it.
9. The greatest power overcomes
everything that is subtle and it penetrates all that is
10. The formation of the
microcosm is in accordance with the formation of the
11. The scholars made this their
12. This is why Thrice Hermes
was exalted with wisdom.
13. This is his last book that
he hid in the catacomb.
Let us attempt to assign
correlations of each of these to properties of an excitable
1. Claims to not be lying.
Supposedly built the pyramids so let us just take this to be
2. A statement about the fractal
structure of Reactive-Diffusive systems in terms of Orders
of Magnitude (a real mathematical method, used by Prandtl to
develop boundary layer equations for one). At the most basic
level, we treat the sources (and possibly sinks) of an
auto-catalytic system as constants. The premise here is that
their Diffusive constants (the rate at which inhomogeneities
spread into a uniform state) are much, much, much, much
larger than those of the variables in the 'loops'.
Essentially, in an infinitesimal step of time, where the
loop variables have scarcely diffused or reacted, the source
has diffused to a near constant state due to its rapid
Further, we can assume that two
di-polar reaction loops with diffusive rates much much much
much slower (much smaller scale) than those within the loop
of interest also exist (perhaps with very high reaction
rates). These can essentially be ignored, because within an
infinitesimal step of time again the loop of interest could
disappear/reappear a billion times before it has diffused or
reacted any appreciable amount at its own level. It is now
treated as a 'Source' but it would have to be replenished
for it to hold up with observation. One reason to consider
this is that, upon doing a fair amount of research into ET's
you will eventually find several statements refering to
'vibration levels'. These statements do not make any sense
with respect to wave equation solutions, but make perfect
sense with respect to fractally nested chemical clocks.
3. What is observed as objects
is truly just a Non Equilibrium Steady State structure
emanating from smaller objects arising from the assumed
existence of the medium.
7. Could be a reference to the
fact that we can isolate all of the elements if we sit down
and carefully study the processes involved. Perhaps even a
reference to the understanding of the underlying system.
8. Perhaps referring to the fact
that the system is inherently diffusive. 2 way flux is
9. Small perturbations will not
survive and will decay to equilibrium (zero) under the right
conditions. All Non Equilibrium Steady State structures are
inherently built from smaller parts of the system.
10. Fractals again.
11. Think twice. Then thrice!
In my opinion, not such a bad
fit since this is pure speculation.
The second has to do with
another of Mr. Haramein's statements concerning the fractal
nature of the universe recast in terms of Reactive-Diffusive
systems. Essentially, when he states that a proton could
contain its own universe, we should consider this a Method
of Orders of Magnitude applied to the diffusion rates of the
R-D System. This has already been done and is stated within
the texts I have read.
And those texts are:
Prigogine, Ilya; Nicolis, G.
(1977). Self-Organization in Non-Equilibrium Systems
Subquantum Kinetics by Paul Laviolette. Eric D. Schneider
and Dorion Sagan, Into the Cool: Energy Flow,
Thermodynamics, and Life. A math book that I will send you
the title of later, but it is a text on Partial Differential
Now we're talking.
And this has exactly WHAT
to do with anything?
It's all about the flavor
of all 'the stuff of Universe' and the weave of the fabric of
'all that is'; and it all figures - at a not very complicated
level - into what we'll talk about when our 10 AM announcement
today is posted and with what we'll be getting into in
Peoplenomics this weekend.
In Defense of Virginia
My "Virginia is for
Revenue" report earlier this week didn't get rave reviews in
Instead of handing out false
"Fee Justice", you ought to strive for more truth and call
it "Reporting Justice". Specifically, today's reference to
an almost totally false article, and your equally
unflattering personal commentary on Virginia. I am
disappointed by your apparent lack of investigative
First, there are no "frantic
efforts by state officials to close a $2.2 billion budget
deficit". While there is a $4.3 billion budget shortfall at
the present time, Virginia operates on a rolling two-year
budget so there is almost always plenty of time to deal with
budget issues. None of those last minute "frantic efforts"
for our legislators -- they leisurely stick it to us
taxpayers with plenty of time to spare!
Second, the Virginia State
Police do not take orders from "local supervisors". In fact,
they take orders only from the Virginia State Police
Superintendent who reports directly to the Governor.
Furthermore, local sheriffs are elected directly by the
voters, and they don't take "orders" from local supervisors,
state legislators, judges, the state police, or federal
agencies. In short, politicians have little influence, and
no direct control, over the activities of state and local
Third, I live about 25 miles
from I-81. The 50 mile segment North and South of my nearest
on-ramp is the deadliest and most dangerous section of
interstate highway in Virginia despite it passing primarily
through lightly populated rural areas of the state. About
half of this segment has been designated an "Enhanced
Enforcement Zone" for the past ten+ years in an attempt to
reduce the mayhem (one death per week on average). The zone
is clearly marked with huge signs that are impossible to
miss (even at 100 mph when almost drunk).
Federal Funding. Yep! If a State
wants federal money for law enforcement, it has to
periodically participate in federally sponsored, federally
defined, and federally approved programs. “Operation Air,
Land & Speed” is one of those federally sponsored programs.
In Virginia, there were five installments in 2009, and 21
since the program began in 2006. I don't particularly
approve of such federal mandated programs, but I'd bet you
have them from time to time in Texas -- not to mention lots
of other states too....
Finally, I will readily attest
that there is a lot wrong with Virginia -- I could probably
fill a small book with complaints. If you criticize her
justifiably, I'll very likely shout, "Amen, brother!" On the
other hand, if you or your facts are all wet, I'll certainly
call you on it!
On the other hand,
professional drivers in other parts of the country are noticing
the same thing - an increase in fine for...whatever...like this
report from county worker in Ohio:
"George, here at the
county they just posted that the municipalities are now
ticketing all big trucks( dump trucks) for not staying on
truck routes. This went into effect recently. We're the
county and they are telling us to stay out of the towns
unless we are repairing main breaks ( water breaks) or they
will fine us. I just had to laugh at that one .
And getting justice?
"It now costs money to
appeal a ticket in Mass and Florida..$50 in Mass, Fl is very
Two sides to this:
governments looking for money and people just wanting to
peaceful go about their pursuits of life, liberty and with
whatever's left over...
The Sky Falling Department
The report out of the
Western Morning News Thursday that
a batch of starlings had fallen out of the sky with apparent
damage to their beaks has a few readers wondering if they
ran into some kind of force field from a cloaked aircraft of
Want something to do?
Figure out how far this was from...oh...Rendlesham
Forrest, for example.
You Is What You Eat
A couple of stories
recently from the Natural News website which is looking more and
more like a daily site to click by to find out what's not
making headlines ain the MainStreamMedia:
Given that what you put in
your mouth is still one of the areas where corpgov hasn't
completely taken over, just seems to me like a scan every now
and then of their headlines about what may be bad for you would
be as good an investment as, oh, bank stocks in 2008, for
Would'ja pass the BHA, BTA,
MSG, and NaCl please?
Send your comments to
Shop Till You Drop
Peoplenomics This Week
When Are We In A Depression?
Although I've been writing about the emergence of the Second
Depression for more than 10-years, it wasn't until the housing
bubble started to implode that people started to admit in some
number that maybe I wasn't completely nuts. Still, if you were
to go out on the streets of America, I doubt that more than 1% of
the population would admit it, even now that this is a Depression.
Still, the evidence continues to mount for those with 'ears to hear
and eyes to see..." This week, a few data points as we arrive
at a key inflection point over the next two weeks.
More For Subscribers
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The folks at Maxa Research have put together a short video
(sound track by guess who?) that
shows the Maxa Cookie Manager. You can see it here.
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is one of those dandy tools that just simply works great.
First thing I put on my new computer when I got it was Avira
Anti-virus and Maxa Cookie Manager (MCM). Either
follow the on-screen download instructions of simply click:
Once you try it out, to upgrade to
the fully functioning version, just click the
upgrade button (!) on the upper right hand side for the $35
unlock to get it to remove even those nasty and highly intrusive
'non-browser specific' cookies. Bonus: You computer
may run faster.
"Live on $10,000" A Year
Having a hard time making
ends meet? (Like who isn't, right?) A
good starting point to better match up income with outgo is our
$10 e-book "How to Live on #10,000 a Year...or less!"
It's an automatic
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whole thing runs about 65 pages, but it gives you a vision of
how to not only live on the cheap, but also how to migrate up
the economic foodchain if you have a little hustle left. A
bonus section called "How to Build Anything" should instill
confidence if you've never taken on a home improvement/home
creation project before, too.....
Click here for the index and details.
My commodity broker JB Slear and I
have written a simple book to get you started on high density
hydroponics. It's an example of how someone with a little
creativity, access to a few 'dollar stores' and willing to try
out some new farming techniques can grow an amazing amount of
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Pass It On
different take on things - that's what you'll find here most
mornings. If you know of anyone who might also like our
and send a link to them. Or, if you hated what you read,
send the link to all your 'worst enemies'. Like they say
in Burbank, "Ain't no such thing as bad press..."
week's report is here. For
back issues of this site, click here.
Thursday March 11, 2010
wondering, when does the "improved productivity' we keep hearing
about turn into an increase in the balance of trade? new
figures out from the Census Bureau today may hold some hints:
Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis,
through the Department of Commerce, announced today that
total January exports of $142.7 billion and imports of
$180.0 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of
$37.3 billion, down from $39.9 billion in December, revised.
January exports were $0.5 billion less than December exports
of $143.2 billion. January imports were $3.1 billion less
than December imports of $183.1 billion.
the goods deficit decreased $2.5 billion from December to
$49.4 billion, and the services surplus increased $0.1
billion to $12.1 billion. Exports of goods decreased $0.7
billion to $98.4 billion, and imports of goods decreased
$3.2 billion to $147.8 billion. Exports of services
increased $0.2 billion to $44.3 billion, and imports of
services increased $0.1 billion to $32.2 billion.
the goods and services deficit increased $0.4 billion from
January 2009. Exports were up $18.7 billion, or 15.1
percent, and imports were up $19.1 billion, or 11.9 percent.
December to January decrease in exports of goods reflected
decreases in capital goods ($1.0 billion); automotive
vehicles, parts, and engines ($0.5 billion); and foods,
feeds, and beverages ($0.1 billion). Increases occurred in
industrial supplies and materials ($0.5 billion) and
consumer goods ($0.2 billion).
were virtually unchanged.
December to January decrease in imports of goods reflected
decreases in automotive vehicles, parts, and engines ($1.5
billion); capital goods ($1.1 billion); and consumer goods
($0.9 billion). An increase occurred in foods, feeds, and
beverages ($0.1 billion). Other goods and industrial
supplies and materials were virtually unchanged.
2009 to January 2010 increase in exports of goods reflected
increases in industrial supplies and materials ($7.0
billion); automotive vehicles, parts, and engines ($3.4
billion); consumer goods ($2.1 billion); foods, feeds, and
beverages ($1.7 billion); capital goods ($1.6 billion); and
other goods ($0.4 billion)
It all boils
down to a simple picture:
The Balance of
Trade deficit got smaller, but we're still spending more
overseas than we ship out to the tune of $37.3 billion in
January and that means we're still living beyond out income as a
country. So, what else is new?
Inflation in China hit a 16-month high and that has some
people worried...but an annual inflation rate of 2.7% t'ain't no
biggie. Why the annual rate of debasing the US currency
has averaged...oh...2,3% per year since 1913, so what's the big
deal? Inflation's one of those games every talks about
being bad but then everyone turns around and does it.
It is what it is, know what I'm sayin'?
Unemployment Drops a Tad
the week ending March 6, the advance figure for
seasonally adjusted initial claims was 462,000, a decrease
of 6,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 468,000.
The 4-week moving average was 475,500, an increase of 5,000
from the previous week's revised average of 470,500.
The advance seasonally adjusted
insured unemployment rate was 3.5 percent for the week
ending Feb. 27, unchanged from the prior week's unrevised
rate of 3.5 percent.
pointing down a bit for the open.
Foreclosure Rate Slowing - A
I don't usually
post whole sections of press releases, but the one from
RealtyTrac on foreclosure data is a must read:
(realtytrac.com), the leading online marketplace for
foreclosure properties, today released its February 2010
U.S. Foreclosure Market Report™, which shows foreclosure
filings — default notices, scheduled auctions and bank
repossessions — were reported on 308,524 U.S. properties
during the month, a decrease of 2 percent from the previous
month but still 6 percent above the level reported in
February 2009. The report also shows one in every 418 U.S.
housing units received a foreclosure filing in February.
“The 6 percent year-over-year
increase we saw in February was the smallest annual increase
we’ve seen since January 2006, when we began calculating
year-over-year increases, but it still marked the 50th
consecutive month of year-over-year increases in foreclosure
activity,” said James J. Saccacio, chief executive officer
of RealtyTrac. “This leveling of the foreclosure trend is
not necessarily evidence that fewer homeowners are in
distress and at risk for foreclosure, but rather that
foreclosure prevention programs, legislation and other
processing delays are in effect capping monthly foreclosure
activity — albeit at a historically high level that will
likely continue for an extended period.
“In addition, severe winter
weather appears to have temporarily slowed the processing of
foreclosure records in some Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic
Foreclosure activity by type
Default notices (Notices of Default and Lis Pendens) were
reported on a total of 106,208 U.S. properties during the
month, an increase of 3 percent from the previous month but
down 3 percent from February 2009. Default notices were down
25 percent from their peak of more than 142,000 in April
2009 but were still more than three times the number they
were four years ago in February 2006.
Foreclosure auctions (Notices of
Trustee’s Sale and Notices of Sheriff’s Sales) were
scheduled for the first time on a total of 123,633 U.S.
properties, a decrease of 1 percent from the previous month
but still 16 percent higher than the level reported in
February 2009. Scheduled auctions were down 14 percent from
their peak of more than 144,000 in August 2009 but were also
about three times higher than the number reported in
Bank repossessions (REOs) were
reported on a total of 78,683 U.S. properties during the
month, a 10 percent decrease from the previous month but an
increase of 6 percent from February 2009. Bank repossessions
were down nearly 15 percent from their peak of more than
92,000 in December 2009 but were at nearly twice the level
reported in February 2006.
Nevada, Arizona, Florida post
top state foreclosure rates Nevada foreclosure activity
decreased nearly 7 percent from the previous month and was
down 30 percent from February 2009, but the state’s
foreclosure rate continued to rank highest in the nation for
the 38th month in a row. One in every 102 Nevada housing
units received a foreclosure filing during the month — more
than four times the national average.
Arizona and Florida documented
nearly identical foreclosure rates, with one in every 163
housing units receiving a foreclosure filing in both states.
Despite a nearly 21 percent decrease in foreclosure activity
from the previous month, Arizona’s rate was statistically
slightly higher than Florida’s rate and ranked second
highest among the states.
California’s foreclosure rate
ranked fourth highest among the states, with one in every
195 housing units receiving a foreclosure filing during the
month, and Michigan’s foreclosure rate ranked fifth highest
among the states, with one in every 226 housing units
receiving a foreclosure filing.
Other states with foreclosure
rates among the nation’s 10 highest were Utah (one in every
275 housing units), Idaho (one in 296), Illinois (one in
305), Georgia (one in 331) and Maryland (one in 407).
Six states account for more than
60 percent of national total The six states with the most
foreclosure activity accounted for 61 percent of the
national total in February. California led the way, with
68,562 properties receiving a foreclosure filing during the
month — down nearly 5 percent from the previous month and
down 15 percent from February 2009.
Foreclosure activity in Florida
increased nearly 15 percent from the previous month and was
up more than 16 percent from February 2009. The state
continued to post the nation’s second highest total, with
54,032 properties received a foreclosure filing during the
Increasing foreclosure activity
boosted Michigan’s total to third highest among the states.
A total of 20,028 Michigan properties received a foreclosure
filing during the month — up nearly 14 percent from the
previous month and up 59 percent from February 2009.
With 17,312 properties receiving
a foreclosure filing, Illinois posted the fourth highest
total, followed by Arizona, with 16,718 properties receiving
a foreclosure filing, and Texas, with 12,638 properties
receiving a foreclosure filing in February.
Other states with totals among
the 10 highest in the country were Georgia (12,177), Ohio
(11,286), Nevada (11,035), and Maryland (5,732).
Divergent trends in metro areas
with top 10 foreclosure rates Metro areas in the Sun Belt
states of Nevada, Florida, California and Arizona continued
to dominate the top 10 highest foreclosure rates among
metropolitan areas with a population of 200,000 or more, but
activity trends in these areas varied considerably.
The Las Vegas metro area
documented the highest metro foreclosure rate, with one in
every 90 housing units receiving a foreclosure filing during
the month, despite a 9 percent decrease in foreclosure
activity from the previous month.
Six of the other metro areas in
the top 10 — all in California or Arizona — also reported
decreasing foreclosure activity from the previous month. The
biggest monthly decrease among the top 10 was in the Phoenix
metro area, where foreclosure activity dropped nearly 18
In contrast, the two Florida
metro areas in the top 10 both posted substantial monthly
increases in foreclosure activity. The Cape Coral-Fort Myers
metro area saw a 31 percent increase in foreclosure activity
from the previous month, giving it the second highest metro
foreclosure rate — one in every 92 housing units receiving a
foreclosure filing. An increase of nearly 66 percent in
foreclosure activity from the previous month helped boost
the foreclosure rate in Port St. Lucie to sixth highest.
All of which is
critically important stuff to watch if you're planning to invest
in a home (or a rental or two) over the next few years.
Seems early yet to me, but I'm a reclusive miser - what can I
say? Which gets me to...
'Closing" in on Depression 2
Every once in a while folks
have a "Duh!" moment - and this must be my day for it.
Came when I was looking at the usual swarm of headlines that was
floating on the screens and scanning two gazillion emails.
Was there a common thread in the fabric of the news that hadn't
been 'zoomed in on'?
The latest word to hit my
news filters is "closing". If there's some common element
to a Second Depression's economic stories, it might be 'closing'
down of all kinds of things. For instance:
Taken individually, may not
seem like any one of these is a particularly big deal
(although obviously it is to the people involved).
Looking at the
Google Trend Labs data, some of the use of 'closing' as it
relates to Olympics may be declining, but the word itself is
still going strong in searches.
Just something to keep an
eye (and ear, I suppose) on, since as we edge closer to
Depression going mainstream in everyday speech (mid summerish)
we ought to see the work 'closing' figuring prominently in daily
Cost of Illegals
Report out of the
LA area's Daily Breeze reveals that 25% of welfare payments in
LA County go to illegals.
2½ million people in Florida are on
Let me ask you something:
If you found out that a state government was deliberately
handing out speeding tickets to try and close a budget gap, how
would you feel about it? Pissed? Well then
you don't what to read about recent goings on in Virginia.
Oh - paid for in part by the feds. With friends like
Shouldn't hurt tourism too
much - that is, if the state adopts my new ad campaign which
would make a dandy new license plate slogan, too...you like?
I make for you?
A number of people have
written in to ask if the linguistically forecast major fall-off
in religions might have something to do with the return (about
now) of headlines like "Devil
has infiltrated Vatican, says chief exorcist"?
Can't say since any number of
things might drive large numbers of people from organized religions.
But, a cross-section (no pun intended!) of religious leaders behaving badly and
10,000-year (or longer) floods
like the rains in Georgia last year certainly do give rise
to a few questions.
When I see stories about
either the current
administration's 'faith-based initiative' (as in this Newsweek
piece) or the ongoing
Texas textbook battle which argues over what should (and should
not be) in social studies textbooks, I watch in
semi-disbelief as events unfold...
The bust of Jihad Jane this
week sure seems to bolster the case for those who would extend
more federal controls over what happens on the Internet.
Take for example this little quote out of the USA Today coverage
of the story:
case is the latest in a string of domestic terrorism probes
in which defendants have turned to the Internet for
financial, moral and operational support to plan attacks
against the U.S. and its allies, court papers say."
Demonizing the 'net, sounds
like is where this leads - and in turn that lays the groundwork
for eventual licensure of net use or maybe content kontrol.
There Must Be a Reason
the US Department of Education is buying 27 shotguns.
Executive protection more'n likely, not unruly students..
--- snip and save section
With Pillaged Retirements
Every so often I get an
email (usually surly in tone, BTW) that says something like
"George, what you write about is crap because you have managed
to ready yourself for retirement and the end of the world as we
know it - but what about the rest of us?"
This came home to roost
again this morning when someone sent me a like to the CNN/Money
story this week which has the shocking (or is it?) headline that
have less than $10k fror retirement."
Two ponder points to
offer on this: One is about the cause of such a miserable
figure and the other is on what to do about it.
The cause of the
small amount of prepping for retirement is extremely simple:
Americans have grown fat and lazy....they've given up critical
thinking, inventiveness, and ingenuity at an astounding rate and
have swallow the whole corpgov disingenuous lifestyle myth hook,
line & sinker.
I was talking to a friend
up in Pennsylvania just yesterday afternoon and the subject of
gardening came up. "Too cold for us to do that up here
yet..." he mentioned in passing.
I made a mental note to
mention that is the kind of defeatist attitude that keeps people
from realizing a higher degree of self-sufficiency and a higher
level of independence from the mainstream. "What about
cold frames, you have daylight up there, right?" I asked.
Don't think my friend has
read Four-Season Harvest: Organic Vegetables from Your Home Garden All Year Long
yet, but since he reads the site now and then, I expect he'll
get the drift, although he's well ahead of millions of others
because he's already cleared some land for a garden this year.
Thing is: My friend is
actually doing something to retake control of his own
destiny. He's got enough sense to turn off his television
and get out and do rather than sit and complain.
It doesn't take a 'rocket
surgeon' to start reclaiming personal destiny. You don't
need to be anti-government or even join a 'cause' group, either.
You just need a few minutes to make a list of basics of human
survival and figure out how to evolve yourself into an
Take something as basic
as water. Yes, we have a well. But if there
was catastrophic change - say a replay of the
New Madrid Earthquake, would the well survive? Maybe
not. But, odds are very good that at least one of the
55-gallon water barrels would make it through. And once
there, whatever is left of a roof could be made into a water
But how many people think
The roof on our home was
put on in 1989...so it's getting on time to replace it. So
what drives the decision on materials? Rather than put on
a new roof of fiberglass shingles, we'll be putting on a
metal roof this summer and with new metal gutters, it ought
to provide more water than we could ever realistically use.
We get around 40" of rain a year here, so the area 30 feet by 60
feet should produce....nope. not going to tell you.
You have enough math to be able to figure that out...I hope!
Point is that even a
simple decision ("Which roof material?") can be turned into part
of an overall strategy toward self-reliance at virtually no
Same thing with
gardening. You'd be amazed at how much food can be grown
indoors behind sliding glass doors and picture windows.
But how many people turn off the television set long enough to
even put in a $20 herb garden in the kitchen window?
I can't think of a better
time of year than...oh...now, to turn off the television and get
creative about at least three basics in life: Food, Water,
My particular slant on
"How to Retire" has been carved out of life experience which
didn't make me 'rich". So we bought a small place with a
mobile/modular on it that we could afford.
We deliberating under
spent so that we would not be as beholden to the Debt
Monster. I do most of the work around here (Panama Bates
is visiting and working on goat fencing, though) and although I
might hire local folks which keeps the money in the community,
the idea is that we life below our income (not above) and have
done so for some period of time.
The 'earnings' if you
think of it that way pile up. When we get to retirement -
if there really is such a time - our monthly "nut" will be next
to zero, except for electricity and I'm even working on that
My point is not to say
"Look what I did" but rather to say "Look what you can do!"
You can learn almost anything in an hour (or less) if you use
that "Recipe Method of Learning" I'm so fond of. You can
scrounge old plastic buckets to do some 'condo farming' and you
can slowly evolve a 3-4 week 'cushion' of canned goods and dry
staples in the home larder.
Not all that tough, is
Retirement is a somewhat
modern concept and don't tell too many people this because it's
dangerous to runaway financial planing. But what if Buckminster
Fuller was right when he said something to the effect that
"Wealth is how long you have assured your long-term
In other words, if you
don't have 'money' with which to retire, you have something much
more valuable: A brain that can be turned on and come up
with creative ways to 'work around' the problem of paper.
What does paper buy? Water? Food? Light &
One of my personal
projects this year is learning to sew. May not be
particularly graceful looking, but clothing to cover and
protection ain't that difficult. Fashion & bling? I
could care. But basic clothing? How to make a pair
of gloves out of an animal skin? Useful stuff that.
All readily learnable in nice recipe-sized bites:
Pattern-making, fabric layout & cutting, stitching...all nice
bite-sized morsels of brain food resulting in long-term useable
skills and that's part of mastery of the physical realm.
I'll step down from the
soap box now after leaving one parting thought:
Do you bet on paper or
bet on brains for retirement? And, are you investing in
Down at the WuJo:
This makes perfect sense
especially since this story has nothing to do with Washington
where nothing makes sense anyways...;-) But after all the
reading I've done on Crop Circles, I must be living under a rock
because I had never heard of snow circles until this
morning when a reader brought it to my attention.
story has been around since December on the BLT Research Team
site, but I hadn't been aware of it.
patterns weren't yellow-tinged.
Around the Ranch:
Name That Goat
Several readers have sent
in some clever names for the newly-arrived goats that hatched
this week. I told you earlier this week that three
had shown up promoting one male reader to suggest if they were
all females to name them Gina, Lolla, and Bridgetta...and you
thought my humor was bad?
Another suggested April,
May, and June. We'll see about July. One of the boys
will have to be named Rahm to counterbalance Dick Chinney...as
they seem cut from the same cloth.
Fortunately, we now have
even more to name...another pair was born yesterday so the herd
is now approaching 30.
I used to think that
goats were just 'dumb animals'. But, then I got to
thinking about Dick Chinney surrounded by 20 odd females with
little to do but sniff flanks and graze.
Humans do the same thing,
but in a fraction of the time. Maybe goats aren't as dumb
as I used to think. They don't bring me breakfast, now, do
Wednesday March 10, 2009
Recovery or Resupply?
The report in the
NY Times Global Biz section that "China's Exports Rise 46%"
has me wondering if there's really and economic recovery going
on. The argument in my head begins with "How much of this
increase is coming to the USA?" The NY Times piece
attributes orders from the US, EU and Japan with almost half the
growth and while
Econographer piece on the same topic has some fancy charts
showing China's balance of trade may not be so grand going
forward, I keep wondering "How much of this is US related?"
I suppose it's symptomatic
of being a) in the US and b) being part of the "Me Generation"
but seems to me that this is one of those stories which is being
positioned as somehow related to US-China relations. In
fact, a Bloomberg piece on the topic says"
has kept its currency at about 6.8 per dollar since July
2008. Record loan growth is threatening to stoke
inflation and has prompted the central bank to twice this
year raise the amount of cash banks must set aside as
Persuading China to allow the
yuan to climb this year is one of U.S. President Barack
Obama’s stated goals. A group of 15 senators last month
called for stiffer tariffs on Chinese imports, saying an
undervalued currency gives Chinese exporters an unfair
sure...whatever. But how much of this was due to the US
increasing its imports?
Tracking back to the
People's Daily Online, I finally stumbled over this nugget:
trade surplus with the United States in the January-February
period shrank by 27 percent to $20.9 billion. "
Being as it's a bit early
(and the caffeine is late showing up for work this morning) it
takes a second or two to stitch all this into a meaningful
picture, but the bullet points in a PowerPoint might be
China's Exports are up
47.5% in February
China's imports are up
China's trade surplus
with the US is DOWN 27% which means...
China will be buying
less US debt.
Oh...that makes sense, now,
doesn't it? China had been selling the US goods and
accumulating our debt paper. Now, they seem to be
importing more from the US which means less paper will be
Now, I don't claim to be a
whiz-bang economist (I think of myself more as an economically
literate business writer) but just reading the articles it seems
like China is deliberately managing down its relationship with
US which leads to the biggest question of all: Who will
buy the mountains of US debt which need to be pedaled in order
to fund things like a massive government debt which the Obama
administration seems determined one way ors the other to add
onto with health care insurance?
This all continues to weave
into an emergent economic problem which no one is talking about,
but it boils down to "If China buys less debt, and if people are
going to be hornswaggled into buying US government debt for
their 401(k) accounts, what must necessarily happen to
We've already seen this week that interest rates are up on
short-term Treasuries to their highest levels in 6-months.
The dynamics of a
'recovery' generally include a lot of new business formation
activity and part & parcel of this is banks being 'loose'
(relatively speaking) with their small business loans.
People I talk to aren't seeing that yet.
MainStreamMedia has more or less unquestioningly reported
that the unemployment rate is under 10%, but I don't see many
people questioning how it is in the last year that the civilian
labor force in America has managed to shrink by a million
Moreover, in 2007, the
number of people employed in the US is listed at
146,047,000. In the latest month, the number of people
working was 138,641,000. You do the math.
Sometime between now and a
week from Friday, whole national outlook going forward ought to
resolve into better focus as we will have new trade figures out
tomorrow, our assessment of port traffic next week, maybe some
new rail traffic figures, a forecast on when healthcare will be
done and we'll be past options expiration on the 19th.
In the meantime, small
mysteries, like "How much of China's trade with the US is new
business and how much is resupply?" will have to keep monkeymind
occupied. What little data there is suggests that recovery
is still a long, long ways in our future.
Related: Trader Bart's
reconstructed M3 shows that despite all the pump-priming,
there's still a terrible mess in M3. Even though there has
been nominal growth in M1 (cash) the problem is that velocity of
money seems to be decreasing which means less turnover and that
means less economic activity. So if
change rate for M3/M3b is declining at, oh 4 percent annually
here lately, there's still a deflationary tone to the Big
You should be able to see
why the democons are desperate for a make-work/make-spend bill
like healthcare - obviously thinking that will solve things.
That's because the previous administration played out most all
the war spending cards....and massive public works projects are
hard to come by let alone cost justify.
D1 Vs. D2
Last week in Peoplenomics,
we got into the question of "When will this really be a
Depression?" in which we got into the rhyming of the times and
such. An alert reader
found an article this week that's very much on point called
"What do the new data tell us? Quick read - lots of
charts, well worth considering.
Trade Wars, Redux
If you're looking for the
rhyme on 1930's global tariffs, how about
Brazil which has slapped a tariff on a wide range of American
goods because of US cotton subsidies.
I keep telling people that
all we need to do is tariff outsourced IT & customer service
jobs which have fled the US by the 10's of thousands for places
like the Philippines and India and we could fix the job
Wonder how long it will
take for IT and CSR jobs to get subsidized like farmers got in
the previous depression? Could be a while yet...
Something [else is] Fishy
It was only a couple of
days back - maybe last week - that I told you about the report
that claimed mercury was found in virtually all fish being
tested in the US and while some give the reason as 'coal plants'
that doesn't hold water since the tests included fish in
coal-free zones like Washington and Oregon so unless we're
talking Chinese coal plant plumes...
But now we see how the
Obama administration has closed comment on a
federal plan to hijack American fishing rights in waters that
include oceans, coastal areas, the Great Lakes and even
The way this is developing
is in "zoning uses" of these waters.
It doesn't take very much
'conspiracy theory' to see the pattern here that's developed
over the past several dozen years. first, the "public"
gets excluded from large areas of "public" land such that what
were once 'rights' become privileges which are sold for user
and/or license fees.
And now, the government's
about to go after fishing... I read once that some huge
fraction of the population goes fishing...over 76% of Americans
have at one time or another drown worms in their quest for
record bass, trout, pike, or just as a reason to sit out on a
lake and suck down a six pack and some sandwiches. Ah....
Definition of the Day:
What's the difference between a socialist government and a
communist government? The socialist government doesn't
have all the guns yet.
Lemme see here: I
think there was an article in the JPost this week that said Iran
had less than eight weeks to give up its nuclear ambitions OR...
and this morning we see that
Iran's president says the US is playing a 'game' in Afghanistan
- creating - then fighting 'terrorists'. But at the
same time Veep Joe Biden says the US is 'determined' to stop a
nuclear armed Iran.
Place you bets in the
office 'war' pool accordingly.
Ring Around the Congo
I didn't have time to drop
by the recent Lunar and Planetary Science conference here in
a BBC reporter did and there's a dandy picture of a 30-40 km
wide crater-looking area in DR Congo.
More to the point is the
little chart of largest impact craters with the most recent
pegged at about 35.7 million years ago. Kinda makes you
wonder "When's the next one due?"
Also out of BBC's science
coverage comes word that
the Large Hadron Collider will have to be shut down for a year
to address design flaws.
So, until the tweaks get
made, I'll just have to limit my physics experiments to 3.5
trillion electron volts, I guess, or finish up the 20 TEV
collider I've got penciled in for the west pasture here at the
ranch...that project is on hold until I figure out how to borrow
$1.6 trillion on my bank card.
Zillion Dollar Marketing Idea
Don't know as you've
the world's oldest "flying car" is going on the auction block
shortly in Atlanta. Not that the thing really flies,
but here's my plan: We sell it to Toyota as a marketing
Me? I'm still saving
money for one of those Oscar Meyer weinermobiles.
I think the old saying is
"aging ain't so bad, and it beats the alternative..."
Oldest woman in the US is 114 and lives in Iowa. A
woman in Georgia (the country)
to be 130.
Yeah, I know, old news...
--- snip and save section
Staring at the Blender
Back in 2002 when I was
still in the 'corporate game' [high education software
space] I made a decision to opt out and live in the 'outback'
for a while. Part of that was based on some extremely
long-term values in the predictive linguistics project which had
shown several significant hits such that by fall 2002 we were
able to see that over time, the best place to be might not be in
a Big City.
While the decision was
perhaps too early, I figure better to be years early than
minutes late on this sort of thing. In particular I'm now
looking ahead a ways to around the middle of July because the
last HPH SOTTC report pointed to that July 4-7 kind of range and
readers keep asking "What's that about?" Here's a typical
I discovered you & Cliff High
through Coast to Coast. I live in Calgary, Alberta. Thought
you might be interested in a little look at our current
economic situation. I’ve ran my current business since the
late 1990’s, before that I was self employed since 1987, it
seems like our economy mirrors your economic reporting of
continual decline. My business has suffered more than a 75%
drop in volume over the last few years with no real sign of
improvement on the horizon. I have talked with many other
business people in the same boat. One might say this is the
result of the boom/bust oil & gas industry however it really
seems to be much wider than that this time around. My
business was very successful prior to the oil/gas boom & yes
it did ramp up with the boom, but has dropped far more than
the oil/gas industry can account for. People are watching
what they spend so as to save for tough times. We can all
feel those times upon us. Other parts of Canada are in much
worse shape financially.
The main reason for this email
is a linguistics issue. I have July 4th 2010 marked as a
date Cliff High said is a very important date. I believe he
said it could be (although I realize he was speculating) a
Revolution Date Turning Point. A Revolution would have to be
under way long before any turning point. With that in mind I
have come across a couple of articles which may point to the
start of this type of activity.
The first article involves: We
the People Vs. The IRS
The second an article is calling
for a National Strike April 15th to 18th, 2010
I believe you to be the real
deal. I am an absolute believer in I calls m as I see’s m
and you in my mind are on the executive of that club. So my
question to you George is (I’m not asking you to endorse or
decline support here) simply is this something possibly
showing up in the linguistics? There is no doubt there is a
full out war on the U.S. Constitution by the PTB. The
Constitution is the one thing I can see that could break
open the flood gates of a general populous up rising & more
& more people do seem to be waking up these days. So this
would also tie in with the September 2011 beginning of the
end for the MSM as we all know where they will stand on any
issue between the people & the PTB.
Now here’s an interesting
thought for you! I have seen numerous reports both on the
boob tube & in print that claim that the Soviet Union was
brought down by broadcasting TV images of descent activities
into the controlled areas. This in my opinion is what the
PTB are afraid of with our free (of PTB censorship
controlled) internet. If something was to start the internet
would likely be the catalyst of the people rather than for
the PTB. After all if you have internet access what in the
world do you need MSM for? You don’t! Your daily reports
have provided me & countless others with valuable insight &
info MSM does not provide us with Since turning off the TV &
discovering your site & others I find I am able to pick n
choose what I consider important rather then what they
choose to let me see or feed me and the best part George is
my hunger for the truth has done nothing but grow in leaps &
I look forward to your daily
report including your humor.
Thanks for the attaboys and all but
I really don't know what to expect come July 4-on. Yes, it
looks like a change in the 'revolution' meme, but that doesn't
mean that government will just stop bailouts, stop trying to
seize fishing rights (from States) and it doesn't mean taxes
will go down. All that stuff will presumably keep going
forward on momentum.
What we may notice, between now and
then seems to me to be likely something that will
economically polarize the public. In other words,
there are lots of retirement-aged people who are still working
because they lost a good chunk of their life savings in the
dotcom bubble collapse. Does enough people (think millions
here) getting seriously pissed at losing it all over again when
this market lets go have 'revolutionary implications'?
So it might easily be that kind of
thing - the internal realization that something's going on and
things are not all as they appear - that could turn millions
into partisans of a 'revolutionary mindset'. It could just
be something as simple as waking up on the morning of July 13th
(to throw a dart) and find everyone at Starbucks is talking
about 'revolutionary change' and using the word Depression
freely...that kind of thing.
In the linguistics, we're in a
building period till then so if you notice the tensions rising
around you, take it all in stride. The key thing to do is
let all the change happen, watch it closely, figure out where
it's going, and then figure out a way to stay off the radar, out
of the crowds, and have your own plans to work through whatever
changes come along.
Seeing the Bigger Picture is the
hardest part. Tim Erickson (who seems to have fixed the
checkout for his book The
Big Sleep BTW) writes a semi-fictional plot about how
indeed, there may be something akin to 2012 coming, but maybe
sooner than that and maybe world governments are acting like
they do because there's a secret 'getting ready' plan underway.
Or, applying Occam's Razor a bit,
maybe this is just how global competition governments and
corporations work when we run out of frontiers and new lands to
go conquer/subjugate. Kind of like turning on the blender
and seeing what comes out of it.
Obviously one person is not going to
be able to do much - I mean besides watch the blender every day
(which is what UrbanSurvival does) and every once in a while
make some educated guesses as to what the next couple of
ingredients might be that get heaped into the global blender
(which is what Peoplenomics does) and looking far in advance
Cliff's work looks at trends in language which seem to reveal
"the arm grabbing ingredients seems to be going that way around
Key thing, best I can tell, is not
to get too invested in any particular outcome. Do I
respect the tax protesters that want to stand up to IRS?
Sure. Do I want to do that? Nope - I report every
dime pay my taxes so I can work on my agenda. It's like
paying protection money. Do I respect people who protest
the Wars as morally wrong? Sure, but at the same time,
watching the blender whirl, the wars perform an economic
function for which there's little substitute.
Maybe I need to watch more
television, get a little more fluoride. But being
unplugged (just enough to allow a nice sense of detachment to
creep in) is almost relaxing in comparison to throwing in with
True Believers in this cause, or that. The Truthers, the
Birthers, the Healthcare Promoters, the Fishing Rights thieves,
the wars, the Madison Avenue hypesters and the Hollywood bling &
bullshit is just more stuff being tossed into the blender.
There may be a lot of glory to be
had in fighting the good fight and all, but at the moment, I'm
trying to figure out how to make more crops come out of the
ground this year, what do we name the three new goats born
yesterday, and issues like that.
They're not as 'big' or as
'patriotic' or whatever other label you want to toss in, but the
East Texas Outback is a fine place from which to watch the
blender and for now, that seems to suit me. We've got
bigger problems than these coming later this year.
Tuesday March 9, 2010
Divining the Next Big Move
A couple of people
including our sage reader in Luxembourg have pointed to a fairly
new market indicator that's telling us 'thumbs down" about
economic recovery prospects. It's referred to as the 'first
principal component of 44 indicators" and although it
briefly popped to the upside, more recently it has taken on a
decidedly bearish cast.
While a more thorough
discussion of the indicator is here, it suggests that we're at a
key inflection point for markets - something discussed
with Peoplenomics subscribers last weekend.
Even if you don't
subscribe, here's one of the tidbits from last week's report:
The release of the
Wizard of Oz came just about 10-years after the 1929 market
peak...and here we are, just about smack-dab at the 10-year mark
after the Year 2000 market peak and what comes out? Alice
Not that history replays or
repeats precisely, but it does rhyme often enough
that a serious student of the market might be asking "Gee, where
are things in the great blender of time?"
The parallels to the 1930's
Depression ("D1" around here) are not precisely the same as here
in Depression 2.0 ("D2"). but a lot of that has to do with the
schizophrenic way this economy has 'come undone' compared with
the previous experience.
As I've told you before, on
topics like the banking crisis, in the D1 event, the results of
bank failures were both personal and immediate. Here in
D2, the effects have been pushed out over time (e.g. moderated)
by FDIC and what was an immediate implosion (more or less) in D1
is a Grand Slow-Motion Collapse in D2.
If you look at my
"Aggregate Index" (bottom
of the UrbanSurvival daily page) you'll see that the market
is within inches of either breakingf furiously to the upside -
which would happen with a hundred or so more Dow points, or
failing that, collapse into a heap if we drop down a few
hundred. It's really quite graceful how this all works
out, but the closer we get to the one-year anniversary of
"bottom pickers" calling the 2009 bottom, the more my sense is
that things will end badly.
Seems like everyone's got a
way to play the 'big move' when it comes. You'll know it's
here when you wake up one morning and and I'm screaming about
the futures being down hundreds of points and how it's time to
get to the lifeboats. But, we're not there - at least this
Wall Street Cheat Sheet's interview with commodities legend Jim
Rogers is an interesting contrarian piece, if you've thought
about going long the Euro. My tastes are a bit more on
the practical side. The way I figure it, all the "money"
(paper) and even gold & silver may not be as important as a
block of .22 ammo or MRE's & a tent in our future. Such
things are "money" only so long as the key infrastructure that
everyone seems to take for granted are in place.
Tyler Durden report over at ZeroHedge notes that SPY volume is
back to 2010 lows as equity mutual funds run out of cash" so
we may not have long to wait for the downside resolution of
With all this in mind, it's
little surprise to see a headline this morning like "Stock
futures fall on 1-year anniversary of Low." Some
things are just far too predictable...
Papieren Bitte? Department
The "National Terror Alert"
site has an article about how a new
"Worker ID card at center of Immigration Plan." Vee
vill haff ORDER!
Lest you think the rush to
chip humans (one way or the other) is overdone, note that in the
UK (which you remember recently revealed they are chipping
now has a plan to chip 'dangerous dogs'.
I've got a couple of
working theories on this stuff: One is that there are no
dangerous dogs, only dangerous owners. The second is that
if no-fly lists and chipping immigrants was such a fine plan,
how come lawmakers ,don't make themselves subject to the kind of
"just-us" they seem so eager to dish out (heap is maybe a
better word) on the rest of us?
I know, I know, I'm just to
egalitarian to understand what being "on top' means, in the
world of power, payoffs, and politics.
Summer of Hell
Remember the linguistics
about this time a year ago about the 'summer of hell'?
Looking to me more and more like we may have been a year early
on that call. The good news was we didn't really get it
last year, but the bad news is that when predictive linguistics
show something more than a year ahead of time, it's generally as
bad as the linguistics - or worse.
So, it's with a certain
sense of trepidation that I noticed Jane's (of Defence
publications) is talking about "Greece
bracers for a hot summer of discontent."
Looks like the 'revolution'
meme will be spreading globally since so many people are still
blind to the real up/down (or have/have-not) paradigm, and still
buy into the flagrantly absurd notion of right/left political
freedom, strictly controlled by the two major parties that eat
99% of what's at the corporate trough.
Everyone's a Terrorist?
A recent Paul Joseph Watson
Shooting: Now Everyone's a terrorist"...subhead: Birther,
truther, drug war critic, tea partier, libertarian, liberal –
any and all dissent is “violent extremism" is a must read.
One upon a time, America
used to honor dissent. Now, we moving to jail it.
Am I kidding? Read
"Enemy Belligerent, Interrogation, Detention, and Prosecution
Act of 2010" and get back to me. The key concept is if
you're considered an 'enemy belligerent' you no longer have
rights. Which I guess takes them out of 'rights' and puts
them into privileges" doesn't it?
Whoa Joe Department
While US Veep Joe
"Biden sees 'moment of opportunity for Mid-East peace" I
find myself reaching for the ViseGrips again to pinch myself:
With Israel planning more building in the West Bank, what's he
You can buy a good
assortment of ViseGrips from Amazon for about $70. See:
Vice-Grip 5-Pc. Welding Tool Set
I find them especially useful on mornings like this when about
every other story has me pinching myself.
No offense to the "Don't
Crush That Dwarf, Hand Me the Pliers" contingent.
But that does set up our
Back to Nukes
North Korea is back on the nuclear development path stating that
the latest US-South Korean exercises are threatening.
So much for six party talks...
More Quakes Ahead
A reader wants to know:
How come you have not been
talking about all the oddities with the sun recently?? There
is another filament which may cause a Hyder flare if it
collapses and there are strange radio waves going across the
sun as well?
I am FAR from any type of expert
on this but from what I am reading these things are very
rare!!! Maybe you could comment on this?
Not much to say: You
have the link to
www.spaceweather.com and I assume you know the Chilean quake
followed a Hyder filament collapse by a few days...and I assume
you have seen the USGS site? And you know
a Chilean city moved 10-feet in the last one?
Linguistically, we're not
even halfway through the quake damage/headlines/fears due over
the balance of the year...so all things in time and I'm in no
hurry for 4-5 more Great Quakes, thanks.
Don't wanna be
repetitious...just not worried about another Great Quake for
another week or so...that should give the filaments time to
collapse and flares to pop out...even that's no timing
Harsh On Pot
If you ever come to Texas
for a visit, might want to read up on drug laws around these
parts. Here's a recent story about
a fellow up in Tyler getting handed a 35-year jail term for
having 4.6 ounces of weed plus a scale. Because
of priors and being within a "drug-free" zone, this fellow age
54 seems destined to spend the rest of his life in jail for the
I figure at what?
$20-grand a year to feed and house an inmate times 35 years,
Texas just spent $700,000 for this 4.6 ounces. But then,
jailing people is a big industry in these parts. Ummm...pencils
to $2.4 million a pound, I think...
"We just hope [Texas
Department of Criminal Justice] can free up room for this menace
to society; maybe the state can release a child molester or
serial arsonist to find a cell for Wooten,"
Houston Press scoffed in a Friday blog post.
Harsh on Beer
Unfortunately, Texas wisdom
on how to spend resources isn't an isolated case. Take the
one going on up in Philadelphia where
"Troopers raid popular bars for unlicensed beers." Oh,
sure, the vitamin B-laden brews were all bought proper-like from
state warehouses. What's missing is some of the brewskis
hadn't paid a $75 dollar licensing fee to the state.
Say, am I the only one who
smells that bad stuff that comes out of the back-ends of male
Colorado Versus Amazon
Speaking of government
Amazon has pulled the plug on its Associates in Colorado because
the state is trying to get web entrepreneurs to collect sales
Colorado is trying to
strong-arm online compliance ignoring that Amazon is ultimately
the beneficial entity and the sales is not done with the
Associates - they just get what amounts to a referral fee.
So yeah, you can still
order Amazon goods in Colorado with no sales tax, it's just the
geniuses in state government have decided to tax the little guys
who were bird-dogging for them - out of existence in a way no
other state has done.
I can hardly wait for
Colorado to start imposing a sales tax on all other small
business entrepreneurs who get commissions. A prime
example of how to turn a recession into a depression - just
watch this kind of non-thinking propagate among the economically
Governments have a way of
solving every problem but the right one. Tax
foreign provided services sold within the state! OMG
do I have to explain everything?
--- snip and save section
New Reading Materials
A couple of new ebooks in
the wings, which I'm pleased to share with you. One of
these is a new ebook (57 pages) from Dick ("Texas Book of the
Dead") Browning that takes a look at how a family in the Dallas
area might find life should the modern infrastructure taken so
for-granted fail. Interesting ideas to consider, since at
some point in a collapse scenario, people would likely flee big
cities and head for the hills. And what would the folks in
the hills do?
The second ebook is longer
(244 pages) and is called "The Deep Sleep" by Tim Erickson.
The cover for this one is also tempting:
This one is also in the $10
range ($9.99 is close, eh?) and
the download page is here.
And, as long as we're on
the topic of surviving 'worst case' (and how we got here)
James Wesley Rawles's' (survivalblog.com) "How to Survive the End of the World as We Know It: Tactics, Techniques, and Technologies for Uncertain Times"
is more of a workbook with lots of contingency planning ideas.
Taken as a whole,
these three books are a pretty good intro to the "prepper
mindset".. Browning's book is a fictionalized "how it
might be experienced" level, Erickson's is an extremely well
documented (with new clips) summary of how the national hypnosis
works, and Rawles' book is a practical "How do we plan for it?"
By the way, Rawles's' site
has a dandy article on it
this morning about "the Looter Mentality" - something which
has always fascinated me. Every time there's a major
flood, earthquake, or other 'disturbance in the social balance'
people start stealing which is a sad commentary on just how thin
the veil of civilization really is.
A practical question to be
asked (not a happy question, at that) is "If 9-11 emergency
service stop working, how are you going to behave, how are
others going to behave, and will their behavior terminate or
shorten your lifespan?
UrbanSurvival's place in
all this has been oriented toward the economic, and in
particular the way there's a cycle to how all this goes, and
until there gets to be some genuine light at the end of the
tunnel, we'll keep adding to our library of information, skill
building, and sharing what we can about the value of (as the Boy
Scouts motto puts it) "being prepared".
Also Worth a Read
Tony Ring (not running
earthquake data at the moment) has a fine post on his site under
the title "Illumination on Illuminism" you might find
"Spent about six hours
of my life listening to the DVD lectures sold by Nassim
Haramein. I got interested because he is a published, peer
reviewed, bonafide brilliant physicist. I think the
brightest I have heard speak in my lifetime. It is really
ironic that I bought the series and listened to it because I
was looking for a happy distraction from the daily gloom and
doom all around the net. Boy, did I get a surprise. The
first three hours delivered wonderful, amazing new views of
physics and the universe just as I expected. Then the last
three hours tied that physics straight into the
Mason/Illuminati cabal and what it all means to the future
of the planet. It’s like I can’t achieve escape velocity
from this issue no matter where I turn! Gaaaak!
Monday March 8, 2010
Crunch Week for Markets
I mentioned to Peoplenomics subscribers that the rest of this
month could be really critical for the markets since so many
people were 'buying at the bottom" a year ago when the market
was 4,000 points lower than it is now. Under IRS rules,
long term gains come after "more than a year" which most traders
take to be a year plus one day, or two, depending on how good
your legal budget is and the odds of being caught.
The real pile-on didn't happen (as inferred by volume in March
of 2009) until around the 18th & 19th, but as trading opens this
morning, there's a big question about which way the market will
pop. Robin Landry's latest to his colleagues 'in the
business' lays out the problem this way:
The market action since the top
in the Dow on Jan 19th has certainly been anything but easy
to analyze. On a 90 minute chart you get a clear 5 waves
down but the rally off the Feb 5th low is approaching the
limits for a Minor wave 2 rally. Unless the market turns
down decisively in the next couple days then I believe the
wave count is that we are in the 3rd zigzag off the Marc 09
low and headed to new highs between 10780-11241 to complete
P2. For those more technically inclined the count off the
March 09 low is as follows. The first zigzag W topped on
6/11/09, the decline to the low on 7/08/09 was an X wave.
The long rally to the 1/19/10 high was the second zigzag
labeled Y. The decline to the recent low on 2/5/10 is
another X wave and we are now going up in the final zigzag Z
to new rally highs over the next few months. The most likely
time frame for the top is the April-May area. To say we are
at a major inflection point, and the next couple days are
important is an understatement. Remember the evidence IMHO
still says we are in a bear market rally with a major
decline to follow once this rally ends. The market action
over the past few weeks is indicative of topping action on
declining volume. As I have said many times over the years I
have been writing this market update, Technical Analysis is
like having a 2 watt bulb (Nightlight) when everyone else is
completely in the dark. It gives one a little better
insight, but sometimes the patterns are still more difficult
to read. This has been one of those times. The good news is
when the market turns down and the count clears up it should
stay that way for some time. As always questions and
comments are welcome. I will answer as time allows.
Not too much in the way of numbers this week...wholesale
inventories Wednesday and the balance of trade on Thursday, but
nothing to get too excited about...maybe retail sales Friday?
Whatever pulls your chain...
Consumer Debt report still showed revolving debt is decreasing
although at a slower rate, so any recovery in the economy may be
elusive for months to come.
Futures up. But only a tad.
Another Killer Quake
Just as the world was settling down from the quakes in Haiti,
Chile, and the 7.0 in the southern Japanese islands recently,
along comes a
5.9 shaker in Turkey
which has killed at least 41 so far.
Think the Middle East will see any progress in peace talks?
Not likely since
Israel has approved more construction in the contested West bank
Battle For Pakistan
What I label the battle for
Pakistan may be starting as a suicide bomber has killed 11
people in Lahore. Yeah, Afghanistan is real estate, as
is Iraq with its oil (and elections this weekend) but Pakistan
has something even more dear to terrorists - nukes.
US citizen purported to be an al Qaeda spokesman has reportedly
been arrested, but officials are being tight-lipped about
details for obvious reasons. Significance: More
And just as he was about to head for Kabul,
Iran's president is
reported touting that country's first cruise missile...and
canceled the trip. On the other hand, Iranian media
says US SecDef Gates is in Afghanistan visiting.
Best Laid Plans
US efforts to move a base in Okinawa have been turned down by
floodwaters in much of eastern Australia this weekend.
Amazing video of it here.
About to Be Toast
Say, I know you may think global warming has been a somewhat
overdone deal, but here's a report that should make the hairs
stand up a bit:
"Methane frozen beneath Arctic seabed destabilising, scientists
warn". Yep, that could be a biggie...
Another Clinton Fan
Notice how Venezuela's Hugo Chavez is
calling Hillary a "blond Condoleezza"? Tisk, tisk and
even more so because...
I'm sure somehow it must be my fault.
--- snip and save section ---
The Chemtrail Argument
First email to greet me this morning dealt with the idea of
PROBE - the Private Responsible Organization Bringing Effect -
which I discussed last week.
"I just read
your public article, and I will quote you:
“1. Chemistry & Physics: Given that the content
of chemtrails is fairly well documented. Some of the
chemicals involved have been noted by Wikipedia as:
versions of the chemtrail conspiracy theory have
circulated through internet websites and radio programs.
In some of the accounts, the chemicals are described as
barium and aluminum salts, polymer fibers, thorium, or
silicon carbide. In other accounts it is alleged the
skies are being seeded with electrical conductive
materials as part of a massive electromagnetic
superweapons program based around the High Frequency
Active Auroral Research Program (HAARP). "
guess you did NOT read the Wikipedia article because the
WHOLE of its contents have eluded you. Hundreds of
thousands of scientists and military members and anyone with
half an education in high school physics ALL agree that
chemtrails are paranoid nonsense. And there is NO
documentation or agreement from ANY scientists that support
the assertion that chemtrails consist of thorium or fibers
or whatever. None Zero Nada ZIP Zilch… the only
“proofs” you have are the rantings of uneducated conspiracy
theorists or fakirs claiming to be legit! You have NOTHING
that corroborates anything about chemtrails outside of 2nd
or 3rd hand here-say (rantings). Period.
contrails, not chemtrails. But – well, I suppose I am just
part of the HUGE and VAST CONSPIRACY THAT SOMEHOW WANTS TO
HURT OUR FELLOW NEIGHBORS, CHILDEN, and SPOUSES… honest
to God, you are such a dolt when it comes to this
nonsense. Or should I say, a first class sucker.
Like tens of
thousands of military members are purposefully engaged in
the logistics and operations of spraying bad things onto
their own families… you should be ashamed.
And just like
with Global Warming… which you took hook line and sinker
when that was big with conspiracists… that, and chemtrails,
do not exist. But, I guess w/my scientific and military
background is just part of the BIG VAST EXPANSIVE ILLOGICAL
EVIL CONSPIRACY TOO. And I suppose I’m just trying to
DISCREDIT YOU with I write to you with these criticisms.
George… you do
a great job with economic news and ideas… stick to it. When
you venture into stupid ignorances, you discredit yourself.
Let's back up here and start from the top. I assume you'll agree
of substances into the atmosphere has been done for decades
in the form of cloud seeding to cause precipitation, right?
Why is further injection for other things (HAARP efficiency
maybe?) so hard to conceive of?
I assume you've read
the famous Eastlund patent on weather modification using a
HAARP-like system? Or, the patents that relate to
generation of an Artificial Ionospheric Mirror which can be
tilted for aiming purposes, but heating the atmosphere?
Say, you are aware of the patent covering a "process
for absorbing ultraviolet radiation in the atmosphere by
dispersing melanin, its analogs, or derivatives into the
atmosphere..."? And these are the patents that are out
in the open. Wanna bet on some being issued, but not
public for national security reasons? Probably close to
HAARP is this patent on
ground global tomography. Conveniently works in the
2-15 MHz range...
Is the US Government at least STUDYING aerosols aloft?
Absolutely, unequivocally YES. There's been so much leaked
on the net that the government has an entire website on topic
under the heading "Atmospheric Science Program" (ASP) which it
is claimed is trying to assess climate impacts of manmade
"The current focus of the
program is aerosol radiative forcing of climate: aerosol
formation and evolution and aerosol properties that affect
direct and indirect influences on climate and climate
Does the site admit to any spraying? Not that I have found
- yet. On the other hand, a predecessor program, the
government had plans from the Tropospheric Aerosol Program Plan
(2001) to inject what's called an "inert tracer" into plumes of
urban areas and power plants!
of a quantitative understanding of aerosol formation in
urban and power plant plumes will be greatly enhanced by
the addition of two additional elements,
of an inert tracer, and synchronized (to the in-situ
aircraft) overflights by an aircraft with the ability to
remotely sense the vertical distribution of aerosols.
Release of tracers
concurrent with the experiment allows a much more
quantitative assessment of the rates of transformation
processes to be developed, as losses of substances
from the plume, and dilution can be accounted for by
ratioing concentrations to the concentration of the inert
tracer. The technology for releasing tracers from such point
sources and for measuring them from aircraft platforms is
well developed and available for use in TAP. (Koffi et al.,
And what is the 'inert tracer" we wonder? And the release
mechanism for urban plumes? Not specified.
Is it a stretch that a nonpublic extension of this program could
involve spraying (to study dispersal rates under various
conditions)? Well, that's just a tiny step to take from
what's already a full-blown study of aerosols and so to me it
comes down to the question "How much do you trust your
We know from the literature that governments have in the past
conducted massive experiments on civilian populations with
(among other things) chemical weapons without bothering to tell
anyone about it. No chance to opt out and no reason to
think that has changed. The whole idea of 'secret' tests
means 'no public accountability' at its core.
A specific example: The UK's
of Defence turned large parts of the country into a giant
laboratory to conduct a series of secret germ warfare tests
on the public. A government report just released
provides for the first time a comprehensive official history
of Britain's biological weapons trials between 1940 and
Many of these tests involved
releasing potentially dangerous chemicals and
micro-organisms over vast swaths of the population without
the public being told. "
Right there, in black and white in a mainstream British paper.
And 2002 BTW.
Now, like it or not, I don't find it a stretch to think that the
US either did (or may be doing) something similar...but as luck
would have it, there are enough people of the "Ain't true if it
isn't on XYZ media..." that similar programs are not out of the
Mind you, I do not claim chemtrails are 'real', however,
governments have shown repeatedly that they don't value the
lives of all citizens equally. And lest you think it's
'out of the question', I'd offer as my centerpiece of US
the 1930's Tuskegee experiments where syphilis was deliberated
given to black men without their knowledge and then untreated to
see how the disease would develop. In the name of
This little horror of history was covered up from about 1932
until 1972 before it finally 'leaked' to the mainstream.
And then there were the servicemen who were deliberately exposed
to atomic tests and the list goes on....
So, given the number of patents on weather modification, RF
propagation, and other suggestive developments like the aerosols
measurement projects, no, I don't think chemtrails are
completely 'out of the question' at all. Could they be
partly an artifact of reformulation of jet fuel to make it safer
(anti-wicking)? Nope...seems more to it than that.
But since I've done a little reading and research on the topic,
if the government were to announce that "Yeah, we've done
spraying to test this or that..." (especially if connected
with something like global warming or improving the aim of HAARP
or some yet-to-be-disclosed project) would I be surprised?
Not in the slightest.
Read what I wrote carefully: "the chemtrail conspiracy theory"
and "In some of the accounts...". Stop projecting...like
many other topics, I'm in the research mode on this with no
predisposition to outcome of the research - which is the only
way honest result are ever obtained. Take the IPCC,
If, in your judgment this constitutes stupid ignorances on my
part, I guess, so be it. Could be that's a two way street.
I try to strive for an open mind, but not so open that my brain
of China looks more like a big kite than a UFO to me, but go
have a look yourself.
Monday Management Notes
Don't know if you've seen how Google is continuing to press
Microsoft's Office franchise with something called
DocVerse. A plug-in
that lets Office work with docs. ppt's, xls's, etc 'in the
Once upon a time, a long while ago, I observed during my quest for
'truth' in economics, that the PowersThatBe, the talking heads on
the teeve, and the other information sources that actively engage in
the programming of humans not to think, had conveniently swept
several trillions of dollars that disappeared in the Internet
Bubble's bursting (since spring 2000) under the rug. Surely,
it wasn't unnoticed by the thousands of people who called brokers
and said "Where is my money?" "Gone, but hang in there as
you're a long term investor!" was about all they heard back.
So one of our
charts for Peoplenomics subscribers oughta be widely circulated - it
shows that if you line up the peak of the Dow in January 2000 with
the peak in early September of 1929, we're on a very very close
replay track. Much closer than even the chart shows if you
were to back out inflation, and put in the effects of 1929
deflation, but that'd be real work, and I'm sort of lazy if the
truth be told.