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October 24, 2009 09:20 AM CDT New
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Dead Banks Walking,
I don't normally write a Saturday column - having promised
myself more 'down time' but, like swearing off eating red meat,
a promise more easily made than kept, I found myself tossing and
turning most of the night after one of the late night radio
newscasts announced seven more banks had been closed by the
FDIC. Whether they've found a rich uncle to fund their
refi's of banks isn't the issue (you're the rich 'uncle' - as in
Sam - by the way) is not the point so much as the sheer number
of branches that have been reorganized and absorbed since
last July's IndyMac debacle. This weeks listing:
are all kinds of numbers that can be used here: The number
of banks reorg'ed since January 1 this year is 106, the number
in the last calendar year is 116, the number from (including)
IndyMac is 128. The number of branches impacted is
3,752. A mere 21-branches were impacted this week.
we've been writing about for what? 6-9 months now?
The linguistics turn that
www.halfpasthuman.com has been tracking for October 25/26 is
nearly in vie as processing continues.
so you understand how this stuff works in a very general sense
the October 'turn' was spotted in the last several data runs and
may be as much as 85% economic in nature. But now that
we're getting close, Cliff and Igor have been watching the data
coming back from the forum scouring spiders which are sending in
snips of interest to the servers, where in turn they are
distilled and analyzed.
the latest from Cliff is:
"latest immediacy data shows it as occurring at
5:12 am 10-26-2009 (time zones are a bitch so let us just
say east coast time) and will likely be wrong by about 6
hours as it may actually be 'effective' on the paris
meridian (the old rose line).
a small visibility spike occurs at 7:02 am on the 26th
so damn early Monday morning...."
to get up a little earlier than usual Monday to see how it looks
'going by'. It's always of interest not only to watch
something in the 'rickety time machine' pop into reality, but
more interesting to is do some propagation mapping.
that? Oh, you know: You can get a sense of who is
playing 'follow the leader" and who the real leaders are when
the Monday story hits (if/when it does at all - since we could
as it arises out of 'globalpop', I am not really expecting it to
be a USA-centered event. Maybe something in Asia (huge
mega quake or financial lockup - something like that - or heaven
forbid Israel takes out the Bushir reactor complex.)
only will Cliff & Igor get to see the change of language wash
through the internet, but I will be able to see how the story
pops and see how it goes from usually only one or two 'first
hand' media to the rest of the MSM and then into the
blogosphere. I figure if the timing's right, it ought to
be on the tongues of about half the world's population by say
Tuesday noon US time if we've got the timing clues right.
Middle East Nerves
reader asks me to note what's going on in the Middle East this
FEMA just happened to have an
“Exercise” going on in New York on the morning of 9-11. The
Air Force just happened to have an “Exercise” going on up
North so that a resistance could not be mounted for the
“hijackers” on 9-11. Now the US and Israel are mounting an
“Exercise” in Israel (Started last Thursday). Looks more
than a little ominous in terms of timing.
“The exercise will conclude with a live fire drill in which
U.S. and Israeli forces attempt to shoot down 10 incoming
warheads.” “The U.S. has brought its full arsenal of
missile-defense systems to Israel for the exercise,
including 24 Patriot missile launchers and a Navy destroyer
armed with the advanced Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense
A live drill, shooting 10 live
warheads? What do you suppose that would cost? Why would
“we” discharge 10 Patriot missiles for a training session?
dunno, but I use real shells in my 12-gauge because the blanks
don't break the clay pigeons...but no worries: It'll all be over
in a flash, LOL.
note posted on Saturday I made reference to the curious (to me
anyway) passing of a UN worker in Vienna.
from the CTBTO's press office arrived this morning:
"Contrary to what you reported, there is no connection
between the death of the staff member and the Iran talks at
the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). The staff
member, whose death is now being investigated, was employed
by the Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive
Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO) as a processing
engineer. The CTBTO is a separate organization from that of
the IAEA, and has never had any role in the Iran
negotiations. Therefore, media reports and blogs linking the
dead CTBTO staff member with the Iran talks are baseless and
untrue. In addition, the other employee whose death is
referred to in your blog, was not working at the CTBTO. "
sent a request for further details which will be posted as they
become available. (corrected section
follows in gray)
received a very touching email this morning from a colleague of
Timothy Hampton who died this week under mysterious
circumstances in Vienna. Hampton worked for the
Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty Organization of the UN and his
colleague reported he was NOT the kind of man to suicide - had a
new baby and more. With his colleague's kind permission:
"Since about a year I am following your urbansurvival blog
on a daily basis. When I read over the note "Silenced? -
British nuclear expert falls 120 ft to his death in Vienna"
I had a really strange feeling, since I have a good friend
matching the description in the short Telegraph article.
There are not many Brits working in the relatively small
CTBTO. I tried to find more info by searching through
Austrian Newspapers, but apparently none of them had
mentioned this 'accident'. Since it was late night I didn't
call the person's wife and just wrote an email to her. In
the morning the reply came, confirming, that it indeed was
him, who died.
now it was clear - the man who fell from the UN building was
Tim Hampton. I am really sorry about this since the just got
a baby. I also know handful of suicide candidates (Austria
is statistics-leader with Japan in this stuff) and some of
those really ended up doing it. So, what I mean, is that I
have a certain gut-feeling who is considering suicide and
who not. There are some signs.
However, I went to the mountains with Tim and we travelled
together. He was a silent person and had no easy Life
before; though this sounds like a cliché again: I think he
was not the suicide type.
Apart from his work of watching whether some shaking earth
is an earthquake or an illegal nuclear test (what is a legal
nuclear test), he was interested in many side applications
during the last years, and involved in setting up a tsunami
warning system. He too was responsible for the CTBTO
computer network - kind of super-admin and strategy planner.
Ugh - still can't believe this!
said before, he was a silent and introverted man. He
initially studied bio-chemistry and had a good position in a
bio-lab, before he quit his job and worked as a
construction worker for several years in the UK. Just
because he was not satisfied with what he was doing before.
Later on, he switched again and started at CTBTO. Few people
change their Lives so radically. He was one of the few out
of the box fellows. I knew him as a person with lots of
integrity and little fear."
real clincher that something more than meets the eye is going on
here is this from the report in the Austrian Times: "UN
staff told the Austrian Times that there had been a similar case
recently in which an employee died when he fell from a
working for the UN CTBTO suddenly the most dangerous profession
in the world? If yes (which seems a bit obvious) then the
"Why?" question comes up. Seems to me that either a)
someone is going to extreme lengths to make it look like Iran is
hiding something more or b) Iran really is hiding something
either case, a damn shame about the experts dying and it will no
doubt drive further speculation as to what's really going
on in those hidden Iranian labs.
For the Truly Paranoid
Design World on Air Force bugbots.
police ticked 39 drivers in 3-years for not speaking English"
- a charge which doesn't appear in the city's traffic laws.
So how they came up with $204 fines is something of a mystery,
but read the story since there's more to it...
Not Just In Mice
The report that cell phone use is being linked to brain tumors
doesn't surprise us at all. I renounced the things about
12-years back when I figured out what the frequencies, field
densities and possible impacts of ionizing radiation on one's
head could be. Number of colleagues thought "Ure's crazy!
not that they were totally wrong, but I was right about the
potential to cause cellular level changes (yeah, poor pun, but
it's the weekend and our usual writer has the weekend off - Zeus
the Cat...who's resting up for Halloween).
the point is? Not only can cell phones cause tumors in
mice; they can also cause them in sheep. So you've herd?
Follow the Bouncing
latest out of Washington - Disneyland on the Potomac is closer -
the Health Care bill will cost over $1-trillion for the decade.
Of course, while that pales in comparison to the cost of crime,
the wars, and so forth, it seems to be what the rabid whipper-uppers
are focused on. Anything for ratings I suppose...screw
putting things in context. A trillion dollar in 10-years
won't buy a nice dinner out - as anyone in Zimbabwe already
War on Gangs
gang crackdown going on in the L.A. area...but one number
struck me as, oh, a little out of place: Here's the part:
"Authorities said the operation involves about 1,100 law
enforcement agents. They plan to serve warrants for 75
individuals." That works out to (check my math - it's
early...) 14.66 LE's per warrant? Swat teams for all? Or
just that's how California budgets got...oh, let's not go there.
We have real work to do.
In case you didn't catch it,
International paper mill is closing three different plants,
including the one near Franklin, Va (my neck of the woods).
More job loss and paper production reduction. The depressing
part about this for Franklin is that it is basically halfway
between Emporia and Norfolk. This paper mill WAS this town
and when it goes, Franklin goes..."
To be sure, the news about
IP shutting down three mills is NOT good news at all.
What interesting is the number of mills that are being shut down
around the country.
Know what I think is going on? Look at the column % of IP
Capacity. Since IP is operating plants in places like
Latin America, Asia, North Africa and Russia, to me this has the
odor of 'outsourcing' all over it. (You thought it was
just the sulfite processing smell, huh?).
Way I read it is this: 38% of IP's capacity is being
outsourced from the USA.
I'm not an isolationist, but moves like this sure get me to
leaning that way. Anyone beside me pondering a reaction
like a ban on log exports (and how about software) to countries
where once American jobs land? The Suffolk News-herald
a hastily compiled report released by the Virginia Economic
Development Partnership late Thursday predicts that 2,400
other jobs in the region would be lost as a result of the
closure — in addition to those people directly employed at
Oh, if you've got any money left and are looking for a place to
retire, do some gardening and such, come late this winter or
next spring, might be some real estate deals to be had around
Franklin, I expect.
The headline that says "Ex-FBI
director Freeh granted Italian citizenship" has me
head-scratching. Don't know if this is one of those
dual-citizenship things...but sure feels like a dot to be
connected to something doesn't it?
Note to Readers
Sorry if this morning's column lacks my usual wit & cheer; but
there's a time to be flip and a time to be just damn serious.
You probably know which one this is. Dead scientist,
nuclear jitters, edgy economy and a linguistic turn.
Pardon the serious journalist hat. I'll try to be in
better humor next week. Promise.
Send your comments to
The UrbanSurvival Mall:
Peoplenomics This Week
No woo-woo to this: A surprising amount about 'the
future' can be inferred about a specific point in time by merely
projecting present events. This week, we'll use a few simple tools
that TV assignment editors use and see what we can infer about a
particular date in the future - October 26th, in our case because that's
when the predictive linguistics 'go hottest' - and then see if we can
block out a reasonable set of expectations about how the local evening
news ought to look on that day...
More For Subscribers
"Live on $10,000" Updated
With another round of
layoffs due to start later this month...a round which will start
to axe many of the middle managers who have managed to avoid the
HR grenades...might I suggest a preemptive tactical move?
Voluntarily dropping your lifestyle back a bit, since we're all
being marched down that road by either circumstances or some
out-of-control-PTB types who write checks to Washington lobby
and to anti-reformers in California! A good starting
point, at least if you'
ve still got $10-bucks is
my e-book "How to Live on #10,000 a Year...or less!"
It's an automatic
download. It's written in an information dense style: The
whole thing runs about 65 pages, but it gives you a vision of
how to not only live on the cheap, but also how to migrate up
the economic foodchain if you have a little hustle left...
Click here for the index and details.
My commodity broker JB Slear and I
have written a simple book to get you started on high density
hydroponics. It's an example of how someone with a little
creativity, access to a few 'dollar stores' and willing to try
out some new farming techniques can grow an amazing amount of
produce sin a very small space - like even an apartment balcony
(if it gets some sunlight). Sound interesting? It's
just $10 bucks here...
No, when you tell your browser to 'empty your cookies' of web
sites you've visited, it probably won't get them all. Why?
Because there is a whole class of 'browser-independent' cookies
that will gobble up space on your hard drive, but more important
is they will sneak out information about you without you
being aware of it. Ever week I get emails like
"Thanks again for the Maxa Tools recommendation, I never
knew how much additional garbage gets attached every time I
Test drive it free by downloading it. To upgrade to full
functionality will be $35 bucks. Is your privacy worth it?
Once you try it out, click the
upgrade button (!) on the upper right hand side for the $35
unlock to get it to remove even those nasty and highly intrusive
'non-browser specific' cookies. Bonus: You computer
may run faster. I've taken
37,970 41,837 cookies off my machine
now. It's just amazing. (I might ask their CTO to
add one more digit to the "Total deleted till now" window...)
Attn: Mac Drivers: MCM
does support the Safari Browser, but that does not mean it is
compatible with Mac OS. Maxa-Tools only support the Windows
world....so far. Given Jens and the other engineers
to be a thorn in the side of the Old World Order? Simply
and send a link to this site to everyone on your distro
list...Nothing more dangerous than sharp, clear-thinking
upstarts who ask a lot of questions, eh? Unless you
believe WTC-7 fell over on its own, of course....
week's report is here. For
back issues of this site, click here. (Goes back to
October 23, 2009
One Trading Day
got - from when the market opens in NY this morning - only about
6½ trading hours to go until we get
to the long-awaited October 25/26 emotional turning which
is due to take place according to the work out of
If you're a newbie, the general concept is that changes in
language tend to precede changes in reality and for quite some
time, in fact on the other of months and months, we have been
looking at the period we're just coming into as when 'emotional
tensions releasing' turn back into 'emotional tensions
The modeling of events suggests
that whatever is going to happen will arise out of 'globalpop'
which means the center of the buzz amongst humans will not be
limited to a few trading wonks; it'll be something big
and something that will be on the tips of people's tongues by
next Friday worldwide. A quick check of the kind of
events that could fit the linguistics...and you're welcome to
throw your own darts here:
The #1 possibility - never to
be overlooked - is that we've got the processing wrong and
nothing will happen. Unfortunately, since the
predictive technique has worked well in advance of previous
events, it may work out again. So we move down
the list of possibilities...
A mega-quake would certainly do
it. As our Indonesia correspondent BG reported earlier
this week, the Indonesia meteorological office's geophysical
group issued a warning for this time period of an 8.0 to 8.4
quake. That could put the scale of destruction from
resulting tsunamis and such up
near the Banda Ache (9.1 to 9.3) size and that
would cause building tensions while damage is assessed and
the world assimilates impacts.
Israel could decide to get
after Iran's nuclear facilities - something that has been in
the cards for a long time. But that might be
considered 'release language' - which is what short-term
striking out pencils in modelspace. What could change
it into an emotional build period? Well, if the
bunker-buster bombs set off a nuclear explosion, or it a
huge cloud of radioactive debris is popped into the
atmosphere and we have a period of a week or three while the
fallout from the event drifts eastward toward China and then
down froim Alaska via the jhet stream to guess where?
Or, what is as a consequence OPEC allied with China and
Russia draws an embargo around the West for it's nominal
support of such an operation, or if Iran responds with
multiple NBC weapons aimed at Israel and we get an
escalation sequence over a several weeks period?
Who needs exogenous events,
however, when the market's rally is so long in the tooth
already? Yeah, the happy-talk is that 'good times are
here' but there are some bothersome bearish divergences if
you study the technical picture. Just as one 'for
instance' consider that the 1.33% rally in the Dow on
Thursday was accompanied by a just darn near flat Dow
Transports move. Under Dow Theory, as go transports,
so goes the Indoo's over time.
Or, the problem could be a huge
jam-up in the US dollar starting Monday. Such a
scenario might have a trigger event like words that the Euro
is in trouble and may not be a dollar-equivalent within the
EU because of bickering in Europe. Conversely, the
possibility of a unilateral - preemptive - 40% devaluation
of the dollar when most people aren't expecting it could
catch global markets off balance and while sending a flood
of dollars home to the USA ensuring a lower lifestyle) it
would nevertheless set up the possibility of announcing
partial gold convertibility at the new lower price.
The ramification of this open were outlined in yesterday's
There are plenty of other
'events' or 'event clusters' that could have the same impact
(rising tensions for two or three weeks would likely track
with a declining market by the end of the next trading week,
but that's only if the dollar isn't devalued. Pick
almost any global-sized headline you want - like the
American Bankers Association meetings in Chicago that kick
off Sunday and where protests - perhaps large back by angry
unemployed and foreclosed homeless - might be a trigger.
Yes, the possibility of a
nuclear terrorist event (again with tensions building as the
internet is dialed back and so forth) would be another one
that could have a 2-3 week 'tail' of worry. We don't run too
much processing in that area, though, since that's Homeland
Security's playing field and we'd likely be unwelcome
interlopers. Still, I've taken the unusual step of
setting up a static IP address for this page (
http://22.214.171.124/week.htm - bookmark it) along with
an SSL layer so access via
https://126.96.36.199/ will be possible.
Subscribers to my Peoplenomics.com newsletter will still be
able to access via
http://188.8.131.52/ and again, an SSL layer is
provided. All this on the incredibly thin chance that
Monday might bring a massive coordinated attack on the
internet's name server architecture. If you have all
your bank IP addresses cached (a poor pun, indeed) then
disruption should be minimized, but as I've pointed out
before better to be prepared and wrong, instead of
ill-prepared and thrown under the bus.
My hope is that the technology
finally be horribly wrong and that Thursday or next week, the
market will still be where it is, green shoots talk will be
building, and peace & harmony will be breaking out globally.
But realistically? Something 85% economic in nature, 15%
'other' seems to be in the cards.
"George, you're a doomster..." you
might be thinking. No: A doomster would enumerate the
really really grim possibilities. The things worse than an
earthquake. But, since you asked, what could be worse than
any of this? Oh, how about a catastrophic dam failure at
Three Gorges and the impact of that kind of event on China's
(not to mention the whole world's) economy. That is not
in the data (at least yet) but such an occurrence would
certainly get us toward the kind of depopulation events that are
in the modelspace farther out. And even that
pales compared to...well, stick around a year or two; no
point ruining the weekend, eh?
OK, one more thing - since I
outlined the possibility for Peoplenomics subscribers in a
weekly report two weeks ago in issue #424 "The Day the Dollar
Died", it may be worth reiterating that talk about 'open
internet' has been building and we've seen enough 'prequel'
motion in that area such that an attack (via the 'net) on key
banking and financial systems beginning next week could trigger
an obvious response path by government. From my
'hypothetical' event discussion of a possible future noted
here's what might happen should such an attack be carried out:
"As the presidential news
conference ended, scores of internet based services were
already blinking off as NORTHCOM asserted its control of the
internet. Unknown to the public, numeric IP addresses would
continue to operate, but because virtually all web sites are
known to their users only by their names turning down the
internet became a simple mattering of turning off name
Don't mean to HAARP on things here,
but with "U.S.
FCC commissioners support open Internet rule" what better
way to spin around the Internet and bring it to heel - much as
radio was brought to heel by the Commissions Act of 1934 -
than to have a LIHOP/MIHOP event that could be used by
government to seize and license Internet use? Shut them
troublesome blogs up, easy enough which might improve
rapidly falling polls on president Obama's performance in office.
Personal Position - NOT investment advice: A am long a
little silver, short a little gold having decided that I don't
have enough insight into a specific event to place a bet.
So what I've decided to do is hedge next week based on
volatility....setting up a 'heads I win, tails I win' situation.
If the coin doesn't get tossed, and markets go slogging
sideways, I'm not betting grocery money...more like a cheap
lotto ticket bet.
don't know how to structure that kind of position,
week's report here and scroll down to the part in
Wednesday's column then scroll down to the Coping section's
"Looking for the Next Big Trade."
it all just means the top is coming in today off the March
a bit of Robbie Burns for breakfast:
"But little Mouse, you are not alone,
proving foresight may be vain:
The best laid schemes of mice and men Go often askew,
And leave us nothing but grief and pain, For promised joy!
Still you are blest, compared with me!
The present only touches you:
But oh! I backward cast my eye, On prospects dreary!
And forward, though I cannot see, I guess and fear!
Yes, I ordered the upgrade to Windows 7 yesterday.
No surprise: Microsoft earnings good, stock futures up.
The only thing that remains is the blow off top to 10,300 this
afternoon and we'd be all set for the collapse into November.
Likely as I see it: Top should be in today.
Speaking of software: If you hit the Maxa Cookie
Manager link this morning (down in the shopping mall) you'll
get the brand new Version 4.0.
Mass Layoff Improve
chart says more, but if you like reading, try this on:
took 2,561 mass layoff actions in September that
resulted in the separation of 248,006 workers, seasonally
adjusted, as measured by new filings for unemployment
insurance benefits during the month, the U.S. Bureau of
Labor Statistics reported today. Each action involved at
least 50 persons from a single employer. The number of mass
layoff events in September decreased by 129 from the prior
month, and the number of associated initial claims decreased
by 11,301. Over the year, the number of mass layoff events
increased by 271, and associated initial claims increased by
7,285. Year-to-date mass layoff events (23,745) and initial
claims (2,410,208) both recorded program highs. In
September, 856 mass layoff events were reported in the
manufacturing sector, seasonally adjusted, resulting in
97,066 initial claims. Over the month, the number of
manufacturing events decreased by 44, while associated
initial claims increased by 3,174.
sure, the US Fed & Treasury may have had some bumps in the
reverse repo area this week, but check this out: "Bank of
more likely to expand bond purchases after GDP slump"
the 'slosh report' looks like the US has taken out $55B or
jam up coming?
How To Get Rich, 101
Jersey Pays Goldman Sachs for Swaps on Nonexistent Bonds."
Like the meet the salesman on that deal...
Half a Chair Department
in the adventures of French president Sarkozy's son who was
trying to head up a major business council.
Yesterday went on the tube and said he was giving up his shot at
the chairman's spot. Today
he gets elected to a seat on the board - but not chairman -
by a 3-2 kinda margin.
duh. Repeat after me: "Wired."
"British nuclear expert falls 120 ft. to his death in Vienna"
sounds just...you know...suspicious. Officially, it's not.
But officially, 9/11 was terrorism, UFO's aren't real, and
government is fair & just....so I'll take this one with an
"Pilots should have had warning of airport approach" is the
headline. Read through it, seems a Northwest jet managed
to fly past its destination by 150-miles.
now that the CDC says 1 kid in 5 had flu-like symptoms this
month - and they are suggesting most of those were 'likely
swine' I find myself asking "What's the big deal?"
only to late Feb to early March when the bad stuff gets
uncorked...but when it mutates will this vaccine even help?
Global Warming by the
will have more than price, ingredients, and calories to consider
on menus shortly:
haw! Beat on that meme (thought virus)...pimp that
global government is necessary stuff....you go MSM...
how about a carbon footprint report on political figures?
Put it in the column next to BTU's of hot air...that's your
source of global warming, right there. Politicians &
bureaucrats. Close as I can tell the correspondence
between total number of government workers & politicians with
increases in globull warming is 99.9999%.
get a side order of reality please?
snip and save section ---
With Observer States
number of personal brushes with the 'flighty' nature of
time/space continue to show up in the inbox. More than I
expected by a long shot. Let me share some of the more
interesting ones since this 'holes in space/time" stuff has all
kinds of implications:
"George, After reading today's column, had to write. You'll
be the first I've told, as no one else would believe this.
I buy "Nexus" magazine every
other month at Mother's Market. Generally, the magazine
comes in about the 10th of the month but sometimes a few
days later. This month when I started checking for it I
noticed the market is now carrying "Vanity Fair", which is
unusual since they are an organic foods market and carry
mostly nature, vegetarian and Buddhist type magazines.
I stopped in every day for a
week, still no "Nexus", but always "Vanity Fair". Next day I
checked again. I looked hard at the first magazine rack,
even checked to make sure a magazine of another type hadn't
been placed in front of "Nexus", and I noticed "Vanity Fair
" still there, about half way down the rack. I turned to the
opposite rack and did the same thing. Nothing. I thought
"what the heck, I'll by the "Vanity Fair" and give up on
"Nexus". I turned back to the first rack and sure enough,
YOU GUESSED IT....where "Vanity Fair" had been, was not one,
but about 8 "Nexus" magazines in the rack. So, I bought a
"Nexus" and went out of the store thinking how very strange,
and going over in my mind how I thought it impossible that
they were overlooked on my first check.
Next day I go in to Mother's
Market for a juice drink, and YOU GUESSED IT, no "Nexus",
but again, "Vanity Fair". I asked the checkout clerk if
they'd sold all the "Nexus" magazines and he said, "we don't
carry that magazine anymore". I said, "but I just bought one
yesterday and there were 8 or so more in the rack." he said
"where" and I pointed to the "Vanity Fairs". He said, "no,
that's where the "Vanity Fairs" usually are".
So that's my story.. I suppose
some store worker could have slipped the "Nexus" in the rack
on top of the "Vanity Fairs" while my back was turned
looking at the opposite rack. And, they could have sold all
8 in one day. This isn't a big store, and there are only the
2 magazine racks, about 5 feet apart, so I think I would
have noticed someone doing that, but that is the only thing
that could possibly have happened, except the Woo-Woo. My
"Nexus" is still in my laptop bag-very real.
Another part of space/time that seems wonky is how dreams can
convey current events. For example, I have to call my son
about his latest exploits that showed up in a dream last
night...I've sort of gotten used to keeping in touch with him
this way, strange as that may sound.
like I'm the only one 'tuning into global news' this way.
Typical reader case report goes like this:
"Here's a fun fact:
Several weeks ago I had a dream.
It was early Monday morning. I woke up and told my wife
about it. I told her that I was on an island, most likely
tropical, and there were buildings in the middle. I felt a
vibration in my head which I thought was a noise that kept
recurring. I knew that there were tsunami's coming so I ran
back and forth from one side of the island to the other. I
was panicked and remembered thinking, they keep coming! The
next day, Tuesday, my wife called me at work and asked if I
had seen the news. That was the week of the Samoa tsunami."
may be some seasonality to it, although I have been keeping tabs
on my dreams that contain 'actual news content' about my son's
exploits and nothing has become apparent just yet; no moon
phases or anything obvious like that.
question "What causes this kind of stuff?" has been on the mind
of a lot of readers:
"My guide who takes me on Ayahuasca journeys pointed out to
me when journeying last Halloween, that the space between
dimensions is thinnest on Halloween. That is why people
originally dressed up in scary garb that day.....to frighten
the spirits coming through.
Add our current proximity to the
end of OCT, coupled with the idea that the space between
dimensions is getting smaller in this general time
period..... makes me think you may be getting a few more
emails on this......"
something to this. The #1 avenue of inquiry that I'm
looking at (and there seems to be some support for the notion in
the linguistics work) is that as we go through this period of
space-time, the 'boundary layers' between our present 'here &
now' and either a 'next-door-space' or slightly offset
'time-next-door' may get thin and that in turn may allow more
interaction between one side of [whatever] and this side of
[whatever]. Thinner boundary layer. More cross-over.
want some brain food on point, another reader suggests we all go
check out the
Twilight Zone episode titled "A Matter of Minutes" which has a
very night write-up at Wikipedia.
reference in yesterday's column to weather 'petering out'
elicited a note from a reader named Peter after I snarled that
if you're name is Peter and you don't like the reference, change
"Peter means rock. Petering out, means running out of the
metal you are mining and encountering rock. Jesus called
Simon Peter because he was the rock that founded the
Catholic church. Also, there was more than one Peter and
well....it got confusing. Jesus said: (depending on how old
your bible is) " Peter you are the rock on my church will be
founded on" or " Peter you are the rock people will stumble
over". I paraphrase, too lazy to look it up!"
Uh......rock on, dude....
slang is such an interesting field, and since changes in
language precede (as Cliff's fond of point out) changes in
reality, I have to note in passing the increase in something
called "ladette culture.
ladette? Yup. Seems that's
a young lady
acting in wild-young-manish (lad) kinds of ways. The
concept/classification seems to be getting fresh traction in the
as this little bit in the Daily Mail shows.
Popping up with some frequency
in the Google news search engine, and you can see how the
term evolved in the public context from
spring 2005 to
MSM pick-up in late 2007 at Google's Trends Lab...and we are
likely in a spike now that will show in retrospect a month or
though, watching new words emerge like this - and watching as
they bubble out from one demographic to the next.
Thursday October 22, 2009
Another Day, Another
After going through the world's
largest buy-in beta test, being a fairly early adopter of Vista,
I'd like to start this morning by noting that
today marks the release of Microsoft's latest: Windows 7.
After multiple service packs and
what seem like more or less continuous automatic upgrades, 7
promises to have fewer quirks, a smaller kernel and operate
faster. What I'm not so sure about is whether the full
benefit of upgrading can be obtained on an existing PC without
wiping out the whole hard drive and reformatting.
NPR's coverage of the event suggested a trip to the
Upgrade Advisor Microsoft site. Being a computer
junkie, I did that and down came an 8.3 mB install file.
Know what I got?
"Extracting file fail. It
is most likely caused by low memory (low disk space for
swapping file) or corrupted Cabinet file."
Oh...no sweat. I just opened
Task Manager, killed everything I could see that was a memory
hog (outlook, side bar, and so forth) and confirmed I had a
little space left on my hard drive. I do: 87.1 GB worth.
"Surely it will run now..." I'm
Nope. Extracting failed
"No problem...I'm cool...I'll just
download it again..."
Well, maybe I should run it from
its present location? Ah ha! Finally...
Well, I sure wish Microsoft good
luck on this one. For now, my
'seems-like-a-paid-beta-test" of Vista will have to do.
Maybe I'm not supposed to upgrade from Vista 32 to Windows 7
x32. Or, maybe I need to upgrade to a 64-bit
laptop....been eyeing those 18.4" widescreens...
Oh-oh. The Advisor tells me I
can upgrade to 32-bit Windows 7 Home Premium.
Hey, I've got it: If it ain't
broke, don't fix it. I have other things on my agenda
today. Wonder if there will be a service pack for the
upgrade advisor? Still a 64-bit machine, new OS...tempting.
Or I could just load Win 98 on a
new machine - probably no one writing viruses for that code
With unemployment numbers coming in
a little higher than expected, the
markets are expected to open to the downside.
Yes Master Department
"U.S. said to order
deep pay cuts at Bailed-Out companies". Special pay
master can do this kind of thing. Poetic justice or dumb
move? I guess it depends on whether you were in line to
get one of the bonuses or whether you're sharpening your
pitchfork and slapping "Vote 'Em All Out" stickers on your
Peaceful Iran Solution
That the IAEA make a big hoopty
about a deal on Iran's nuclear ambitions on Wednesday was a
little overdone, since well-connected Israeli media outlet
Debka.com is headlining that "El
Baradei's ruse helps Iran keep on enriching uranium for a nuke..."
While we occasionally will talk
about the Second American Revolution (AmRev2), with any luck it
will be a revolution through peaceful means. Not that such
means will feel peaceful to some: consciously
voting every day with your wallet is bound to cause some
economic dislocations, but oh well.
to do is keep track of who is voting for what...and toward that
end, a reader sent this web page for review which features the
list of "Senators
who voted to allow illegal aliens to collect Social Security
Not entirely true...
Now, if the voting machine results
could be trusted....
Lord Christopher Monckton -
international climate change expert - outlines how the US may
cede its sovereignty at the Copenhagen climate confab in
His speech (video here) is chilling.
We have more than 200-years of dying for liberty to have it come
to this kind of conclusion? I don't think so....
Germany has just broken an all-time Oktober low temp record.
I personally emptied the rain gauge
about 9 AM on Wednesday knowing we were going to have a little
rain overnight. But to find 4-inches in the gauge this morning
should put us over 41-inches year to date. Tropical, huh?
Meantime, the hurricane formerly
known as Rick, now downgraded to mere tropical storm status is
turning right earlier than expected, so it should miss Cabo San
Lucas. Still, Remnants could arrive in
Southwest Texas by Friday or Saturday. But it's
petering out fast.
(If your name is Peter and you're
offended, change your name.)
--- snip and save section ---
Coping: With Really
There may be a connection between a
couple of dots this morning that - if they turn out to really be
connected - could paint next week as one of the worst in the
history of American finance. I'll tell you what the dots
are - then extend their implications a bit.
The first story is that while
the L.A. Times is headlining that a "Feared flood of
foreclosures in California may be averted" we've heard that
some real estate lending banks have told customers that there
will be no closings for two or three weeks starting next week.
I was just contemplating the
meaning of such a report if true (the part about banks putting
home sale closings on hold) when the phone rings and it's my
consigliore/tax attorney. This kind of a joke since the
only thing I itemize is my Schedules C & F - the rest I don't
mess with since it avoids looking over my shoulder fearing the
tax police, but that's a different matter.
You need to understand that he was
a contributor to the old University of Colorado Long Wave econ
group, too. Like many of us, he too has a model of how he
thought the economy would work out here in the Second
"You know, one of the things that
would fit with my model," he began, "Would be the government
announcing a one-time straight 40% devaluation of the dollar.
It's a little early in my model for that, but the way such
things would work best is if they do it early enough to
catch everyone unaware..."
No, I'm not saying that I expect
this...but given that there's something like 1.6 quadrillion of
derivative and other debt sloshing around, that would sure be a
simple one-time way to cleanse the system.
The problem with such an event is
how it could change lifestyles in America overnight. Some
things that wou8ld 'spin on a dime:
People with fixed interest rate
loans would benefit. If you owed, say $20,000 on a
piece of property, you'd still owe the debt. But the
'street' value of a $20,000 lot would jump to $33,000.
Then you'd pay it off with much cheaper dollars.
That house once worth $300,000
but which had dropped 20% of its value down to $240,000
would suddenly be worth $400,000 - which might encourage
people to find ways to pay them down because all of a sudden
they would have a much higher equity position.
Same thing if you owed $14,000
on a car. The payoff would be the same but there would
be a lot more dollars sloshing about.
Of course consumer goods would
skyrocket, too; That $5 gallon on milk would bounce up
to $8.34 and the gasoline that's now $3 would click up to
The economic dislocations would be
severe, no question about it. But, such a move would
provide one mechanism to soak up all those dollars that would
flood back to America as countries overseas scramble to unload
A look at the precious metals shows
where the real glitter would be: Such a devaluation would
push gold from its current $1055 level up to $1,758 and silver
now down around $17.50 would soar to over $29.
That got me to calling my commodity
guy JB: "Yeah, each of those December silver $25 call
options would be worth about...uh... $8,000..."
"Oh boy!" I'm thinking at this
point. But then it hits me: The government, as part
of this kind of economic decision - would likely just announce a
fore majeure on futures contracts and that would be that....no
Worse...such an event would
probably damage some commodity markets to the point where they
might never recover. Then again, so what?
We're already seeing really smart farmers and grain users form
private arrangements (cost plus cooperatives, such as one I know
of in the Pacific Northwest) where the bulk of the supplies are
negotiated farmer to baker direct. Everyone opens their
books to one another, a reasonable profit for the farmer is
included in the pricing and what disappears?
The greedy wild-eyed options and
contract buyers in the middle. (Like, er, me....)
My consigliore's words still echo
in my head though, and I thought I might pass them along.
"It's a little early in my model, might fit better with next
summer's decline...what's Arch Crawford's long term outlook?"
I pointed him at yesterday's
column for the answer to his question while I made plans to
buy some more 'investment grade diesel and investment grade
If anything really wonky happens
next week, I plan to remain liquid and flush...so to speak.
Reports that CNBC did a piece on a
return to a gold standard could be viewed in a number of ways.
Here...have a dart. See where it lands:
Scam to get more people to buy
gold before a dollar jam-up next week.
Pre-announcement that a
devaluation is coming and after the 40% devaluation, there
will be a partial tie to gold.
None of the above - it was just
economically intelligent people having a 'What if?"
But you know things are bad when "Latin
America plans US dollar replacement" shows up in Iranian
Visually & Audibly
Chris Malcheski - the coding guru
behind the crop-circle and whatever other graphic you care to
try - Formation
Animator - has been downloading and flipping around data
from the Dow's history...
"composite" images are images that were flipped horizontal,
overlaid on the original, then that composite was flipped
vertical and overlaid over itself so basically the composite
images are 4 Z axis rotations.
The representations of Dow
closing numbers since 10/1/28 comprise most of the images.
Rather than using the numbers directly, I used the direct
value of the change in value from the day before,
that'll get you going on the visual side.
Now, let's start to marry that up with the work I did in 2004 (Click
here and scroll down to "Music for Triple Witching Day")
where I wrote:
Taking the Dow 30, the relative
volume of the Dow, the NASDAQ 100, and the S&P 500, I
constructed an audio analog of the stock market for the
year-to-date. I assigned grand piano to the Dow 30, the
oboe, which leads is the declining volume of the Dow YTD,
while English horns represent the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ 100
is played by a tuba. There are 177 notes YTD (This is
current through Wednesday) and I used the NASDAQ to trigger
soft steel drums.
To hear the music the market is
making, point a recent copy of Windows Media Player, or
something that will play back MIDI files and click over to
and hear it yourself. Look at this chart while you are
listening - different chart, but it'll give your brain
something to chew on.:
I get some time (Yeah, right...) I will try to do an update of
"Song of Declining Volume" which was based on data from
if you don't have a job to interfere with your intellectual
pursuits - one of the real benefits of being
unemployed/foreclosed on if you don't mind a bit of hunger and
creditors bugging you all day - is to recreate my markets into
sound theory. I used a program called AMUGEN ("A MUsic
GENerator" - get it?) but seems like something like
FlexiMusic might work, too.
process map I followed went like this:
You find a data table (or tables) such as the historical
data on the
Dow and whatever from Yahoo Finance here. Use the
download file option at the bottom of the page.
In order to normalize things into the range of human
hearing, you may have to offset the data to fall between 100
Hz and 10 KHz - which is why you start by loading the data
After you have ranged the data (multiply, exponentiation
applied (or whatever else you want to try) you export the
Load it into AMUGEN (or Fleximusic ifs it has an import
feature) and then assign it to different Midi instruments.
Been a long time since I did this project, but I assigned
trading volume to one instrument, might have been the oboe, and
something else (the Dow) to piano, and so forth,
with the market graphics until you find common music & visual
movements, focus on repetitive patterns there. Once you've
got this unique insight into the market, go trade, make a
gazillion on it and have fun.
Oh... and send me 10% for giving you the idea and 10% to Chris
for filling in the visual side, OK?
so a number of people have sent in comments and shared
experiences with me about how clocks tick backwards.
Best/most detailed explanation for how you see 'clocks move
backwards' is this one:
"dear george i read the people's comments on the odd
behaving seconds pointer of clocks. a simple visual/brain
phenomenon is called chronostasis. it can be provoked when
one looks on a clock after swiftly moving the eye (like by
turning the head). instead of making you dizzy from the
incomprehensibly fast moving picture, the brain drops that
input altogether, and corrects the missing visual backward
in time (please someone explains THAT), and the given second
is "shown" twice as long as it normally should.
i found no complete version of
i remember reading this in nature, and looked it up.
boingboing seems to have a collection of pages
the first one in the list is only available
in archived version over here./
now our discussion bifurcates. One track deals with
apparently anomalous behavior by clocks and if I can dig it out,
I will try to put the reference sent in by a reader about some
psychology work being done in 'framing". turns out your
mid tends to look at things in 'frames' - otherwise when you
turn your head, you'd see blurs...tres cool stuff but haven't
found the email yet... (I'm up to 7,350 emails this month - not
counting junk mail, so try to overlook what seems like
inefficiency on my part.
second track though, that's where we run into trouble. Two
emails in particular underscore the really odd stuff...like our
26-year old musician's account his keys falling through the
floor (!) wasn't weird enough:
"George: That key story hits home with me. Just last month I
pulled into the drive way and parked my car. I never take
the keys out when it's in the drive way.
A short time latter I came back
to find no keys. My girl friend and I looked every where. No
Keys. Yesterday I am dumping out the garbage and stuck on
the bottom of the can are the keys. I have no idea how they
got there. We have in the past had things go missing but
blow it off after a short search. Some of it has never come
Laura Knight calls this window
falling. Where a hole opens up and stuff falls through."
And even weirder case here:
"Okay, George - here's my
experience with the 'disappearing objects' thing:
It's easy to suppose when
something just gol-dang vanishes that you've - err -
Not this time:
About thirty years ago, as
newlyweds, we lived in a small apartment simply furnished
with newlywed's things. Our one phone, landline, was in the
bedroom. The dining room table doubled as desk, workroom
etc. My hubby worked nights, so I was alone that evening,
door locked, tenth floor, cutting out a pattern and some
fabric to do some sewing. There was nothing on the table but
the fabric, pattern pieces, pins and a pair of scissors...
I kept being interrupted by
trivial phone calls, stopping my work each time to go into
the bedroom to answer each call. Finally, the phone rang for
the umpteenth time that evening. In frustration I slammed
the scissors down on the table as I retreated, briefly, into
When I came back into the living
area [i]the scissors had vanished[/i]. Gone. Nowhere. Not in
the dining area, the bedroom, bathroom, nothing. When my
hubby came in, he searched again. Zip. Never found them.
We moved to our new home about
six months later. One day there, I opened up my sewing box
for the dozenth time: there were the missing scissors, nice
as pie, sitting on top of my other tools as though nothing
And now, back to our regularly
strange enough? OK...more then:
"Hi George !
I just finished reading the
story about the guitar player in Hollywood who's keys fell
through the floor. I dropped everything and started this
email to you.
A few years ago when I first
started opening my mind to all possibilities, this happened
to me (I'm 45). I was waiting for a friend to be dropped off
at my house by his wife for a little Friday night get
together. I was outside next to the privacy fence gate when
they pulled up. I had left my garage door open so he could
go inside. After I heard the car door shut and figured he'd
made it inside, I came out of the gate, hid behind my
pick-up truck and asked his wife through the rolled down
window where her husband was. She replied that he was going
In a split second (in order to
not get caught trying to scare him) I raised up enough to
see my door to the house in the garage, then ducked back
down. I saw the backside of my friend. I knew what color his
shorts were and I knew he was wearing a red tank top (which
I had never seen him wearing before). The prank never worked
out so I went in the house.
Here's where it gets funky.
Later that night as we were discussing my attempted prank I
told him what happened and how I saw him going to the door
in my garage. He replied that he had gone to the front door.
The sidewalk runs parallel to the left side of the garage
leading to my front door. To me it looked like he was
getting ready to open the door to the house from the garage,
when in fact he was walking up the sidewalk. If you ran a
line from me through the garage entryway to the sidewalk, it
would be a perfectly straight line.
I think In that split second
that I literally saw the backside of him, through the garage
wall walking up the sidewalk to the front door.
Pretty kookie ! It's just a
bunch of atoms anyway and there's a whole lot of space
in-between. See ya.
the best of all:
I liked the story from the
fellow from Wallingford about the missing keys this morning.
It is so easy to think the individual just made up the story
but, based on my own experience, I'm now not so hasty to
In our case, my family and I
(wife and two teenage children) were visiting England. We
were in a rental car on a small country road near Bath. The
road was narrow, just about 2 cars wide, with high (6 - 8')
hedges bounding the fields on each side. We were driving at
high speed and there was a coach (i.e. single level bus)
about 200-300 yards in front of us doing the same speed. We
had been following him for a couple of miles. The road was
narrow, so I wasn't trying to catch him up or overtake him.
In front of us there was a 90 degree bend to the right,
quite sharp, so you had to slow down. The bus went around
the curve and about 10 seconds later we went around the
curve too. In front of us was a long straight (at least half
a mile), hedges each side and no exits or roads joining. But
the weird thing - there was NO BUS. All four of us saw the
same thing. As I was trying to make sense of it, my wife and
kids are all saying "where's the bus gone?". There was
nowhere he could have turned into and to reach the end of
the straight before we turned the corner he would have had
to drive a couple of hundred miles an hour. As we drove the
straight, we looked for gates and gaps in the hedges. There
was absolutely nowhere a bus could have gone.
All these years, my explanation
has been that the "program glitched". It forgot to re-draw
the bus on the landscape. If I had been on my own, I would
have doubted my sanity. But all of us in the car saw the
same thing and had the same instantaneous reaction. There
was simply nowhere that bus could have gone in the time
available! Now you make me think that it could have been a
When you or your colleagues have
a reasonable explanation for such occurrences, please let me
I guess that's the point: space-time is not uniform: What
appears to be solid - ain't (it's mostly nothingness" and that
may go for time, too. There may be holes in the Swiss
cheese of time-space and if HAARP isn't looking for them, I'd
sure be disappointed with paying that 21-megawatt power bill.
Elaine and I had one of these 'put it somewhere and 'poof!' -
gone episodes this week, too. Elaine had brought home a
couple of DVD's and I remember idly opening one and placing it
on the dinner table. Next morning? Gone!
have searched the whole house multiple times. Went through
the garbage - did all that stuff but the DVD's have just plain
disappeared into thin air.
is it? The same morning when the DVD's disappeared, a
swear one of the cats was in the house, had jumped up on the
bed, brushed again my head...but I went back to snoozing.
Elaine assured me there was no cat in the house. (call
this event 2a)
check this out: She reported that after I had gotten up to go
get coffee, she felt something crawl under her right shoulder,
work its way under her neck, and crawl out from under her left
shoulder - all the while being paralyzed by the event.
Tying event #1 to event #2a & 2b may seem like a stretch,
but I wonder IF there's some kind of interdimensional doorway
stuff not documented in the literature and things like keys
disappearing, busses disappearing, and what-have-you (DVD's at
our house) might be a coincidental effect to dimensional
doorways - from which unseen critters come wandering through.
Oh, This is Comforting
Headline over at Jeff Rense's site that
Monks see ET's Saving Earth from Humans in 2012". Have
'em bring some shrimp pizza with extra red sauce and a pitcher
of Bud Lite, too...it's been one of those lifetimes.
Where are our damn DVD's?
Wednesday October 21, 2009
Peoplenomics server back up 11:57
Nukes & Money Hump Day:
one which could send the price of gold down...a possible
breakthrough at the Iran talks under which Russia would do the
refining for Iran's new reactor.
The draft agreement is now out for discussion says the head of
word on how this is going to play in Israel, so we'll be
watching there to see how things go over the course of the
trading day. But, gold was down early and a major
easing of tensions is usually price negative for gold.
reports that "Citi
closes gas-linked MasterCards without warning" leaving a lot
of consumers in a lurch.
Low and middle income card users are in hock to nearly $10-grand
says an op-ed piece about the credit card "Compounding
nightmare" in the Philly Inquirer...
If At First You Don't
...cook the books! Remember the hue & cry that healthcare
reform would cost more than a trillion dollars over a 10-year
Princess Pelosi now advising that it's really under $900-billion
which ought to set the peasants cheering and holding victory
Reality check: If I project enough deflation (or more
correctly disinflation) over 10-years I can show you almost any
projected number you want. Simple regression....
So when the 'new & improved healthcare" report comes out two
things: Look at inflation assumptions and then ask "If
regular people go to jail for cheating IRS with a little 'off
balance sheet" accounting, how is it that government and
corporations get away with such horse puke? Who's
(fictionally) in charge here?
Help for Google
Google is trying to help find ways to 'save forests' seems
like it has a pretty simple answer: Don't index sites that
are personality-promoting print pubs (a useless pastime) and
drive some more newspapers out of business...how much more
simple could it be?
Smell a Rat?
read that "Rival
says he is ready for Runoff with Karzai" I sniff carefully;
whiff of rat, was it?
news nose and fear: The rival doesn't make it to run-off
election in Aghanistan, and since there are
so many bombings going on that schools next door in Pakistan are
closed, a bombing which reduces the presidential choice list
in Afghanistan to ONE might be conveniently blamed on...
Not saying that will happen, and certainly hope like hell it
doesn't. Just saying that's one bet I wouldn't touch right
now in the various newsroom pools....
A scientist has been arrested by the FBI on charges of spying
for Israel reports the J-Post this morning. Curiously,
India is defending the scientist as no threat....hmmm...
first hand reports like this one coming in:
work in health care. I am a coding specialist. I see ER
charts on a daily basis. LOTS of type A influenza in young
children. Some adults. My hospital just banned anyone under
the age of 18 from visitation until further notice.
Rumblings about mandatory flu shots. May become unemployed
if so. I will keep you posted. This is getting silly."
tempest in Germany where the debate is over which version of the
flu 'vaccine' is being given to the political types versus
what's going to be needled into the German population...
What's the old saying "Do as we say, not as we do..." Hold
my torch...Pitchfork please.
The Truth Is Out There...
"George, Have you had a chance to
see this video regarding the banking system and its corrupt
relationship with our government? Bill Moyers from PBS
on 10-17-09 interviews a congresswoman (Marcy Kaptur) from
Ohio and an economist from MIT (Simon Johnson) who provided
terrific insight and information about the corruption of big
banks, who are failing and making the taxpayer pay for their
mistakes, with the help of the U.S. government. J.P. Morgan
was mentioned in a big way .Please watch and pass on. The
more people see this, the better! We will be writing to our
congressman after this!
around here we call this a 'truth leak." Although I keep
polishing me resume hoping to score a big bonus gig at
Goldman...My application for TARP money for the National Bank of
Dad seems to have been lost in the cogs of bureaucracy.
may get bent over at the pop machine next...the
pop tax is being promoted again.
you are not into buying your own green coffee beans and roasting
them like my commodity guy (JB), or if you are not close enough
to the Pike
Place Market to get
Market Spice Tea, then might I suggest that you get online
and start sampling pop alternatives like
Souchong which has a nice smoky flavor? Pop'll kill
you over time anyway, although I've used
a certain cola with phosphoric acid in it to remove
rust...the rest got mixed with a couple of shots of The Cap'n
for safe...er...pipe cleaning?
snip and save section ---
With the Bad Part of 2010
most interesting conversation with Arch Crawford last night
about what's ahead, not only for the ugly part of this year's
market (wait a week or two and you won't be saying "huh?") but
also about the really ugly part of 2010; which is you want to
mark it down should show up sometime between late July and Early
August of next year by his work.
www.crawfordperspectives.com about $250/yr ) has been writing a financial
newsletter for about 32 years and was "ranked #1 market timer
for the 2008 calendar year" by Hulbert's Financial Digest.
What's interesting about Crawford's work is that it's an
astrologically based report - although other cycles are
considered, too - which makes it interesting when a person (like
me) is trying to line up periods where multiple predictive
systems are all pretty much saying the same thing.
as the predictive linguistics work is pointing to big market
moves starting as early as late Sunday (Monday in Asian trading
time) Crawford's work shows there's a rough patch there.
more worrisome is his take on the mid-2010 period. "It's
about the worst we've ever seen," he told me.
bad is bad?
when something is worse than the Revolutionary War, World War I,
the Great Depression, and World War II, that's bad - it's the
worst I've seen the charts in over 200-years.
explains it, there's Mars conjunction Saturn which will be in
opposition to Jupiter conjucting Uranus all squaring Pluto.
that it means a hill of beans to me - I'll take a GPS reading,
thanks - but because of the Pluto is where it is mid
summer of next year the biggie stuff out there is likely to be
planetary in nature.
Interestingly, this also corresponds to the predictive
linguistics work what has the big showdown basically between
good guys and bad guys there; a time when the global mass of
humans will be seeking revenge/change/retribution from the PTB.
were sketching out a kind of mid-range path between Crawford's
work, Cliff's linguistics work, Robin Landry's Elliott (and then
some) and trying to sketch out a trading path, it might go
something like this:
From late October till early/mid December, a good-sized
market decline, perhaps testing the March '09 market lows
around Dow 6,627.
Right after the first of the year, I'd be expecting a whole
new chorus of "Good times are just ahead" and the 'gloves to
come off' in terms of government control, imposition of
group-think, and once the mutated swine flu comes out of the
Winter Games, then lots of clamping down of people's freedom
During this period, I'd be looking for energy to 'shoot the
moon' along with the precious metals - oh boy!
And then as the social order collides with the globalist
agenda over July-August, I'd look for the markets to be as
bad as at any time in 200-years.
telling how it will all play out, but the predictive linguistics
would seem to fit this pretty well (they tend to state the most
dire of language) but when other systems of getting a bead on
the future start to line up, as I explained to Peoplenomics
subscribers last week, that's when I start figuring out how to
be as we say here in Texas 'all in'.
Peoplenomics subscribers: I'm still in the trade I told you I'd
entered last week and I wouldn't be in it if I didn't think I
was going to make a buck or two at it.
Although we haven't had the pleasure of a
Rebecca Price cartoon for a while (she has paying clients),
there's a cartoon worth of a lick over at American Progress
under the head "The
difference between Bankers and Pirates..." you might enjoy.
Inquiries into the Nature of Time
remarks about the non-quite-certain nature of time & space
yesterday brought several remarks and a good story. For
"Your remarks about seeing clocks tick back struck me.. as I
saw many times a clock or a watch go back a few
ticks/seconds, but always though it was something in the
mechanism, some fault. But this put things in a new light
for me, as I had many small insights in the immediate future
too. like "knowing" I would drop an egg, bump my head etc.
And now this morning I read on the Dutch MSN news site an
article that two scientists, the Danish Dr. Holger Bech
Nielsen and the Japanese Dr. Masao Ninomiya think Nature is
sabotaging the Large Hadron Collider near Geneva by rimpling
time back to prevent us from finding the Higgs Boson , the
so-called God particle. They mentioned a comment on this in
the New York Times too by a Dannis Overbye. Have a good
an interesting theory but I expect just that. I've
been hearing from friends in the physics labs that there is a
far more serious problem that the quantum quants are
problem goes something like this: we know that when you
squirt photons at a pair of slits you can observe that the
photons can behave as either waves, or they can act like
particles and show the corresponding interference pattern.
(Go look up
how holograms and Moiré patterns work in case you missed
that 1966 adventure Dave Baldock and I played with in the
basement of the EE building at the University of
Washington...which may have something to do with why I had
cataracts out at a very young age, but that's a two beer story
in itself and it's too early for the beer...so we press on...)
big problem now is that when a single photo is sent out,
it's performing both as a wave and as a particle.
In other words, it's getting a split personality. And this
is driving the wonks out of their minds because that's
not supposed to happen in their once orderly world which quantum
physics is dissembling step-by-step.
Eventually, they will figure out that the whole notion of the
kapalas (where everything in Universe is an energy
and it's the interference patterns between the energies that
gives rise to matter, time, and the phenomenological world has
been documented by previous high civilizations on this here rock
read up on annica /impermanence) because when you do, you'll
see how the
intersection between quantum physics and religion is coming just
as Gary Zukav was explaining when you were paying attention in
his book Dancing Wu Li Masters: An Overview of the New Physics
back in 1976 or so.
Amazon quote which may help - especially if you're tinkering
with quantum physics out in the garage trying to build a
holodeck - goes like this:
"The Wu Li Master dances with his student. The Wu Li Master
does not teach, but the student learns. The Wu Li Master
always begins at the center, the heart of the matter....
This book deals not with knowledge, which is always past
tense anyway, but with imagination, which is physics come
alive, which is Wu Li.... Most people believe that
physicists are explaining the world. Some physicists even
believe that, but the Wu Li Masters know that they are only
dancing with it. "
But, since we all know 'geeks can't
dance" for crap, they instead spend gazillions on things like
New Hadron Colliders, when all they really might want to do is
recall a couple of stories - both of which are true. One
is reported by good friend in Mexico who reminds me of this case
that I had read earlier but forgotten about:
There is a very intriguing case,
documented in Mexican history of the 17th century.
One morning, in the National
Square called the "Zocalo" in the center of Mexico City,
there appeared a man in unusual military dress. He was asked
who he was and what he was doing there. He replied that he
was a guard in Manila, Philippines; that he was on guard
duty there and suddenly found himself in a new place. How he
came to be in Mexico, he could not explain.
What astronomer said, "The
universe is stranger than we imagine; in fact, it is
stranger than we can imagine."?
This would be the "Mysterious
Case of Gil Pérez" - contested by some hysterians, (sic) -
but they have a very good reason to do so: They have a
paradigm to defend. When someone comes along as says
something like "You know, Atlantis is probably the continent
under the Antarctic (which is why the global Big Three are
drilling like crazy around Lake Vostok) and crustal shifts have
happened at least 10-11 previous times and high civilizations
have existed here before..."
At this point, most people of 'the
masses" roll their eyes, pass anyone with such thoughts off as a
'nutter for sure..." But, to a student willing to read all
the historical data (including the Bible and other documents)
then it's obvious that when the major earth shifts occur,
the oceans mainrain their movement eastward even when the
earth's core stops, so they come scrubbing off the continents as
they proceed west to east...which in the case of West Virginian
is how all those trees got there and became buried which is
where coal comes from and....
Oh-oh...let's not go down that
road. Although I will assume you've already read the
homework for today's report about Ooparts? That's
Out Of Place
Artifacts...so when things like chains, shoes, and even
spark plugs are found in coal seams and passed off as 'hoaxes" -
those doing the dissing are paradigm defending for the slow
learners. But you knew all this, right?
Want another time/space disconnect
"Hi, George. Thanks for
doing what you do. I've been a fan of the site for over a
year now. I want to tell you about the single strangest
thing I've ever witnessed. I'm a guitar player living in
Hollywood (I know that makes me a little crazy, but I'm 26
and not ready to retire to a farm. My plan is to put out the
best vibrations I can, and face the madness head on). This
experience occurred a little over two years ago when I was
living with my folks in Wallingford, CT.
I got up to go to work one
morning, and as I was getting myself together in my bedroom,
something completely bizarre happened. I had just put my
pants and shoes on and had grabbed my wallet and phone. I
picked up my keys, but dropped them. I distinctly recall
that they landed right next to my crumpled work shirt on the
floor, but slid underneath it. The way they slid struck me
as unnatural right then and there; it was as though they
landed and were still for a split second and then were
pulled under by a strong magnet. Of course, I didn't think
too much about it, and simply picked the shirt up. They
weren't there. I shook the shirt and they didn't fall out.
It seems strange to me now, but being in a hurry to make
breakfast and get out the door, I simply went downstairs,
had breakfast, used the bathroom, located my spare keys, and
went to work. I mentioned to my mom on my way out that my
keys were missing, and even that they had seemingly
disappeared under my shirt. She didn't say much, and it
strikes me as funny now that people have such an easy time
shrugging off things that just don't seem to make sense.
So here's the kicker: I get home
from work and my mom says, "I found your keys." I say, "Oh,
yeah, where?", thinking to myself, "where could they
possibly have been?" She tells me that she had been doing
some cleaning up and spotted them in an open guitar case in
the living room. Guess where the living room is/was?
Underneath my bedroom. And, to the best I could determine,
the guitar case was directly under the spot on the floor in
my room where the keys mysteriously slipped under the shirt
and went through the floor.
I'm not sure where this fits in
with anything, but being a fan of your site, and coast to
coast, and having read McKenna's key works, I think there
are definitely some weird phenomena that are gaining
frequency or at least attention. I'm doing what I can to
help expand the 15%er group with some notion of how the game
is rigged and how a mass understanding of our consciousness
can potentially free us. If you find yourself in LA you can
email me and we'll get a coffee or two and talk about the
big picture etc. Until then, I'll be reading your site and
playing guitar. LOL.
[Send me your first CD for review
when you get it burned... our preferred guitar input range is
Wes Montgomery to Hendrix..."]
And we end with this observation:
"I thought some clocks
just do the two clicks back thing. I've seen my bathroom
clock (which is a cheap $6.00 clock) do that. I have see the
large atomic clock in the living area do the same thing.
Damn, George! I didn't think it
was a "time glitch". I thought it was a "clock glitch"!"
Yah see, the problem down in the
quant lab is that every has taken Einstein as Gospel when he
said "God doesn't play dice with the Universe."
I expect the facts of the matter
are we simple haven't yet have the table stakes high enough to
get into the game. But there's all these little bits of
what amounts to 'craps on the side". You go back and read
the literature out of Jainism and other ancients and if it
wasn't for the "not invented here" [NIH] syndrome, we could be
saving a whole bunch of work...
Tuesday October 20, 2009
PPI - Profit Positive
Worried about The Inflation Monster ripping you out of your
home? Well, it may be that way when you try to spend your
money, but the latest producer price index figures out today
show actual deflation at the finished goods level. The
press release, please?
Producer Price Index for Finished Goods declined 0.6 percent
in September, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor
Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today.
This decrease followed a 1.7-percent rise in August and a
0.9-percent decline in July. In September, at the earlier
stages of processing, prices received by manufacturers of
intermediate goods moved up 0.2 percent and the crude goods
index fell 2.1 percent. On an unadjusted basis, from
September 2008 to September 2009, prices for finished goods
fell 4.8 percent, the tenth consecutive month of
In September, over ninety
percent of the finished goods decrease was the result of
lower energy prices, which moved down 2.4 percent. The
indexes for finished goods less foods and energy and for
finished consumer foods also contributed to the decline in
finished goods prices, both edging down 0.1 percent.
Finished energy: The index for
finished energy goods fell 2.4 percent in September compared
with an 8.0-percent surge a month earlier. Almost eighty
percent of the decrease can be attributed to gasoline
prices, which moved down 5.4 percent. Falling prices for
home heating oil and residential natural gas also
contributed to the decline in the finished energy goods
Finished core: Prices for
finished goods less foods and energy edged down 0.1 percent
in September following a 0.2-percent increase in August.
Leading the decline, the index for light motor trucks moved
down 1.4 percent. Lower prices for pet food also impacted
the finished core index.
Finished foods: Prices for
finished consumer foods inched down 0.1 percent in September
after rising 0.4 percent in August. The index for eggs for
fresh use, which declined 9.8 percent, led the decrease in
finished consumer food prices.
The Producer Price Index for
Intermediate Materials, Supplies, and Components moved up
0.2 percent in September, its second consecutive monthly
increase. This advance can be attributed to prices for
intermediate materials less foods and energy, which rose 0.9
percent. By contrast, the index for intermediate energy
goods fell 2.1 percent, and prices for intermediate foods
and feeds declined 0.5 percent. On a 12-month basis, the
intermediate goods index fell 11.7 percent in September.
This was the second consecutive month of slowing
year-over-year declines after a record 15.1-percent drop for
the 12-months ended July 2009.
with crude goods down 4.8% compared with 12-month-ago numbers,
kinda hard to see wild inflation coming - oh, did I mention how
this distinct lack of inflation at the PPI level, when coupled
with even a modest increase in the CPI smells a lot like what?
of envelope: CPI minus PPI = good times or bad for
corporate P&L's. Expect the dollar to rally and the end of
the world to be delayed.
Quake Alarm Pulled
a brief appearance on a government website in Indonesia, our
reporter there says people are breathing a sigh of relief about
rumors of a mega-quake this weekend:
"The latest on earthquake prediction below. Apparently, the
rumor was based on a post at he BMG site, which is sent to
you yesterday. The post has since been removed. As I read
it, I got the impression they were making a specific
prediction. The story went viral and all of Jakarta was
abuzz. As you can imagine, everyone here is little jumpy
about these things just now. I have portable satellite
modem, so if the city is flattened, I should be able to get
one good message out before my battery dies. I'm on alert
for any developments related to the bots."
has been picked up other places, too,
as this example shows. Just one more interesting thing
to watch for this weekend.
Was So Much Fun...
...that we ought to do it again. What? Oh, you know:
The elections in Smackghanistan.
Climate of Confusion
Washington, fence sitters are popping up on global warming.
Which figures when you think about it: The fence sitters
will be able to hold up the special interest groups for more
dough and they will need it to keep challengers from kicking
their sorry butts out in the next election cycle, so yeah,
that's why fence-sitting is such a fine art...capiche?
(Why the national news media don't explain this stuff is beyond
me...no, wait....it's not: They are run on the advertising
money! Why of course, all fits together just dandy,
yes, boys and girls, this is why newspaper bailouts are a done
deal too - gotta have controlled/bought media in order to keep
the charade going.
34 percent of California's approve of Pelosi's performance"
says a new poll. That many?
Yes, But Can They Read?
Baucus healthcare will is out - all 1,502 pages of it.
Think anyone who votes on it will have read the entire 1,500
pages? Simple answer: Hell no!
that's the point isn't it? Make legislation (Patriot,
healthcare, yada, yada, so complex, so convoluted, so F/U'd that
no one would ever be able to fault the hapless anointed who
voted on it. But don't forget to send them money...
Times is planning to roll the grenades in the newsroom -
100 jobs to be axed.
News To Us
report by the Columbia School of Journalism urges "action
to preserve journalism." How about breaking up some of
the media combos and limiting certain national bloviators to one
signal in a market?
Radical view? Hardly: WND headlines "White
House Boasts: "We 'control' media". Quick - look
heard one blover referred to as a 'news anchor'. I about fell
out of my chair laughing. Yeah, right....I mean like far,
far, right, right?
mis-typed Monday when I pointed out gold dumper Gordo Browns
fire sale price selling the Queen's gold...a point brought to my
attention by this eloquent UK reader:
really feel compelled to write regarding you comments on my
dear leader Gordon. It was monstrous of you to suggest that
ol' Gordy sold our gold at $500 per ounce.
The 17 auctions actually
achieved an average price of $275 per ounce.
I fear that you are giving your
readers a better impression of my leader than he deserves As
a true Brit, I simply won't have you giving credit where non
I hope that you will publish a
apology, and return my leader to the standing in the world
that he has worked so hard to achieve.
Regards and, as ever, your
reports are outstanding.
snip and save section ---
Computing The Future
some reason - don't know whether it's the stars, or what - I
seem to be coming to a 'software festival' period starting
up is the release of the crop circle spinning software (Formation
Animator) which can be found
This is really interesting stuff to work with because it allows
you to spin just about any kind of picture you want (doesn't
have to be crop circles) and this has been weighing on my mind
for some time. New research project is bubbling around...
may remember the last time we talked about 'spinning graphics
of crop circles' that one of the graphics effects (depending
on spin speed, direction of rotation, etc) is that you can get
some interesting 'flicker effects' that range from very relaxing
to 'grit your teeth' - plus there's been no shortage of
speculation that there could be a whole layer of information
embedded in crop circles intended to communicate with us
earth ants. But, only if we're smart enough to have
evolved a three-dimensional language or a three-D symbological
communication structure which would be more compact than
Hebrew, just to pick on language, is very rich in how it is
structured - as is Persian. What some Western minds take
as 'flowery' or can't 'get' in Hebrew comes from a failure to
grasp that some languages use different contextualizing than
English...But that's only the jumping off point for
adventures in strange.
occurred to me that one might be able to get some interesting
insights into how the human mind stores data by spinning
pictures about. If the mind indeed stores things in
semi-holographic ways (matrices of neural connections) then are
there certain frequencies or neural patterns that could be
'burned in visually' in a planned way? Instead of going to
a year of classroom lectures on mathematics, for example,
wouldn't it be much more efficient to spin up images which would
predispose people to absorb math by 'pre-burning' a few neural
much as humans have designed computers to imitate ourselves,
isn't it curious that no one seems to talk about ways to
'preload software into our heads' or for that matter, work on
defragmenting our thinking?
sure, the creative process comes from wide variations in
patterns, but wouldn't it be possible for kids to learn better
if education was defragmented?
Picture an education system where basic research says something
like: Kids learn languages best between ages 3.5 and 6.5
years of age. So, in those years, schooling could be
turned into total immersion is only one topic: language.
Or maybe there's a development window where math sticks better.
I was one of the original
test batch of SMSG math wunderkind back in the early 1960's,
and they started us in that in 7th and 8th grade...which got me
thinking in set theory ever since.
point here is that education seems more structured to teaching a
little this, a little that and a little art and some handicrafts
without stepping back, testing, and teaching to optimized
development states at a deep immersion level. Instead, we
get a mish-mash; kids either 'make it' (go on to Yale, Skull &
Bones etc) or they don't make it (drop out, sell crack) and
wilder is this idea I have that certain particularly pleasing
pictures - when spun just so, but on a repeatable basis - might
yield patterns which could hold meaning down at the
Suppose, for example, that you find pictures of a particular
kind of sunrise over mountains appealing. Now imagine you
collect half a dozen of these things and then use the
swirly-spinner to spin them up at a wide range of speeds,
different zoom levels (cropped, got it?) and with different
would not surprise me in the least would be to discover that a
group pictures which have a similar archetype feel to
them MIGHT contain a common graphical relationship.
would really be a breakthrough into how the subconscious
mind/archetypes work would be to find a repeatable or previously
documented graphic/hieroglyph/rune symbol that turns out to
reoccur through multiple images. Sound like a fun project?
Sure does to me...all I need is a clone of myself to organize it
and a couple of million to fund it at the proper academic level
so the project would have credibility and so on.
Speculation? I bet that if you spun pleasing and repulsive
images, you would find something like the runic alphabet (or
other archetype-linked language) at some set of common
frequencies, or off certain harmonics. OMG, wouldn't that
give the people who think HDTV's are designed to burn in
concepts and beliefs below the perception threshold some
step into this one is yours:
http://www.formationresearch.com/index.htm to download the
demo (free) or the full-up version $20. There's an online
database being developed...and oh is this cool. Reports of
findings are welcome - need to figure out if there's a way to
turn this into
electronic Rorschach test which gives frequency
susceptibility mappings which we then capitalize and turn into a
huge new 'defense' industry. I don't have time for it, but
5% of founder's stock please - for the concept - if you run with
it. Figure government will buy anything here lately.
the man on TV says, "But wait, there's more..."
second big software project I'm tinkering with (when not
bothered with little items like eating, earning a living, etc.)
is the forthcoming release of Maxa's next generation of the Maxa
Cookie Manager program. Version 4.0 will be out shortly
and the new feature it offers is something called the "web bug"
monitor. This actually nails down those programs which are
sending information about your browser habits to people
who are just plain snoopy and it's none of their business...
on my computer which is extremely overworked (Maxa Cookie
Manager has removed 48,745 cookies from it so far, LOL) there
were 3- web bugs discovered. Seems that out of the nearly
49-thousand only 27 (including the three new ones) were actually
actively connecting and reporting on my movements, but Maxa's
product is a dandy if your computer is sluggish.
suggested that they publish a monthly list of companies that are
using 'bugs' to spy on people's consumer habits because frankly,
I would just as soon boycott any outfit that is spying on me
because I bought this here high-end computer set-up for MY use,
not some a--hole marketing outfit to steal clock ticks from,
know what I mean?
Anyway, more on MCM 4.0 - if you're an early adopter of MCM, I
think the upgrade will be $15, but if you bought it in the last
60-days it's planned to be free. Decent enough policy.
I just wish early adopters of a certain service-pack prone
operating system were shown equal consideration...and that in
turn gets me to...
other software project around here is coming up with my Windows
7 test plan. It seems to be getting very good reviews (no
announced plans for a service pack yet that I've heard of, LOL).
Nevertheless, being into low-risk computing on the one hand, yet
trying to stay close to the bleeding edge of things, I will
probably load 7 on Elaine's computer (quad core laptop, 6 GB,
320 g HD , on our n network) and see how it flies.
can't break it...then I may get a new LT for myself (since I am
on an older but highly reliable dual core) and go to a quad core
with an 18.4" screen, realizing that for travel a 14.1" screen
is best since you can open those in the can-opener seats back in
coach. But old man eyes like 18.4" displays. What to
don't travel much any more - and although my plans to buy
an airplane have been pushed back to when I can buy one for one
or two ounces of gold (late next year I figure - I don't mind
driving around the country when necessary. Can't find
anything in IRS rules that says "business travel must be done
at the most hyper and hyper-tensive levels possible" yet,
that's how damn near everyone operates. Which may have
something to do with why people have heart attacks maybe...but I
decision to move to a new computer - if it comes - will mean
most of December could be occupied with software issues.
Wouldn't be the first time, though. I buy a new computer
every couple of years - along with the best rolling backup
system I can find - since my life depends on computational
reliability, and yours does too...at least to some extent like
grocery stores being able to order inventory and so forth.
Long Delayed Echoes, Redux
don't have enough distractions in life, along comes the November
issue of the American Radio Relay
League's top-notch ham radio magazine, QST, with an article
by OZ4UN "Observation of Long Delayed Echoes on 80 Meters".
very short version of the phenomena goes something like this:
A transmitter broadcasts something. Upon switching the
transmitter off and going back into receive mode, the radio
operator hears his own signal (!). In this latest report
(well documented, I might add) the delay time is 237
milliseconds (0.237 second) which means that when we multiply
thing out, using 185,000 miles per second as the speed of light,
we find the signal traveled about 44,082 miles.
doesn't bode well for 'ducted propagation theory (we'll get
there in a sec.) since it's not long enough to be round the
world twice. Which leaves us to ponder whether ducted
propagation might be some convoluted transequatorial path, or
what...but sure doesn't seem likely from my early tropo-scatter
days when I was George the microwave tech rep working for a
defense contractor years and years ago...
drop back to basics: There are five explanations offered
in Wikipedia that might explain the phenomena.
Here they are:
The most popular current theory is that
the radio signals are trapped between
ionized layers in the
atmosphere and then are guided
around the world many times over until
they fall out of a gap in the bottom
propagation between air layers in the
lower atmosphere is a
well-understood phenomenon. See
reports that he pointed his antenna
towards the horizon and received his own
28 MHz signal delayed by up to about 9
seconds.... His measurement implies
travel up to 65 rounds around the
earth." Probably the upper frequency
limit for such effects.
Investigated experimentally by Crawford
et. al.; they recorded echoes with
delays up to 40 seconds at 5-12 MHz..
did experiments at 9.9 MHz and detected
several thousand echoes of delay up to
16 seconds at times when solar plasma
probably entered the magnetosphere.
Could explain amateur
echoes. Hans Rasmussen found echoes
delayed by 4.6 seconds at 1296 MHz,
recorded a 5.75 second delay at 432 MHz.
as far as they go, but what about path loss on a 9-times
around the world duct? Let me see, inverse square law
says....no chance! Care to convince me that the effect is
firing off the
HF radio equivalent
of a maser to sidestep path loss? Pass...drops down my
on reading I have been doing lately out on the fringes of
science there are two more possibilities which although not
highly probable, have to be at least considered.
first possibility is that time is not as cohesive as we might
all be led to believe. I don't know if you've ever had the
experience, but I have personally seen a clock actually tick
backwards one or two seconds and then resume forward motion.
Stare as such a clock for as long as I cared to thereafter, the
clock never did a backward tick (or ticks).
theory on this goes something like this: The whole
Universe operates as a multiple dimensional event which goes off
into many dimensions - constantly evolving and morphing.
Every once in a while, when a morphed reality gets too far off
the beaten path, we see a 'jump' of some kind. The most
common 'jumps' are likely those cases where people just
'disappear' into thin air, a flight of Navy planes disappears,
or - as many accident victims attest - "I looked and there
was no one there yet when I pulled out - suddenly out
of nowhere there was this truck
also accounts for lots of other things odd/out of the ordinary,
too. Like George seeing a clock go two ticks backwards.
And it probably has something to do with what Dean Radin has
been nibbling around the edges of with his 2000 landmark paper "Time-reversed
human experience: Experimental evidence and implications"
which if you haven't read it, turn off the TV and put some
useful stuff into your head, please.
don't remember if it was on the UrbanSurvival site, or on the
Peoplenomics side, but I recently told the story about the
fellow in the Southwest who was traveling across country and
stopped in a medium-large city and went into a paintball shop
that was in a former grocery stroke. It had those
'step-on' door openers.
person involved in this case had parked his car in a virtually
'dead' parking lot, was going in to the paint ball store.
On the way, he happened to glance at an attractive woman coming
out of the store through the other door and when he looked back
in front of himself, there was a man there who wasn't there a
fraction of a second earlier.
did you come from?" the time-dazed guy asked of this fellow
ahead of him?
do you mean...I just parked my truck over there and walked in
like I always do...hey, where'd that lady out there come
from...did she just come out of here? She wasn't there a
applies to long-delayed echoes how? Well, If the MWI (if
don't know what that is, you need to read here) is valid,
then it is possible that long delayed echoes are boundary
events that occur when errant patches of the central tendency of
reality catch back up to it. In other words, LDE's may be
where offshoots of reality merge back into the main flow of
things, as at a freeway onramp. Almost like there's
a zero-crossing of reality tracks. And yes, this could
very easily be where 'accidents' come from. Time jumps
around MWI merge points. All the data would fit, wouldn't
be that intention is what keeps the world (more or less)
on a future path, a kind of ongoing reality voting.
may sound pretty 'far out there' but the pieces are there in
physics and what if (this is a big IF) what if HAARP is actually
a reality mapping tool to figure out more how the MWI works and
one way to get there is to map ionospheric phenomena, while us
poor ham radio types who may experience an LDE (my was about
2-seconds worth on 20-meters) pull together disparate parts of
other phenomena (ducted transmission) in order to explain away
an objective observed phenomena?
waiting for the ARRL to do a comprehensive analysis of HAARP
(why what waveforms are used, why those power levels, and so
on...) and outline what it's really all about and why
it's classified...but that's another story for another day.
Still, makes sense that LDE's could be direct evidence of the
MWI coming and going of nearby realities.
possibility (I know, don't get long-winded...): Could just
be someone either 'out there' or in a next-door reality
is messaging us back in parrot like fashion trying to establish
communications and we don't understand it...
Reality as we know it is a location in space, defined as height,
width, and breadth at a particular moment in time.
What would you call a 'next door moment' and could it be
time to kick everyone out of the Wu-Jo - the dojo of science
versus observed oddities...until tomorrow morning, that
is...same time, same mat.
October 19, 2009
Major Quake Warning Issued
global tensions ready to build for 2-weeks from about October
25th on, one of the possibilities we've been watching - thanks
to the heads-up predictive linguistics reports from
has been for something that will arise out of the global
population portion of modelspace and which will be mainly
economic in its impacts. Lots of things come to mind, but
the recent increase in Pacific Plate earthquakes has been a
particular worry, since a 8-or higher earthquake could do
serious damage around the Pacific Rim depending on tsunami
activities and such. So it's with this in mind that I just
got a 'jaw dropper" from our Indonesia correspondent:
The BMG (Indonesian analogue to
has issued a rather specific warning for this coming
Saturday, of a quake in the 8-8.5 range. Don't know how much
stock I personally put in such a warning, but I will load up
on supplies and stay at ground level for the weekend.
I guess we will all know the
results come Monday...if the rest of the world doesn't fall
apart by then.
Obviously we hope the warning is a false alarm, but when
government seismographers issue a report like this, I tend to
pay attention. Time to short insurance stocks?
Port for Breakfast
all these years you thought stale beer and pizza bones were the
'breakfast of champions," did you? We around here we start
Mondays like this off with a stiff shot of port.
All of which has me back to pondering the fate of all those
ships that are anchored off China and other Asia export hubs
waiting for something to do. There's a difference between
tawny ports and tawdry supply systems? Oaky; enough
already. Serious up.
One Week Out:
The predictive linguistics (no, not predictive linguini) out of
are expecting the major global 'mood shift' in about a week's
time. Should be events unfolding about the end of October
25 - which would make it early in the morning of the 26th which
would mean as markets in Asia open.
Bank reserves seem to be exploding to the upside...which should
be good for banks and dollars if I understand things
right...which I must not since the market mania upward in
markets and down on dollars continues. Perfect setup for
my insane contrarian option trade, however.
A couple of things that bear watching: one is
Iran which is warning the US and UK of what the aftermath of an
Israeli strike on their nuke facilities would bring.
And yeah, October 25 is when the IAEA is supposed to show up for
a look-see at Iran's reported nuclear facilities.
Naturlich eine fragge: (Naturally, one question):
How many more do they have they're not revealing yet?
talks going on this week fail, they plan to continue enriching
themselves, so to speak.
Say, you don't think that attack on Iran's Revolutionary Guards
was a...oh...you know...false flag deal?
Thought seems to have occurred to the Iranians...
Golly, think the West would be capable of doing such a thing?
Notice that the price of gas has been edging upward? So
the price of oil which pushed up briefly toward $79 this
morning. More important, notices my commodities broker
JB - someone is buying $500 oil calls a few years out.
Hmmm...and here I thought I was the
ballsy-wild-eyed-loonie in the option patch.
Why Didn't I think of
"Cash is the new benchmark of
value" begins an issue of "The J.P. Morgan View" from last week.
Who'd of thought? Aw, so what is
the buck is down a bit early. Still seems like the
perfect set-up for a running of the dollar shorts within a week
or two, just guessing.
If Brown's FOR It....
...then I'd sure be suspicious.
Gordo Brown is urging progress on climate deal. Based
on Brown's track record, I'd be sitting on my wallet, hiding
pens, and stalling for time.
Say, he didn't really sell the UK's
gold when it was around $500, did he? LOL. Who would
still take his advice, let alone vote for him...but some of the
people, some of the time, leastwise in the UK, huh?
Quick! Run! Go hide!
Days to save the world!" Don't tell him that the
climate catastrophe is a result of a stratifying exploitive
global economic system which is broken, too. There
it's not 50-days but more likely three weeks, but don't let our
foresight and occasional shot of reality get in the way.
The headline that "Feds
to issue new medical marijuana policy" has me wondering if
any of the folks wasting away at the iron bar Hotel will be
freed? Not that there's much in the way of jobs on the
outside, mind you.
Tell Me Again
....why we all get up and bust a
hump on Mondays? Did you happen to catch the NY Post piece
this weekend about how business
"Conditions point to another lost decade" for the American
workers who are trying to save up enough money to get a
short taste of the good life before keeling over?
Pour me another port, would
you? Never do today what you can put off until tomorrow.
Tuesday will be here soon enough.
--- snip and save section ---
With How Dumb People Are
You've heard, I'm sure, "You can
fool some of the people, some of the time..." Well, turns
out that having a computer doesn't make people any less dumb or
any less gullible: That based on the BBC report today
about how "Millions
tricked by 'scareware' that disethical web sites pimp.
More than once I have written to a
webmaster address of any site that runs such crap and told them
that no, my PC is NOT infected and NO I don't was a free
system scan because I run my computer in the Fort Knox Lite
mode, and the combination of firewalls, anti-viruses, registry
locks, and other countermeasures is really pretty decent.
It only costs me a bit of surfing speed and gives me a whole
bushel of peace-of-mind.
But the dumbness of people
doesn't stop with pop-ups on the web. Why, just this
morning, the Wall Street Journal's radio program had a piece on
another one of my favorite IQ indicators: Extended Warranties.
Here lately, when I buy something I
look the person who's selling something to me square in the eye
as ask: "You mean this (product) won't last (time covered
by extended warranty offered)? Maybe I shouldn't buy it
then if it's such a piece of crap....
This is sometimes followed by a
confession that "I just have to offer the warranty, sir..."
The WSJ Radio piece said in these lean times in retailing, some
outfits make as much money on financing and extended warranties
(or more) than they do on the underlying product itself.
Neal Templin WSJ article last week is a good read.
All of which gets me around - in
the most roundabout of ways - to wondering why the Wall Street
Journal ever stopped publication of "The
National Observer" - which was part financial paper - and
part lifestyle rag...which had a run from 1962 to 1977.
Among the great writers contributing?
In a sense, it set the tone for
this website (www.urbansurvival.com).
The idea was that there could be intelligent discussion of news,
seriously leaning to its financial underpinnings, along with
lifestyle. Throw in the writing style here and there of
Playboy After Dark (the column, not the TV show and yes, I
really did read the articles, LOL) and I figured it would be a
To be sure, the growth of Urban has
been a slow, tedious affair. But last week, just for
example, the average number of page views per day was running
north of 75,000 and last month alone we served up 1.7-million
pages and we're at almost 13-million year to date.
Apparently, not all people are
dumb; you're among them. (*don't take it that way!)
I see Dog Poet Les Visible today
rants on "The
Rise of the Stupids and the Fall of Rome". Kinda odd
that we'd both have it out for dumb people today. Some
astrological thingajiggy I 'spose. But it does get us
around to this one:
15 Minutes of Fame
The case of the purported "Balloon Hoax" seems to be slowly
coming together. A few readers wondered at the time why I
hadn't given any coverage to the story. Call it 'an old
newsman's hunch' but it didn't feel right from the get-go.
And now we see why starting to come out.
Perhaps we'll get an answer to "How
much is 15-minutes of fame" worth in terms of jail time.
My ham radio buddy Jeff noticed
that the price of
900-lumen flashlights is coming down over at Deal Extreme's web
site. I'm getting the one which takes two batteries
since that oughta give more light. I've been a real fan of
high-powered LED flashlights since I picked up a 3-watt LED unit
at Lowe's for around $30 about 6-months back. But these
new 900-lumen lights are up at the 11-watt level...just the
ticket for nights here in the East Texas outback.
The report that
three runners died at this year's Detroit marathon is
disappointing. I'm all in favor of exercise and all,
but unlike my younger days which included 50-mile bike rides,
these days if I'm going more than a mile or two, a vehicle of
some kind if usually involved.
Now that snakes are thinking about
retiring for the season, we'll get back into the 'martini mile'
around the property lines of the ranch. However, it won't
last long. Deer hunting gun season is coming up shortly -
November 7th I think. I tried to read through the Texas
hunting season list but I only got as far as discovering Texas
has a Sandhill Crane season before I was stopped in my
we live in the part of Texas that's closed to Sandhill Crane
hunting. I had no idea that they were referred to (as
one site puts it) as the
'rib-eyes of the skies.' I'll be dipped & rolled in
it...learn something new every day.
Eight deer just wandered by my
office, not 30-feet away. Nibbling along the edge of the
lawn in no particular hurry. Probably upset that I mowed
Speaking of Dipped and Rolled In
Did I ever mention to you that
making French Toast batter with a shot of Baileys in it is just
a marvelous improvement? A tiny bit of Baileys, dash more
vanilla extract and a good dusting with nutmeg. Yessir,
time to go eat. I've waited the mandatory 3-hours after
weighing myself. Damn digital scale popped up that message
again today - "Will one of you please get off?"
I promise not to go near Detroit.
Once upon a time, a long while ago, I observed during my quest for
'truth' in economics, that the PowersThatBe, the talking heads on
the teeve, and the other information sources that actively engage in
the programming of humans not to think, had conveniently swept
several trillions of dollars that disappeared in the Internet
Bubble's bursting (since spring 2000) under the rug. Surely,
it wasn't unnoticed by the thousands of people who called brokers
and said "Where is my money?" "Gone, but hang in there as
you're a long term investor!" was about all they heard back.
So one of our
charts for Peoplenomics subscribers oughta be widely circulated - it
shows that if you line up the peak of the Dow in January 2000 with
the peak in early September of 1929, we're on a very very close
replay track. Much closer than even the chart shows if you
were to back out inflation, and put in the effects of 1929
deflation, but that'd be real work, and I'm sort of lazy if the
truth be told.