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Replaying 1929 "Standup Economics" This economy is a what? |
Updated: Saturday, November 17, 2007 07:50 CST The Early Briefing - In depth perspectives are for subscribers to www.peoplenomics.com |
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"Death of the Dollar" If you caught predictive linguistics genius Cliff (www.halfpasthuman.com) and me on CoastToCoastAM with George Noory back on the Fourth of July, you'll remember the "death of the dollar" prediction for the fall/winter of this year. As it continues to evolve today, a headline in the UK's "Independent" calls it "The dollar's decline: from symbol of hegemony to shunned currency".
Here's the important thing to get through your head: This about ensures $5-$7 dollar gasoline, perhaps by January/February, in my view. Why? "Saudi minister warns of dollar collapse" blares one headline.
OPEC has a rare summit planned for today, but the main topic is oil and what it fetches in US dollars. Saudi's and Iranians disagree, which is expected. Linguistically, sometime around the 22nd (*Thanksgiving) we seem likely to see the financial disaster pick up steam. Again.
Warming: Extinction Level Event Not to start up your weekend with an alarming warning, but there's a report out by some very smart folks on a UN panel that says the earth is headed toward lots of extinctions because of global warming, and not an easy time for humans. Yeah, big surprise, huh? --- All of which would be quite avoidable if we had developed something other than a money-oriented culture and had opted to produce what's needed for life locally instead of playing the labor spreads all over the world to make more 'paper', but you already knew that, and I don't mean to harp on the utter hypocrisy of the corporate folks getting on this band wagon and still clinging to their bankrupt ideals and pretending to be leaders worth following. Give it a rest. The sheep aren't entirely stoopid.
The thinking that got us into the evolving crisis will not get us out. We need new thinking, new paradigms, and where are they? Certainly not from the sorry batch of presidential wannabe's (Ron Paul excepted, it goes without saying) or most leaders being sold by the corpgov establishment...
District of Corruption You'd might like to think that if there's any city in the nation which holds its head highest, adhering only to the highest of ethics and behaviors, it would be the Nation's Capitol, Washington D.C. Well, you'd be wrong. There's a huge accounting board scandal that is likely to his the national mainstream along about next week that point to just how crooked things are in what I not-entirely light-heartedly call the District of Corruption.
No War Funding Bill So with a million people (and more) impacted by the War, what does CONgress do? Go on Thanksgiving break, of course. Who voted for these clowns?
Musharraf's Nuke Card President "We'll hold elections when I say so" Musharraf in Pakistan is playing the nuclear card, saying he's worried that the countries nukes could fall into wrong hands. Hmmm...there've been rumors about that the US already has sent in teams to ensure that doesn't happen, but who knows, huh?
The Flooding Meme Winds plus waves equals 1,100 dead in Bangladesh from a cyclone so far.
Restrictions on Travel Meme French rail strike is a mess. But, then so is the one in Germany.
Warrantless Searches Police in Boston are planning to show up at homes of school kids in Boston and ask permission to search for guns. Parents will have the right to say "No!" but for how long?
Kindle-ing Thomas Claburn's piece on the new ebook reader coming next week from Amazon is worth reading: "Amazon planning e-book debacle."
Looking Up The Leonid shower peaks this weekend. And here, all this time, you thought the Leonids were rewarmed Trokskiites.
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Coping: Grain Pricing, Co-ops, and A Little Career PlanningA number of people wrote in about those 50-pound sacks of multi-grain that I told youi about earlier this week, wondering about price and all. The source of the tip offers this:
There are lots of local co-ops around - check them out! One in the Seattle area I am familiar with is PCC... --- While I was running out the daily tally of "shortages" in the Google news search engine, I noticed a headline out of this weekend's Seattle Times, that begged for comment: "Gates sees engineer shortage looming" goes the story. Gates is onto something here (not just because he's super rich, either, although that may help).
If you read my subscription newsletter, you'll already know my general view is that globalism is about stretched to near its limits, and that over time we will have to see a re-industrialization of America and that will mean the all-time high of the service industries will come down to more sustainable levels and that regular folks will have to get back into the business of making "things" because over time, globalism is self-liquidation, in the sense that as purchasing power parity (PPP) really does work out, the relative cost advantage of cobbling a shoe in India, rather than making it close to where it's consumed will evaporate.
A fine and lofty economic notion, you're thinking. But, what does this have to do with how I spend my weekend? Ah, just so. It begins with a little research into what you might be doing tomorrow and a great source in this regard is the US Department of Labor's Occupational Outlook. Here, you can see what expected demand for various professions will be, and along with demand comes what? Higher wages.
My suggestion to you is that you look up your current line of work (if you've managed to remain employed) and see what the trend is. Then, figure out two or three other jobs you might like doing and compare them with your current gig. If you find a higher growth alternative, and can start reading up on the subject, getting a little training now, and do the transition before the whole herd of service economy folks are pushed into it, you'll not only get a head start/seniority, but you'll maybe get yourself into a position where you will be able to move up the food chain into a supervisory role. Thinking money here.
There's also a section called "Tomorrow's Jobs" which is worth visiting because it offers the mainstream's view of where jobs will be in the future. And example:
I don't happen to agree with some of their projections, because it's misses things like a collapse of the US dollar, the end of conventional importation schemes to work labor rate spreads internationally, and the whole rest of it, but education and health services seem like pretty save bets. Seems like there's a never-ending supply of people that need more edumacation. Not to mention a case of bird flu, or whatever spills out of a lab next, eh?
I'm not suggesting you go out and bury yourself in student loans to pick up just any old job, mind you. But, I am suggesting that you can pick up a trade like metalworking, one of the skills I'm brushing up on, at very low cost by simply getting the books, some tools, and teaching yourself.
My sense is that time is coming when the more skills you have, everything from backwoods survival to being able to build a modest home including the wiring and plumbing of it, and making of some simple goods for sale will be very valuable contributions to your odds of surviving whatever comes along, especially if we "go Argentina" with the dollar over the rest of the fall and through winter.
Oh, and if you've got kids in school, print up that Gates article and make 'em read it. Free lunches aren't forever and the more money your kids make, the better your odds of having a fall-back position should social security fails in some future economic calamity. ---end of the coping clip n snip ----
Around the Ranch OK, there I was, pushing dirty around a culvert at the creek and I noticed wate5r coming out of the Kubota diesel. "Yikes!" I'm thinking to myself, with only 100 hours on it, why is a nearly new diesel overheating? I was working it hard, but not that hard.
A cool down and jaunt back up the hill to the hose led to the answer: I had been doing a fair amount of bush hogging and the brush was about 6 feet tall and going to seed. Ah, the seeds. There had been so many of them sucked into the screen ahead of the radiator that they had stopped up the air flow.
No problem: a couple of minutes with the hose, and all clean again, it was back to work...a first that even a few farmers might not have encountered. --- Elaine got the mouse finally. She'd been tearing apart and sterilizing the kitchen every day for nearly a week. Fine mouser, she is. Better than the cats, any day.
Peoplenomics: A Bad Thing to Hear Elaine and I were just about to sit down to dinner when an old friend called Friday night, concerned about how things were looking in the fixed income market. I've got sources in a lot of places and some of them are seeing the market priced as though the foreclosure rate will increase to where between 20% and 50% of all subprime loans will be foreclosed on in the near future. Later this week, a spreadsheet I'm putting together based on how the next two years will look, but if you can wrap your head around 1-million+ being foreclosed on, you'll get the idea. But, that's not the really bad news. It actually gets worse from there...
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Guide to Living Cheaply Order our handy ebook "How to Live on $10,000 a year or less - and learn to live like a Third World person now. It's coming anyway, with big job layoffs this summer - and by ordering now, you can beat the rush...You may have more time to read this fall if the economy falls apart as I expect...
Friday November 16, 2007 So Much for Liberties As if American's Liberties aren't in enough trouble already, we reported in a special update yesterday that the offices of the Liberty Dollar folks in Indiana had been raided, and among other things, two tons of newly minted Ron Paul commemorative Liberty dollars had been confiscated. Sadly, the report is now more widely reported. Here's what's on the Liberty Dollar web site:
I expect the real reason for the raid is that these are the folks who have stepped on the 'tail of the beast' by suing over the bankster-backed paper currency. What happened to Article 1 Section 10 of the US Constitution which specifies gold and silver is money? |