Modeling 2015 Part 2: This is When?

imageThe nice thing about intellectual honesty is that it’s OK to make mistakes.  Especially when being suckered by history.  As it turns out, what our Trading Model is forcing us into, in light of recent action, is a complete reassessment of where we are on the calendar in terms of economic replays of great/catastrophic historical events.  But no, it doesn’t look like 2007-2008 was the all-time high as some readers have suggested.

Not that our postings on the replay of the Great Depression (since 1997) have been totally wrong:  They have been useful thought tools and we’ve made a little money along the way.

Still, “as the wheel turns” we acquire new information, such that the future is becoming more clear before us every day.

So toward that end, to wrap up a fine year where the “model has been righter than the gut” we outline a new way of looking at the great rhyme of history.  And as such, it offers an alternative that will be integrated into our outlooks going forward.  And that outlook includes some genuinely outlandish possibilities.

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Modeling 2015 Part 2: This is When? — 1 Comment

  1. On Bible stuff and the Chronicle Project: Scary stuff for the dogmatic. And even me at times. I have read what they have written. No conclusions from me, except to recognize that the very Scriptures they plow, also teach us, there is more to know than has been thus far been revealed in those pages.

    I live as if what I was taught as a child relating to our Creator and His sacrifice for the payment of the penalty for sin is true. “Belief,” if I understand the Book, is a matter of choice. So I do. I must, because if there is an omniscient, omnipresent Creator, He made the place and knew what a mess it would be for the sentient inhabitants He placed in it. To this man’s mind, it only seems fair He would provide for the moral balance and not pin the whole cause on the sentients. In other words: He knew what was going to happen and He did it any way. Nevertheless, I try to remain open to revelation. So with that in mind, I pray God (That’s what I call the Creator for my own convenience and I use the pronoun Him for the same reasons) give me the wisdom to choose correctly in Spiritual matters. If there be a “correctly” that is.

    Seems to me, the sum of the equation of any such wisdom must equal fair play for the most at the expense of the fewest, in all matters relating to Heaven and Earth and the inhabitants thereof. Not so much as in an eye for an eye, rather, compassion for compassion. In that stream of thought as well as experience, I find Love is the great healer of the soul. Love as an action more so than a feeling. I find that the feeling often follows the action. May I seek it (Love)in place of justice. I am, so far, not wise enough to know the genesis of what I perceive (as a man) to be injustice. Those Scriptures also tell us that God created evil as well. I count injustice as a subheading under evil. But He did also, give us a choice. So, except for the most egregious, such as murder and theft (theft not just meaning the taking of physical objects), the settling of such debts is therefore beyond my scope.

    I choose “belief,” in a Creator with a plan. Because for me, without one, there is no sense, no purpose beyond life’s own self indulgent perpetuation. If that is the case, I find it abhorrent and I would rather not be a part of it. I would rather not be at all. As a result and perhaps incongruously by some folks reckoning, I believe … to survive.