A Federal Reserve “Disaster Timer?”

Is it too early to use existing hints in Big Data to tell us when might be an ideal time to have a crash?  Not that a Crash larger than 1929 is something we look forward to, mind you.  But aside from making all that prepping worthwhile, it also will give us a lot of planning time for our few (and regrettably small) trades to try and stay ahead of the Financial Grim Reaper.

So this morning we come up with one way to look at when the world falls apart in a serious way; not that it couldn’t go sooner, but with a planning horizon, things are just a whole lot more comfortable…just like when in early 2008 we developed multiple views of what would happen later that year and into 2009.

First, though, a few headlines and a look at our Trading Model to see where things are as the S&P percolates just under the psychologically important 2,000 level…

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