Irrational Trumpxuberance, Financial Time Travel

There’s a notion that markets predict the future. Oh, not like you will see a red pick-up truck turning right at 9:17:44 AM today. No, it’s more like “We, the collective forces of the market, see a bell-shaped distribution of probable earnings and profits of this (or that) somewhere between nine months and 2-years into the future.” Just for fun, you can actually see these phenomena for yourself. All you have to do is look at a standard options report for a broadly-based index (I like the S&P 500 options, … Continue reading

Coping: With Train Travel

After 2001 – Twin Towers – and the somewhat suspicious (too fast) roll-out of the so-called “Patriot Act” a number of people I know quit flying. Oh, not that they were on the no-fly list. But since they don’t take crap and understand people’s right to quietly “be” anywhere in the country, they didn’t want to take a chance on decking some too snoopy micro bureaucrat. So they gave up flying and opted for cars and trains. I happened (consulting hat on) to talk with one such person (a colleague) … Continue reading

Rally of the Trumpedency Continues

That’s it. Don’t bother getting out of bed. Futures are up 70, and save the Italian election referendum, there’s little real “news” to talk about. In fact, our Monday here started off with a Win-10 update and a Western Digital Synch update for the home network attached storage units, so it has been one of those “hyper- intensive yet refreshingly non-productive” starts to the week. Still, there is hope. Gallup is just out with a Consumer Spending Measure. And since the country has been on speed since the Trumpedency vote, … Continue reading

Coping: The Global Warming Diet

“What we really need a faster way to make a million bucks…” Since I take a generous one morning off each week to sleep in, we were doing what married couples do now and then; reviewing where we are and where we’re going. “The answer is probably in MARKETING something. Something which is already being marketed very successfully…” I promised to research what the biggest and most pervasive marketing campaigns were – with an eye toward piggy-backing on something that was already on the tips of everyone’s tongue. “Global Warming! … Continue reading

Robots Don’t Pay Income Tax

This is certainly obvious, but what would happen if non-stationary machines (robotic) were required to have Social Security numbers and pay…you know…income tax?We get into that along with some discussion of accounting rules about depreciation this morning.But first, let’s see how the president-elect has just basically put the whole U.S. State Department on probation, shall we?Time to bean ’em up and fire a few lazy neurons… More for Subscribers       ||| SUBSCRIBE NOW!       |||      Subscriber Help Center … Continue reading

Can the Jobs Picture be TOO Good?

We will dish up this morning’s Job numbers in a minute. But before we do that, let’s ask a theoretical question, shall we? Can the jobs picture be too good? Here’s the problem in dehydrated form: Too many job openings means everyone can find a job if they just get out and look for one. And, since Help Wanted signs have been appearing a lot of places, we have to assume there is likely just a bit of wage-driven inflation on the horizon. That may sound fine, but it’s not: … Continue reading

Prepping: Goodbye Shortwave, Howdy Outernet

Since I have most of the paper the F.C.C. has ever offered, like the Extra Class ham ticket, the old First Class Commercial ticket and the poor substitute General Radio Operator License, and since banging out 30 words a minute Morse really is fun, you’ll have to forgive me for offering some advice on the wide range of communications options for preppers. In particular, there are three satellite modes around here which I keep meaning to spend more time with, but all are worth considering. FUNcube Sattelites: There are several … Continue reading

The “Last Hesitation” Shortly?

I have been telling subscribers for, oh gosh, something like a year or longer, that we ought to have one more major blow-off in 2016 – with continuation into 2017 – before the market hits a new all-time high and from which we will plunge into the Depression to End Depressions. We have been working on the mechanics of how the various gears will mess. But there are two important pieces of the engine of prosperity that are about to break. One is explained in this comment (from a fellow … Continue reading

Coping: Marketing & the “Crooked” Internet

Marketing 603 Lecture, huh? Well, seeing as you are still here, curious about this “crooked” stuff… Sorry to be a whiner here, but every so-often I get a little cranky and have to point things out about our dearly beloved internet that just isn’t being reported either by the MSM or the AltPress itself. Let’s start with the backstory, shall we? I have been looking at web rankings lately (always paranoid and wanting to provide a good read, naturally) and what did I find? Turns out that a LOT of … Continue reading

Prepper’s Notes: Filtering Financial Planners

A number of readers have asked about Financial Planners.  Do I know any good ones…and so on. This morning, we look at the problem of finding a good one and we give you some ideas to kick around during your search. Ultimately, though, the problem is that any kind of financial “planner” can only be as good as their vision of the future.  While that has worked in the past, like the old disclaimer says: “Past performance is no assurance of future….” More for Subscribers       ||| SUBSCRIBE NOW!       |||      Subscriber … Continue reading