A few of the details:
The October 26, 2015 M 7.5 earthquake near the Hindu Kush region of Afghanistan (SW of Jarm) occurred as the result of reverse faulting at intermediate depths, approximately 210 km below the Hindu Kush Range in northeastern Afghanistan. Focal mechanisms indicate rupture occurred on either a near-vertical reverse fault or a shallowly dipping thrust fault. At the latitude of the earthquake, the India subcontinent moves northward and collides with Eurasia at a velocity of about 37 mm/yr.
Active faults and their resultant earthquakes in northern Pakistan and adjacent parts of India and Afghanistan are the direct result of the convergence between the India and Eurasia plates. This collision is causes uplift that produces the highest mountain peaks in the world including the Himalayan, the Karakoram, the Pamir and the Hindu Kush ranges.
All of which is sad, as it likely killed a bunch of people – some reports put the body count at 43, but since the homes in the area are not quake-resistant, a number over 300 dead may be anticipated as data leaks out.
Here, however, we have an interesting thing to report on the “predictive news” front. For one, I received a longish email from Patrick Geryl who, as you may remember, has been working on astronomical alignments as a quake predictive tool:
I refined my theory…
On October 26 there are a multiple of alignments with the Moon – Earth axis! They all give a big boost to 8 Triples! This is probably the largest I have ever seen. However, the Geocentric alignments with the Sun are not so strong, thus it is unknown how strong the quake will be…
October 26, 2015: Around 10:30 – 11:30 UTC
October 26, 2015: Conjunction Uranus – Moon – Earth HIGH: 10:57:26
October 26, 2015: Opposition Mercury – Moon – Earth HIGH: 12:24:52
October 26, 2015: Opposition Juno – Moon – Earth
October 26, 2015: Binovile Ceres – Moon – Earth
October 26, 2015: Sesquiquadrate Chiron – Moon – Earth
October 26, 2015: Novile Neptune – Moon – Earth
October 26, 2015: Inconjunct Jupiter – Moon – Earth
October 26, 2015: Inconjunct Venus – Moon – Earth
October 26, 2015: Inconjunct Mars – Moon – Earth
October 26, 2015: Sesquiquadrate Saturn – Moon – Earth
Semisquare Jupiter – Sun
Semisquare Venus – Sun
Semisquare Mars – Sun
Quintile Pluto – Sun
Semisextile Saturn – Sun
Heliocentric Square Saturn – Jupiter
Heliocentric Square Saturn – Mercury
They activate these Triples:
October 20 (06:30) – 26 (11:30), 2015: Triple Line Up Mars – Earth – Chiron
October 23(15:00) – 27 (23:30), 2015: Triple Line Up Jupiter – Venus – Earth
October 24 (17:30) – 27 (04:00), 2015: Triple Line Up Mercury – Earth – Uranus
October 24 (21:30) – November 15 (11:00), 2015: Triple Line Up Jupiter – Earth – Chiron
October 25 (15:30) – 29 (12:30), 2015: Triple Line Up Venus – Earth – Chiron
October 25 (19:30) – 28 (16:30), 2015: Triple Line Up Mercury – Mars – Ceres
October 22 (07:30) – November 15 (15:30), 2015: Triple Line Up Jupiter – Venus – Chiron
October 15 (17:00) – 31 (06:00) , 2015: Triple Line Up Jupiter – Mercury – Neptune
I will keep you posted on further updates from Patrick, but this arrived on Saturday night/Sunday morning early…
Now here’s the other thing. As you know, we have our www.nostracodeus.com project going. This is where we slice and dice words in news and other sources on the internet. On October 22, the posting over here offered this:
Large Earthquake May Occur
2.4 quake in the San Francisco bay area today – These small quakes occur in that area all the time, but with the prediction Nostracodeus and a reader gave us coupled with the Bay area quake history, I thought it might need to be mentioned.
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A reader who tracks quakes and Nostracodeus suggest a large earthquake may occur on or about October 29th.
I was perhaps remiss for not posting this all when Patrick’s prediction came in, but it was the weekend, blah, blah, blah….
The key thing to observe is that TWO APPROACHES to earthquake prediction were “hot” in this period and – sure enough – a quake shows up of sufficient size to call it a “hit.”
This is also HUGE from an understand of the future standpoint. We know that small, individual events, don’t rise to the top of global mass consciousness. But there seems to be something about earthquakes that makes them a particularly good target for zooming in future predicting technology.
The problem, as always, however has to do with specificity. It doesn’t do too much good to pull out something like “earthquake”. So the challenge for both approaches now will be to add some geo-location techniques to the mix in order to improve accuracy.
In the meantime, there’s much to be found in pondering why quakes are so prominent in thinking and leak so much. Perhaps because at some primordial level, we are still crawling out of the mud on a volcanic cinder…prehensile brains might work that way. Might tie in to lunacy as well…
Financial Quake? Not Yet…
The Federal Reserve is meeting this week. Since the markets ran up to recent highs last week, we will be watching closely later in the week to see what the market reaction is to the Fed decision due out Wednesday afternoon.
This does have a wee bit of the “buy the rumor, sell the news” whiff to it.
The UAW and GM came to tentative terms this weekend, so strike talk is off for now.
Durable goods and the Case-Shiller Housing report tomorrow. Fed decision Wednesday, GDP Thursday and the National Savings Joke on Friday we snidely refer to the Personal Income and Outlays data.
Meanwhile, the futures – like the punchlines around here – are nearly flat.
Processed Meats Cause Cancer
That’s the assertion of a new study published in Lancet summarized this way:
In October, 2015, 22 scientists from ten countries met at the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) in Lyon, France, to evaluate the carcinogenicity of the consumption of red meat and processed meat. These assessments will be published in volume 114 of the IARC Monographs.1
Long and short of it is bacon, ham, hotdogs and all those other carnivore treats are associated with higher cancer risks. Red meat (plain) is something they’re still working on but suspicious of.,
Might want to adjust portions down or do without…
Whale Watching Tragedy
School Data? Who Needs It?
We can’t help but notice the Obama administration is planning to reduce the number of standardized tests that students take.
Maybe a test a month is a bit much – how about 3 a year, or so?
I’ve long held that teacher’s should be paid based on their average incoming test scores and scores at the end of a term. Bonus the teachers xxx percent based on size of delta. It would be some work to sell the teacher unions on this, and how to keep teachers from encouraging poor students to drop out…but incentives work and no reason we can move more in that direction.
It would bring excellence more into vogue in the classroom. There ought to be a limit on administrative overhead, too…but that’s a long discussion for a non-Monday.
Education, II: Peoplenomics Addendum
A colleague of mine pointed out that in Peoplenomics this weekend, I mentioned Bernie Sanders plan for :”free college” didn’t have a means to pay for it.
Colleague says no, not true. Sanders is proposing a small (read: fraction of a penny) transaction tax on stock trades. Found the info on the Sanders’ website.
This, pointed out the colleague, would be a “two-fer” – first it really would pay for free college and secondly, it would drive a long overdue spike through legalized front-running of stock trades if they are fast enough, also known as high-frequency trading.
I like it. But then I don’t buy politicians and I don’t like some suited-jerks front-running my honest trades and adding to my cost basis. If there was a small transaction tax – fraction of penny and all college was paid for, I’d go back and finish my Ph.D. in business…
Internet At Risk?
Note from warhammer:
Good Morning, George,
I hope you and Ures weathered Patricia suitably well. By all appearances, parts of E. Texas received feets of rain. I hope your ranch is still high and suitably dry.
A scan of the news rags reveals some heightened level of concern for the integrity of undersea communications cables, particularly from potential hostile action.
George, every major nation engages in surveillance and strike planning activities that would undermine a potential adversary’s national power. The targets of such activity are, generally speaking, political, economic and military. Specifically of interest to John and Jane Q. Citizen are critical national infrastructures such as power, energy (gas/oil), water, rail, road, agriculture, internet and ‘brick & mortar’ commerce. Any nation worth its salt has ‘off the shelf’ options, preplanned to degrade any potential adversaries ability to function normally. Attacking such things increases public anxiety and degrades a nation’s ability to respond, increasing what is otherwise known as ‘the fog of war.’
I’ll let Ure imagination run a bit with potential scenarios. America and her NATO allies have quite literally imaged and mapped every square mile of Earth’s ocean floors. One can get ‘hints’ of what the military has done by working over the ocean floors for any global location on Google Earth. Often one will see grid patterns on the ocean floor. These are not remnants of Atlantis, but do show the precise search grid used by agencies, commercial or otherwise, who are mapping the ocean floor.
Turning a famous quote on its head, as below, so above. One can go online and view ephemeris data for well over 95% of every object launched into Earth orbit. You can be sure military agencies are quite a bit more exhaustive in the cataloging of objects which occupy from low Earth orbit (LEO) to geosynchronous Earth orbit (GEO). It’s just what powerful nation-states do.
Putin is announcing to the world that, like it or not, Russia is stepping back into the superpower club. He is directing his military assets to do all the things necessary to maintain parity with America or any other country’s military. Putin is what is known as a realist. He understands that to further his national agenda, he must operate from a position of perceived strength. Many view this as Russia returning to a Cold War posture. The ‘Bear’ has not quite climbed that tree yet. But Russia may only have to go half way up that tree, since the American Eagle appears to be nesting on the power tree’s lower branches these days.
Years ago I was fortunate to have interviewed U.S. Arms Control Ambassador Paul Nitze. It was just after the fall of the wall. He cautioned against thinking Russia was going to be a minor power to the West, reminding me that ‘the Bear’ had the largest nuclear arsenal on the planet. The Russian economy might falter, but as long as they had nukes, they held considerable geopolitical power. And so it is.
Why else do you think Iran is working so hard to develop nuclear weapons?
Good luck with the water situation.
Yeah – right. Only 7 inches at the ranch, though over 20” up the road. Lots of Texans are fondly remember the drought of a few years back…